2025年全球天然气需求

发布者:
《油田技术》编辑助理,


如果目前的趋势持续下去,未来的能源需求将在许多情况下超过需求预期,从而使天然气成为满足不断增长的电力需求和稳定电网的最具可扩展性和响应能力的解决方案。

如果目前的趋势持续下去,未来的能源需求将在许多情况下超过需求预期,从而使天然气成为满足不断增长的电力需求和稳定电网的最具可扩展性和响应能力的解决方案。

根据国际天然气联盟(IGU)和Snam今天发布的《2025年全球天然气报告》 ,2024年全球天然气需求将增长780亿立方米( 1.9%),达到41220亿立方米,预计2025年将继续增长710亿立方米(1.7%)。

2025年上半年,全球天然气市场需求呈现区域差异:增长主要集中在欧洲和北美,分别增长6.1%和1.5%。与此同时,液化天然气贸易继续扩张,这得益于欧洲进口量的大幅增长。2025年上半年,欧洲进口量增加了120亿立方米 23.6%),以满足区域需求和储注需求。

观察到的趋势表明,未来十年全球能源需求预计将呈上升趋势,尤其是在2030年之前。预计中国和印度的电力消耗将激增,从而推动天然气需求的增长,使亚洲成为全球能源需求的主要驱动力,并得到北美增长的支持。

热浪和人工智能、云计算等技术驱动因素的迅猛发展,正在给全球电力系统带来巨大压力,需要可靠灵活的能源和更多的基础设施。地缘政治紧张局势以及能源转型的动态速度,给液化天然气的供需前景蒙上阴影。

如果目前的趋势持续下去,能源需求增长可能会超过主要机构提出的大多数情景路径,超过对 2030 年的预测。因此,对天然气及其基础设施(包括充足的支持政策)的投资必须继续以同样的速度进行,以便:

  • 满足日益增长的能源需求并规避过度需求和/或供应短缺。
  • 提供跨不同时间范围的能源系统弹性,以适应日益高水平的可变可再生能源。

此外,在提高系统效率、提高电气化水平、减少甲烷排放、减少火炬燃烧等因素的推动下,天然气价值链的各个环节都在推进脱碳进程。投资,尤其是在可再生天然气(生物甲烷)和碳捕获与封存(CCS)领域的投资也在不断推进,但这依赖于配套的监管框架和政策措施。

国际天然气联盟秘书长梅内劳斯·伊德雷奥斯 (Menelaos (Mel) Ydreos) 表示:“在不断发展的能源体系中,天然气显然对能源安全至关重要。它不断展现出提供可靠能源供应的能力,其排放量低于石油和煤炭,同时,在电气化程度不断提高、可再生能源渗透率不断上升以及极端天气事件和技术突破等不确定性日益增加的背景下,天然气也将成为未来能源结构的稳定力量。”

“全球市场依然动荡,天然气在确保能源系统的可负担性、连续性和韧性方面继续发挥着关键作用。我们认为,继续投资天然气基础设施对于增强能源安全并实现长期脱碳目标至关重要。在这方面,发展生物甲烷和碳捕集与封存技术 (CCS) 可以通过利用现有资产促进实现这些目标,并有助于缓解市场波动,从而惠及企业和家庭。”Snam 首席执行官 Agostino Scornajenchi 评论道。

在线阅读文章:https://www.oilfieldtechnology.com/drilling-and-production/12092025/global-gas-demand-2025/

 

这篇文章被标记为:

石油和天然气新闻


原文链接/OilFieldTechnology

Global gas demand 2025

Published by , Editorial Assistant
Oilfield Technology,


If current trends persist, future energy demand will outpace demand expectations in many scenarios, positioning natural gas as the most scalable and responsive solution to meet growing power needs and stabilise grids.

If current trends persist, future energy demand will outpace demand expectations in many scenarios, positioning natural gas as the most scalable and responsive solution to meet growing power needs and stabilise grids.

Natural gas demand rose globally by 78 billion m3 (1.9%) in 2024, reaching 4122 billion m3, and is expected to continue growing in 2025 by 71 billion m3 (1.7%), according to the 2025 Global Gas Report by the International Gas Union (IGU) and Snam released today.

The global Gas market has exhibited regional differences in Gas demand in the first half of 2025: growth was mainly seen in Europe and North America, increasing by 6.1% and 1.5% respectively. Meanwhile, LNG trade continued to expand, boosted by a sharp rise in European imports, which increased by 12 billion m3 (23.6%) in the first half of 2025, to meet regional demand and storage injection needs.

Observed trends suggest global energy demand is expected to follow an upward trajectory over the next decade, especially leading up to 2030. Power consumption is expected to surge in China and India, thus driving an increase in natural gas demand, positioning Asia as the key driver of global energy demand, supported by growth in North America.

Heatwaves and technological drivers, such as the AI and Cloud steep growth, are straining power systems globally, requiring reliable and flexible sources and more infrastructure. Geopolitical tensions are clouding the outlook for LNG demand and supply, alongside the dynamic rate of energy transition.

If current trends persist, energy demand growth will likely surpass most of the scenario pathways proposed by leading institutions, exceeding projections for 2030. It is therefore essential that investment in Gas and its infrastructure (including adequate supportive policies) continues at the same pace to:

  • Meet this growing energy demand and hedge against excess demand and/or supply shortfalls.
  • Provide energy systems resilience across different time horizons to accommodate increasingly high levels of variable renewable energy power sources.

Additionally, decarbonisation is happening across different parts of the Gas value chain, driven by improving system efficiency, increased electrification, methane abatement, flaring reductions, and more. Investment, especially in renewable gas (biomethane) and Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS), is also progressing but is dependent on supportive regulatory framework and policy measures.

Menelaos (Mel) Ydreos, the Secretary General of the IGU, said: “It is clear that natural gas remains essential to energy security in an ever-evolving energy system. It is continually demonstrating its ability to deliver reliable energy supply with lower emissions than oil and coal, while also serving as a stabilising force in future energy mixes amid rising electrification, growing variable renewables penetration and increasing uncertainties such as extreme weather events and technological breakthroughs.”

“As global markets remain unsettled, natural gas continues to play a pivotal role in ensuring affordability, continuity and resilience to the energy system. We believe it is essential to continue investing in gas infrastructure to enhance energy security and achieve long term decarbonisation targets. To this regard, developing biomethane and CCS can contribute to meeting these goals by leveraging existing assets, and help mitigate market volatility, in the interest of businesses and households” commented Snam CEO, Agostino Scornajenchi.

Read the article online at: https://www.oilfieldtechnology.com/drilling-and-production/12092025/global-gas-demand-2025/

 

This article has been tagged under the following:

Oil & gas news