勘探与生产推动人工智能,但人工智能会反击吗?

从更快的数据处理和预测性维护到人类的终结,SUPER DUG 的小组成员讨论了使用人工智能和机器学习进行石油和天然气开发。

从更快的数据处理和预测性维护到人类的终结,SUPER DUG 的小组成员讨论了使用人工智能和机器学习进行石油和天然气开发。 (来源:Shutterstock) 

在人工智能 (AI) 的狂热支持者和末日论者中,石油和天然气行业越来越多地采用用于处理大量数据、提高安全性甚至提高油井性能的技术。

与其他创新一样,勘探与生产公司再次加入了一些早期采用者的行列,看看它能做什么。一个主要好处是:在数据淹没的行业中,它可以节省时间。

“使用 AI 和 ML [机器学习] 背后的 [哲学] 是,任何需要大量人力的任务、任何需要大量计算工作的任务都可以大大减少,”Siddharth Misra德克萨斯农工大学石油工程副教授在德克萨斯州沃思堡举行的 Hart Energy SUPER DUG 会议的小组讨论中说道。

这包括一些必要但平凡的任务,例如对 TB 级的数据进行排序。

ChampionX 首席数字官 Ali Raza 表示,业界一直在捕获结构化和非结构化数据。数据分析可以完善信息,以提高生产力并监控公司的资产,包括压缩机和发动机。

ShearFRAC 首席运营官托马斯·约翰斯顿 (Thomas Johnston) 表示,数据量如此之大,以至于“人类无法通过他们的方式来完成”。因此,该公司采用了一种实时骨折引导技术,正式名称为 FracBRAIN,其背后的人工智能组件被昵称为 Shear-i。约翰斯顿后来告诉 Hart Energy,FracBRAIN 技术“测量压力模式并解释岩石如何破裂”,而 Shear-i 的实施为“液质、支撑剂浓度和粘度”提供了更改建议,以更高效、更有效地破裂。岩石。”

该技术有望在该领域得到实际应用。在小组讨论中,Johnston 表示,将 FracBRAIN 技术与 Shear-i AI 结合使用,最终可以将产量提高约 5%。

米斯拉补充说,人工智能结构可以帮助管理“来自多个数据位置源”的“大量数据”。

“这是机器人可以获取所有数据的地方,它可以帮助数据重新处理、数据可视化、数据输入,”米斯拉说。“ot 真的很擅长信息检索。”

学习机

即使对保持油田泵送的设备进行定期维护也可能很危险,尤其是如果工人依赖不完整或不正确的信息。预测分析和预测维护是两个相辅相成的概念。如果工作人员能够借助人工智能结构和过去的数据来预测何时可能发生故障,则可以减轻一些危险的任务。

“每当有事情发生时,[AI] 模型都会不断学习,”Raza 说,他指出 ChampionX 促进其 AI 持续、积极的学习,直到它能够以 97% 到 98% 的准确度回忆过去的事件。

约翰斯顿用一个更实际的例子来说明机器学习,回忆起对休斯顿植物园的访问。他注意到阵雨后洒水器开始给花园浇水。他说,人工智能的智能使用可以减少这种“无意义”的水资源浪费。

根据约翰斯顿的说法,当前的自动化过程确实在某种程度上利用了人工智能——定时器的设置只是定期给植物浇水——但可以采用不同的方法。

“你可以看看”最近一小时下雨了吗?好吧,所以不要喝水,”约翰斯顿说。“然后你会变得更加聪明,并说:‘嘿,在接下来的一个小时内,关于会下雨的预测是什么?’然后你可以不断变得越来越[具体]。” �

机器的崛起

Quantum Energy Partners 首席技术官塞巴斯蒂安·加斯 (Sebastian Gass) 提出了一个警告:与人工智能分享内容时要小心。

随着 ChatGPT 获得关注和接受,尽管结果明显好坏参半,Gass 强调了私人人工智能引擎和公共人工智能引擎之间的对比。

“确保你不会将你不想输入的数据输入到人工智能引擎中,”他在小组讨论中说道。

据彭博社 5 月 1 日报道,三星员工被禁止使用 ChatGPT 等生成式人工智能工具。该禁令是在员工“将敏感代码上传到平台”后制定的。该公司对其员工进行了一项调查,65% 的员工表示他们担心人工智能存在安全风险。

加斯说,“我认为我们所有人都需要非常注意”人工智能的负面影响。

尽管在石油领域部署人工智能有诸多好处,但也存在一个挥之不去的担忧。

“我认为每项技术都会产生意想不到的后果,”加斯说。“如果你听听聪明人的说法,统计数据显示,50% 的人工智能专家相信,人工智能有 10% 的可能性会消灭人类。”

原文链接/hartenergy

E&Ps Push AI, but Will AI Push Back?

From quicker data processing and predictive maintenance to the end of humanity, panelists at SUPER DUG discussed oil and gas developments using AI and machine learning.

From quicker data processing and predictive maintenance to the end of humanity, panelists at SUPER DUG discussed oil and gas developments using AI and machine learning. (Source: Shutterstock) 

Among the giddy proponents of artificial intelligence (AI)—and the doomsayers—the oil and gas industry increasingly embraces the technology used to process vast caches of data, increase safety and even increase well performance.

As with other innovations, E&Ps have once again joined some of the early adopters to see what it can do. One key benefit: it’s a time saver in an industry drowning in data.

“One of the [philosophies] behind using AI and ML [machine learning] is, any task that requires a lot of human effort, any task that requires a lot of computational effort…can be reduced a lot,” Siddharth Misra said, associate professor of petroleum engineering at Texas A&M University, in a panel at Hart Energy’s SUPER DUG conference in Fort Worth, Texas.

That includes some necessary but mundane tasks, such as sorting through terabytes of data.

Data—raw, structured and unstructured—is being captured all the time in the industry, said Ali Raza, chief digital officer at ChampionX. Data analytics can refine the information to increase productivity and monitor a company’s assets, including compressors and engines.

The data is so voluminous that it’s “too much for [a] human to work [their] way through,” said Thomas Johnston, COO at ShearFRAC. So the company employs a real-time fracture guidance technology known formally as FracBRAIN, and the AI component behind it is nicknamed Shear-i. Johnston later told Hart Energy that the FracBRAIN technology “measures pressure patterns and interprets how the rock is fracturing,” and the implementation of Shear-i offers change suggestions to the “rate, proppant concentration and viscosity to more efficiently and effectively fracture the rock.”

The technology is expected to have practical applications in the field. During the panel, Johnston said that the utilization of the FracBRAIN technology in conjunction with the Shear-i AI could, in time, increase production by an estimated 5%.

Misra added that AI constructs can help to manage the “large volume of data” that is “coming from multiple data position sources.”

“That’s where a bot can take all the data, it can help [with] data reprocessing, data visualization, data entry,” Misra said. “Bots are really good at information retrieval.”

Learning machines

Performing even regular maintenance on the equipment that keeps the oil patch pumping can be dangerous—more so if the workers are relying on incomplete or incorrect information. Predictive analytics and predictive maintenance are two concepts that go hand-in-hand. If workers can—with the help of AI constructs and past data—predict when failures might occur, some dangerous tasks can be mitigated.

“Every time something happens, the [AI] model keeps learning,” said Raza, who noted that ChampionX promotes continuous and positive learning for its AI until it is able to recall past events with an accuracy of 97% to 98%.

Johnston illustrated machine learning with a more practical example, recalling a visit to the Houston Botanical Gardens. He noticed that sprinklers started watering the gardens after a rain shower. Intelligent usage of AI could reduce such a “pointless” waste of water, he said.

According to Johnston, the current automated process does utilize AI in some capacity—a timer is set-up that simply waters the plants at regular intervals—but it could be approached differently.

“You can have a look at—did it rain one inch in the last hour? Okay, therefore don’t water,” said Johnston. “And then you get even more intelligent and say ‘hey, in the next hour, what’s the prediction that it’s going to rain?’ and you can keep getting more and more and more [specific].”

Rise of the machines

Sebastian Gass, CTO of Quantum Energy Partners, offered a cautionary note: be careful what you share with an AI.

As ChatGPT gains traction and acceptance, though with decidedly mixed results, Gass emphasized the contrast between private AI engines and public ones.

“Make sure that you do not feed data into an AI engine that you don’t want to feed into the AI engine,” he said during the panel.

It was reported by Bloomberg on May 1 that employees at Samsung were barred from using generative AI tools such as ChatGPT. The ban was instituted after staff had “uploaded sensitive code to the platform.” The company conducted a survey among its employees, with 65% indicating they were concerned about AI as a security risk.

“I think all of us need to be very mindful” about the negative aspects of AI, said Gass.

And for all of the upsides of deploying AI in the oil patch, there’s also a nagging worry.

“I think every technology has unintended consequences,” Gass said. “If you listen to…smart people out there, the statistics [showed] 50% of AI experts believe there’s a 10% chance that AI will wipe out humanity.”