未来的二叠纪天然气管道可能会面临困难

Kinetik Midstream 的首席执行官杰米·韦尔奇 (Jamie Welch) 认为,更昂贵、更长的管道路径会给中游公司带来麻烦。

德克萨斯州沃斯堡——特拉华盆地一家较大中游公司的首席执行官表示,迟早需要从二叠纪盆地引出另一条主要天然气管道。

然而,Kinetik Midstream总裁兼首席执行官杰米·韦尔奇 (Jamie Welch) 补充说,规划下一条线路的路线将是一件复杂的事情。

“你会遇到一个非常有趣的问题”“你要去哪里?”韦尔奇在哈特能源超级挖掘会议暨博览会上说道。

马特宏峰快速管道预计将于今年下半年开始服务,增加来自二叠纪盆地的天然气输送能力 2.5 Bcf/d,终点位于德克萨斯州东南部,靠近休斯顿地区。 韦尔奇将该项目描述为满足米德兰和特拉华盆地日益增长的天然气需求的“援助”。

目前还没有其他管道项目或扩建项目获得最终投资决定。 Welch 表示墨西哥湾沿岸快速管道 (GCX) 的 500 MMcf/d 扩建计划可能会成为“下一张倒下的多米诺骨牌”。直到最近,Kinetik 才对该管道感兴趣。

此后,中游公司可能会面临决定最好采取哪条路线的问题。

德克萨斯州科珀斯克里斯蒂的设施目前被认为是二叠纪原油的最佳目的地,因为与休斯顿地区和更东部地区相比,距二叠纪的路径相对较短。然而,终止于科珀斯克里斯蒂的线路在 2024 年的大部分时间里都在满负荷或接近满负荷运行。

“你开始考虑把它停放在德克萨斯州博蒙特吗?”韦尔奇指着休斯顿以东约 60 英里的一座港口城市问道。 “女士们先生们,这大约是 700 英里。”

除了拟议的 GCX 扩建之外,二叠纪盆地的其他三条天然管道也在考虑之中。其中两艘将终止于博蒙特或远至路易斯安那州西南部。第三个是“勇士”,将连接到德克萨斯州北部目前的管道网络。

管道越长,钢材、劳动力、通行权和压缩成本就越高。然后,管道建设者必须通过对生产商征收关税来弥补投资者的成本。

“托运人会看着你说,‘这太棒了’,我不会同意这样做,但请让我知道进展如何,”韦尔奇说。

Kinetik 的重点是特拉华盆地。 5 月初,该公司达成协议,以 13 亿美元的价格收购 Durango Permian,从而成为新闻焦点。  作为协议的一部分,Kinetik 同意出售其在 GCX 管道中的权益。   

交易完成后,Kinetik 将在特拉华州拥有并运营超过 2.4 Bcf/d 的处理能力,以及横跨德克萨斯州八个县的约 4,600 英里的管道。 

韦尔奇表示,Kinetik 在推进交易之前详细考察了杜兰戈的资产和运营。

韦尔奇说,特拉华州北部地区的活动非常活跃,这为 Kinetik 提供了很多利用的机会。

大多数新开发项目来自小型独立企业,韦尔奇表示,杜兰戈收购带来了 60 多个新客户。

“我们在杜兰戈剥洋葱越多,我们就越喜欢它,”他说。 

原文链接/HartEnergy

Future Permian Gas Pipeline May Have a Difficult Route to Follow

Kinetik Midstream’s CEO Jamie Welch sees more expensive and longer pipeline paths causing complications for midstream companies.

FORT WORTH, Texas — Another major natural gas pipeline out of the Permian Basin will be needed sooner than later, said the CEO of one of the larger midstream companies in the Delaware Basin.

However, Jamie Welch, Kinetik Midstream’s president and CEO, added that planning the route of that next line would be a complicated matter.

“You get to one very interesting question — ‘where do you go?’” Welch said at the Hart Energy SUPER DUG Conference & Expo.

The Matterhorn Express Pipeline, expected to begin service in the second half of the year, adds 2.5 Bcf/d of natural gas capacity from the Permian Basin and terminates in Southeast Texas, close to the Houston area.  Welch described the project as a “band-aid” for the growing needs of gas takeaway from the Midland and Delaware basins.

No other pipeline projects or expansions have received a final investment decision. Welch said a 500 MMcf/d expansion of the Gulf Coast Express Pipeline (GCX), which until recently Kinetik had an interest in, is likely to be the “next domino to fall.”

After that, midstream companies could face a problem in deciding which route is the best to take.

The facilities at Corpus Christi, Texas, are currently considered the best destination for Permian crude because of the relatively short path from the Permian, as opposed to the Houston area and further east. However, the lines that terminate at Corpus Christi have been operating at or near capacity for much of 2024.

“Do you start thinking about laying it over in Beaumont [,Texas]?” Welch asked, pointing to a port city about 60 miles east of Houston. “Ladies and gentlemen, that’s like 700 miles.”

Besides the proposed GCX expansion, three other natural pipelines out of the Permian are under consideration. Two of them would terminate either at Beaumont or as far as Southwest Louisiana. The third, Warrior, would connect to a pipeline network currently in place in North Texas.

The longer the pipeline is, the higher the costs in steel, labor, right-of-way and compression. Pipeline builders then have to make up the costs to investors through tariff rates applied to producers.

“The shipper’s going to look at you and say, ‘That’s great — I’m not signing up for that, but let me know how it goes,’” Welch said.

Kinetik’s focus has been on the Delaware Basin. The company made news earlier in May when it reached an agreement to acquire Durango Permian in a deal valued at $1.3 billion.  As part of the agreement, Kinetik agreed to sell its interest in the GCX pipeline.   

Following completion of the deal, Kinetik will own and operate over 2.4 Bcf/d of processing capacity in the Delaware and approximately 4,600 miles of pipelines across eight Texas counties. 

Welch said Kinetik took a detailed look at Durango’s assets and operations before going forward with the deal.

The northern Delaware area is seeing a lot of activity, Welch said, giving Kinetik a lot of opportunity to capitalize on.

Most of the new development is from small independents, and Welch said the Durango acquisition brought along more than 60 new customers.

“The more we peeled back the onion on Durango, the more we loved it,” he said.