随着价格上涨,斗牛士吹捧棉花谷为“银行”储备

Matador Resources 目前主要将精力集中在二叠纪的特拉华盆地。但该公司在路易斯安那州丰富的 Cotton Valley 地区仍有大量未开发的天然气资源,随着大宗商品价格上涨,该公司可能会考虑在那里进行钻探。


Matador Resources再次宣称其 Cotton Valley 是“宝库”,随着天然气价格上涨,二叠纪储量丰富的 E&P 公司可能会考虑在此进行钻探。

根据监管文件显示,截至 2023 年底,Matador 在路易斯安那州西北部拥有 14,800 英亩的 Cotton Valley 净土地和 8,900 英亩的 Haynesville 净土地。

Matador 创始人、董事长兼首席执行官乔·福兰 (Joe Foran) 在公司第四季度财报中表示, Matador所称的 Cotton Valley 资产是其“银行”,是 100% 生产持有 (HBP)。

福兰表示,棉花谷和海恩斯维尔长期以来一直是 Matador 投资组合的一部分。2008 年,Matador 以约 1.8 亿美元的价格将海恩斯维尔约 9,000 净英亩土地的开采权出售给切萨皮克能源公司。

“我们仅将那里的 Haynesville 地层卖给了他们,”Foran 在 Matador 2 月 19 日的收益电话会议上表示,“并且我们保留了这些资产的所有井上权利。”

Foran 表示,Cotton Valley 资产还拥有“非常高的净收益权益”,因为 Matador 保留了已经赚取或获得的超额收益。

Matador 估计其在 Cotton Valley 拥有 37 个净水平井位。油藏工程师估计该资产可产出 2000 亿立方英尺至 3000 亿立方英尺的天然气。

根据路易斯安那州的记录,Matador 在该资产上钻的最后一口井于 2011 年 1 月在德索托县投产。

油藏工程执行副总裁汤姆·埃尔森纳 (Tom Elsener) 表示,这口一英里长的水平井预计最终采收率 (EUR) 为 60 亿立方英尺。

埃尔森纳说:“我们今天知道我们的作业团队将会进入那里,并且能够钻一个 2 英里、或者 [2.5 英里] 甚至更远的井。”


有关的

Matador 的 U 型侧向特拉华州测试比 2 英里直孔效果更好


“联合”大宗商品价格

天然气在价格低迷了近两年之后,现在开始受到人们的关注。

由于冬季供暖需求和墨西哥湾沿岸新增液化天然气出口能力的需求不断增长,美国天然气价格正在上涨。

天然气生产商也迫不及待地想要向电力需求巨大的人工智能数据中心输送天然气。

埃克森美孚雪佛龙Expand Energy正在与技术客户洽谈,为数据中心项目提供电表后燃气发电能力。

“这似乎正在复苏,”福兰评论道,“你有这些数据中心。你有可以提取的液体 [NGL]。这开始变得更具吸引力了。”

他强调,Matador“不会以任何方式试图出售”其 Cotton Valley 资产。

他告诉分析师:“这只是表明我们在适当的时候还有另一张牌可以打出。”

美国新的液化天然气出口能力已经对天然气期货定价产生影响

Venture Global位于新奥尔良南部密西西比河上的普拉克明工厂在去年 12 月底出口了第一批货物,目前的日产量约为 15 亿立方英尺。

阿巴拉契亚天然气生产商安特罗资源公司的高管 在上周的财报电话会议上指出,普拉克明天然气产量涨幅快于预期,已经推高了墨西哥湾沿岸附近 2025 年夏季的期货价格

切尼尔能源公司位于德克萨斯州科珀斯克里斯蒂的扩建项目于 12 月开始液化。七条生产线的扩建项目的全部产能将达到 13 亿立方英尺/天,使该工厂的总产量超过 33 亿立方英尺/天。

埃克森美孚公司期待已久的 Golden Pass LNG 工厂也有望在未来 12 个月内投入使用。Golden Pass LNG 已获得联邦能源管理委员会的批准,日产量为 26 亿立方英尺。

Expand Energy——切萨皮克能源公司与西南能源公司去年合并后更名的公司——预计明年这些液化天然气项目将带来56亿立方英尺/天的增量需求。

芝加哥商品交易所集团的数据显示,目前带钢价格超过 4 美元/百万英热单位,而一年前约为 3 美元/百万英热单位。

Matador 公司在投资者材料中表示,其 Cotton Valley 天然气银行占据有利位置,可以利用墨西哥湾沿岸不断增长的液化天然气出口。

未来,人工智能数据中心项目预计将带来更多需求。然而,不同生产商和分析师的预测存在很大差异。

Expand Energy 首席财务官 Mohit Singh 在2 月初的2025 NAPE 会议上表示,该公司听取了数据中心天然气需求增量从 20 亿立方英尺/天到 200 亿立方英尺/天的预测。

他说:“我们认为数据中心对天然气的需求将增加约 50 亿立方英尺/天。”


有关的

扩展 CFO:“可靠”的液化天然气而非人工智能将推动美国天然气需求


Ameredev 井和 U-turn 井

由于其 Cotton Valley 天然气储备库蕴藏着巨大的潜力,Matador 公司将继续把精力集中在二叠纪盆地上。

去年,该公司以 18 亿美元收购了私人 E&P Ameredev II,进一步在二叠纪的特拉华盆地中深耕。

斗牛士阿梅雷杰夫交易
去年,Matador 斥资 18 亿美元收购了 Ameredev II,在特拉华盆地净增 33,500 英亩。(来源:Matador 投资者介绍)

Ameredev 交易增加了 33,500 净英亩、371 个净地点和超过 25,000 桶油当量/天的产量。

Foran 表示,Matador 估计,完成 Ameredev 交易后,其 D&C 成本协同效应至少达到 400 万美元。未来五年,该公司预计该交易将带来约 1.5 亿美元的协同成本节约。

自 Matador 接任运营商以来,Ameredev 油田的租赁运营费用也下降了 35%,即每月超过 200 万美元。

Ameredev 交易是 Matador 悠久公司历史上最大的一笔交易:Foran最初于 1983 年创立 Matador 品牌,仅靠从亲朋好友那里筹集的 27 万美元。

Matador 目前的市值约为 70 亿美元,其中许多朋友和家人投资者至今仍是股东。


有关的

斗牛士争取阿梅雷德夫交易,以换取特拉华州的规模


Matador 还通过钻探更多 U 型转弯水平井和使用更多模拟和三次压裂完井来降低其勘探与开采支出。

该公司第四季度创纪录地完成了五口新 U 型油井的销售。

Foran 表示,Matador 估计,与钻 10 个垂直井眼和 10 个 1 英里长的水平井相比,它节省了钻井时间和每个新 U 型转弯井 1500 万美元(每口井约 300 万美元)。

他说道:“五口 U-Turn 井的初步结果表明,这些 U-Turn 井的表现与同一地区传统的两英里直线井一样好,甚至更好。”

在某些地区,钻探 U 型转弯井所节省的成本可使石油盈亏平衡价格降低 20%。


有关的

Matador 的 U 型侧向特拉华州测试比 2 英里直孔效果更好

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Matador Touts Cotton Valley ‘Gas Bank’ Reserves as Prices Increase

Matador Resources focuses most of its efforts on the Permian’s Delaware Basin today. But the company still has vast untapped natural gas resources in Louisiana’s prolific Cotton Valley play, where it could look to drill as commodity prices increase.


Matador Resources again touted its Cotton Valley “gas bank,” where the Permian-heavy E&P might look to drill as natural gas prices improve.

Matador held 14,800 net Cotton Valley acres and 8,900 net Haynesville acres in northwestern Louisiana as of year-end 2023, according to regulatory filings.

The Cotton Valley assets—which Matador refers to as its “gas bank”—are 100% held-by-production (HBP), said Matador Founder, Chairman and CEO Joe Foran in the company’s fourth-quarter earnings.

The Cotton Valley and Haynesville have been part of Matador’s portfolio for a long time, Foran said. In 2008, Matador sold Haynesville rights across approximately 9,000 net acres to Chesapeake Energy for around $180 million.

“We solely sold them the Haynesville formation down there,” Foran said during Matador’s Feb. 19 earnings call, “and we reserved all the up-hole rights with these properties.”

The Cotton Valley assets also have a “very high net revenue interest” as Matador retained the overrides that had been earned or acquired, Foran said.

Matador estimates that it has 37 net horizontal locations in the Cotton Valley. Reservoir engineers estimate the asset could produce between 200 Bcf and 300 Bcf of natural gas.

The last well Matador drilled on the asset came online in January 2011 in De Soto Parish, according to Louisiana state records.

The 1-mile horizontal well has produced an estimated ultimate recovery (EUR) of 6 Bcf, said Tom Elsener, executive vice president for reservoir engineering.

“I know today our operations team would go in there and be capable of drilling a 2-mile well, or [2.5 miles] or even further, perhaps,” Elsener said.


RELATED

Matador’s U-lateral Delaware Tests Outproduce 2-mile Straight Holes


‘Rallying’ commodity prices

Natural gas, after languishing in the doldrums of low prices for essentially two years, is now having a moment in the spotlight.

U.S. natural gas prices are increasing on winter heating demand and growing demand to feed new LNG export capacity on the Gulf Coast.

Gas producers are also foaming at the mouth to feed gas into power-hungry AI data centers.

Exxon Mobil, Chevron and Expand Energy are in conversations with technology customers to supply behind-the-meter, gas-fired power generation capacity for data center projects.

“Gas seems to be rallying,” Foran commented. “You have these data centers. You have the liquids [NGL] that can be taken out. It’s starting to be more attractive.”

He emphasized that Matador is “not in any way trying to sell” its Cotton Valley assets.

“It just shows you we have another card to play at the appropriate time,” he told analysts.

New U.S. LNG export capacity is already influencing natural gas futures pricing.

Venture Global’s Plaquemines plant—on the Mississippi River south of New Orleans—is currently pulling around 1.5 Bcf/d after exporting its first cargo in late December.

The quicker-than-anticipated ramp up of Plaquemines has already pushed up summer 2025 futures prices near the Gulf Coast, executives for Appalachia gas producer Antero Resources noted in an earnings call last week.

Cheniere Energy’s expansion at Corpus Christi, Texas, began liquefaction in December. Full capacity from the seven-train expansion will be 1.3 Bcf/d, bringing the plant’s total output to more than 3.3 Bcf/d.

And Exxon Mobil’s long-awaited Golden Pass LNG plant is also expected to come online within the next 12 months. Golden Pass LNG has FERC approval for 2.6 Bcf/d.

Expand Energy—the rebranded company after Chesapeake Energy and Southwestern Energy merged last year—expects to see 5.6 Bcf/d of incremental demand coming online over the next year from those LNG projects.

Strip prices are currently above $4/MMBtu, compared with roughly $3/MMBtu a year ago, according to CME Group data.

Matador’s Cotton Valley gas bank is well positioned to take advantage of growing LNG exports on the Gulf Coast, the company said in investor materials.

Additional demand is expected from AI data center projects in the future. However, projections swing wildly from producer to producer and analyst to analyst.

Expand Energy has heard forecasts ranging from 2 Bcf/d all the way to 20 Bcf/d of incremental gas demand from data centers, CFO Mohit Singh said at the 2025 NAPE Conference earlier in February.

“I think we’ll land around an incremental 5 Bcf/d of natural gas demand from data centers,” he said.


RELATED

Expand CFO: ‘Durable’ LNG, Not AI, to Drive US NatGas Demand


Ameredev and U-turn wells

With its Cotton Valley gas bank lying in wait for the future, Matador continues to focus its efforts on the Permian Basin.

The company got even deeper in the Permian’s Delaware Basin with the closing of a $1.8 billion acquisition of private E&P Ameredev II last year.

Matador Ameredev Deal
Matador added 33,500 net acres in the Delaware Basin with a $1.8 billion acquisition of Ameredev II last year. (Source: Matador investor presentation)

The Ameredev deal added 33,500 net acres, 371 net locations and over 25,000 boe/d in production.

Matador estimates that it has seen at least $4 million in D&C cost synergies after closing the Ameredev deal, Foran said. Over the next five years, the company expects to see about $150 million in synergistic cost savings from the transaction.

Lease operating expenses on the Ameredev acreage have also fallen by 35%, or more than $2 million per month, since Matador took over as operator.

The Ameredev deal represented the largest transaction in Matador’s long corporate history: Foran originally launched the Matador brand in 1983 with just $270,000 raised from friends and family.

Matador currently has a market value of approximately $7 billion—and many of those friends and family investors remain shareholders today.


RELATED

By the Horns: Matador Wrangles Ameredev Deal for Delaware Scale


Matador is also lowering its D&C spending by drilling more U-turn-lateral wells and using more simul- and trimul-frac completions.

The company turned a record five new U-turn wells to sales during the fourth quarter.

Matador estimates that it saved drilling time and $15 million—around $3 million per well—for each new U-turn well, compared to drilling 10 vertical wellbores and 10, 1-mile laterals, Foran said.

“Initial results from the five U-Turn wells indicate that these U-Turn wells are performing as good or better than traditional two-mile straight lateral wells in the same area,” he said.

In certain areas, cost savings from drilling U-turn wells can reduce oil breakeven prices by as much as 20%.


RELATED

Matador’s U-lateral Delaware Tests Outproduce 2-mile Straight Holes

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