Westwood Energy:2021 年石油和天然气勘探仍保持弹性

勘探与生产

根据 Westwood Global Energy Group 的最新分析,尽管面临 Covid-19 的挑战和能源转型加速,2021 年高影响石油和天然气勘探钻探仍保持了增长势头 

然而,这家能源市场研究和咨询公司透露,虽然 2021 年的高冲击钻探水平与 2020 年相似,但业绩大幅下滑,2021 年已发现资源量下降 65%,至 67 亿桶油当量。商业成功率也同比下降11%,从40%降至29%。这是由于>500mmboe的巨型发现数量减少以及最近开放的新兴盆地中一些不成功的勘探扩展测试。

研究还证实,尽管发现规模较小,但其投资组合中以基础设施为主导的勘探所占比例较高的公司,商业成功率较高,发现成本也更可预测。获得资金还意味着,2021 年超级巨头和国家石油公司合计占高影响力油井权益的 68%,而 2018 年为 47%。

 Westwood 全球勘探和评估主管格雷姆·巴格利 (Graeme Bagley) 表示:“尽管化石燃料勘探面临重大阻力,但我们最新的勘探状况报告的结果显示了勘探前景充满希望,该勘探已从 COVID-19 中恢复过来。然而,当我们迈向更清洁的能源结构时,关键的要求是为所有未来的勘探机会实现低排放强度的开发。”

 “展望未来,我们将看到对成功案例对公司净零目标影响的审查,在选择前景时,ESG 考虑因素和收支平衡的时间变得越来越重要。”

 

原文链接/oilreviewmiddleeast

Oil & gas exploration remained resilient in 2021: Westwood Energy

Exploration & Production

High impact oil and gas exploration drilling in 2021 maintained its momentum in 2021, despite the challenges of Covid-19 and the accelerating energy transition, according to the latest analysis from Westwood Global Energy Group 

The  energy market research and consultancy firm, reveals however that, while high impact drilling levels in 2021 were similar to 2020, performance sank significantly, with discovered resource dropping 65% in 2021 to 6.7bn boe. The commercial success rate also fell 11% year-on-year, from 40% to 29%. This is due to a reduced number of giant discoveries >500mmboe and some unsuccessful play extension tests in recently opened emerging basins.

The research also confirms that companies with a significant proportion of infrastructure-led exploration in their portfolios delivered a higher commercial success rate and a more predictable finding cost, despite lower discovery sizes. Access to funding also meant that Supermajors and NOCs, together accounted for 68% of high impact well equity in 2021 compared to 47% in 2018.

 Graeme Bagley, head of global exploration and appraisal at Westwood said, “The results of our latest State of Exploration report present a promising outlook for exploration, having bounced back from COVID-19 and despite significant headwinds against exploration for fossil fuels. As we stride towards a cleaner energy mix, however, the crucial requirement is for low emissions intensity developments for all future exploration opportunities.”

 “Looking ahead, we’ll be seeing scrutiny of the success case impact on company net zero targets, with ESG considerations and the time to break-even becoming increasingly important when it comes to prospect selection.”