Sitio Royalties is less than 3 years old, but it has quickly grown into a leading mineral and royalty interests player with a publicly traded, multi-basin approach.
After almost two decades in energy investment banking, Chris Conoscenti joined private equity player Kimmeridge and took over its new minerals arm, Desert Peak Minerals. Three years later, it hit Wall Street with a nearly $2 billion, all-stock merger with publicly traded Falcon Minerals, creating the Sitio name—Spanish for “place.â€
But the growth was just getting started, with Sitio quickly scooping up Momentum Minerals, Foundation Minerals and then the big deal: a $4.8 billion merger with Brigham Minerals.
Growing more quietly since then, Conoscenti and Sitio are ready for the next chapter of minerals consolidation, following in the massive wake of upstream E&P consolidation the last two years.
Conoscenti spoke with contributing editor Jordan Blum about the latest sector trends and the future of Sitio.
This interview was edited for clarity and length.
Jordan Blum: Starting out broadly, what are the overall trends you’re seeing in the minerals and royalties sector? How are things evolving and what are you focused on?
Chris Conoscenti: I'd say the three biggest trends, first, is just the abundance of capital that's pursuing minerals. It's more than ever before, and it's a combination of public minerals companies, operators—mainly focused under their own leasehold and traditional private equity. There's direct to LP (limited partner) private equity, there's income funds, insurance money, family offices. There's a whole host of different parties, but there's no shortage of capital willing to be put to work in the mineral space.
我想说的另一个趋势是整合机会仍然巨大。即使竞争如此激烈,仍有许多工作要做,以整合这个高度分散的领域。我们仍然面临这样的情况:向公共矿产公司支付的特许权使用费不到 5%。我们最终是这些资产的自然永久所有者,这意味着需要进行大量从个人手中到私人资本再到公共资本的转移。这将需要很长时间,还有很多工作要做。因此,有大量资金投入矿产资源这一事实实际上是一件好事,可以保持这种整合生态系统的运转。
我想说的第三个趋势是,资金正在大规模地向上市矿业公司转移。矿业公司的总市值首次超过 500 亿美元。显然,这个数字还需要更大,才能在上游领域争夺投资者的眼球和关注,上游领域的规模是矿业公司的数倍,但这是朝着正确方向迈出的一步。关于趋势,我要提到的最后一件事是正在发生的上游整合。它直接影响了矿业行业。过去 18 个月,上游公共和私人企业进行了大规模整合,这对矿业所有者所拥有资产的开发速度和资本分配产生了影响。它改变了你对矿业资产估值方式和开发时间的看法。拥有更健康的运营商能够在周期内维持其资本计划,减少资本计划的波动性,这是一件好事。总体而言,这对矿业所有者来说实际上相当不错。这只是需要更加精心地衡量这些地点在更大规模的公司投资机会集中的位置。
JB:随着上游的整合以及大量公司被收购,可供购买的土地面积减少,这是否是吸引更多眼球和资金进入矿产和特许权使用费领域的因素之一?
CC:我认为这只是更多地将矿产视为一种资产类别。我认为它以前被视为副业,现在它已成为许多人的核心业务,因为他们认识到这项业务的现金流潜力和整合潜力。最终,资本流向能获得最佳回报的地方。矿产业务的回报非常丰厚,我认为这也吸引了大量资本。
JB:从更广泛的角度来看,我想了解一下您拥有权益的盆地概况:二叠纪盆地、威利斯顿盆地、鹰福特页岩、丹佛-朱尔斯堡 (DJ) 盆地。目前情况如何?您最关注哪些盆地?
CC:我们对所有这些盆地的活动都有着很好的了解,因为我们的足迹遍布所有这些盆地。如果你看看二叠纪盆地,我们的土地位于钻井单元内,覆盖了整个二叠纪盆地的 36% 以上。在 DJ 盆地,我们的土地位于钻井单元内,覆盖了大瓦滕贝格油田的一半以上。鹰福特和威利斯顿盆地的核心也有类似的统计数据。我们有一个观察运营商活动的好机会,我想说,首先,我要指出的趋势是,运营商的效率是真实的。运营商正在不断创新,并证明他们可以用更少的资金接触更多的岩石。你可以看到钻机数量和压裂人员数量都在下降,但水平段的钻探和完成量却在上升。
作为矿产所有者,我们关心的就是这些。我们希望尽可能多地开采岩石,开采尽可能多的资源,我们不太关心实际钻机数量。我们希望实际开采的资源量最大化。我们看到这些运营商意识到了这一趋势,因为他们钻探了更长的水平井,并拥有更好的土地配置。他们钻探这些马蹄形的水平井,是为了接触之前被搁浅的岩石,因为那是一个单节单元,没有人再钻探 1 英里长的水平井了。现在他们在 640 [英亩] 的土地上钻探 2 英里长的水平井。我想说,所有这些盆地的另一个趋势是,矿产买家可购买的空白空间越来越少。你今天要买的几乎所有东西都会有一定程度的开发,无论是现有的 PDP 还是已经开钻或获得许可的油井。它为我们这样的买家提供了更好的可见性。对于私募股权式的买家来说,它提供的上行空间较小,但对于试图在上行空间和当前现金流之间取得平衡的公共领域人士来说,这对我们来说是一个很好的动态。
JB:我实际上很好奇,想问一下空白空间如何融入您的战略并在那些更具视角的领域进行赌博。
CC:我们并不认为这是赌博,因为我们有一支技术专业人员团队,他们帮助我们承保每一次收购的每个单位。我们有 GIS(地理信息系统)专业人员、地质学家、工程师、土地测量员以及财务和会计专业人员,他们帮助我们分解我们关注的每个单位的价值。空白区域可以是未钻探的单位,也可以是尚未触及的层位。它成为一种评估,用于判断运营商何时会来从该部分或层位开采资源。我们绝对对空白区域感到满意。我们喜欢现有生产产生的现有现金流和额外上行空间之间的平衡,这就是为什么我们专注于 Permian 和 DJ Basin 这样的地方,因为它们拥有大量这样的资源。我们看到 Permian 和 DJ 的剩余钻井库存还有很大的运行空间,而 Eagle Ford 和 Williston 的钻井库存则较少,我们认为这些是更成熟的盆地。他们将继续看到一些初级开发,但随着初级钻探的产量稳定或下降,这些盆地不久将转向二次和三次采油。
JB:我们谈到了二叠纪盆地,但我想再多谈一下。显然,这里的竞争非常激烈,而且有充分的理由,但我想听听你的看法,你如何在那里保持领先地位,避免支付过高的价格。
CC:是的,你问题的关键部分是避免支付过高的价格。在矿产行业,最简单的事情就是发展。在矿产行业进行收购非常容易。困难的部分是要对长期回报率有纪律地进行收购。在 Sitio,我们受到长期回报率的激励。这是我们在 Permian 和其他地方进行的每一项收购的视角。我们真正与众不同之处在于我们的战略。我们并不擅长在广泛的拍卖过程中说出最高的价格,所以我们在拍卖中并不是特别有竞争力。所以,我们寻找我们具有竞争力的地方。它是符合我们的情况但可能不符合私人买家情况的资产,或者是我们与矿产所有者的关系,或者是我们可以提供的解决方案。例如,我们有一个 Up-C 公司结构,因此如果矿产所有者想要出售他们的矿产并购买我们的 C 类股票,我们能够为他们提供延税解决方案。他们可以推迟出售所得的资本收益;他们继续从我们的股息中获得收入;他们让我们专业地管理这些矿产;他们可以获得更广泛的业务范围——比他们仅拥有的矿产更加多样化的业务范围。因此,我们努力以解决方案为导向,以关系为驱动力,最终专注于长期回报率。
JB: Please tell me what you can about the operators you like to work with.
CC: We do love working with well-capitalized operators that have durable ability to spend through cycles, and that's what's been great about the consolidation that's taken place. You look at some of the work that the biggest consolidators have done between Conoco[Phillips], Oxy (Occidental Petroleum), Exxon [Mobil], Chevron, Diamondback[Energy] and Permian Resources. All those folks have done tremendous things for moving assets from more volatile spenders of capital to more durable spenders of capital, and they're very like-minded to us. They want the capital to flow to the highest rate of return, which makes our job marginally easier because we can make educated estimates for where they're going to allocate their capital based on where they're going to get the best rate of return for their drilling dollars.
JB: Outside of the Permian, or even in the exploratory fringes of the Permian, what else are you most excited about in the Lower 48 right now?
CC: We are excited about anywhere we can allocate capital to get the highest rate of return. We are not driven just to own assets in a particular zip code. We want to get the best rate of return on the dollars we invest. So, we're just as likely to buy minerals in the Permian as we are to buy in the Haynesville [Shale] or in the Rockies or Alaska or overrides (overriding royalty interest) in the Gulf of Mexico. Those are all on the table. We haven't done those things yet. We have found the greatest opportunity for the best rates of return in places like the Permian and the D-J.
We do get excited about areas of the Permian that are the future, which is going to be parts of the basin in primary zones that have been less explored to date. People have been focused on more core areas of the basin, but there's also different horizons which are being tested. We're seeing deeper horizons being tested and new concepts throughout the basin. As I said before, there's also some efficiency measures which are making even primary horizons more economic in stranded sections. So, there's a lot to be excited about in the Permian. We're really excited about the D-J too. We've allocated a lot of capital over the last two years because the regulatory environment has become much more balanced. It's layered on additional costs for the operator, but it's improved visibility for the mineral owner, and that's important for us as we think about what we can underwrite in terms of pace of development and activity levels for the operator. Some of the disclosures that operators make as they fulfill the regulatory requirements are quite helpful for mineral owners.
JB:哪些盆地拥有最多的地表矿产权?这对业务有何影响?
CC:据我们估计,仅在特拉华盆地和米德兰盆地的购买区域内,这些区域内就有大约 1200 万英亩的净特许权使用费。如果减去新墨西哥州或联邦实体或德克萨斯州大学土地拥有的矿产,或雪佛龙或Viper [Energy]等 Sitio 无法获得的矿产,仍然剩下大约 1000 万英亩的净特许权使用费,这些矿产在技术上是可以获得的。而 Sitio 拥有 20 万英亩的净特许权使用费。所以,我们才刚刚开始挖掘潜力。这是一个巨大的盆地。有很多原始地表所有者仍然拥有他们的矿产权。随着时间的推移,家庭将这些矿产传给不再与地表联系在一起的人,或者人们有不同的流动性需求或税收敏感性,他们会寻找这些矿产的解决方案,这对我们很有帮助。地表所有者希望从二叠纪地表权利中获得更多价值,这种趋势十分明显,这也有助于开发。地表所有者希望看到开发,因为他们从水或钙质岩等物质中获得了更多价值,而这又会为矿产所有者带来更多价值,因为他们对地表开发的态度更加积极。
JB:根据您的经验,说服矿产所有者出售最困难的地方在哪里?
CC:无处不在。矿产是永久性的不动产资产,因此永远不会过期。每天醒来时,我们最大的竞争就是保值,并说服矿产所有者今天是出售的好时机。实际上,矿产所有者必须有一些出售的催化剂,这归结为遗产规划、一些流动性需求、一些税收敏感性,我们可以为他们面临的所有这些问题提供解决方案。没有一个地方比其他地方更难。在美国,我们很幸运生活在一个个人可以拥有矿产权并自行做出决定的国家。
JB:显然,你们正处于增长模式。KeyBanc 的一份报告预测,你们今年将购买矿产套餐。我只是想请你们讨论一下这一战略以及 2025 年可能的发展情况。
CC: We've demonstrated we have the ability to source acquisitions consistently through cycle, and the outlook for this year is terrific. It's just as exciting as it was last year. The operators are still very active on our acreage in our core areas where we're buying actively, and they're developing their high-quality assets, and we still have attractive rate of return investment opportunities. Sitio has every opportunity to continue to succeed on its consolidation strategy in 2025, just like we did in 2024. Our goal is to do it at greater scale and realize the very unique economies of scale for a minerals business that are really different than any other business. To realize those, we need to continue to make a lot of progress on consolidation.
JB: Just to go back in time a little bit, it's been almost three years since the Desert Peak-Falcon merger. I wanted to get your retrospective thoughts on how everything has gone, Kimmeridge’s involvement, and your personal transition to leading the publicly traded company.
CC: We really had three focus areas after that transaction. The first was to continue to be a leader in the consolidation of this space and achieve rates of return that were identical to what we were pursuing when we were a private equity-backed private company. The second was to build out a team of professionals that shared our vision for where we believe we can take this business and they're passionate about this business. And, third, we wanted to build proprietary systems that are purpose built for managing a diverse set of mineral assets that's almost infinitely scalable.
I'd say on all three of those fronts, we've had a lot of success. As I said before, we want that consolidation to continue at a larger scale, but we've been very successful at building out a very high-quality team. I'd say the systems we have built really set Sitio apart and create an opportunity for us to bring more value to our shareholders as we are able to realize more cash receipts from our royalties than anybody else given the granular nature with which we're able to track every single molecule of production.
JB: Then, you obviously had big deals, especially for Brigham Minerals and to a lesser extent Foundation Minerals. How transformative were those deals and how has Sitio continued to grow in its relatively short lifespan?
CC:我们非常幸运地在奥斯汀保留了十几位真正高素质的专业人士,他们是 Brigham 团队的一部分。他们和我们一样对这个行业感到兴奋。他们赞同我们建立 Sitio 的战略愿景。我们为奥斯汀的团队增加了更多成员。我想说,Brigham 的整合比我们进行的任何资产交易都容易,因为当你收购资产时,需要向法院转让所有权。但是,当你购买一个实体时,所有权记录所有者不会改变,因此不会在混乱中丢失任何东西。由于运营商会跟踪谁拥有矿产以及谁应该获得特许权使用费,因此当法院发生所有权转移时,运营商通常会拖延很长时间才能向矿产所有者支付费用。Brigham 不必发生这种情况,因为我们购买了整个实体。这非常幸运。Brigham 团队的连续性帮助我们解决了有关数据结构和历史的问题。
JB:您想强调的是,为什么矿产如今已成为一种引人注目的资产类别?
CC:首先,从投资者的角度来看,作为一种资产类别,它是利润率最高的投资工具,通过它可以增加对能源价值链的接触。这是一个巨大的整合机会,可以推动该行业的规模扩大,真正实现矿产业务固有的独特规模经济,这与能源价值链的所有其他元素截然不同。这个领域需要进行的整合还处于非常早期的阶段。因此,无论是作为公共股权投资者还是私募股权投资者,现在都是投资矿产行业的一个非常激动人心的时机。考虑到该领域还有很大的发展空间,作为矿产整合者投资矿产行业是一个非常激动人心的时机。
JB:显然,我们谈论了很大的整合空间和很多的竞争,但为什么除了一些例外,我们没有看到更多的大型上游参与者拥有更发达的矿产战略呢?
CC: I think that's perhaps the most important question that needs to be addressed going forward. If you look at the roadmap that Diamondback and Viper have very publicly laid out for everybody, they have proven that a successful mineral strategy is not a distraction. It's actually a differentiator, and it can lead to value creation for shareholders for both the upstream operator and the mineral owner. And it can be a differentiator in terms of consolidation of both the operator and the mineral owner, and both can trade at a premium. It's surprising to me that every upstream operator of scale does not have a defined mineral strategy because it's proven to be scalable and not a distraction to the operator. It's actually a differentiator for the operator. It's my hope that more operators embrace a defined mineral strategy.
That said, there's no operator that should be allocating their capital to buying minerals. They should all partner with a company like Sitio because the payback period for drilling a good Permian well can be as short as a year or as long as four years. It's a pretty quick payback. On the capital you invest in minerals, it's a much longer payback period. So, the owner of the leasehold should be focused on drilling wells, not buying minerals, but they should have a strategy to extract more value and highlight value for their shareholders for the minerals they do own. When they make acquisitions of upstream assets, there's naturally going to be minerals assets that come along with those acquisitions that should be separated out and allocated to where they're going to get the most value, and that's within a publicly traded minerals company like Sitio.
JB: What else are you really excited about in the industry right now?
CC: The evolution of this business is just beginning in terms of how we prove that it's scalable, how we prove that it adds value and how we prove and measure success. It's going to be very different than what the world has seen from the upstream space. The measure of success for a minerals company is not about drilling wells. It's all about the discipline with which you underwrite acquisitions and the returns you achieve on underwriting those acquisitions. That takes a longer time to prove out. It's going to be an exciting process to watch as people realize the returns we are achieving from the investments we've made.
JB: I was curious, with your personal background in finance, banking, private equity, oil and gas, how did you end up finding the minerals and royalties niche and running with that?
CC: It was a great intersection of all the skill sets that I developed over the years. You look at the day-to-day aspects of this business, and all we do every day is we consolidate minerals. We're making acquisitions. That's a bit of the M&A background. We have to be thoughtful about how we finance those acquisitions. That's helpful from the banking background. And we have to be best-in-class in how we manage those minerals and innovate. You learn that from good mentors and being around private equity, which always finds ways to innovate and compete.
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