随着钻探商摆脱经济衰退的威胁,石油勘探开始回升

大卫·韦斯 2022 年 7 月 22 日

(彭博社)“斯伦贝谢表示,由于主要石油勘探公司对能源供应不足的担忧超过了对经济衰退的担忧,年销售额将出现 11 年来的最大增幅。

这家全球最大的油田承包商以其服务需求出现十多年来最大增幅,预计今年销售额将达到至少 270 亿美元,较 2021 年增长 18%。首席执行官卸任后,斯伦贝谢股价上涨逾 8% Olivier Le Peuch 预测,原油钻探的上升趋势不会受到经济收缩的影响,并且还会持续数年。 

最近遭受连续石油危机打击的行业的乐观前景为一周的利润报告画上了句号,其中包括哈里伯顿公司透露,该公司 在北美市场的销售几乎已经 断货,并且已经在接受来自各方面的询问。钻探人员展望 2023 年。  

Le Peuch 在周五的一份声明中表示,“随着国际和北美上游活动和服务价格的稳步增长,多年的上行周期继续获得动力,从而增强了斯伦贝谢的前景。” “我们正在见证上游与近期需求波动的脱钩,从而导致 2022 年及以后全球石油和天然气活动出现弹性增长。”

石油勘探者正在全球几乎每个角落扩大陆地和海上原油搜寻范围。在该行业迄今为止最乐观的预测中,斯伦贝谢强化了 三个月前的观点 ,当时它提到了 2008 年令人兴奋的日子,当时原油价格升至令人眼花缭乱的高度,油田承包商公布了历史上最好的业绩。

花旗集团分析师斯科特·格鲁伯(Scott Gruber)在给客户的一份报告中写道:“我们相信,加速的国际上行周期不仅需要持续数年,而且即使原油价格小幅回落也将持续。” 

Evercore ISI 分析师 James West 表示,今年全球石油公司的支出预计将增长 22%,达到 4500 亿美元。这将使 2022 年成为自 1985 年以来第五大年度数据扩张。

阅读:斯伦贝谢表示,石油勘探者摆脱了经济衰退的担忧

第二季度每股利润为 50 美分(不包括某些项目),比彭博社调查中分析师的平均预期高出 10 美分。斯伦贝谢新的全年销售额预期超过 270 亿美元,比彭博社调查中分析师的平均预期高出近 10 亿美元。

从地区来看,美国和加拿大的季度销售额增长了 20%,其他地区增长了 12%。对于斯伦贝谢来说,这是自 2010 年以来最大幅度的季度需求增长。截至 9 点 54 分,该公司股价上涨 7.5%,至 36.14 美元,今年迄今涨幅超过 20%。该股是当天标准普尔 500 指数中表现第二好的股票。

更多威尔斯的商品

斯伦贝谢因其无与伦比的全球足迹和广泛的国际订单而成为行业领头羊,  三个月前,该公司自 2015 年以来首次上调股息,令投资者 感到惊讶。

随着石油大国俄罗斯的日益孤立刺激了其他原油丰富地区的活动,石油领域的雇工们看到了生意的复苏。本周早些时候,哈里伯顿公司公布了四年来最大的季度利润,而贝克休斯公司报告称,该公司最大的业务部门油田服务部门的销售和营业收入好于预期。

行业咨询公司 Kimberlite LLC的一项调查显示,预计全球运营商明年钻探的油井数量将比今年增加 15%  该公司统计,87% 的北美陆上运营商和 68% 的海外勘探商计划明年增加钻探预算。

原文链接/worldoil

Oil exploration picking up as drillers shrug off recession threat

David Wethe July 22, 2022

(Bloomberg) — Schlumberger said annual sales will rise the most in 11 years as concern over inadequate energy supplies outweighs recessionary fears among major oil explorers.

Citing the biggest jump in demand for its services in more than a decade, the world’s biggest oilfield contractor sees sales reaching at least $27 billion this year, an 18% increase from 2021. Schlumberger shares climbed more than 8% after Chief Executive Officer Olivier Le Peuch predicted the uptrend in crude drilling is immune from economic contraction and has years to run. 

The rosy outlook for a sector recently battered by back-to-back oil busts capped a week of profit reports that included Halliburton Co.’s revelation that it’s nearly sold out of gear in the North American market and already is fielding inquiries from drillers looking ahead to 2023.  

“The multiyear upcycle continues to gain momentum with upstream activity and service pricing steadily increasing both internationally and in North America, resulting in a strengthened outlook for Schlumberger,” Le Peuch said in a statement Friday. “We are witnessing a decoupling of upstream from near-term demand volatility, resulting in resilient global oil and gas activity growth in 2022 and beyond.”

Oil explorers are expanding the search for crude on land and at sea in almost every corner of the globe. In the sector’s most bullish forecast yet, Schlumberger reinforced its view from three months ago when it alluded to the heady days of 2008, when crude prices ascended to dizzying heights and oilfield contractors posted some of their best results in history.

“We believe the accelerating international upcycle not only has multiple years to run, but will also unfold even if crude prices pull back modestly,” Scott Gruber, an analyst at Citigroup Inc., wrote in a note to clients. 

Spending by oil companies around the world is expected to grow 22% this year to $450 billion, according to James West, an analyst at Evercore ISI. That would rank 2022 as the fifth-biggest annual expansion in data going back to 1985.

READ: Oil Explorers Shrugging Off Recession Fears, Schlumberger Says

Second-quarter profit of 50 cents a share, excluding certain items, was 10 cents higher than the average of estimates from analysts in a Bloomberg survey. Schlumberger’s new full-year outlook of more than $27 billion in sales exceeds the average estimate of analysts in a Bloomberg survey by almost $1 billion.

On a regional basis, quarterly sales climbed 20% in the US and Canada, and 12% elsewhere. For Schlumberger, it was the steepest quarter-on-quarter demand growth since 2010. The shares were up 7.5% to $36.14 at 9:54, bringing the year-to-date advance to more than 20%. The stock was the day’s second-best performer in the S&P 500 Index.

More Wells

Schlumberger, which is an industry bellwether because of its unmatched global footprint and extensive international order book, surprised investors three months ago with its first dividend hike since 2015. 

The hired hands of the oil patch are seeing a resurgence in business as the growing isolation of oil powerhouse Russia spurs activity in other crude-rich regions. Earlier this week Halliburton posted its biggest quarterly profit in four years, while Baker Hughes Co. reported better-than-expected sales and operating income in its oilfield-services segment, the company’s largest business unit.

Operators around the globe are expected to boost the number of wells drilled next year by 15% compared to this year, according to a survey by industry consultant Kimberlite LLC. The firm tallied 87% of onshore operators in North America and 68% in overseas explorers that plan to boost drilling budgets next year.