玻利维亚危机导致天然气勘探项目暂停

彼得·米勒德 十一月 12, 2019

里约热内卢(彭博社)——全球石油公司在玻利维亚的天然气勘探是该国低迷经济增长的关键,但由于不断升级的政治危机导致这个安第斯国家群龙无首,天然气勘探已经停止。

前碳氢化合物部长兼咨询公司拉丁美洲天然气能源总监阿尔瓦罗·里奥斯表示,荷兰皇家壳牌公司、道达尔公司和雷普索尔公司都已停止或严格限制勘探井钻探。一场有缺陷的选举导致南美任期最长的总统埃沃·莫拉莱斯周日宣布辞职,全国范围内的抗议活动达到顶峰。

没有证据表明玻利维亚的产量或出口受到影响。但随着经济放缓以及邻国巴西和阿根廷寻求提高本国产量,新井是振兴老化行业的关键。壳牌发言人辛迪·巴布斯基 (Cindy Babski) 在一封电子邮件中表示,该公司已停止了 Yapucaiti 探井的施工,削减了 Jaguar 油井的人员配置,并暂时关闭了两个办事处,“作为预防措施”。

里奥斯在圣克鲁斯通过电话表示,“一些勘探井已经停止”,并补充说莫拉莱斯内阁的大部分成员,包括碳氢化合物部长,也已经辞职。“玻利维亚没有既定的权力。”

道达尔和雷普索尔没有立即回复寻求置评的电子邮件。

自 2014 年以来,玻利维亚的石油和天然气收入已下降一半以上。与此同时,根据国际货币基金组织的数据,2018 年公共债务飙升至国内生产总值的 54%。世界银行表示,该国经济增长从 2013 年 6.8% 的峰值放缓至 2018 年 4.2%,这在很大程度上是由于天然气出口减少。

上个月第一轮总统投票中的选举违规行为引发了持续数周的暴力冲突,包括抢劫和纵火,以及该国武装部队的干预。莫拉莱斯表示,他将离职是为了避免暴力,并补充说他不会逃离该国,因为他没有偷任何东西。

莫拉莱斯在 14 年的任期内实现了经济的扩张和贫困的减少,这要归功于主要是在前几届政府期间发现的油田的强劲天然气产量。几十年来,玻利维亚依赖巴西和阿根廷的专属市场,可以在这些市场收取高于国际基准的价格。

然而,近年来,其两个东部邻国发现了大量天然气,并投资了基础设施以接收海运进口,从而削弱了玻利维亚的定价能力。

原文链接/worldoil

Crisis in Bolivia halts gas exploration projects

Peter Millard November 12, 2019

RIO DE JANEIRO (Bloomberg) - Natural gas exploration by global oil companies in Bolivia, key to growing the country’s sagging economy, has stopped amid an escalating political crisis that has left the Andean nation rudderless.

Royal Dutch Shell Plc, Total SA and Repsol SA have all stopped or severely limited drilling on exploration wells, said Alvaro Rios, a former hydrocarbons minister and director of Gas Energy Latin America, a consultancy. Nationwide protests flared after a flawed election culminated with Evo Morales, South America’s longest-serving president, announcing his resignation on Sunday.

There’s no evidence Bolivia’s output or exports are affected. But new wells are key to revitalizing an aging industry as the economy slows and neighbors Brazil and Argentina seek to boost their own production. Shell has halted work on its Yapucaiti exploratory well, cut staffing at its Jaguar well and temporarily closed two offices “as a precautionary measure,” Cindy Babski, a spokeswoman, said in an email.

“Some of the exploration wells have been stopped,” the consutant Rios said by telephone from Santa Cruz, adding that most of Morales’s cabinet, including the hydrocarbons minister, have also resigned. “There is no established power in Bolivia.”

Total and Repsol didn’t immediately respond to e-mails seeking comment.

Bolivia’s oil and gas revenues have plunged by more than half since 2014. Meanwhile, public debt soared to 54% of gross domestic product in 2018, according to the International Monetary Fund. Economic growth in the country slowed to 4.2% in 2018 from a peak of 6.8% in 2013 due in large part to waning gas exports, according to the World Bank.

Election irregularities in the first round of presidential voting last month triggered weeks of violent clashes, with looting and arson, and intervention from the country’s armed forces. Morales said he was leaving office to avoid violence, adding that he wouldn’t flee the country since he hadn’t stolen anything.

Morales presided over an expanding economy and reduced poverty during his 14 years in office thanks to robust natural gas production from fields that were mainly discovered during previous administrations. For decades, Bolivia relied on captive markets in Brazil and Argentina where it could charge prices in excess of international benchmarks.

In recent years, though, its two eastern neighbors made large natural gas discoveries and invested in infrastructure to receive seaborn imports, undermining Bolivia’s pricing power.