美国本土 48 个州钻井数量减少,Nabors 于第三季度开始全球扩张

2024 年第三季度,Nabors Industries 在主要国际地区实现了广泛增长,预计将部署更多钻机。

受 2024 年第三季度业绩以及最近宣布以 3.7 亿美元收购 Parker Wellbore 的推动,Nabors Industries正在扩大其国际影响力。

TPH & Co. 分析师 Jeff LeBlanc 表示,第三季度收益总体高于分析师预期。Nabors 报告称,第三季度 EBITDA 为 2.22 亿美元,比 TPH 的预期高出 300 万美元。

这家总部位于休斯顿的钻井承包商在国际业务中每台钻机的盈利能力超出预期。Nabors 报告称,每台钻机的日利润为 17,100 美元,高于 TPH 估计的每台钻机 16,250 美元以及其自己的指导价 16,200 至 16,300 美元。 

Nabors 总裁兼首席执行官 Tony Petrello 在 10 月 23 日的公司第三季度收益电话会议上表示,为了增强 Nabors 在国际上的高业绩,收购 Parker Wellbore将增强 Nabors 的钻井解决方案业务并扩大其国际影响力。

Nabors 报告称,第三季度其钻井解决方案部门的调整后 EBITDA 环比增长 5.7%,这归因于国际市场的增长。

Petrello 表示:“Parker 的业务组合和地理分布与 Nabors 非常契合。我们相信此次收购将加速我们的战略,特别是在钻井解决方案领域。我们看到 Parker 拥有极佳的增长前景,尤其是 Quail Tools。”

此次收购预计将为 2024 年贡献 1.8 亿美元的 EBITDA,且具有较低的债务状况和清晰的资产负债表,符合 Nabors 的长期战略。

展望未来,该公司看到了强劲的国际需求和各个地区的机遇。

“对于 Nabors 来说,国际市场仍然是强劲增长的源泉。我们之前获得的钻井合同正在逐步转化为部署和增量 EBITDA,”Petrello 说道。“我们还有三座国际钻井平台预计将于 2024 年底投入使用。”

总体来看,全球平均钻井数量保持稳定,为159个,尽管美国钻井数量略有下降,但国际钻井数量略有增加。

Nabors 成功在阿尔及利亚部署了最后四座钻井平台,重新启用闲置设备以满足需求。该公司还计划在阿根廷开始运营钻井平台,并在科威特提供升级服务,预计 2025 年将进一步增长。

然而,尽管科威特项目取得了进展,其在沙特阿拉伯的另一个中东项目却遇到了一些挑战。由于监管部门的行动,Nabors 与沙特阿美的合资企业 SANAD已被勒令暂停三座钻井平台的运营,不过新钻井平台的建设仍在继续推进。

“其中两座钻井平台的停工始于第四季度初。停工期限为一年。与此同时,SANAD 继续在其新建计划下增加钻井平台,”Petrello 表示。“SANAD 新建的第七座钻井平台于 7 月初开工。此外,在第三季度末,第八座钻井平台开始运营。第九座钻井平台计划于本季度晚些时候部署。预计 2025 年将再建造五座钻井平台,2026 年初将再建造一座。”

美国市场的弹性

回到总部,尽管美国行业钻机数量略有下降,但 Nabors 报告称价格保持坚挺,维持在每台钻机 15,000 美元以上的水平。Petrello 表示,随着公司在美国本土 48 个州范围内扩展其自动化套件,该公司对高性能和自动化钻机的关注继续带来回报。

“长水平段焊缝的增长很好地说明了这一重点,”他说,“最近,我们钻探了多条长度超过四英里的水平段。盆地中的多家运营商正在延长水平段长度。凭借我们先进的设备,我们处于有利地位,可以帮助客户完成越来越具有挑战性的油井。”

第三季度,Nabors 美国钻井部门收入小幅下降 500 万美元,主要原因是合同减少和高客户流失率。

但该公司预计美国本土 48 个地区的钻机数量和价格将保持稳定,预计第四季度平均日利润将保持在 15,000 美元左右。

Evercore 分析师表示,该公司仍然预计 2025 年天然气定向钻井数量将会增加,并且由于客户整合,天然气定向钻井数量将有所回升。

未来乐观

展望未来,Nabors 预计美国和国际市场的活动都会增加。该公司预计将部署 9 个新钻井平台,总钻井平台数量将维持在 84 个。

但佩特雷洛承认,要复制前几个季度优于平均水平的表现将具有挑战性。

“本季度国际业务表现如此出色,这令我们感到惊讶,”Petrello 说道。“但这些事情往往会趋于平均,因此我认为我们在这些特定地区的表现不会像第三季度那样出色,这是第一点。其次,我们确实有三台钻机即将投入使用,这确实在正常运行时间和我们必须承担的部分成本方面带来了一些不确定性。”

凭借强劲的现金流生成能力和严谨的资本支出方式,Nabors 计划利用其 8000 万美元的自由现金流来减少债务。

由于近期在亚洲、中东和拉丁美洲等多个国际市场都有钻井平台合同,该公司预计第三季度的高点将持续到年底。

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Nabors Takes to Global Expansion in 3Q as Rig Count Shrinks in Lower 48

Nabors Industries saw broad growth across key international geographies in third-quarter 2024, with more rig deployments expected.

Nabors Industries is growing its international footprint, boosted by its third-quarter 2024 performance and the recently announced acquisition of Parker Wellbore for $370 million.

Third-quarter earnings came in above analysts’ estimates overall, according to TPH & Co. analyst Jeff LeBlanc. Nabors’ reported EBITDA of $222 million for the third quarter, $3 million more than TPH’s estimate.

The Houston-based drilling contractor achieved better profitability per rig in international operations than expected. Nabors reported daily margins of $17,100 per rig, higher than TPH’s estimate of $16,250 per rig and its own guidance of $16,200 to $16,300. 

To add to Nabors’ high performance internationally, the acquisition of Parker Wellbore will enhance Nabors’ drilling solutions business and expand its international footprint, Nabors President and CEO Tony Petrello said in the company’s Oct. 23 third-quarter earnings call.

Nabors reported a sequential 5.7% increase in adjusted EBITDA within its Drilling Solutions segment for the third quarter, attributed to growth in international markets.

“Parker’s portfolio of businesses and geographic footprint fit neatly into Nabors,” Petrello said. “We believe the acquisition accelerates our strategy, particularly in our Drilling Solutions segment. We see excellent growth prospects at Parker, especially for Quail Tools.”

The acquisition is expected to contribute $180 million in EBITDA for 2024 and comes with a low debt profile and a clean balance sheet in alignment with Nabors’ long-term strategy.

Going forward, the company sees strong international demand and opportunities across various regions.

“For Nabors, the international markets remain a source of strong growth. Our prior rig awards are progressing into deployments and incremental EBITDA,” Petrello said. “We have three more international rigs expected to start by the end of 2024.”

Overall, the average global rig count remained stable at 159, with a slight increase in international rigs despite a modest decline in the U.S. rig count.

Nabors successfully deployed its last of four rigs in Algeria, reactivating idle units to meet demand. And the company has plans to begin operations with rigs in Argentina and provide upgrades in Kuwait, with expectations for further growth in 2025.

But despite progress in Kuwait, its other Middle Eastern project in Saudi Arabia has been subject to a few challenges. SANAD, Nabors’ joint venture with Saudi Aramco, has been ordered to suspend operations on three rigs due to regulatory actions, although new builds continue to progress.

“Two of those suspensions began early in the fourth quarter. Their stated duration is one year. At the same time, SANAD continues to add rigs under its newbuild program,” Petrello said. “The seventh SANAD newbuild spud in early July. Also, at the end of the third quarter, the eighth commenced operations. The ninth is on schedule to deploy later this quarter. Another five are expected in 2025 and one more should start at the beginning of 2026.”

Resilience in the U.S. market

Back at home base, Nabors reported resilient pricing, despite a slight downturn in the U.S. industry rig count, to maintain levels above $15,000 per rig. The company’s focus on high-performance and automated rigs continues to pay off, said Petrello, as it expands its automation suite across the Lower 48.

“The growth in long-lateral welds is an excellent illustration of this focus,” he said. “Recently, we have drilled a number of laterals in excess of four miles. Multiple operators across basins are extending their lateral lengths. With our advanced fleet, we are in an excellent position to enable clients to complete their increasingly challenging wells.”

During the third quarter, Nabors witnessed a slight decrease in its U.S. drilling segment revenue by $5 million, attributed primarily to declining contracts and a high churn rate.

But the company expects stability in rig counts and pricing in the Lower 48 region, projecting average daily margins to hold steady around $15,000 for the fourth quarter.

According to Evercore analysts, the company still anticipates increases in gas directed drilling and a recovery from the reductions driven by customer consolidation in 2025.

Future optimism

Looking ahead, Nabors anticipates increased activity in both U.S. and international markets. The company expects to deploy nine new rigs and maintain a total rig count of 84.

But Petrello acknowledged that the better-than-average performance from previous quarters would be challenging to replicate.

“I was surprised this quarter by how well international did,” Petrello said. “But these things tend to average out so I don’t think we’ll be as excellent as we were in the third quarter in those particular geographies, number one. And number two, we do have three rigs that are coming in, and that does create a little bit of uncertainty in terms of uptime and some of the costs that we have to incur.”

With strong cash flow generation and a disciplined approach to capital expenditures, Nabors plans to use its $80 million in free cash flow to reduce debt.

And with a pipeline of near-term rig awards in various international markets, including Asia, the Middle East and Latin America, the company expects the highs of the third quarter to continue through the end of the year.

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