安舒茨:Powder River 的制胜因素?巨大的潜力

安舒茨勘探公司 (Anschutz Exploration) 避开了落基山脉粉河盆地市场不确定性的噪音,按照首席执行官约瑟夫·德多米尼克 (Joseph DeDominic) 的策略运营,即“就像你将在油井的整个使用寿命内拥有它一样”。


[编者注:本文是正在进行的系列报道的一部分,重点关注美国本土 48 个顶级私营生产商,包括经验丰富的、新上市的百强私营生产商,渴望并购高风险高回报:Aethon 因天然气价格上涨而上涨]


无论是从监管角度还是外卖角度来看,落基山脉地区的运营都很复杂。监管非常严格,地形崎岖,天气恶劣,而且外卖的获取也不稳定。

“但我们是一家私营公司,这更适合我们,因为我们有更长的时间框架和更长远的眼光,”安舒茨勘探公司首席执行官约瑟夫·德多米尼克 (Joseph DeDominic) 告诉哈特能源。

事实上,这些潜在的弊端正是该公司在精简投资组合时将落基山脉视为良好焦点的关键因素。德多米尼克表示,安舒茨选择落基山脉粉河盆地地区作为运营基地的原因可以归结为一个词:竞争。

安舒茨考虑了二叠纪盆地,该盆地在石油和天然气业务的大部分历史中一直炙手可热,但那里的竞争很激烈,尤其是从价格角度来看。

“你们公司叫安舒茨勘探公司(Anschutz Exploration),对吧?我们是一家专注于前端、技术型的公司。我们是一家绿地公司。我们想做地质工作。我们想确定区域;我们想购买租约;而且我们有耐心去做这些,因为我们是私营企业。”

随着页岩油资源供应紧张,二叠纪等油气储量日益稀缺。与此同时,落基山脉地区仍有增长空间。

“随着时间的推移,我认为你会看到更多公众投资者进入落基山脉。或者至少,至少会先有更多来自私募股权的投资,然后是上市公司的投资,”他说。

根据第三季度提交的公开文件,去年西方石油公司将其位于北部粉河盆地的资产(不包括康弗斯县和尼奥布拉勒县的土地)出售给安舒茨公司,总面积约20万英亩。该公司于2019年通过重磅收购阿纳达科石油公司获得了粉河资产,并于去年开始剥离非核心资产,以减少其最近斥资120亿美元收购二叠纪盆地生产商皇冠岩公司所欠债务。

Oxy 首席执行官 Vicki Hollub 在公司第三季度财报电话会议上表示:“我们很早就发现,粉河盆地南部是迄今为止最连贯的地区,也是我们觉得可以从中获取最大价值的地区。”

她说,该公司将北部资产出售给了安舒茨,“因为那里的地理位置更适合他们发展”。

因此,德多米尼克说,安舒茨正处于开发这些资产的早期阶段,其成熟度远不及北方的资产。

长远来看

安舒茨制定了一项五年计划,每年都会更新。德多米尼克说,从一开始,团队就投入大量时间进行技术工作,以确定购买优质租赁权、增建关键基础设施和开发地面资产的最佳区域。

“我们拥有优质的油井,而且成本结构低廉。部分原因是由于我们是私营企业;我们的组织非常精简,”他说道。“我们始终保持低调,专注于公司真正重要的事情以及如何做出最佳决策。”

“我们着眼于更长远的未来。我们不像公众那样,只顾着短期内实现季度或年度目标,然后不得不去见投资者或进行路演。我们在同一栋楼里;我们上两层楼去见安舒茨先生。”

此外,其单一所有者地位赋予了其一定的灵活性,这是上市公司无法享有的。

“公司的财务回报很重要,但从年复一年来看,有些投资者希望获得年度股息或年度回报,”DeDominic 说道。“我们可以维持几年——虽然我们现在没有这么做——但我们也可以在未来几年加大支出,或者购买更多资产,这样我们就能渡过难关。由于所有权的不同,我们的情况略有不同。”

自疫情爆发以来,产量一直保持在两位数的低位增长,每年在 10% 至 12% 之间,并将保持这一速度,这可以为公司的收购或再投资“带来相当多的自由现金”。

目前的生产以石油为主,占资源组合的 63%,这“有点不正常”,DeDominic 表示。

该公司的足迹遍布着大量天然气资源,安舒茨正在对这些地点进行测试和评估。

他说:“我和很多人一样相信,未来天然气价格将会更高,因此在未来五到十年内钻探更多天然气井将更具经济效益。”

“从长远来看,我们的五年计划是将石油占比控制在58%到56%之间,而不是现在的62%到63%。这个比例并不大,我们的资产中仍然有大量石油,但我们会进行更多的天然气钻探,并逐步增加天然气产量。”

建立基地

2014 年,德多米尼克 (DeDominic) 加入安舒茨 (Anschutz) 担任总裁兼首席运营官,接替威廉·米勒 (William J. Miller),后者当时担任母公司安舒茨公司 (Anschutz Corp) 的高级副总裁。

地质学家德多米尼克曾在桑托斯美国公司 (Santos USA)桑切斯能源公司 (Sanchez Energy)和西方石油公司 (Occidental Petroleum) 等公司从事运营工作,他的职业生涯始于西方石油公司。在西方石油公司工作的二十年间,德多米尼克将自己的专业知识运用到哥伦比亚、利比亚等地,并担任该公司威利斯顿盆地业务的总裁兼总经理。

与此同时,安舒茨勘探公司 (Anschutz Exploration) 开始精简其在美国本土 48 个州的业务。2010 年 11 月至 2011 年 7 月期间,这家总部位于丹佛的生产商剥离了价值超过 23 亿美元的威利斯顿和马塞勒斯资产。

根据哈特能源公司为《石油和天然气投资者》杂志撰写的增刊《2012 年北美非常规年鉴》,2010 年 12 月,Oxy USA 以 14 亿美元收购了安舒茨在北达科他州邓恩县拥有的威利斯顿资产。

邓恩县的资产剥离是安舒茨在那九个月期间完成的三笔并购交易之一,而正是这笔交易将德多米尼克带入了安舒茨的圈子。他与所有者菲利普·安舒茨保持着联系,并逐渐熟悉了公司的指导原则和商业模式。2013年末,当加入这家私人公司的机会出现时,德多米尼克认为,在上市公司工作多年之后,这将是一个明智的选择,他表示,“这非常成功”。

安舒茨专注于新兴页岩油气田,2015年,其持有的租赁地净面积超过100万英亩,主要位于德克萨斯州、蒙大拿州、科罗拉多州和纽约州。现在,又到了重组布局的时候了。

“当时油价下跌,公司在美国本土 48 个州周围分散有大量资产。我们进行了清理,并针对我们想要关注的领域进行了战略性深入研究,最终决定将重点放在北落基山脉,”他告诉哈特能源公司。

安舒茨组建了技术和地球科学团队,并将目标缩小到多个不同的领域。但粉河盆地是首要目标。

“这种专注让我们能够通过前期的基础工作真正成功地发展公司,这不仅从良好的业绩角度来看,而且从财务角度来看,”他表示,“我们是怀俄明州的顶级运营商之一,我们在犹他州和科罗拉多州也有资产。”

安舒茨
(来源:安舒茨探索)

攀登巅峰

今年,安舒茨在怀俄明州的Powder油田取得了长足进步,在富含油气的叠置油层中部署了3英里长的水平井。该公司的产量已从2024年的平均4.8万桶油当量/天增至2025年6万桶油当量/天的净产量目标。

“当你钻立方井或开发更大的平台时,你会经历一些起伏,”DeDominic说道。“作为一家公司,我们确实在现金流范围内运营,所以即使在这些动荡的时期,我们的现金流也是正的,而且我们将继续保持这种状态。我们可以做到这一点,并推动公司发展。”

今年关于“石油峰值”的讨论很多,比如“我个人认为我们正处于石油峰值,或者已经非常接近了。即使现在不是,那也应该不会太远了。我认为美国本土48个州的储量是有限的。”

“资源竞争已经持续了15年多。这不会永远持续下去,库存是有限的,而且已经开始整合。”


有关的

VanLoh:美国油价继续以每桶63美元的速度上涨是一个“危险的假设”


运营商会认真考虑如何开发库存,以延长资源寿命并按照自己的节奏发展公司,但这也存在局限性。北达科他州、鹰福特等地的成熟盆地“寿命略显不足”。

“我知道他们仍然有很多重新完井和加密钻井以及其他一切工作,但这不会提高产量;最多只能保持平稳。

“我认为峰值将总体趋于平缓,”德多米尼克说道,“会有一些下降,但我认为这种下降趋势很容易延续五到十年,而不会出现大幅下降。”

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Anschutz: Powder River’s Winning Factor? Vast Potential

Anschutz Exploration is avoiding the noise of market uncertainty in the Rockies’ Powder River Basin, operating under CEO Joseph DeDominic’s strategy of working “like you’re going to own it for the life of the well.”


[Editor’s Note: This story is part of an ongoing series focused on the top private producers in the Lower 48, including Veteran, Newly Listed Private Producers on Top 100 Hungry for M&A and Right Risk, High Return: Aethon Jumps on Elevated NatGas Prices]


Operations in the Rockies are complex from both a regulatory and a takeaway standpoint. Regulations are tight. Terrain is tough. The weather, challenging. And access to takeaway can be inconsistent.

“But we're a private company, and it fits us better because we have a longer time frame and a longer view,” Anschutz Exploration CEO Joseph DeDominic told Hart Energy.

Indeed, those potential drawbacks were a key part of what made the Rockies a good focal point when the firm was streamlining its portfolio. DeDominic said the reason Anschutz chose the Rockies’ Powder River Basin region as its base of operations comes down to one word: competition.

Anschutz considered the Permian Basin, which has been white-hot for most of the oil and gas business’ history, but the competition there was a hassle, particularly from a price perspective.

“Our company's name is Anschutz Exploration, right? We're a front-end, technical-based company. We're a greenfield company. We want to do geological work. We want to identify the areas; we want to buy leases; and we have the patience to do that because we're private.”

And as shale runway tightens, inventory in plays like the Permian is growing scarce. Meanwhile, the Rockies has room to grow.

“Over time, I think you'll see the publics moving more into the Rockies. Or at least if nothing else, more investment from private equity, maybe first, then public companies after that,” he said.

Last year Occidental Petroleum sold its northern Powder River Basin assets to Anschutz, excluding land in Converse and Niobrara counties, amounting to about 200,000 acres according to public documents filed during the third quarter. The company came by the Powder assets with its blockbuster acquisition of Anadarko Petroleum in 2019 and had begun a divestiture campaign of non-core assets last year to reduce debt from its more recent $12 billion purchase of Permian Basin producer CrownRock.

“We saw early on that the southern part of the Powder River Basin was by far the most contiguous and the part that we felt like we could get the most value out of,” Oxy CEO Vicki Hollub said during the company’s third-quarter earnings call.

The company sold off the northern assets to Anschutz “because it’s in a better area for them to be able to develop,” she said.

As such, Anschutz is in the early stages of developing those assets, which are far less mature than those in the north, DeDominic said.

The long view

Anschutz maintains a five-year plan that refreshes with each passing year. From the start, DeDominic said, the team put in the time to invest in the technical work of identifying the best areas to buy prime leases, add critical infrastructure and develop surface assets.

“We have good wells, and we have a low-cost structure. Part of that is driven by being private; we’re a very lean organization,” he said. “We’re keeping our head down and staying focused on what matters for the company and how to make the best decisions.

“We're looking longer term. We're not like a public worrying about quarterlies or the one year by hitting those targets in the near term and having to go meet with investors or do roadshows. We're in the same building; we go upstairs two floors and meet with Mr. Anschutz.”

Moreover, its single-owner status affords certain flexibility that public companies cannot enjoy.

“The financial returns of the company are important, but from year-to-year, there's some investors who want an annual dividend or an annual return,” DeDominic said. “We can go a couple of years—not that we're doing that right now—but we could go a couple of years where we outspend or we buy some more assets, and we can live through that. We're a little bit different just due to our ownership.”

Since emerging from the pandemic, production growth has been in the low double digits, between 10% to 12% annually and will continue at that pace, which can “throw off quite a bit of free cash” for acquisitions or reinvestment in the company.

Current production is oil-focused, composing 63% of the resource mix, which is “a little bit outside the norm,” DeDominic said.

There are significant gas resources across the company’s footprint, and Anschutz is testing and appraising those sites.

“I believe, like a lot of folks, that natural gas prices will be higher in the future, and so the economics will look better to drill more gas wells in the next five to 10 years,” he said.

“In the long term, our five-year plan has this somewhere around 58% oil to 56%, rather than the 62% to 63% we are today. It’s not huge, we still have a lot of oil remaining in our assets, but we'll do more gas drilling and start to build that [gas] volume over time.”

Building the base

DeDominic joined Anschutz in 2014 as president and COO, succeeding William J. Miller when he moved to a senior vice president role with parent company Anschutz Corp.

DeDominic, a geologist, had previously worked in operations at firms including Santos U.S.A., Sanchez Energy and Occidental Petroleum, where he began his career. During the two decades he worked at Oxy, DeDominic deployed his expertise in Colombia, Libya and as president and general manager for the firm’s Williston Basin enterprise.

Meanwhile, Anschutz Exploration was beginning to streamline its footprint across the Lower 48. Between November 2010 and July 2011, the Denver-based producer divested more than $2.3 billion worth of Williston and Marcellus assets.

In December 2010, Oxy USA bought the Williston properties that Anschutz owned in Dunn County, North Dakota, for $1.4 billion, according to Hart Energy’s supplement to Oil and Gas Investor magazine, the 2012 North American Unconventional Yearbook.

The Dunn County divestiture was one of three M&A deals Anschutz made during that nine-month period, and it’s the one that brought DeDominic into the Anschutz orbit. He remained in touch with owner Phillip Anschutz and grew familiar with the firm’s guiding principles and business model. When the opportunity to join the private firm emerged in late 2013, DeDominic decided it would be a good step to take after years spent working at public companies which, he said, “worked out very well.”

Anschutz was focused on emerging shale oil plays, and in 2015, held leases on more than 1 million net acres, mostly in Texas, Montana, Colorado and New York. It was time again to restructure the footprint.

“At that time there was a dip in oil prices, and the company had a number of assets scattered around the Lower 48. We cleaned it up and completed a strategic deep dive on where we wanted to focus, and we decided to focus on the Northern Rockies,” he told Hart Energy.

Anschutz built out the technical and geoscience teams and narrowed its target to a number of different areas of interest. But the Powder River Basin was number one.

“That focus has allowed us—from doing that foundational work up front—to really grow the company successfully, not just from a well performance standpoint, but from a financial standpoint,” he said. “We're one of the top operators in Wyoming, and we have assets in Utah and Colorado as well.”

Anschutz
(Source: Anschutz Exploration)

Reaching for the peak

In the Powder this year, Anschutz has charged ahead with 3-mile laterals in the oily stacked play of Wyoming. The firm has already grown production from its 2024 average of 48,000 boe/d to top its 2025 target of 60,000 boe/d net production.

“When you drill cubes or bigger pad developments, you get some ups and downs,” DeDominic said. “We do live within our cash flow as a company, so we are cash flow positive, even under these volatile times, and we'll continue to do so. We can do that and grow the company.”

Much has been said about “peak oil” this year, as “I do think personally we are at peak oil, or we are getting pretty close. If not now, it’s not too far away, I think there's a limit to how many stacked pay resources there are available in the Lower 48.

“The resource play has been going on for 15-plus years. It’s not going to last forever, there's only so much inventory, and it's starting to get consolidated.”


RELATED

VanLoh: Continued US Oil Growth at $63 is a ‘Dangerous Assumption’


Operators will be thoughtful on how they develop inventory with a goal of extending the life of the resource and growing their companies at their own pace, but there are limits. Mature basins in North Dakota, the Eagle Ford and elsewhere are “getting a little long in the tooth.”

“I know they still have a lot of recompletions and infill drilling and everything else, but that's not going to drive production higher; it’s going to keep it flat at best.

“I think the peak is going to be generally flattish,” DeDominic said. “There will be some decline, but I think it could easily extend five to 10 years without a big drop.”

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