由于水力裂缝模型包含复杂的物理过程和由许多变量定义的不确定性，因此用现场响应校准建模结果的问题是不适定的。总是可以找到再现现场数据的校准模型；然而，这样的模型并不唯一，并且存在多种匹配解决方案。整篇论文的目标和范围是定义一个工作流程，用于约束这些解决方案并获得更具代表性的预测和优化模型。
在该项目中，提出了一个工作流程，使用具有众所周知的物理学和高置信度岩石特性输入的超快水力压裂模型来对垫级油田开发进行敏感性分析。基于对模型变量不确定性的研究，选择两个最不确定的变量（构造应变和泄漏乘数）进行模型校准。
Because hydraulic fracture models include complex physics and uncertainties defined by many variables, the problem of calibrating modeling results with field responses is ill-posed. It is always possible to find a calibrated model that reproduces field data; however, such a model is not unique and multiple matching solutions exist. The objective and scope of the complete paper is to define a work flow for constraining these solutions and obtaining a more-representative model for forecasting and optimization.
In this project, a work flow is presented that uses an ultrafast hydraulic fracturing model with well-known physics and high-confidence rock-property inputs to conduct sensitivity analysis for pad-scale field development. Based on a study of uncertainty on the model variables, the two most-uncertain variables (tectonic strain and leakoff multiplier) are selected for model calibrations.
