（彭博社）“世界银行表示，由于一系列石油减产对严重依赖能源价格和原油生产的沙特构成风险，预计今年沙特阿拉伯的经济产出将萎缩。
资料来源：世界石油
根据世界银行最新的该地区经济更新数据，该 OPEC+ 成员国今年的国内生产总值预计将萎缩 0.9%，该地区是 2022 年 20 国集团中增长最快的经济体。
包括彭博经济研究在内的分析师也预测，由于减产期限延长至今年年底，经济将出现萎缩。
这家总部位于华盛顿的银行也下调了大中东地区的经济增长，目前预计 2023 年经济增长接近 2%。
报告称，“继 OPEC+ 于 2022 年 10 月和 2023 年 4 月宣布石油减产，以及沙特阿拉伯于 2023 年 6 月宣布进一步减产后，2023 年的预测在过去 12 个月内进一步下调。”
尽管王储穆罕默德·本·萨勒曼在 2016 年提出了多元化努力，作为其 2030 年愿景计划的一部分，但石油流量仍然对沙特经济至关重要。据彭博经济研究称，到 2022 年，这种大宗商品将占出口额的 80%，如果算上主要来自原油的化学品和塑料，这一比例将上升至 93%。
(Bloomberg) – Saudi Arabia’s economic output is expected to contract this year as a series of oil-production cuts pose a risk to the kingdom which is heavily reliant on energy prices and crude production, according to the World Bank.
Source: World Oil
Gross domestic product in the OPEC+ member is now seen shrinking 0.9% this year, according to the World Bank’s latest economic update for the region, having been the fastest-growing economy in the Group of 20 club of countries in 2022.
Analysts including Bloomberg Economics also forecast the economy to contract because of an extension of production cuts until the end of this year.
Economic growth in the wider Middle East was also revised down by the Washington-based lender, which now sees it at nearly 2% in 2023.
“The 2023 forecast has been further revised downward in the past 12 months following the oil-production cuts announced by OPEC+ in October 2022 and April 2023, and the additional cuts announced by Saudi Arabia in June 2023,” according to the report.
Oil flows remain crucial to the Saudi economy, despite diversification efforts proposed by Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman in 2016 as part of his Vision 2030 plan. The commodity made up 80% of exports in 2022, rising to 93% when chemicals and plastics, mostly derived from crude, are included, according to Bloomberg Economics.
