投资


美国数据修正确认通胀正在消退,提振了美联储将在今年晚些时候降息的信心,油价上涨。

西德克萨斯中质原油价格上涨至每桶 77 美元以上。Bok Financial Securities Inc.高级副总裁丹尼斯·基斯勒(Dennis Kissler)表示,标准普尔500指数创下历史新高、周末地缘政治风险加剧以及原油突破主要移动平均线都提振了价格。

在总理本杰明·内塔尼亚胡驳回以色列与哈马斯战争潜在停火协议后,石油价格每周上涨,为市场增添了看涨动力。本周涨幅超过 6% 的同时,炼油利润也有所增长,表明燃料市场趋紧。

内塔尼亚胡表示,他认为“除了全面胜利之外还有其他解决方案”,而伊拉克威胁取消对美国领导的联盟的支持,加剧了这个主要产油地区的紧张局势。航运公司还警告称,红海安全局势持续恶化。

一系列更加积极的市场指标帮助本周原油前景更加坚挺。在美国,全国库存下降后,汽油相对原油的溢价升至 9 月份以来的最高水平。在柴油市场,交易员继续关注乌克兰无人机对俄罗斯炼油厂的袭击,而俄罗斯另一个工厂周五发生火灾。

与此同时,在欧洲,北海定价的关键时期出现了买盘,表明该地区原油市场走强。这有助于将布伦特原油的即时价差(衡量附近市场健康状况的指标)推至 10 月份以来的最大单日涨幅。


原文链接/oilandgas360

Investing


Oil rallied after revisions to US data confirmed that inflation is ebbing, boosting confidence that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates later this year.

West Texas Intermediate rallied above $77 a barrel. Prices have been buoyed by the S&P 500 reaching record highs, heightened geopolitical risk going into the weekend and crude crossing major moving averages, said Dennis Kissler, senior vice president at Bok Financial Securities Inc.

Oil is heading for a weekly gain after Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s dismissal of a potential cease-fire in the Israel-Hamas war added bullish impetus to the market. The advance of over 6% this week has also been accompanied by gains in refining margins, indicating tighter fuel markets.

Netanyahu said he sees “no other solution than total victory,” and threats by Iraq to pull support for the American-led coalition added to tensions in the major oil-producing region. Shipping companies also warned that the security situation in the Red Sea continues to deteriorate.

Aiding the firmer outlook for crude this week has been a string of more positive market indicators. In the US, the premium of gasoline over crude increased to the highest since September after nationwide inventories declined. In diesel markets, traders continue to watch Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian refineries, while a fire broke out at another Russian site on Friday.

Meanwhile in Europe, there’s been buying in a key North Sea pricing period, indicating a stronger crude market in the region. That helped push Brent’s prompt spread — a gauge of nearby market health — to its biggest daily gain since October.