压裂/压力泵送

特邀评论:为什么“智能完井”始于预测性压裂

上游行业将实时完井视为长期目标,但该技术已投入使用。

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资料来源:Fauzi Muda/Getty Images。

自从我早年在拉丁美洲担任海上现场工程师以来,完井一直是我的热情所在。随着时间的推移,当我进入科技和数据科学领域时,我不禁思考:石油和天然气行业何时才能准备好拥抱人工智能(AI)?

完井是油井建设中最复杂、影响最大的步骤之一,但与钻井相比,完井在采用数字化解决方案方面一直处于落后状态。

这种情况终于开始改变。随着人工智能工具的成熟和运营数据越来越容易获取,我们看到了更有效地规划和执行工作的新方法。

多年来,业界一直在探讨跨软件、设备和系统实时无缝数据集成的潜力。您能否想象未来,现场的每个组件(即设备、装置和数字孪生)都能实时集成、通信,并随着新数据的出现而持续更新?

在这个生态系统中,完井决策是主动的。这意味着所有压力泵、阀门和搅拌器都与人工智能驱动的模型同步运行,并根据地质条件、故障情况和压力极限触发警报。这就是预测性压裂的愿景。

当然,如今许多运营商仍觉得这一愿景遥不可及。大多数公司仍在使用各自独立的工具、孤立的数据和不一致的标准,这些都限制了进展。但有迹象表明,基础终于正在建立。

一些组织已经开始为自主完井做好准备,现在所做的工作将影响未来几十年该行业的运作方式。

包括Corva在内的多家公司亲眼见证了运营商致力于弥合运营数据与运营决策之间差距所带来的巨大潜力。通过将实时油井建设数据整合到单一平台,并结合直观的仪表板、预测算法和集成功能,团队能够做出更快、更一致的决策。

在整个行业范围内实现这一目标的道路漫长而艰辛,它始于切实可行的步骤,这些步骤能够带来可衡量的价值,并帮助团队避免代价高昂的停机时间和不确定性。曾经只用于研发的功能现在正被部署到现场作业人员。一些公司正在常规使用人工智能来实时对故障阶段进行分类(URTeC 4265297),指出问题是来自地面还是井下。

预测引擎会在风险阶段发生之前进行标记,使工程师能够在阶段完成之前调整策略。这些程序通过查看完井、地质和钻井数据,识别最早的迹象,在脱砂事故发生之前发出警告。这些程序在整个建井阶段都会持续学习。

应用于套管接箍位置数据的异常检测工具有助于及早发现套管变形风险(URTeC 3969226),将被动工作流程转变为主动工作流程,并在问题恶化之前及时干预。这些看似互不相关且孤立的解决方案,但它们实际上是构建预测性压裂更广阔愿景的基石。与此同时,我们正在学习如何更早地发现问题、更快地做出调整,并依靠数据来指导我们的决策。

这就是预测性压裂的架构:多层预测和规范智能直接嵌入到团队日常使用的工作流程中。通过实时提供相关的洞察和建议,这增强了人类的决策能力,并简化了他们的注意力。

这不是通过单独的工具或报告完成的,而是在工程团队首选的平台上完成的,它可以实时指导作业,并将井场转变为一个数据驱动的学习系统。这一步使我们超越了单纯的数据收集和可视化。这项技术并非未来概念;尽管只是早期采用者,但它已经在作业人员手中。

在人工智能和完井技术的交叉领域工作已成为我职业生涯的重心。我相信我们正处于一场重大变革的边缘,而预测性压裂技术将成为我们行业的下一个变革性举措。

让这一转变如此有意义的是,我们应该形成一种新的思维方式——我们将完成视为一个由数据和协作驱动的动态过程。

运营商、服务提供商和技术平台之间的协作对于实现更安全、更智能、更一致的运营至关重要。顺应这一趋势并愿意重新思考其完井方法的公司将引领行业向前发展。

进一步阅读

URTEC 3969226 异常检测工具——将传统套管接箍定位器与创新算法相结合,用于早期套管异常识别,作者:L. Gava、L. Goi、P. Nachef 和 JC Bonapace、Corva。

URTEC 4265297“利用高级阶段分类模型增强海恩斯维尔运营中的运营意识”作者:N.uta、B.eager、G.oxton 和 Corva A.alehi。

Jessica Iriarte, SPE,是Corva的完井总经理,负责监督研发、产品和商业团队的战略。她的背景涵盖现场作业、预测模型和应用研究,专注于改进非常规资源开发。Iriarte曾担任SPE杰出讲师和多项专利的主要发明人,领导多学科团队推动完井和分析领域的进步。她积极参与SPE委员会的工作,获得过行业奖项,是公认的多元化、平等和包容性倡导者。凭借丰富的技术出版物和演讲经验,她为油田的数字化转型带来了切实可行的方法。

原文链接/JPT
Fracturing/pressure pumping

Guest Editorial: Why ‘Intelligent Completions’ Begin With Predictive Fracturing

The upstream industry has viewed real-time completions as a long-term goal, but the technology is already in use.

The four forms of analytics is descriptive, diagnostic, predictive, and prescriptive. help organizations get the most from their data.
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Source: Fauzi Muda/Getty Images.

Completions has been a passion of mine since my early days as a field engineer working offshore in Latin America. Over time, as I moved into the world of technology and data science, I’ve wondered: When will the oil and gas industry be ready to embrace artificial intelligence (AI)?

Completions is one of the most complex and high-impact steps of well construction, but it has been a laggard when it comes to adopting digital solutions compared with drilling.

That’s finally starting to change. As AI tools mature and operational data becomes more easily accessible, we’re seeing new ways to plan and execute jobs more effectively.

For years, the industry has talked about the potential of real-time, seamless data integration across software, equipment, and systems. Can you picture a future where each component on location (i.e., equipment, devices, and digital twins) are integrated in real time, communicating and continuously updating as new data becomes available?

In this ecosystem, completions decisions are proactive. That means all pressure pumps, valves, and blenders operate in sync with AI-driven models, and alerts are triggered based on geological conditions, dysfunctions, and pressure limits. This is the vision of predictive fracturing.

Of course, that vision still feels out of reach for many operators today. Most companies are still working with disconnected tools, siloed data, and inconsistent standards that limit progress. But there are signs that the foundation is finally being built.

A few organizations have begun to put the right pieces in place for autonomous completions, and the work being done now will shape how the industry operates for decades to come.

Companies, including Corva, have seen firsthand what’s possible when operators commit to closing the gap between operational data and operational decisions. Teams are making faster and more consistent decisions by bringing real-time well construction data into a single platform, paired with intuitive dashboards, predictive algorithms, and integrations.

The path to this being done on a sectorwide scale is long and it starts with practical steps that bring measurable value and help teams avoid costly downtime and uncertainty. Capabilities once reserved for research and development are now being deployed to crews in the field. AI is being used by some companies on a routine basis to classify trouble stages in real time (URTeC 4265297), pointing out whether the issue is coming from the surface or downhole.

Predictive engines are flagging at-risk stages before they occur, allowing engineers to adjust their strategies before completing the stage. These programs warn engineers of potential screenouts before they happen by recognizing the earliest signs by looking at completions, geologic, and drilling data. These programs keep learning throughout the well construction phase.

Anomaly-detection tools applied to casing collar location data are helping spot casing deformation risks early (URTeC 3969226), transforming reactive workflows into proactive ones and enabling timely intervention before it becomes a serious problem. These might sound like unrelated and isolated solutions, but they are actual building blocks in a broader vision towards predictive fracturing. In the meantime, we’re learning to catch issues earlier, adjust faster, and rely on data to guide our decisions.

This is the architecture of predictive fracturing: layers of predictive and prescriptive intelligence embedded directly into the workflows that teams use every day. This enhances human decision-making and streamlines their focus by providing relevant insights and recommendations in real time.

This is not done in a separate tool or report, but in the engineering team’s preferred platform, guiding operations in real time and turning the wellsite into a data-driven learning system. This step takes us beyond mere data collection and visualization. This technology isn’t a future concept; it’s already in the hands of operators, albeit among early adopters.

Working at the intersection of AI and completions has become the focus of my career. I believe we’re on the edge of a major change and I see predictive fracturing as the next transformative step in our industry.

What will make this shift so meaningful is the new mindset that should result—one in which we see completions as a dynamic process, driven by data and collaboration.

Collaboration between operators, service providers, and technology platforms will be essential for achieving safer, smarter, and more consistent operations. Companies that lean into this trend and are willing to rethink their approach to completions will be the ones that lead the industry forward.

For Further Reading

URTEC 3969226 Anomaly Detector Tool—Integrating Traditional Casing Collar Locator With Innovative Algorithm for Early Casing Anomaly Identificationby L. Gava, L. Goñi, P. Nachef, and J.C. Bonapace, Corva.

URTEC 4265297 Enhancing Operational Awareness in Haynesville Operations With Advanced Stage Categorization Modelsby J. Iriarte, N. Ruta, B. Yeager, G. Loxton, and A. Salehi, Corva.

Jessica Iriarte, SPE, is the completions general manager at Corva, where she oversees strategy across research and development, product, and commercial teams. Her background spans field operations, predictive modeling, and applied research, with a focus on improving unconventional resource development. A former SPE Distinguished Lecturer and principal inventor on multiple patents, Iriarte has led multidisciplinary teams driving advancements in completions and analytics. She is active in SPE committees, a recipient of industry awards, and a recognized advocate for diversity, equality, and inclusion. With numerous technical publications and speaking roles, she brings a practical approach to digital transformation in the oil field.