管道中:Clearfork Midstream 的 Haynesville 系统已为 LNG 的下一波浪潮做好准备

从 Clearfork Midstream LLC 于 2022 年收购 Azure Midstream 开始,其目标就是快速扩张,以满足海恩斯维尔页岩作为全球液化天然气供应来源的需求。

Clearfork 在路易斯安那州红河教区东北部的 Holly 6 胺处理设施(朝西)新安装的 108 英寸直径胺接触塔的鸟瞰图。来源:古斯塔夫·施米格三世摄影) 

海恩斯维尔页岩的下一波液化天然气供应即将到来,Clearfork Midstream LLC已准备好与该公司所服务的勘探与生产一起顺应这一趋势。

这就是一直以来的计划:收购 Clearfork 首席执行官 Kipper Overstreet 的前公司,启动扩建和改造未充分利用的基础设施,以到达 Haynesville 和 Bossier 生产区域的核心。

在EnCap Flatrock Midstream的支持下, Clearfork 于 2022 年 2 月收购了 Azure Midstream Energy LLC。Overstreet 知道 Azure 的结局和出路。他在并购和商业服务领域工作了十年;监督工程、管道服务;并担任运营总监。

Clearfork 首席财务官 Will Page 告诉 Hart Energy,Overstreet 离开 Azure 的想法是组建一个团队并收购它。奥弗斯特里特的论点很简单:Azure 的资产没有得到充分利用,在未来几年中,更多的天然气将以液化天然气的形式离开墨西哥湾沿岸。路易斯安那州将满足这一需求。

除了迫切需要消除某些领域的瓶颈之外,宏观层面的天然气需求机会对 Clearfork 来说也是显而易见的。

“如果考虑到我们住宅、商业、工业天然气不断增长的自然需求,再加上世界各地的液化天然气[需求],我们认为这是供应的长期增长趋势,”佩奇说。“海恩斯维尔是一种很好的演奏方式。

“随着这些项目的宣布,我们看到了液化天然气浪潮即将到来,我们展望未来”到“24 或 25、26 并思考,”好吧,我们可以进入这里,收购这些当时我们认为未得到充分利用的资产,”他说,“我们可以做一些事情来优化它们,消除瓶颈,做一些快速项目来恢复一些天然气。”

Clearfork的快速扩张

他们速度很快。Clearfork 在 10 月份宣布该公司计划扩张。不到一年后,该公司完成了大规模扩张,去年的增长资本支出达 1.5 亿美元。

结果:Clearfork 将处理能力从 1 Bcf/d 提高了 65% 至 1.65 Bcf/d。该公司的日均吞吐量几乎翻了一番,7 月份达到 1 Bcf/d。该公司还升级了 SCADA 系统和液体处理能力,同时向东部和西部扩张

“我们增加了与流域内收集系统的新互连,并增加了下游连接,以扩大客户的外卖能力和市场选择,从而最大限度地提高净收益,”佩奇说。

该公司还能够为寻求增加网络备份选项的生产商提供解决方案,并“努力支持这些需求并建立新的互连并响应“我们的客户”。

随着近期扩建项目的完成,Clearfork 预计增长资本支出将大幅减少,自由现金流将强劲增长。  

“我们还在围绕我们的系统寻找一些商业机会,利用我们扩大的产能为我们带来新的产量,”他说。  

佩奇表示,该公司从 2022 年的政治和外国事件(例如乌克兰战争)中提速,这使得“公司的发展超出了我们目前认为的水平”。

奥弗斯特里特对 Azure 的了解包括他对尽职调查中可能出现问题的认识,这有助于降低风险。

“交易结束后不久,我们就开始在商业方面全速前进,”佩奇说。

首先,该公司研究了海恩斯维尔的活动方向。

佩奇说:“今天我们看到核心正向东部扩张,这使我们进入了新区域,并在未来中波西尔中部带来了一些潜在的好处。” “然后在西部,靠近德克萨斯州线,[Clearfork] 发现了一些现有客户的活动。”

该公司还向谢尔比海槽扩张,该地区的开发程度低于北路易斯安那州。

他说:“地下有很多管道,我们看到了很大的上升空间,因为我们‘随着谢尔比地区生产和钻探的不断进展和进展,填补了产能。”

克利尔福克中游地图
来源:美国商业资讯

该公司增加了一些长期土地投入,提高了处理能力,然后在合同的基础上进行了地域扩张。

一旦 Clearfork 渡过红河,它就发现了其他参与其中的商业机会,“并试图赢得一些业务。”

“因此,我们检查了扩展中的所有方框,”佩奇说。“我们看到了天然气浪潮的到来,并能够通过合同支持来降低风险。”

E&P 海恩斯维尔表现出纪律

佩奇说,今年天然气价格暴跌和海恩斯维尔产量减少并不是一个令人担忧的问题。海恩斯维尔钻机数量的下降也不算太令人担忧。根据贝克休斯 8 月 25 日的数据,该项目的钻机数量已从一年前的 70 台下降到 41 台。

他表示,海恩斯维尔生产商已经通过放弃一些钻井平台和推迟完工来应对今年天然气价格的回调,这为近期天然气现货价格提供了支撑。

展望 2024 年,Clearfork 认为远期曲线表明市场认识到,天然气价格上涨将有助于刺激产量增长,以满足液化天然气出口需求的逐步变化。 

“我认为我们从客户那里看到的是严格的方法,他们希望将生产维持在‘23 年的合理水平,同时注重灵活性,’”他说。

Clearfork 核心海恩斯维尔资产
一条直径 24 英寸的管道接近路易斯安那州红河教区东北部的红河。来源:古斯塔夫·施米格三世摄影) 

Page 表示,随着下一波液化天然气扩张将于 2025 年和 2026 年上线,他认为对持续的钻机数量和压裂活动有内在支持。他表示,生产商已表示,如果价格继续沿着远期曲线走强,他们将在 2024 年再次增加钻机。

“谁都想落后太多,但当落后的时候就必须迎头赶上。所以,我认为有这种方法,”他说。“显然,海恩斯维尔的钻机数量已经减少。我们看到压裂人员下降然后又上升一点。去年我们看到更多的 DUC 上线。”

但总体而言,液化天然气的前景仍然诱人。

“我们坚定看好天然气和海恩斯维尔的前景,并认为今年生产商对天然气价格的严格反应是中游供应商迎头赶上并为不可避免的反弹做好准备的机会。”随着需求的持续增长和新的液化天然气设施的上线,活动不断增加,”佩奇说。


原文链接/hartenergy

In the Pipe: Clearfork Midstream’s Haynesville System Ready for LNG’s Next Wave

From the outset Clearfork Midstream LLC’s acquisition of Azure Midstream in 2022, the goal was a rapid expansion to meet the needs of the Haynesville Shale as a source of global LNG supply.

Aerial view of Clearfork’s newly installed 108-inch diameter amine contactor tower at its Holly 6 amine treating facility in northeast Red River Parish, Louisiana (facing west). (Source: Photography by Gustav Schmiege III

The next wave of LNG supply from the Haynesville Shale is coming and Clearfork Midstream LLC is positioned to ride it along with the E&Ps the company serves.

That was the plan all along: acquire Clearfork CEO Kipper Overstreet’s former company, launch an expansion and revamp underutilized infrastructure to reach the core of Haynesville and Bossier’s production areas.

Backed by EnCap Flatrock Midstream, Clearfork bought Azure Midstream Energy LLC in February 2022. Overstreet knew the ends and outs of Azure. He’d worked for a decade heading up M&A and commercial services; overseeing engineering, pipeline services; and serving as director of operations.

Overstreet left Azure with the idea of putting a team together and acquiring it, Clearfork CFO Will Page told Hart Energy. Overstreet’s thesis was straightforward: Azure’s assets were underutilized and in the next several years, a lot more natural gas will be leaving the Gulf Coast as LNG. And that demand will be met in Louisiana.

Beyond the immediate need to debottleneck certain areas in the play, the opportunities for gas demand on a macro level were obvious to Clearfork.

“When you take the growing natural demand from our residential commercial, industrial natural gas and then add in the LNG [demand] around the world, we thought that’s a long-term growth trend for supply,” Page said. “And the Haynesville is a great way to play it.

“We saw the LNG wave coming here as these projects were getting announced and we’re looking ahead … to ‘24 or ‘25, ‘26 and thinking, ‘okay, well we can get in here and acquire these assets that at the time we felt were underutilized,” he said, “and we can do some things to optimize them, to debottleneck—to do some quick projects to bring some gas back on.”

Clearfork’s rapid expansion

And quick they were. Clearfork announced in October that the company planned to expand. Less than a year later, the company finished a massive expansion with growth capex of $150 million over the past year.

The results: Clearfork increased treating capacity by 65% to 1.65 Bcf/d from 1 Bcf/d. The company’s average daily throughput volumes nearly doubled, hitting 1 Bcf/d in July. The company also upgraded its SCADA systems and liquids handling capacity—while expanding to the east and west.

“We’ve added new interconnects with intra-basin gathering systems and added downstream connectivity to expand takeaway capacity and market options for our customers to maximize netbacks,” Page said.

The company is also able to provide solutions to producers looking for optionality to increase their netbacks and “work to support those needs and make new interconnects and be responsive to … our customers.”

With the recent completion of its expansion projects, Clearfork is projecting a material reduction in growth capex and strong free cash flow generation going forward.  

“We’re also pursuing several commercial opportunities around our systems to bring new volumes to us utilizing our expanded capacity,” he said.  

The company picked up speed from political and foreign events—the Ukraine war, for one—in 2022, that pushed “us ahead of where we thought we’d be by now,” Page said.

Overstreet’s knowledge of Azure included his awareness of where concerns might crop up in due diligence, which helped mitigate risks.

“Shortly after closing, we started full speed ahead on the commercial side,” Page said.

First, the company looked at where the Haynesville’s activity was headed.

“We’re seeing right over the core today expanding to the east, which taps us into the new area and some nice potential middle Bossier upside in the future,” Page said. “And then to the west, closer to the Texas line, [Clearfork] picked up some activity on some existing customers.”

The company also expanded toward the Shelby Trough, an area less developed than North Louisiana.

“We’ve got a lot of pipe in the ground and see a lot of upside there as we … fill capacity as production and drilling continues to move and advance in the Shelby area,” he said.

Clearfork Midstream Map
(Source: Business Wire)

The company added some long-term acreage dedications, boosted treating capacity and then expanded geographically, which was underpinned by its contracts.

Once Clearfork crossed the Red River, it found other commercial opportunities to participate in “and to try to win some of that business, as well.”

“So, we checked all the boxes on the expansions,” Page said. “We saw the wave of gas coming and were able to de-risk it with contractual support.”

E&Ps Haynesville showing discipline

This year’s plummeting natural gas prices and a reduction in Haynesville production hasn’t been a concern, Page said. Nor has the Haynesville’s fall in rigs been too worrisome. The play’s rig count has dropped to 41 compared to 70 a year ago, according to Baker Hughes’ Aug. 25 data.

Haynesville producers have approached the pullback in natural gas prices this year by dropping some rigs and deferring completions, which has provided recent support for natural gas spot prices, he said.

Looking ahead to 2024, Clearfork sees the forward curve signaling a recognition in the market that higher natural gas prices will be necessary to spur production growth to meet the step change in demand from LNG exports. 

“I think what we’re seeing from customers is the disciplined approach where they want to maintain production in ‘23 to a reasonable level, with an eye on flexibility,” he said.

Clearfork Core Haynesville Assets
A 24-inch diameter pipeline approaches the Red River in northeast Red River Parish, Louisiana. (Source: Photography by Gustav Schmiege III

With the next wave of LNG expansions coming online in 2025 and 2026, Page said he sees built-in support for a sustained rig count and frac activity. Producers have indicated they’ll be adding rigs again in 2024 if prices continue to firm up along the forward curve, he said.

“Nobody wants to fall too far behind and have to be catching up when that comes along. So, I think there’s this one approach,” he said. “Obviously the rig count has come down in Haynesville. We’ve seen frac crews come down and then come back up a little bit. We’ve seen more DUCs over the past year come online.”

But overall, the prospects of LNG remain enticing.

“We’re solidly bullish on the outlook for natural gas and the Haynesville, in particular, and see the disciplined response of producers to natural gas prices this year as an opportunity for midstream providers to catch up and prepare for the inevitable rebound in activity as demand continues to grow and new LNG facilities come online,” Page said.