Saturn Oil & Gas Inc.公布2026年资本预算

来源:www.gulfoilandgas.com,2025年12月17日,地点:北美

“1.8亿至1.9亿美元的严格开发资本预算,保持了灵活性,并着眼于快速回报的机会。
”“预计平均日产量为3.9万至4.1万桶油当量,如果油价走强,能够迅速提高资本投入和产量。
”“自由资金流将用于偿还债务和回购股票,预计自由资金流收益率为25%至35%。”“
高达三分之一的总开发资本将用于高回报、快速回报的裸眼多分支(OHML)钻井。

” Saturn Oil & Gas Inc.(简称“Saturn”或“公司”)是一家专注于通过开发其在萨斯喀彻温省和阿尔伯塔省的大量资产来释放价值的轻质油生产商,现宣布其2026年资本预算和指引。

公司计划在2026年之前继续审慎配置资本,假设西德克萨斯中质原油(WTI)价格为每桶60美元,开发资本预算为1.8亿至1.9亿美元,使土星油田2026年的平均日产量达到3.9万至4.1万桶油当量(2),其中约81%为石油和凝析油(以下简称“2026年预算”)。鉴于当前的商品价格环境,2026年预算的构建旨在优先考虑具有最高潜在回报的钻井目标,通过严格的资本配置来维护资产基础的价值,并优化自由资金流的产生。如果商品价格出现波动,我们2026年的计划可以迅速调整规模,使公司能够在各种价格情景下保持相当大的灵活性。根据我们的“蓝图战略”,我们计划将新增自由资金流用于偿还现有债务、回购股票或在出现合适的收购机会时进行具有吸引力的增值收购。

“鉴于近期WTI原油价格前景,我们对2026年的资本支出计划采取了审慎的态度,该计划比我们2025年9月修订后的指导意见降低了27%,而我们的产量预计平均仅比修订后的指导意见低5%。这得益于公司以往通过运营协同效应和严格的资本部署,超越预期曲线、降低成本并保障利润率的良好记录,”Saturn首席执行官John Jeffrey表示。“我们处于生命周期中期的资产基础所需的基建支出极少,且相对衰减率较低,有助于降低维护资本支出。即使在当前的商品价格环境下,我们的开发项目,特别是OHML以及密西西比盆地和斯皮尔菲什盆地的常规油井,仍然能够带来可观的回报。我们致力于创造稳定的自由现金流,这使我们能够继续降低杠杆率,并保持灵活和把握机遇。”

2026年预算要点

“开发资本支出(1)预算为1.8亿至1.9亿美元,其中近85%用于钻井、完井、设备和连接活动;约5%用于注水项目;其余用于生产优化项目、设施、土地和地震勘探。”
“预计2026年平均日产量为3.9万至4.1万桶油当量(2)(约81%为液体)。“钻探105口井(净78口),目标是在当前价格环境下回报最高的区域,这些区域集中在我们位于萨斯喀彻温省东南部的巴肯页岩油气田和密西西比页岩常规油气田开发区,以及我们位于阿尔伯塔省中部的卡迪姆页岩油气田。”
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“预计高达33%的开发资本将用于萨斯喀彻温省东南部的高回报、高资本效率的OHML项目。”
预算假设为:WTI原油价格每桶60.00美元,城市固体原油与WTI原油价差为每桶4.00美元,西海岸煤与WTI原油价差为每桶13.00美元,AECO价格为每吉焦3.00加元,加元兑美元汇率为0.72倍。

与往年一致,我们预计2026年的预算将侧重于下半年,其中超过40%的资金预计将在第三季度投入使用,近30%将在第四季度投入使用,20%将在第一季度投入使用,其余部分在第二季度投入使用,这反映了春季解冻的季节性影响。由于这种节奏,加上从2025年第四季度延续下来的生产势头,Saturn预计产量将在上半年达到最高,由于上半年支出减少,下半年产量将有所下降。

预计第二季度自由资金流将达到最高,主要得益于该季度较低的资本支出。鉴于第三/第四季度加权资本计划,公司能够灵活调整研发计划,以应对市场变化。Saturn计划实施“蓝图战略”,并在整合2025年下半年收购的补充资产后,专注于在2026年之前降低净运营费用。我们的团队正积极寻找提升效率、发挥协同效应并进一步降低成本的机会,以期在以往收购中成功实施此类改进措施的基础上,进一步降低成本。

我们2026年的公司业绩指引旨在为读者提供与管理层对当年财务和运营业绩预期相关的信息,并可能因商品价格或监管变化而波动。您也可访问我们的网站查看或下载随附的2026年业绩指引演示文稿。
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除上述预测外,Saturn 预计约有 1500 万美元的资本化管理费用;1900 万美元的资产报废义务;以及 1600 万美元,主要与天然气加工合同相关的租赁付款。公司预计 2026 年无需缴纳税款。

敏感性分析:

Saturn 的预测资金流对原油价格的变化最为敏感。Saturn 估计,WTI 原油价格每上涨 5 美元/桶,将带来约 5000 万美元的额外 AFF(1)。

2026 年 AFF(1) 的年度敏感性分析:

2026 年资本计划概述

萨斯喀彻温省东南部(“SE SK”)

——我们 2026 年总预算的约 60% 分配给该地区,计划钻探 77 口井(净 61.0 口)。——
我们 2026 年预算的 33% 将用于 OHML 钻探,目标是 32 个 OHML 钻井点(净 21.8 个),比 2025 年的 OHML 钻探数量增加 60%。
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“目标是钻探23口(净21口)密西西比盆地常规井,这些井钻井成本低、产能高,将带来我们最高的投资回报率和最高效的资本利用率。
” “扩大克里尔曼(Creelman)巴肯(Bakken)油田的注水开发,并在2025年开发的基础上,于2026年钻探三口加压井,同时将七口生产井改造为注水井,以支持2027年的钻井计划。我们2026年总资本的约5%将用于注水项目,这将减少我们需要钻探的主井数量,通过降低产量递减率来保护我们的库存,并支持我们在商品价格周期中的长期可持续性和抗风险能力。
” “2026年第一季度,土星公司预计将在萨斯喀彻温省东南部运行四台钻机,其中三台将专门用于米德尔(Midale)、维尤菲尔德巴肯(Viewfield Bakken)以及2025年8月收购的土地上的油田油田开发。”第四座钻机将用于密西西比盆地的常规开发。

中阿尔伯塔卡迪姆盆地开发

——2026年预算中约20%将用于洛亨德(Lochend)卡迪姆盆地的持续开发,以及西彭比纳(West Pembina)的开发,以巩固我们过去15个月取得的成功,其中包括在卡迪姆盆地钻探了有史以来最长和最快的两口井。
土星公司计划在该地区建设两个多井平台,采用延伸至3英里的水平井,其中包括一个七井平台和一个六井平台。

电话会议及网络直播

公司计划于2025年12月18日(星期四)美国山区时间上午8:00(美国东部时间上午10:00)举行电话会议,进一步介绍我们2026年的资本预算和发展计划,随后将进行问答环节。

• 日期:2025年12月18日(星期四
) • 时间:美国山区时间上午8:00(美国东部时间上午10:00)
• 网络直播链接:https://www.gowebcasting.com/14567
• 北美(免费)拨入号码:1-833-752-3741
• 国际拨入号码:1-647-846-8678

网络直播的音频回放将于会议结束后一小时通过上述链接提供,并保留12个月。回放链接也会发布在 Saturn 的网站上。

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原文链接/GulfOilandGas

Saturn Oil & Gas Inc. Announces 2026 Capital Budget

Source: www.gulfoilandgas.com 12/17/2025, Location: North America

• Disciplined $180 to $190 million development capital budget retains flexibility and targets quick payback opportunities
• Forecast average production of 39,000 to 41,000 boe/d, with ability to quickly ramp up capital and volumes should prices strengthen
• Free funds flow allocated to debt repayment and share buybacks, with forecast free funds flow yield of 25% to 35%
• Up to 1/3 of total development capital allocated to high-return, rapid payback open hole multi-lateral ("OHML") drilling

Saturn Oil & Gas Inc. ("Saturn" or the "Company"), a light oil-weighted producer focused on unlocking value through the development of our extensive inventory of assets in Saskatchewan and Alberta, announces our 2026 capital budget and guidance.

The Company intends to continue allocating capital prudently through 2026, with a development capital budget range of $180 to $190 million assuming US$60 per barrel WTI, positioning Saturn to deliver 2026 average production between 39,000 and 41,000 boe/d(2), weighted approximately 81% to oil and liquids (the "2026 Budget"). In light of the prevailing commodity price environment, the 2026 Budget is structured to prioritize drilling targets with the highest potential returns, preserve the value of our asset base through disciplined capital allocation and optimize free funds flow generation. Our program in 2026 can be scaled up or down quickly should commodity prices fluctuate, enabling the Company to retain significant flexibility across a variety of price scenarios. Consistent with our Blueprint strategy, we intend to utilize incremental free funds flow for ongoing debt repayment, share buybacks or potential accretive tuck-in acquisitions at attractive metrics should opportunities arise.

"In response to the near-term WTI price outlook, we are taking a prudent approach to our 2026 capital spending profile, which is 27% lower than our revised September 2025 guidance, while our production is anticipated to average only 5% below that revised guidance. This is due to the Company's track record of exceeding type curves, reducing costs, and protecting margins through operational synergies and disciplined capital deployment," said John Jeffrey, Saturn's Chief Executive Officer. "Our mid-life cycle asset base requires minimal infrastructure spending and has shallower relative decline rates, helping to keep maintenance capital lower. Even in the current commodity price environment, we continue to see compelling returns from our development program, specifically the OHML and conventional Mississippian and Spearfish wells. Our commitment to generating resilient free funds flow enables us to continue reducing leverage and to remain nimble and opportunistic."

2026 BUDGET HIGHLIGHTS

• $180 to $190 million development capital expenditure(1) budget, with nearly 85% directed to drilling, completion, equip and tie-in activities; approximately 5% to waterflood initiatives; and the balance to production optimization initiatives, facilities, land and seismic.
• 39,000 to 41,000 boe/d(2) forecast average 2026 production (~81% liquids). • Drill 105 (78 net) wells targeting the highest return locations in the current price environment, which are concentrated in our Southeast Saskatchewan ("SE SK") Bakken and conventional Mississippian development areas, along with our Central Alberta Cardium.
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• Up to 33% of development capital expected to be directed to high-return and capital efficient OHML locations in SE SK.
• Budget assumptions of US$60.00 WTI, US$4.00 MSW-WTI differential, US$13.00 WCS-WTI differential, C$3.00/GJ AECO and 0.72x CAD/USD assumptions.

Consistent with prior years, our 2026 Budget is expected to be weighted to the second half of the year, with over 40% anticipated to be deployed in Q3, almost 30% in Q4, 20% weighted to Q1 with the balance in Q2, reflecting the seasonal impacts of spring break-up. As a result of this cadence, coupled with the production momentum carried through from Q4/25, Saturn anticipates volumes will be highest through the first half, declining through the second half as a result of lower spending in the first half.

Free funds flow is anticipated to be highest in Q2 driven by lower capital spending during that period. Given the Q3/Q4 weighted capital program, the Company can be nimble in adjusting our development program in response to market conditions. Saturn intends to apply our Blueprint strategy and focus on reducing net operating expenses through 2026 following the integration of the tuck-in assets that were acquired in the latter half of 2025. Our team is actively identifying opportunities to enhance efficiencies, capture synergies, and achieve further cost reductions over time, building on the success we've realized implementing such improvements on past acquisitions.

Our 2026 corporate guidance estimates are intended to provide readers with information relevant to Management's expectations for financial and operating results during the year and may fluctuate with commodity prices or regulatory changes. An accompanying 2026 Guidance Presentation is also available for viewing or download on our website.
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In addition to the above forecasts, Saturn anticipates approximately $15 million in capitalized administrative expenses; $19 million of asset retirement obligations and $16 million primarily related to lease payments associated with a gas processing contract. The Company does not anticipate being taxable in 2026.

Sensitivities

Saturn's forecasted funds flow is most sensitive to changes in crude oil prices. Saturn estimates that each additional US$5/bbl increase in the US$ WTI oil price would provide an incremental approximately $50 million in AFF(1).

Annualized sensitivity analysis on AFF(1), estimated for 2026:

2026 CAPITAL PROGRAM OVERVIEW

Southeast Saskatchewan ("SE SK")

• Approximately 60% of our total 2026 Budget allocated to this area, with 77 (61.0 net) wells planned.
• Up to 33% of our 2026 Budget directed to OHML drilling, with 32 (21.8 net) OHML locations targeted, an increase of 60% over 2025 OHML drills.
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• Targeting 23 (21.0 net) conventional Mississippian wells, featuring low drilling costs and high deliverability, leading to some of our highest returns and most capital efficient opportunities.
• Expand the Bakken waterflood at Creelman and build on 2025 development with the drilling of three re-pressurized wells in 2026, along with the conversion of seven producers to injectors that will support the planned drilling program in 2027. Approximately 5% of our total 2026 capital is earmarked for our waterflood program, reducing the number of primary wells we need to drill, protecting our inventory by lowering decline rates, and supporting our long-term sustainability and resilience across commodity price cycles.
• In Q1/26, Saturn anticipates running four rigs in SE SK, three of which are dedicated to OHML locations in the Midale, Viewfield Bakken and on lands acquired in August of 2025, with the fourth rig targeting conventional Mississippian development.

Central Alberta Cardium Development

• Approximately 20% of the 2026 Budget is allocated to continued Cardium development at Lochend along with development at West Pembina to build on our success over the past 15 months, which includes drilling both the longest and fastest wells ever drilled in the Cardium.
• Saturn is planning two multi-well pads featuring extended reach horizontals up to 3-miles in this area, including one seven well pad and an additional six well pad.

CONFERENCE CALL AND WEBCAST

The Company plans to host a conference call on Thursday, December 18, 2025, at 8:00 am Mountain Time (10:00 am Eastern Time) to provide additional context around our 2026 capital budget and development program, followed by a question-and-answer session with attendees.

• Date: Thursday, December 18, 2025
• Time: 8:00 am MT (10:00 am ET)
• Live Webcast Link: https://www.gowebcasting.com/14567
• North America (Toll Free) Dial In: 1-833-752-3741
• International Dial In: 1-647-846-8678

An audio replay of the webcast will be available one hour after the end of the call at the link above and will remain accessible for 12 months. The replay link will also be posted on Saturn's website.

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