埃克森美孚寻求提高钻探效率并降低先锋公司米德兰地区的成本

埃克森美孚针对其质量较低的米德兰盆地面积调整了立方体开发战略。这家超级巨头认为,将其战略部署在先锋自然资源公司在米德兰的首要地位上,只会带来好处。

埃克森美孚公司通过大规模收购先锋自然资源公司,寻求在米德兰盆地提高钻井效率并降低钻井成本

这笔全股票交易价值 600 亿美元(不包括先锋公司的净债务),将先锋公司在米德兰盆地核心的超过 850,000 英亩净土地与埃克森美孚在二叠纪盆地的 570,000 英亩净土地结合起来。

此次交易是这家总部位于德克萨斯州斯普林市的超级巨头自 1999 年埃克森美孚与美孚合并以来最大的一笔收购。

交易完成后,埃克森美孚二叠纪的产量将在 2023 年的基础上增加一倍以上,达到 1.3 Mboe/d;预计 2027 年产量将增至约 2 Mboe/d。

通过将总部位于德克萨斯州欧文的先锋公司的领先盆地地位与埃克森美孚的技术和开发专长相结合,合并后的公司的目标是在未来十年实现约 20 亿美元的年度协同效应。

埃克森美孚表示,通过将总开发成本降低约 15%,预计每年可节省约 7 亿美元。

其中,每年约 4 亿美元将来自应用埃克森美孚的钻井能力和立方井设计;每年 2 亿美元将来自钻探更长的支管以减少油井总数每年将节省 G&A 成本 1 亿美元。

每年另外 13 亿美元将来自约 1 Bboe 的额外资源,埃克森美孚相信它可以通过现有技术和开发实践来恢复。

埃克森美孚高级副总裁尼尔·查普曼在该公司与分析师举行的第三季度财报电话会议上表示,“这不包括处于部署早期或接近部署阶段的新技术。”

“通过应用我们已经展示的内容,我们有信心能够额外回收 10 亿桶石油当量,这比先锋公司或工业界以其现有表现所能展示的还要多,”他说。


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随着二叠纪石油占据中心舞台,埃克森美孚以 60B 美元收购 Pioneer


魔方开发

埃克森美孚有信心凭借先锋公司在米德兰盆地的地位实现更高的钻井效率,原因之一是这家超级巨头的立方开发战略。

多年来,埃克森美孚一直在微调其二叠纪过程中的立方体开发策略,即从单个地面位置以堆叠间隔钻多个水平井。

该公司开始在二叠纪开发立方井,以避免母子井干扰,这种现象是指二级井距离初始井太近,会流入第一口井的流量,从而降低总体回报。

近年来,埃克森美孚、先锋公司和其他几家二叠纪运营商已经改变了井距和地下设计,以遵守立方体开发战略。

埃克森美孚表示,自2017 年底左右在二叠纪钻探第一个立方体以来,其在二叠纪的开发战略正在发挥作用。

截至 2022 年,埃克森美孚和先锋公司都在米德兰盆地各自的位置专门开发立方井。然而,就资源密度而言,埃克森美孚的米德兰投资组合的质量远低于先锋公司自己在米德兰的地位。

尽管先锋公司拥有更有利的面积地位和资源基础,但埃克森美孚在米德兰的采收率与先锋公司基本相当。

埃克森先锋平均生产率
埃克森美孚在米德兰盆地的平均生产力与先锋公司的平均生产力相当,尽管埃克森美孚的面积质量明显较低。(来源:埃克森美孚财报)

就可比较的面积和资源质量而言,埃克森美孚的前景甚至更好。

与德克萨斯州马丁县相邻的 10,000 英尺侧向立方井相比,埃克森美孚的立方井的采收率比 Pioneer 和其他米德兰盆地勘探与生产高出约 20%。

“这不仅仅是关于如何交付立方体,”查普曼说。“当你获得更好的复苏,当你获得更好的资本效率时,它就提供了进入经济发展的机会,我们称之为二级替补。”

埃克森先锋公司可比面积
与先锋公司和得克萨斯州马丁县(米德兰盆地的核心)的其他运营商相比,埃克森美孚的立方体开发战略正在产生更高的平均生产率。(来源:埃克森美孚财报)

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利润下降

埃克森美孚公司和美国超级巨头雪佛龙公司的盈利 在第三季度大幅下降,此前这两家石油巨头在去年同期创下了创纪录的利润。

总部位于得克萨斯州斯普林的埃克森美孚在 10 月 27 日开市前公布,第三季度收益为 91 亿美元,即每股 2.25 美元。

这比去年同期下降了 50% 以上,当时埃克森美孚创下了创纪录的 197 亿美元收益,即每股 4.68 美元。

10 月 27 日上午,雪佛龙公布第三季度收益为 65 亿美元,即每股 3.48 美元。

这家总部位于加利福尼亚州的石油巨头的盈利与去年相比下降了近 40%,去年雪佛龙同期的盈利为 112 亿美元,即每股 5.78 美元。

两家公司都表示大宗商品价格和炼油利润的不利因素影响了季度盈利能力。分析师此前预计这两个专业的盈利都会大幅下降。


有关的

埃克森美孚和雪佛龙去年盈利创纪录下滑

原文链接/hartenergy

Exxon Seeks Drilling Efficiencies, Lower Costs on Pioneer’s Midland Acreage

Exxon Mobil has fine-tuned a cube development strategy on its lower-quality Midland Basin acreage. The supermajor sees nothing but upside from deploying its strategy on Pioneer Natural Resources’ premier Midland position.

Exxon Mobil Corp. is seeking greater drilling efficiency—and lower drilling costs—in the Midland Basin with its massive acquisition of Pioneer Natural Resources.

The all-stock deal, valued at $60 billion excluding Pioneer’s net debt, combines Pioneer’s more than 850,000 net acres in the core of the Midland Basin with Exxon's 570,000 net Permian acres.

The transaction represents the Spring, Texas-based supermajors’ largest acquisition since Exxon’s merger with Mobil in 1999.

After closing, Exxon’s Permian production volume will more than double to 1.3 Mboe/d, based on 2023 volumes; output is expected to increase to approximately 2 Mboe/d in 2027.

By combining Irving, Texas-based Pioneer’s leading basin position and Exxon’s technology and development expertise, the combined company will aim to achieve about $2 billion in annual synergies over the coming decade.

Around $700 million in annual savings are expected to be realized through a roughly 15% decrease in total development costs, Exxon said.

Of that total, around $400 million per year will come from applying Exxon’s drilling capabilities and cube well design; $200 million per year will come from drilling longer laterals to reduce the overall number of wells; $100 million per year will derive from G&A cost savings.

Another $1.3 billion per year will come from the approximately 1 Bboe in additional resource Exxon is confident it can recover with existing technologies and development practices.

“It does not include the pipeline of new technologies that are either in the early stages of deployment or close to deployment,” Exxon Senior Vice President Neil Chapman said during the company’s third-quarter earnings call with analysts.

“By applying what we’ve already demonstrated, we’re confident we can recover an additional 1 billion oil-equivalent barrels, more than either Pioneer or industry could have demonstrated with their existing performance,” he said.


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Cube development

One reason Exxon is confident in achieving greater drilling efficiencies with Pioneer’s Midland Basin position is the supermajor’s cube development strategy.

For several years, Exxon has been fine-tuning its cube development strategy in the Permian—a process in which multiple horizontal wells are drilled in stacked intervals from a single surface location.

The company began developing cube wells in the Permian to avoid parent-child well interference, a phenomenon where secondary wells placed too close to initial wells tap into flows for the first well, diminishing overall returns.

In recent years, Exxon, Pioneer and several other Permian operators have shifted well spacing and subsurface designs to adhere to cube development strategies.

Since drilling its first cubes in the Permian around late 2017, Exxon says its development strategy in the Permian is working.

As of 2022, both Exxon and Pioneer were exclusively developing cube wells on their respective positions in the Midland Basin. However, Exxon’s Midland portfolio is considerably less quality than Pioneer’s own position in the Midland when it comes to resource density.

Despite Pioneer’s more advantaged acreage position and resource base, Exxon has essentially equivalent recovery rates in the Midland as Pioneer.

Exxon Pioneer Average Productivity
Exxon’s average productivity in the Midland Basin is comparable to Pioneer’s average productivity, despite Exxon’s notably lower-quality acreage position. (Source: Exxon earnings presentation)

Exxon’s outlook is even better when it comes to comparable acreage and resource quality.

Comparing adjacent 10,000-ft-lateral cube wells in Martin County, Texas, Exxon’s cubes are delivering around a 20% higher recovery compared to Pioneer and other Midland Basin E&Ps.

“It’s not just about how you deliver cubes,” Chapman said. “When you’ve got better recovery, when you’ve got better capital efficiency, it gives access to economically developing what we would describe as secondary benches.”

Exxon Pioneer Comparable Acreage
Exxon’s cube development strategy is generating higher average productivity versus Pioneer and other operators in Martin County, Texas—the core of the Midland Basin. (Source: Exxon earnings presentation)

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Profits fall

Earnings for Exxon Mobil Corp. and its fellow U.S. supermajor Chevron Corp. fell drastically in the third quarter after the oil giants raked in record profits during the same period the year before.

Exxon brought in third-quarter earnings of $9.1 billion, or $2.25 per share, the Spring, Texas-based major reported before markets opened on Oct. 27.

That’s down over 50% from the same quarter a year ago, when Exxon raked in record earnings of $19.7 billion, or $4.68 per share.

Chevron reported third-quarter earnings of $6.5 billion, or $3.48 per share, the morning of Oct. 27.

The California-based major’s earnings fell nearly 40% compared to last year, when Chevron brought in earnings of $11.2 billion, or $5.78 per share, during the same period.

Both companies cited headwinds from commodity prices and refining margins as weighing on quarterly profitability. Analysts had anticipated the sharp drops in earnings by both majors.


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