Westwood Energy预测钻井市场将陷入停滞

韦斯特伍德能源公司预测全球陆上钻机需求将下降。 平均而言,今年石油商将使用4,413座钻井平台,比专家去年底的预测减少6%。 下降的原因是油价停滞和钻机维修成本高昂。 

在美国,对二手设备的需求大幅下降。 预计这一趋势将持续到 2024 年之后,其他几个国家也预计对钻井设备的需求将停滞或下降。 Westwood Energy下调了2025-2028年的预测。 此前分析师预测,石油和天然气公司每年平均使用 4,595 台钻机,约为 4,786 台。

尽管需求下降,Westwood 仍计划在 2024 年前几个月达成多项新交易并续签钻机租赁。从地区来看,中东继续占据主导地位。 例如,作为增加非常规天然气产量计划的一部分,沙特阿美公司已与 Helmerich & Payne (H&P)、Arabian Drilling 和中石化签订了 23 个陆上钻井平台的合同。

2024年头几个月,中东地缘政治紧张局势持续升级。 不过,这并未对大宗商品价格产生重大影响。 本季度油价平均为 83 美元/桶,与 2023 年平均油价 82 美元/桶一致。此外,OPEC+ 减产协议仍然有效,并将延长至 2024 年上半年。 ” Westwood Energy 指出

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原文链接/RogtecMagazine

Westwood Energy Predicts Stagnation in the Drilling Market

Westwood Energy predicts a decline in global demand for onshore drilling rigs. On average, oilmen will use 4,413 rigs this year, which is 6% lower than the forecast made by experts at the end of last year. The drop is due to stagnant oil prices and high costs of servicing drilling rigs. 

In the United States, there is a significant decline in demand for used equipment. This trend is expected to continue beyond 2024, with several other countries also projecting stagnant or declining demand for drilling equipment. Westwood Energy lowered its forecast for the period 2025-2028. to an annual average of 4,595 drilling rigs, earlier analysts predicted about 4,786 rigs used by oil and gas companies.

Despite the drop in demand, Westwood is eyeing a number of new deals and rig lease renewals during the first months of 2024. Regionally, the Middle East continues to dominate. For example, Saudi Aramco has entered into contracts for 23 onshore drilling rigs with Helmerich & Payne (H&P), Arabian Drilling and Sinopec as part of a program to increase unconventional gas production.

“The first months of 2024 are marked by the continued escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. However, this did not have a significant impact on commodity prices. Oil prices averaged $83/bbl this quarter, which is consistent with an average of $82/bbl in 2023. In addition, the OPEC+ production cut agreement remains in effect, extended through the first half of 2024.” ,” noted Westwood Energy.

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