石油价格


共和党国会领导人致信 国际能源署 执行董事法提赫·比罗尔,对国际能源署偏离促进能源安全的核心使命表示担忧。

参议院能源和自然资源委员会高级成员约翰·巴拉索(怀俄明州)和众议院能源和商务委员会主席凯西·麦克莫里斯·罗杰斯(华盛顿州)在信中写道,该机构一直在通过阻止对石油、天然气和煤炭的足够投资来破坏能源安全。 。

“直到最近,国际能源署一直是石油市场安全可靠信息的宝贵来源,并提供了石油消费国有效应对石油短缺的机制,”共和党领导人在信中写道。

然而,立法者们表示,近年来,国际能源署的能源需求模型“不再为政策制定者提供对能源和气候提案的平衡评估”,并补充说,这家总部位于巴黎的机构已成为“能源转型的啦啦队长” .”

共和党领导人还表示担心,国际能源署的能源转型模型存在偏见,并且无法为依赖其预测的政府提供信息。

近几个月来,国际能源署预测的全球石油需求增长远低于欧佩克和其他预测机构,并表示能源效率的提高和电动汽车的普及将削弱石油需求的增长。

在最新的月度评估中,IEA  上周将 2024 年全球石油需求增长前景较 2 月份的报告上调了11 万桶/日。这家总部位于巴黎的机构将 2024 年的需求增长预测上调至 130 万桶/日,而上个月报告中的预期为 120 万桶/日。

尽管需求增长前景有所改善,但国际能源署对石油消费增长的看法仍然比欧佩克的观点保守得多。

OPEC 预计,2024 年全球石油需求 将“强劲”增长 220 万桶/日 ,2025 年将再增长 180 万桶/日。

国际能源署去年还预测,对所有三种化石燃料(石油、天然气和煤炭)的需求  在本十年末达到顶峰。

 

作者:Oilprice.com 的 Tsvetana Paraskova

 


原文链接/oilandgas360

Oil Price


Congress leaders from the Republican Party have sent a letter to Fatih Birol, the executive director of the International Energy Agency, expressing concern that the IEA has strayed from its core mission of promoting energy security.

Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee ranking member John Barrasso (Wyo) and House Energy and Commerce Committee Chair Cathy McMorris Rodgers (Wash) wrote in the letter that the agency has been undermining energy security by discouraging enough investment in oil, natural gas, and coal.

“Until recently, the IEA has served as a valuable source of reliable information on the security of oil markets, and has provided a mechanism whereby oil-consuming countries can respond effectively to oil shortages,” the Republican leaders wrote in the letter.

In recent years, however, the IEA’s energy demand modeling “no longer provides policymakers with balanced assessments of energy and climate proposals,” said the lawmakers, adding that the Paris-based agency has turned into an “energy transition cheerleader.”

The GOP leaders also expressed concern that the IEA’s energy transition modeling is biased and ill-informs administrations relying on its forecasts.

In recent months, the IEA has forecast much lower global oil demand growth than OPEC and other forecasters, saying that rising energy efficiency and electric vehicle uptake would dent oil demand growth.

In its latest monthly assessment, the IEA raised last week its 2024 outlook on global oil demand growth, by 110,000 barrels per day (bpd) from the February report. The Paris-based agency revised up its demand growth projection to 1.3 million bpd for 2024, compared to 1.2 million bpd expected in last month’s report.

Despite the increased demand growth outlook, the IEA’s view on oil consumption growth continues to be much more conservative than OPEC’s.

OPEC expects global oil demand to expand by a “robust” 2.2 million bpd in 2024, and to see another 1.8 million bpd annual growth in 2025.

The IEA also predicted last year that demand for all three fossil fuels – oil, gas, and coal – would peak by the end of this decade.

 

By Tsvetana Paraskova for Oilprice.com