问答:埃克森美孚公司率先开发二叠纪和圭亚那

埃克森美孚上游总裁 Liam Mallon 讨论了在埃克森美孚合并 25 周年之际 XOM 液体产量如何创下 40 年来的新高,以及未来的计划。

11 月,埃克森美孚宣布其液体产量达到 40 多年来的最高水平,达到近 320 万桶/天。总产量也飙升至近 460 万桶/天。(来源:Shutterstock)

25年前的1999年11月30日,埃克森与美孚合并完成,成为当时历史上最大的企业合并案。

今年,埃克森美孚以 600 亿美元收购了米德兰盆地的先锋自然资源公司,完成了其自那时以来最大的一笔收购。

11 月,埃克森美孚宣布其液体原油产量创下 40 多年来的最高水平,达到近 320 万桶/日。总产量也飙升至近 460 万桶/日。

在二叠纪盆地和圭亚那深水区的带动下,预计到 2027 年产量将激增至 500 万桶油当量/天以上。

这一增长由埃克森美孚上游业务总裁利亚姆·马龙 (Liam Mallon) 负责。马龙出生于爱尔兰,于 1990 年在苏格兰阿伯丁加入美孚,后来在尼日利亚、澳大利亚、加拿大、马来西亚任职,现在在德克萨斯州负责埃克森美孚的全球上游业务。

Mallon 与 Hart Energy 编辑总监 Jordan Blum 在埃克森美孚位于德克萨斯州斯普林的总部坐下来讨论上游增长等问题。

乔丹·布鲁姆:今年是埃克森美孚和美孚合并 25 周年。这对公司来说具有怎样的革命性意义?您认为从那时到现在,作为美洲最大的石油和天然气生产商,公司的发展将如何?

利亚姆·马龙:宣布收购消息时,我正和美孚公司一起在尼日利亚。回首往事,你仍会记得生命中的这些时刻。你可以想象,当时我们中的许多人既兴奋又焦虑。25 年后的今天,我本人也身处其中,说实话,当时我可能从未想象过这样的情况。所以,这非常令人兴奋。我是一名职业石油和天然气上游石油工程师。我对我们所做的事情充满热情。我对这个行业充满热情,就像 25 年前一样。

就我个人而言,我参与了其中,几年后又收购了XTO [Energy]。当然,还有Pioneer交易。回顾过去,在所有这些时期,我们的产量约为 450 万桶油当量/天。今天,我们的产量约为 [第三季度 460 万桶油当量/天],并且随着我们的发展,这一数字将大幅增长。我认为这证明了人们的聪明才智,如果你仔细想想,这是一个耗竭业务。这是一个耗竭业务,耗竭率为 5% 到 7% 到 10%——取决于你在计算中包含了多少投资。它每年都以这个速度耗竭。然而,25 年后,我们作为埃克森美孚,产量几乎相同。从这个角度来看,这相当惊人。特别是近年来,这样做并大幅降低我们的排放强度,这是一个非常令人满意的提议。很多事情已经改变,但很多事情还是一样。今年 10 月,我在这个行业工作已经 40 年了。

JB:恭喜。

LM:我走进第一份石油工程工作岗位的那一刻,感觉就像昨天一样。真是一段漫长的旅程。

JB:当时您在尼日利亚。当然,埃克森美孚在全球仍然非常庞大,但可能越来越以美洲为中心,包括页岩和圭亚那。我想稍微谈谈先锋公司交易,听听您如何看待这对公司来说是多么大的变革,以及整合、评估土地和所有相关事宜进展如何?

LM:显然,二叠纪盆地非常重要,但我们在全球的足迹仍然非常广泛,甚至在尼日利亚也有很大足迹,正如我们所说的那样。我们仍然拥有非常庞大、非常多样化的投资组合,涵盖所有资源主题,无论是致密油、致密气、常规油、常规气、液化天然气、深水等。

至于 Permian 和 Pioneer,我会用你用过的词——我相信这将是变革性的。对我们来说,这是战略并购,我们对这类机会非常挑剔。我们真的希望找到一个机会,让我们能够带来竞争优势,在这个特定案例中,将我们独特的竞争优势带给一家拥有优秀人才、拥有独特竞争优势的伟大公司。

因此,我们经常谈论的是将两家公司的优势结合起来,这是先锋公司与埃克森美孚公司合并的一个非常明确的原则。我们并没有真正将其视为一项收购。从规模和数量的角度来看,我们认为这是二叠纪盆地内部的平等合并。最重要的是,它让我们能够建立一个极其关键的连续的油田。它为我们提供了迄今为止业内最大的未开发油井库存。这为我们提供了非常独特的机会来应用我们的开发方法和技术,并将两家公司的优势结合起来,而这些是单独无法做到的,除非你将所有这些结合起来。

库存的连续性和质量确实为我们今后所做的一切奠定了基础。它使我们能够实现净零排放的宏伟目标,并将其应用于更大的足迹,现在我们生产出大量净零排放的二叠纪石油。我认为所有这些组合使这成为二加二等于五的机会。我要告诉你,我们完成这一目标的速度比大多数人预期的要快,我还要告诉你,我们整合的速度比大多数人预期的要快。一切都比预期的要好。

尤其令人欣慰的是,绝大多数 [先锋] 员工都来了并且留下来了。我们专注于确保将两者的优势发挥到极致,让每个人都感到受欢迎,并将他们整合到一个团队中,采用一种共同的方法,这将为我们带来巨大的回报。我们在先锋员工身上看到的能力甚至超出了我们的预期,而且人们对他们的期望很高。我们用我们的员工和能力来实现这一点,我认为我们创造了真正具有变革性的东西。

JB:您谈到了拥有大规模连续的覆盖范围,因此,显然,您可以使用更长的水平段做更多的事情......

LM:水平段越长,压裂强度就越高。我们采用立方体方法,即开发方法,当然,行业会继续将这种方法发展到最佳状态。我们采用这种方法,现在可以将其大规模应用于更大的范围。我们能够钻更长的水平段,今年我们已经钻了几个 4 英里长的水平段,并且能够扩大空间并提高压裂强度。我们相信,我们最终将实现比以前更高的采收率。我们是这一理念的坚定支持者,并将我们的技术应用于此。不过,我要告诉你,同样令人鼓舞的是,我们在 Pioneer 方面看到了很多同样引人注目的做法和方法。它将结合两者的优点,实现一些我认为甚至超出我们预期的东西。

JB:目前,许多公司必须更多地关注二线或三线油田。他们面临着更高的费用和更低的每桶油当量现金流。这实际上不是您目前需要担心的事情吗?

LM:库存状况和质量都远高于我们投资门槛,行业称之为一级,而且这种状况会持续很长时间。较低级别的库存也相当可观,我相信我们最终会随着时间的推移提高效率,并使质量同样有效。显然,两个关键点是从效率的角度进行引导,从效率和复苏两个角度制定最佳发展计划。

我们相信,我们的方法始终是最以价值为导向的,这始终是我们的目标。我们一直非常清楚,我们追求的是最高的 NPV(净现值)或最高的开发价值。当我们能够将其与领先的效率和领先的采收率相结合时,您就会创造一个进步。在早期,我认为您会看到我们的效率指标在钻井方面和完井方面都非常非常强大。标准化这些数据总是很难,因为它取决于效率。但持续测量它相当容易。我们对此充满信心。

JB:关于将立方体开发与 Pioneer 的一些最佳实践相融合,以及进行哪些调整,您能说说吗?

LM:我认为您将看到的是间距和压裂密度的持续调整。我们公开谈论我们的立方体方法。[行业]倾向于使用这些术语。一些最佳基准,尽管现在不那么常用了。很多人谈论共同开发,这是一种伪立方体,但不一定是整个堆栈。然后我们在立方体中追求整个堆栈,随着您在该堆栈中进行优化和学习,您将看到立方体的演变。最佳间距是多少?最佳压裂强度是多少?最佳执行开发计划是什么?我只能说,我们带来的神奇配方不会与其他人带来的相同。我认为我们能够非常迅速地转向对所有土地的综合计划,这远远超出了我们的预期。我们原以为,我们只需要再花一点时间就能让两种方法正常化,达到我们认为的最佳状态。我们很快就达到了这一点。最佳状态总是在不断发展,但我们比预期的更快达到了这一点。我认为这部分是因为整个人员的整合。

JB:现在你们在米德兰盆地的规模已经大了很多,你们对新兴区域有什么想法吗,比如巴内特-伍德福德?或者你们现在还不需要担心这些?

LM:当然,我们会考虑这一点。但我们专注于将这两个组织合并在一起,安全地做到这一点,履行我们对净零排放的承诺,并从综合开发中获得价值。还有其他值得关注的领域。我们在美国许多盆地仍然活跃,我们在巴肯的产量仍超过 100,000 桶油当量/天。我们仍在 Eagle Ford 活跃。我们仍在阿巴拉契亚和海恩斯维尔活跃。也许除了 DJ(丹佛-朱尔斯堡盆地),我们几乎在所有盆地都很活跃。显然,鉴于其重要性,重点是二叠纪。我想说我们会继续测试,但我们有太多事情要做。今天,我们总共运行着近 40 个钻井平台。我们正致力于执行一项大规模的活动。

JB:在我不再讨论二叠纪之前,您能比较一下埃克森在米德兰和特拉华州的立场吗?你们在新墨西哥州显然规模巨大,但现在在米德兰的规模更大。

LM: Pioneer 的油田全部在 Midland,这也是此次收购的驱动因素。我们的 [Midland] 库存越来越少。我们在特拉华州的地位非常高,我们主要关注 Poker Lake,但特拉华州还有其他地区。Big Eddy 是一个非常有前景、评价很高的地区,是我们未来开发计划的一部分。特拉华州在某些区域更深,压力更大,这也意味着成本更高。但从质量和盈利能力的角度来看,它们都是世界级的优势资产。我们对特拉华州的地位和 Midland 油田的关注程度是一样的。我认为特拉华州的未钻探或未开发库存较高,但现在随着我们收购 Pioneer,您开始看到库存变得更加均衡。但毫无疑问,特拉华州更早。

在基础设施使用方面,各州之间存在巨大差异。在特拉华州,我们选择在很大程度上掌控自己的命运。我们建造了自己的天然气处理设施。我们参与了管道股权承购,我认为,随着我们继续开发该资源,这将给我们带来巨大的回报。我认为建造牛仔工厂是一个关键的战略决策,而且它的表现非常非常好。

先锋种植面积
(来源:埃克森美孚)

JB:不久前,你们又将 Wink 引入了 Webster Pipeline,现在你们又有了 Sentinel Midstream 合资企业。

LM:这给了我们一个优势,因为我们已将整个炼油系统整合在一起。我们可以并且将利用这些资产来发挥我们的优势,无论是调合、交易还是其他活动,如果你与所有这些隔绝,你就无法进行这些活动。我们仍然依赖第三方。我们无法完全掌控自己的命运。我们主要在特拉华州进行。在米德兰,这不那么重要,因为已经建造了太多基础设施。你不一定需要贯穿整个价值链。这一优势一直是我们价值主张的一部分。我们看到它不断发展,它与我们在炼油系统中进行的一些扩展有关,以便能够利用天然气和原油方面的优势。

JB:稍微换个话题。显然,先锋能源的交易让您领先一步。但总体而言,能源行业显然出现了一波并购浪潮。随着行业继续整合,规模不会变小,但参与者会越来越少,您认为这种情况会如何发展?

LM:从埃克森美孚的角度来看,我们继续认为石油和天然气发挥着至关重要的作用。因此,我们将继续预测增长。这就是我们一直在做的事情,也是我们将继续做的事情。同时,继续致力于实现我们的排放强度目标。回到我开始的地方,这是消耗业务。因此,要发展,您不仅要抵消消耗。而且,正如上游的情况一样,勘探仍然很重要,当然,我们在该领域仍然非常活跃。继续寻找和开发技术对于实现这一目标仍然很重要。从历史上看,该行业的大部分增长来自技术突破,无论是那些解锁致密油和致密气的技术,还是地震处理或油藏管理技术。如果你看看世界上的大型油田,它们在很大程度上是由于多年来的技术突破而变得更大。因此,探索、技术突破,当然还有收购可能发挥的作用,这取决于您的个人目标。

我认为收购将继续对我们发挥重要作用,但我们只对那些能够让我们以独特方式利用优势的战略主张感兴趣。这绝对是关键。寻找机会并在正确的时间追求它,是我们始终关注的事情,看看这些机会在哪里。你可以讨论整合。这会减少那些[机会]吗?我想说,这是不断变化的,但对我们来说更重要的是,是否有独特的价值主张?我们能否以一种真正有意义的方式利用它,而不仅仅是直接估值?

JB:我想马上谈谈一些勘探成功案例。但很快继续谈并购。显然,不仅仅是埃克森先锋,还有许多其他交易,你们将进行大量非核心资产剥离,很多公司都在这样做。你们正在考虑出售巴肯?也许是一些非核心的二叠纪和中央盆地平台或新墨西哥的部分地区?你能详细说明一下你们正在考虑做什么以及在不久的将来会发生什么吗?

(编者注:此次采访后不久,埃克森美孚同意将位于西德克萨斯州和新墨西哥州的成熟的常规二叠纪盆地资产以约 10 亿美元的价格出售给 Hilcorp Energy。)

LM:早在 2019 年,我们就对外明确表示,当时我们设定了一个非常雄心勃勃的目标,即出售 150 亿美元的资产。我们基本上实现了这个目标。再说一次,我们处于增长业务中。我认为,剥离非常成熟的资产对我们来说是合理的,坦率地说,其他人可以带来的优势可能与我们的优势不符,或者我们可能无法为我们想要做的一切提供资源。以非常规立场进行核心化是有道理的,我认为您看到我们所做的就是核心化那些具有足够规模、运营空间和潜力的资产,以便我们能够继续利用我们的优势。

需要明确的是,我们并没有完全退出巴肯。我们正在与一些优秀的合作伙伴一起抓住非常好的机会。其余的都相当成熟,有很多干气。我们一直在开采大量老干气。巴奈特页岩就是一个很好的例子。最近你们看到了一些事情,比如费耶特维尔等。我想说的是,在非常古老、成熟的干气田中,我们发挥独特竞争优势的空间有限。

根据我所说的,我认为你会看到撤资继续发挥作用。但我想说,回顾 2019 年至今,我们还有很多工作要做来收紧投资组合。随着我们前进,这将是一个平衡增长目标和撤资应用的问题。它仍然是战略的重要组成部分,但可能比过去几年少了一点。随着资源枯竭、成熟和市场调整,这种情况也会随着时间的推移而改变。

JB:说到南美洲,我想去圭亚那,这显然是一个巨大的成功。但在我们讨论细节之前,我想听听你对这一发现几乎失败的原因的看法。你能详细解释一下吗?

圭亚那
埃克森美孚的 Liza Unity FPSO 在圭亚那近海深水区作业。(来源:埃克森美孚)

LM:并不是说这件事几乎没发生过。如果你回顾圭亚那的历史,就会发现这在某种程度上是勘探的本质。作为一个盆地,圭亚那在 20 世纪 60 年代和 70 年代钻了几口井。当时人们认为那里有碳氢化合物,因为苏里南有一个重油田,至今仍在生产。因此,地质学家和地球科学家知道某处有烃源岩。问题是在哪里,对吧?人们假设它位于浅水区,并在那里进行勘探,但一无所获。然后,我们的团队在 21 世纪初提出的假设是,它可能位于深水区。当然,当时的技术还没有今天那么先进。成像技术也没有今天那么先进。然后,这个国家,这项活动在相当长的一段时间内处于不可抗力状态。

我认为这是一个独特的命题假设,唯一的验证方法就是去钻井。这些井钻井成本高,风险也高。人们谈论的是政府合同。相对于承担的风险,合同非常公平。我认为这得到了广泛认可。我们制定了一个方案。壳牌退出了,我们各占一半股份。我们选择寻找合作伙伴来管理风险。赫斯公司和当时的尼克森公司加入了进来,后者很快变成了今天的中海油。当我们在数据室推销地震线路时,它和我们钻第一口井的地震线路是一样的。很多公司来查看它,只有两家竞标者是我之前提到的。其中一些是世界上最大、最好的公司。

然后我们开始钻探成功案例。我讲的故事是,我们钻的第二口井是干井。这就是我们所从事的业务。只有时间才能证明,但如果你先钻了那口井,你可能就不会继续下去了。这只是一个事实。所以,对我来说,它所讲述的只是勘探的性质。从定义上讲,它仍然是一项高风险的业务,需要独特的能力来辨别这种潜力可能导致圭亚那之类的地方。所以这真的是背景。​​但是,我们做出了发现。

我从一开始就参与了这个项目。2015 年,我刚到乔治敦(圭亚那首都),很早以前就在那里。我们开发的速度非常快,从零发展到现在,产量超过 60 万桶/天(9 月份为 66 万桶/天),到 2027 年,我们将在很短的时间内达到我们所说的 120 万桶/天的产能,这种速度在深水行业是前所未有的。我确实把这归功于能力、合作伙伴关系,坦率地说,还有它的高质量。岩石质量很高,地下质量很好,但我们也利用我们的技术做了大量工作来改进它。举例来说,这些船(FPSO)的设计产量为 60 万桶/天。如今,我们的产量(几乎)增加了 10 万桶/天。我们正在优化瓶颈消除,寻找方法来实现超出我们预期的目标。而且,这一过程还在继续。这是一个令人难以置信的成功故事。

合作伙伴关系、政府关系、我们与合作伙伴SBM(海上)MODEC、海底合作伙伴TechnipFMC签订合同的方式,以及我们与 Hess 和中国公司合作的质量。将所有这些与我们拥有的最佳能力结合起来,无论是钻井、项目管理、运营还是其他任何方面。这样您就可以了解我们业务成功的基本情况。游戏的结局将是重复这一点。

(来源:埃克森美孚)
(来源:埃克森美孚)

JB:你们现在有三艘 FPSO,未来三年每年还会有三艘。

LM:他们每年都会来一次,我们仍在探索。当然,我们希望能够取得进一步的进展。我们还没有准备好谈论这些。我想你已经看到,我们为第七艘船 Hammerhead 提交了环境影响评估。这已经完成并正在推进,我们仍在探索。我们今天在那里有五个钻井平台。这是一个非常大的区域。我们仍然相信那里会有更大的潜力。

JB:第四个项目 Yellowtail 计划于明年投产。我们知道 2025 年具体什么时候投产吗?

LM:我们说过会在年底前实现。

JB:显然,那里有很多发展空间。您还与苏里南的 Petronas 合作,我认为您已经发现了三个油田。您能谈谈这些进展吗?

LM:苏里南的进展稍早一些。它的气油比 (GOR) 稍高一些。我认为您看到TotalEnergies正在推进其中的第一项。它仍处于该过程的早期阶段。它需要更多评估、更多定义和进一步探索,但它处于该过程的早期阶段。

JB:我们谈论了更多石油问题,但我想了解一下您对天然气和液化天然气的看好程度,以及 Golden Pass LNG 的情况。显然,获得 (FERC) 时间延长是件好事。

LM:是的,FERC 扩展。我们战略上游的重大增长领域是致密油、深水和液化天然气。这些领域是我们继续优化的庞大基础之上的。但是,从增长领域来看,我们看到了我们的优势和潜力。液化天然气效率极高,排放量低,用途广泛,我们相信市场在未来很长一段时间内都会保持非常非常强劲。大型液化天然气项目并不多,因此参与关键项目对我们来说非常重要。我们的目标是到 2030 年将总销售量增加到约 4000 万吨/年。目前,我们的销售量约为 2000 万吨/年,但这至关重要。Golden Pass 是这一增长的关键部分。

此外,我们对卡塔尔的一些新扩建项目感兴趣,比如莫桑比克(鲁伍马液化天然气)和巴布亚新几内亚(巴布亚新几内亚的 PNG 液化天然气),它们都是在这段时间的末尾开始投产的。所以,到 2030 年,它们的数量实际上并没有达到我所说的那个数字。我们相信,液化天然气在能源转型中带来的多功能性在任何情况下都非常高。因此,在短期内,Golden Pass 的建设有些延误。但我们相信,第一批液化天然气现在将在 2025 年底投产,而且我们正在朝着这个目标前进。我们宣传的建设挑战基本上已经过去了,现场的人员也已经大大增加。第一列火车已经完成了大约 80%。我们按照我们对外传达的第一批液化天然气的进度按计划进行。这是增长的重要来源,因为我们的合作伙伴是卡塔尔能源公司,我们各自都有自己的承购权。这也与最初的设置不同。这将由一个单独的实体进行营销。一两年前,情况发生了变化,现在我们和卡塔尔能源公司都有承购权。这对我们很重要,因为这些数量,特别是考虑到我们的贸易增长,是关键。我们继续非常积极地从一些(液化天然气)开发商那里进行第三方购买。您已经看到其中一些开发商宣布成为承购商。

重要且具有战略意义的是增加我们的股权地位。我们参与了卡塔尔的 NFE(北气田东)扩建项目,不是第二个项目 NFS(北气田南),而是第一个项目。该项目正在建设中。当然,莫桑比克和巴布亚新几内亚对我们来说非常重要,而且都很重要。莫桑比克的 4 号区域天然气储量接近 90 万亿立方英尺。想想重要性和规模,这就是我们所需要的,我们拥有的增长目标非常重要。获得股权并能够开发股权并将其纳入投资组合才是真正的目标。这些都是巨大的项目,潜力巨大。我们知道如何进行这些非常困难的开发。从战略上来说,这是我们喜欢依靠的事情。

JB:显然,美国的二叠纪、海恩斯维尔和阿巴拉契亚地区拥有丰富的天然气伴生气。

LM:我们拥有丰富的天然气资源。所有这些。我认为,随着时间的推移,它们都将成为许多低碳产品的重要供应,无论是液化天然气转化、低碳电力还是数据中心。

JB:是的,国内需求不断上升。

LM:需求前景非常强劲。坦率地说,我们非常有能力将这些资产用于多种最终用途。这使其更具吸引力。美国还有大量剩余资源,而且优势相当明显。

JB:您还能强调一下埃克森上游的未来吗——国内和边境勘探?

LM:从战略上讲,我们在整个周期中继续保持专注和纪律。我们创建了一个非常有弹性的投资组合,您已经看到它发挥了作用。这是一组极好的优势机会,我们仍在执行这些机会。我们的业绩相当出色。我们达到或超过了上游业绩,这些业绩非常雄心勃勃。自 2018 年我们从一个相当艰难的处境开始制定上游战略以来,情况发生了转变。

我认为我们正在做的是继续扩大这一范围。我们已经创建了一个极具弹性的投资组合,并且需要继续更新。没有人能够预测价格周期,但能够创造这种弹性将使我们处于非常非常有利的位置。显然,这其中存在未知数。作为一家科技公司,我们高度集中精力,继续寻找方法改善二叠纪盆地和其他我们战略上讨论过的地方的采收率。这真的很重要,因为我认为这实际上推动了很多创新,在实现我们的减排强度目标的同时做到了这一切。我们正朝着这个方向前进,甚至领先一步。这是一个非常激励人心的战略,引起了共鸣。我们为自己在能源转型中的领导作用感到非常自豪。但我们仍然相信石油和天然气将是根本。只要我们保持纪律,保持在供应曲线的左侧,并保持该投资组合的弹性,这应该是一个非常成功的商业案例。

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Q&A: Exxon Mobil Pioneers the Permian and Guyana

Liam Mallon, Exxon Mobil’s upstream president, discusses how XOM liquids production has hit a 40-year high on the 25th anniversary of the Exxon-Mobil merger, and plans for the future.

In November, Exxon Mobil announced its highest liquids production in more than 40 years, hitting almost 3.2 MMbbl/d. Overall production also spiked to nearly 4.6 MMboe/d. (Source: Shutterstock)

The Exxon and Mobil merger closed 25 years ago on Nov. 30, 1999, marking the biggest corporate merger ever at the time.

This year, Exxon Mobil closed its biggest acquisition since then with its purchase of Pioneer Natural Resources in the Midland Basin for $60 billion.

In November, Exxon Mobil announced its highest liquids production in more than 40 years, hitting almost 3.2 MMbbl/d. Overall production also spiked to nearly 4.6 MMboe/d.

Led by the Permian and deepwater Guyana, volumes are expected to surge to more than 5 MMboe/d by 2027.

This growth is overseen by Liam Mallon, Exxon Mobil’s upstream president. A native of Ireland, Mallon joined Mobil in 1990 in Aberdeen, Scotland, later serving in Nigeria, Australia, Canada, Malaysia and, now, in Texas overseeing Exxon Mobil’s global upstream operations.

Mallon sat down with Hart Energy Editorial Director Jordan Blum at Exxon’s Spring, Texas, headquarters to discuss the upstream growth and much more.

Jordan Blum: It’s the 25th anniversary of the Exxon and Mobil merger. How revolutionary was that for the company, and how do you see things evolving from then to today as the biggest oil and gas producer in the Americas?

Liam Mallon: I was in Nigeria with Mobil when it was announced. You still remember these moments in your life when you look back. As you can imagine at that time, for many of us it was filled with excitement but also anxiety. Here we are 25 years later, and here I am personally, and truthfully probably never would’ve envisioned that at that time. So, it is pretty exciting. I’m a career oil and gas upstream petroleum engineer. I’m passionate about what we do. I’m passionate about this industry, and was as passionate then 25 years ago.

For me, personally, being part of that, and then several years later acquiring XTO [Energy]. And then, of course, the Pioneer transaction. During all those periods, if I go back, we were producing around 4.5 MMboe/d. Today, we’re producing around [4.6 MMboe/d in the third quarter], and we’re going to grow that substantially as we go forward. It’s a testament, I think, to the people, the ingenuity that this is a depletion business if you think about it. This is a depletion business—depleting at 5% to 7% to 10%—depending on how much investment you include in the calculation. And it depletes at that rate every year. And, yet, here we are 25 years later producing, as Exxon Mobil, about the same. It’s pretty staggering when you look at it from that perspective. Particularly in recent years, doing that and reducing our emissions intensity dramatically makes it a very satisfying proposition. Many things have changed, but many things are the same. It’s 40 years for me in the industry this year in October.

JB: Congrats.

LM: And it feels like yesterday when I walked in at my first petroleum engineering job. Quite a journey.

JB: You were in Nigeria at the time. Of course, Exxon Mobil is still very big globally, but increasingly maybe Americas-centric with all things shale and Guyana. I wanted to just hone in on the Pioneer deal a little bit and get your take on just how transformational this is for the company, and how everything’s going with integration, assessing acreage and everything involved?

LM: Obviously, the Permian is very significant, but we still have a very large global footprint with a very large footprint even in Nigeria as we talked about. We still have a very large, very diverse portfolio that is across all the resource themes, whether it’s tight oil, tight gas, conventional oil, conventional gas, LNG, deepwater, etc.

As it relates to the Permian and Pioneer, I would use the word that you used—I do believe this will be transformational. This, for us, was strategic M&A, and we are very selective about those kinds of opportunities. We really look to find an opportunity where we can bring our competitive advantages and, in this particular case, bring our unique competitive advantages to a great, great company with great people that have their own unique competitive advantages.

So, what we talk a lot about is bringing the best of both, and that was a very clear principle in this Pioneer-Exxon Mobil combination. We didn’t really view it as an acquisition. We viewed it as a merger of equals within the Permian from a size perspective and volume perspective. What it allowed us to do was to establish, most importantly, a hugely critical, contiguous acreage position. It’s given us the largest inventory of undeveloped wells by far in the industry. That gives us some very unique opportunities to apply our development approaches, our technologies, and bring together the best of both capabilities that you really couldn’t do separately until you stitched all this together.

The contiguous nature and the quality of the inventory really sets the foundation for everything we’ll do from here. It allowed us to bring our net-zero ambitions and apply it to an even bigger footprint, and now produce a significantly larger quantity of Permian oil with net zero emissions. I think all of those combinations made this a two plus two equals five type of opportunity. I would tell you the speed at which we closed on this was quicker than most expected, and I would tell you the speed at which we’ve been integrated is quicker than most expected. It’s going better than expected.

Particularly pleasingly, the vast majority of [Pioneer] people came and stayed. The focus and the effort on ensuring that we bring that best of both, and we make everybody feel welcome and integrate them into one team and one common approach will pay huge dividends for us. The capabilities we see in the Pioneer people exceed even what we expected, and there were high expectations going in. We match that with our people and our capabilities, and I think we built something truly transformational.

JB: You talked about having that massive contiguous footprint, so, obviously, you can do more with longer laterals...

LM: The longer laterals, you can apply higher frac intensities. We take our cube approach, our development approach, which of course industry continues to evolve that approach to optimum. We take that, and we can apply it at scale now to a much bigger footprint. Being able to drill longer laterals, we’ve now drilled several 4-milers this year, and being able to up-space and drive improved frac intensity. We believe we’ll ultimately drive significantly higher recovery than before. We’re a strong proponent of that and bringing our technologies to bear on that. I will tell you though that, equally encouraging, we’ve seen many things on the Pioneer side in terms of practices and approaches that are equally compelling. It will be bringing the best of both to deliver something that I think will be beyond even what we thought going in.

JB: A lot of companies right now have to look more at Tier 2 or 3 acreage. They’re dealing with higher expenses, lower cash flow per boe. That’s not really something you have to be concerned about at this point?

LM: The inventory position, the quality is all well above our investment thresholds with what the industry would call Tier 1, and that lasts for a long time. There is also significant inventory in the lower tiers that I’m confident we will ultimately improve efficiency over time and make that quality work as well. Obviously, two critical things are to lead on an efficiency perspective, to have the optimum development plan from both efficiency and a recovery.

We believe that our approach has always been the most value driven, and that’s always been our objective. We’ve been very clear that we were chasing the highest NPV (net present value) or the highest value development. When we can combine that with the leading efficiency and leading recovery, then you’re going to create a step up. In the early days, I think you’ll see our efficiency metrics are very, very strong on both the drilling side and the completion side. It is always hard to normalize that data because it depends on the efficiency. It’s pretty easy to measure it consistently. We feel confident on that.

JB: Is there anything you can say in terms of melding the cube development with some of the best practices of Pioneer, and any tweaks or adjustments that are being made?

LM: I think what you’re going to see is continued tweaks in spacing and in frac density. We talk openly about our cube approach. [The] industry tends to use these terms. Some best benching, although less so these days. A lot of people talk about co-development, which is sort of a pseudo-cube, but not necessarily the whole stack. And then we’re going after the whole stack in a cube, and you’ll have evolution of cubes as you optimize within that stack and learn as you go. What is the optimum spacing? What’s the optimum frac intensity? What’s the optimum execution development plan? I would just say that’s the magic sauce that we bring that won’t be the same as others bring. What I think we’ve been able to pivot to very quickly is an integrated plan on all the acreage, and it’s well ahead of where we thought we would be. We thought it would take us just a little longer to get to where we could normalize both approaches to what we think is optimum. We’ve very quickly gotten to that point. The optimum will always evolve, but we’ve been quicker to get to that point than we had expected. I think it’s partly because of that whole people integration.

JB: Now that you’re much, much bigger in the Midland Basin of course, are there any thoughts about emerging zones, such as the Barnett-Woodford? Or is that just something you don’t have to worry about quite yet?

LM: Of course, we would look at that. But we’re focused on bringing these two organizations together, do that safely, fulfill our commitments on net zero, and get the value out of the integrated development. There are other benches of interest. We remain active across many basins in the U.S. We’re still producing over 100,000 boe/d in the Bakken. We’re still active in the Eagle Ford. We’re still active in Appalachia and Haynesville. Maybe other than the D-J (Denver-Julesburg Basin), we’re pretty much active in all the basins. Obviously, the focus is the Permian given the significance. I’d say we continue to test that, but we have so much on our plate. Today, we’re running close to 40 rigs combined. It’s a massive scale of activity that we’re focused on executing.

JB: Before I pivot away from the Permian, can I get you to compare and contrast Exxon’s Midland and Delaware positions? You’ve obviously been huge in New Mexico, but now much bigger in the Midland.

LM: The Pioneer acreage is all Midland, which was the driver for the acquisition. Our [Midland] inventory was getting low. We have an incredible position in the Delaware and we’ve been primarily focused on Poker Lake, but there are other Delaware areas. Big Eddy is a very prospective, well-appraised area that is part of our future development plans. The Delaware is a little deeper on some of the zones, a little higher pressure, and that also means it’s a little higher cost. But, from a quality and profitability perspective, they’re both world-class, advantaged assets. Our focus is equally on our position in the Delaware as it is on the Midland acreage. I’d say the undrilled or undeveloped inventory is higher in the Delaware, but now you start to see that inventory getting more equalized as we brought in Pioneer. But, no question, Delaware is earlier.

There are vast differences in one state versus the other in terms of access to infrastructure. In Delaware, we elected to largely control our own destiny. We built out our own gas processing. We’ve participated in pipeline equity offtake, and I think that’s going to pay huge dividends to us as we go forward and develop that resource. I think that was a key strategic decision to build that Cowboy plant, and it’s performing very, very well.

Pioneer acreage
(Source: Exxon Mobil)

JB: And then you brought on the Wink to Webster Pipeline not too long ago, and you have the Sentinel Midstream joint venture now.

LM: It gives us an advantage because we’re integrated the whole way through the refining system. We can and will use those assets to our advantage, either blending or trading or other activities that you can’t do if you’re isolated from all that. We still have a reliance on third parties. We don’t have total control over our own destiny. Primarily, we do out of the Delaware. In the Midland, it’s less important because there is so much infrastructure that’s built. You don’t necessarily need to be all the way through that value chain. That advantage was always part of our value proposition. We see it evolving, and it’s linked to some of the expansions we’ve made in our refining systems to be able to take advantage of that both on the gas and the crude side.

JB: Switching gears just a little bit. Obviously, you got ahead of things with the Pioneer deal. But there’s clearly been a big wave of energy M&A overall. How do you see that continuing to unfold as the industry continues to consolidate and, not get smaller, but have fewer players?

LM: From an Exxon Mobil perspective, we continue to see a vital role for oil and gas. As such, we continue to project growth. That’s what we’ve been doing and that’s what we aim to continue to do. At the same time, continue to commit to our emission intensity goals. Back to where I started, it is depletion business. So, to grow, you have to not only offset depletion. And, as has always been the case in the upstream, exploration remains important and, certainly, we strategically remain very active in that space. Continuing to find and develop technology remains important to achieving that objective. Historically, much of the industry’s growth has come from technology breakthroughs, whether it’s those that unlocked tight oil and tight gas, or seismic processing or reservoir management techniques. If you look at the large fields in the world, they’ve largely gotten bigger due to technology breakthroughs over the years. So, exploration, technology breakthroughs and then, of course, the role that acquisitions may play depending on your individual objective.

I think acquisitions will continue to play an important role for us, but we would only have interest where we saw a strategic proposition that allowed us to take advantage in a unique way. That is absolutely the key. Finding that opportunity and then pursuing it at the right time is something that we will always look to see where those opportunities exist. You can debate consolidation. Does that lessen those [opportunities]? I would say that continually changes, but more important for us, is there a unique value proposition? And can we exploit it in a way that really does make sense beyond straight valuation?

JB: I want to pivot in a minute to some of those exploration successes. But continuing on M&A quickly. Obviously, not just from Exxon-Pioneer, but from lots of other deals, you’ll have lots of non-core divestments, a lot of companies are doing that. You’re looking at possible Bakken sales? Maybe some non-core Permian and Central Basin Platform or parts of New Mexico? How much can you elaborate on what you are looking to do and what might happen in the not-so-distant future?

(Editor’s note: Shortly after this interview, Exxon agreed to sell about $1 billion of mature, conventional Permian Basin assets in West Texas and New Mexico to Hilcorp Energy.)

LM: We were very clear externally back in 2019 when we set a very ambitious goal of $15 billion of asset sales. We’ve largely achieved that. Again, we are in a growth business. I think divesting very, very mature assets where, frankly, others can bring advantages that might not play to our strengths, or we may not be able to resource everything we want to do, makes sense for us. Coring up in our unconventional position has made sense, and I think that’s what you’ve seen us do is core up those assets that have enough scale, running room and potential for us to be able to continue to exploit our advantages.

To be clear, we’re not [fully] exiting the Bakken. We’re taking advantage of really good opportunities with some great partners. And the rest of it is fairly mature, a lot of dry gas. We’ve been exiting a lot of old dry gas. The Barnett [Shale] is a good example. Some of the recent stuff you’ve seen, Fayetteville and things like that. I would say very old, mature dry gas fields where we saw limited room for us to bring our unique competitive advantages.

I think you’re going to see divestment continue to play a role based on what I’ve told you. But I would say, as you look at that 2019 period to today, we have more to do to tighten the portfolio. As we go forward, it’ll be a question of balancing that growth objective with the applications of divestments. It’ll still be an important piece of the strategy, but perhaps a little less than the last few years. That will change over time, too, as depletion sets in and maturity sets in and the markets adjust.

JB: Pivoting to South America, I wanted to go in on Guyana, which is obviously a huge success. But before we get into any of the details, I was hoping to get your take on how the discovery almost didn’t happen. Can you elaborate on that?

Guyana
Exxon Mobil’s Liza Unity FPSO operates in the deep waters offshore Guyana. (Source: Exxon Mobil)

LM: It was not that it almost didn’t happen. If you go back and trace the history of Guyana, this is the nature of exploration to some extent. As a basin, several wells were drilled in Guyana through the ’60s, ’70s. The proposition was that there were hydrocarbons there because there was a heavy oil field which still produces today in Suriname. So, the geologists, the geoscientists know there’s a source rock somewhere. The question is where, right? People were postulating it was in the shallow waters and exploring there and found nothing. Then the hypothesis that our team came up in the early part of the 2000s was that it’s potentially out in the deeper water. Of course, technology at that time wasn’t where it is today. Imaging wasn’t where it is today. And then the country, the activity was under force majeure for quite some time.

I think it was kind of a unique proposition hypothesis and the only way to test it was to go drill it. And these were expensive wells to drill and high risk. And people talk about the [government] contract. The contract is very fair relative to the risk that was taken. I think that’s widely acknowledged. We put together a proposition. Shell exited; we were 50:50. We elected to seek partners to manage that risk. Hess (Corp.) and, at the time, Nexen came in, which soon became CNOOC, which it is today. When we marketed the seismic line in the data room, it’s the same seismic line we drilled the first well on. A lot of companies came and looked at it, and the only two bidders were the ones that I told you about. Some of the biggest, best companies in the world.

And then we drill the success case. The story I tell is the second well we drilled was dry. It’s the business we’re in. Only time could tell, but if you had drilled that well first you might not have gone on. That’s just a fact. So, to me, all it talks to is the nature of exploration. By definition, it is still a business that has high risk and takes unique capabilities to discern where that potential might lead to something like Guyana. So that’s really the background. But, we made the discovery.

I’ve been with this from the very start. I was in Georgetown (capital of Guyana) in 2015, very early. And the pace at which we’ve developed this, we’ve gone from zero to now, today, greater than 600,000 bbl/d (660,000 bbl/d in September), and we’ll grow to the 1.2 MMbbl/d capacity we talked about by 2027 in a very short period of time at a pace that we’ve never seen in the deepwater industry. I do put that down to capabilities, partnerships and, frankly, it’s high quality. The rocks are very high quality, the subsurface is very good, but we’ve also done an incredible amount of things with our technologies to improve it. These boats (FPSOs), for example, let’s say they’re designed for 600,000 bbl/d. We’re producing (almost) 100,000 bbl/d more today. We’re optimizing debottlenecking, finding ways to do more than we thought we could do. And that just continues. It’s an incredible success story.

The partnership, the government relationship, the way we contracted this with our partners, SBM (Offshore), MODEC, our subsea partners, TechnipFMC, and the quality of our partnership with Hess and the Chinese. You couple all that with the best we have with our capabilities, whether it’s drilling, project management, operations, whatever it is. And you get the basics of what success looks like in our business. The end of the game would be to repeat that.

(Source: Exxon Mobil)
(Source: Exxon Mobil)

JB: You have the three FPSOs on now, and then three more to go each of the next three years.

LM: They have been coming on roughly one a year, and we’re still exploring. Of course, we hope to be able to also progress additional developments. We’re not yet ready to talk about those. I think you’ve seen that we put in an environmental impact assessment for a seventh boat, Hammerhead. That’s already in and progressing, and we’re still exploring. We have five rigs down there today. It’s a very large area. We continue to have confidence that there’ll be more potential there.

JB: The fourth project, Yellowtail, is slated to come online next year. Do we know about when in 2025?

LM: By the end of the year is what we’ve said.

JB: Obviously, there’s a lot of runway there. You’re also working with Petronas in Suriname, and I think you’ve made three discoveries. Is there anything you can say about that progress?

LM: It’s a little earlier in Suriname. It’s a little higher GOR (gas-oil ratio). I think you saw TotalEnergies progressing the first of those. It’s still early in that process. It needs more appraisal, needs more definition and further exploration, but it’s much earlier in that process.

JB: We’ve talked more oil, but I wanted to get your take on your bullishness for gas and LNG, and how things are looking with Golden Pass LNG. Obviously, it’s nice getting that (FERC) time extension.

LM: Yes, the FERC extension. Our strategic upstream, big growth areas for us were tight oil, deepwater and LNG. That’s on top of a very large base that we’re continuing to optimize. But, from the growth areas, that’s where we see our advantages and the potential. LNG, it’s unbelievably efficient, it’s low emissions, it’s very versatile and we believe the market will remain very, very strong well into the future. There’s not a lot of big LNG projects, so being in the critical ones is really important to us. We’ve stated an objective to grow our total sales to about 40 mtpa (million tonnes per annum) by 2030. Today, we’re sitting around mid-20s mtpa, but that’s critical. Golden Pass is a key piece of that growth.

Also, there’s our interest in some of the Qatar new expansions, the Mozambiques (Rovuma LNG) and the PNGs (PNG LNG in Papua New Guinea), they start to come on right at the end of that period. So, they’re not really in that number that I talked about by 2030. We believe the versatility that LNG will bring in the energy transition is really, really high in any scenario you like to think about. So, in the near term, with Golden Pass we’ve had some delays. But first LNG is now end of 2025, we believe, and we’re on track for that. The construction challenge that was publicized is largely behind us, and personnel have ramped back up at that site quite significantly. That first train is about 80% complete. We’re on schedule with what we’ve communicated externally for first LNG. That’s an important source of growth because our partner is QatarEnergy, and we each access our own offtake. That was also a change from the original setup. This was going to be marketed by a separate entity. That was changed a year or two ago to where QatarEnergy and ourselves now offtake. That’s important to us because those volumes, particularly given our trading growth, are key. We’re continuing to be pretty active in the third-party purchases from some of the (LNG) developers. You’ve seen some of those announced as an offtaker.

Importantly and strategically is growing our equity position. We are participating in the NFE (North Field East) expansion in Qatar, not in the second one, NFS (North Field South), but in the first one. That’s under construction. Of course, Mozambique and PNG are really  important to us and both material. Area 4 in Mozambique is almost 90 Tcf of gas. You think about materiality and scale, which is what we need, the kind of growth objectives we’ve got, they’re really important. Accessing equity and being able to develop that and take it into a portfolio is really what the objective is. These are huge projects, huge potential. We know how to do those really difficult developments. That’s the kind of thing strategically we like to lean into.

JB: Obviously, in the U.S. you have plenty of gas—associated gas in the Permian, Haynesville and Appalachia.

LM: We have a huge gas resource. All of those things. They are all going to be, I suspect in time, vital supplies to many low-carbon products, whether it’s LNG conversion, lower carbon power, data centers.

JB: Yes, rising domestic demand.

LM: The demand outlook is very, very strong. We’re very well positioned with those assets, frankly, into multiple end uses. That makes it even more compelling. There is significant remaining resource in the U.S., and it’s pretty advantaged.

JB: What more can you highlight about the future of Exxon upstream—domestically and frontier exploration?

LM: Strategically, we are continuing to stay focused and disciplined through the cycle. We’ve created a very resilient portfolio, and you’ve seen it play out. It’s a fantastic set of advantaged opportunities that we’re still executing on. Our results are pretty extraordinary. The upstream results we’ve met or exceeded, and they were very ambitious [targets]. It’s been transformational since we put the upstream strategy together back in 2018 when we were starting from a pretty tough position.

What I see us doing is continuing to extend that. We’ve created, and we’ll need to continue to refresh, an extremely resilient portfolio. No one can predict price cycles, but being able to create that resilience positions us very, very well. Obviously, there’s unknowns in that. We are highly focused as a technology company and continuing to find ways to improve recovery in the Permian and other places we’ve talked about strategically. This is really important because I think it’s actually driven a lot of innovation, is doing all this while achieving our emissions intensity reduction objectives. We are on track or ahead on that. It’s a very motivational strategy and is resonating. We’re really proud of our leadership role in the energy transition. But we still believe oil and gas will be fundamental. As long as we stay disciplined and stay on the left-hand side of the supply curve and keep that portfolio very resilient, that should be a very successful business case.

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