GlobalData:巴肯页岩需要更多投资才能实现全面复苏


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GlobalData 分析显示,自 2019 年 11 月产量达到顶峰以来,巴肯页岩油产量持续下降。这家数据和分析公司指出,领先石油和天然气运营商的资本配置稳步增加以及基础设施的改善将重启该地区的生产。

根据GlobalData最新报告《2021年美国巴肯页岩油气页岩油市场分析及2025年展望》,巴肯页岩仅占美国石油产量的11%,天然气产量的2.8%。 2020 年美国 48 国石油价格下降,较 2019 年原油下降 12%,天然气下降 3%。

GlobalData 石油和天然气分析师 Svetlana Doh 评论道:“巴肯页岩的生产受到了 COVID-19 疫情和经济活动限制的不利影响。尽管2021年上半年限制和旅行禁令的放松改善了需求前景,但预计未来五年产量不会达到大流行前的水平。这是因为运营商在增加钻井活动时仍然非常谨慎,而且短期内我们很可能不会看到新钻井平台的租用有任何显着的加速。”

巴肯地区 2019 年平均拥有 55 座钻机,随后降至 2020 年平均 24 座钻机,下降了 79%。

Doh 继续说道:“虽然美国其他盆地的钻机数量有所增加,但巴肯盆地的钻机数量却落后了。最近,钻机数量开始缓慢增加,到2021年6月已达到16台钻机,与去年记录的最低数量相比仅增加了6台钻机。2021 年剩余时间内,西德克萨斯中质原油 (WTI) 期货价格平均为每桶 62 美元,GlobalData 预计钻机数量将略有增加,但不会达到 COVID-19 大流行之前观察到的水平。


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原文链接/oilfieldtechnology

GlobalData: higher investment needed for Bakken Shale to exhibit full recovery

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Bakken shale has experienced a constant decline since production peaked in November 2019, according to analysis by GlobalData. The data and analytics company notes that a steady rise in capital allocation from leading oil and gas operators and infrastructural improvements would reboot production in this region.

According to GlobalData’s latest report, ‘Bakken Shale in the US, 2021 – Oil and Gas Shale Market Analysis and Outlook to 2025’, Bakken Shale accounted for a mere 11% of oil and 2.8% of natural gas production in the US Lower 48 for 2020, which is a drop from 12% for crude oil and 3% for natural gas in 2019.

Svetlana Doh, Oil & Gas Analyst at GlobalData, commented: “Production in the Bakken shale was adversely affected by the COVID-19 outbreak and restrictions on economic activity. Although easing of restrictions and travel bans during H1 2021 have improved demand prospects, production is not expected to reach pre-pandemic levels in the next five years. This is because operators are still being extremely careful in ramping up drilling activities, and most likely we will not see any significant acceleration in hiring new rigs in the near-term.”

The Bakken averaged 55 drilling rigs in 2019, which then decreased to an average of 24 rigs - a 79% drop in 2020.

Doh continued: “While other basins throughout the US have increased their rig count, the Bakken has lagged with its rig count. Lately, the number of rigs has started to slowly increase, and has reached 16 rigs in June 2021, which is just a six-rig increase compared to the lowest number recorded last year. With West Texas Intermediate (WTI) future prices averaging $62 per bbl for the remainder of 2021, GlobalData expects a slight uptick in the rig count but not the level that was observed before the COVID-19 pandemic.”


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US upstream news Shale news Hydraulic fracturing news Oil & gas news