Noble首席执行官:浮式钻井公司将继续受益于海上钻井市场的“多年上升趋势”

总部位于德克萨斯州的海上钻井承包商 Noble Corporation 对其钻井船队的未来机会感到乐观,尤其是浮式钻井平台,因为这家总部位于美国的公司预计日费率和长期交易数量将进一步上升。这将使这家钻井巨头能够提高其船队利用率。随着价值数百万美元的新任务落入囊中,该公司的积压订单总额目前达到 44 亿美元。

Noble Voyager 钻井船;资料来源:来宝公司

由于钻机需求的增加,当前的升级周期使海上钻井领域的所有参与者都能够提高其船队利用率和日费率,正如来宝的同行 Transocean 和 Valaris 所强调的那样,这也增加了他们在该领域的合同积压。 2024 年第一季度分别达到 89 亿美元40 亿美元

在披露2023 年第四季度收益后,Noble 为其钻机队获得了一批新合同和延期合同,合同总价值约为 2.15 亿美元,其中包括动员付款。截至 2024 年 5 月 6 日,这家美国钻探巨头的积压订单总额达44 亿美元

该公司的 Noble Venturer 第七代三星96K钻井船与Trident Energy赤道几内亚获得了一份为期约150天的三井合同,预计将于2024年6月开始。此外,该钻机还被租用用于两口井以及选项,由纳米比亚的Rhino Resources提供,日费率为 410,000 美元,不包括 MPD 服务、动员和复员费的额外费用。

这些新合同预计将直接延续该钻机目前与塔洛的任务,预计该任务将提前结束,部分原因是钻井效率优异。 2014年建造的Noble Venturer钻井船可在12,000英尺的水深下作业,最大钻井深度为40,000英尺。该钻井平台可容纳230人。

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Noble Viking钻井船以 499,000 美元的日费率赢得了菲律宾Prime Energy的三口井加一口井选择权的交易,不包括 MPD 服务、动员和复员的额外费用。 2013 年建造的 Noble Viking 钻井船可容纳 230 人。该钻机最大钻井深度为 40,000 英尺,可在 12,000 英尺水深下作业。

Noble Voyager 钻井船获得 了Petronas苏里南行使的单井选择权,期限至少为60天,日费率为47万美元。 2015年建造的  Noble Voyager  Samsung 96K钻井船可容纳230人。该钻机可在深达 12,000 英尺的水下作业,最大钻井深度为 40,000 英尺。

Noble Innovator 自升式钻井平台最近145,000 美元的日费率BP英国进行了单井扩建。然而,合同中仍有两个井基选项,因此,该钻探任务可能会进一步延长。 2003 年建造的 Noble Innovator 自升式钻井平台采用 Gusto MSC CJ 70 - 150 MC 设计。该钻井平台在韩国蔚山现代重工建造,可容纳 120 人。

Noble Corporation 总裁兼首席执行官 (CEO ) Robert W. Eifler评论道:“我们第一季度的业绩反映了在不断增长的市场中持续强劲的运营业绩,调整后的 EBITDA 与去年同期相比提高了 32%。”

2023 年末深水合同活动短期放缓之后,7G 钻井平台的第一季度合同势头已恢复到上升周期的趋势,大量合同将于今年进入市场,2025 年以及 2026 年项目启动。

来宝在 2024 年第一季度的表现如何?

这家总部位于德克萨斯州的公司 2024 年第一季度 的 合同钻井服务收入 总计为 6.12 亿美元,而 2023 年第四季度为 6.09 亿美元,2023 年第一季度为 5.75 亿美元,环比和年度增长是由船队利用率提高推动的。

虽然该公司 2024 年第一季度的市场船队利用率 为 72%,而上一季度为 68%, 但 2024 年第一季度的合同钻井服务成本 为 3.9 亿美元,高于 2023 年第四季度的 3.74 亿美元,在几个待定合同开始之前,合同准备和动员费用增加。

Noble的 净利润从2023年第四季度的1.5亿美元和2023年第一季度的1.08亿美元下降到2024年第一季度的9500万美元,而调整后的EBITDA从2024年第一季度的2.01亿美元下降到1.83亿美元2023 年第四季度的销售额高于 2023 年第一季度的 1.38 亿美元。

这家海上钻井公司 2024年第一季度经营活动提供的净现金 为1.29亿美元,资本支出为1.67亿美元,自由现金流(非公认会计准则)亏损3800万美元。截至 2024 年 3 月 31 日,该钻井平台所有者的资产 负债表 显示,债务本金总额为 6 亿美元,现金(及现金等价物)为 2.12 亿美元。

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这家海上钻井巨头 的 16 艘浮式钻井船 在第一季度的合同签订率为 76%,而上一季度为 75%。该公司强调,行业利用率在过去一年中已趋于稳定,已上市的超深水浮标船队的合同利用率在 90% 左右。

此外,一级钻井船的日费率接近或超过每天 500,000 美元,折扣适用于长期固定装置和较低规格的第六代浮标。在后一类中,该公司的两艘 Globetrotter 钻井船和 Noble Developer 的 积压数量仍然有限,因此,它们正在积极推销 2024 年和 2025 年的机会。

 第一季度,Noble 上市的 13 座自升式钻井平台的利用率从 上一季度的 61% 上升至 67%。尽管国际自升式钻井平台市场正在消化来自中东的几座钻井平台的释放,但这家美国公司坚称,这一动态并未影响其自升式钻井平台主要集中的北海和挪威市场。

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钻井平台所有者解释说,在挪威,恶劣环境下的自升式钻井日费为每天 20 万美元左右,在其他北海国家为每天 13 万至 15 万美元。

Noble 重申之前对 2024 年的预期

这家总部位于德克萨斯州的巨头已确认全年总收入指导范围为 2.55 至 27 亿美元,调整后 EBITDA 为 9.25 亿至 10.3 亿美元,资本增加(扣除报销后)为 400 至 4.4 亿美元2024 年。

在评论这一前景时,艾弗勒指出:“海上钻井基本面,特别是高规格浮式钻井平台,仍然支持日费率和平均期限持续多年的持续上升趋势,而低规格单位的近期空白空间2024 年的逆风依然存在。

“我们对今年下半年盈利和现金流拐点的展望得到了几家有意义的合同初创公司的有力支持,这些初创公司按计划在未来几个月内启动。随着来宝进入盈利增长的下一阶段,我们将继续致力于通过股息和股票回购将大部分自由现金流返还给股东。”

在为其钻井船队寻找更多工作的同时,这家海上钻井巨头正在加紧其脱碳游戏,通过使用许多不同的工具削减其钻井作业的碳足迹,包括在整个船队范围内推出 数字排放监测解决方案 ,该解决方案已安装在 29钻机。

原文链接/Offshore_Energy

Noble CEO: Floaters to keep on reaping the benefits of offshore drilling market’s ‘multi-year uptrend’

Texas-headquartered offshore drilling contractor Noble Corporation is feeling buoyant over the future opportunities for its rig fleet, especially the floater segment, as the U.S.-based player anticipates a further rise in day rates and the number of long-term deals. This will enable the drilling giant to bolster its fleet utilization level. With new multimillion-dollar assignments in the bag, the firm’s total backlog currently stands at $4.4 billion.

Noble Voyager drillship; Source: Noble Corporation

The current upcycle has enabled all players in the offshore drilling arena to boost their fleet utilization and day rates, thanks to a rise in rig demand, as hammered home by Noble’s peers, Transocean and Valaris, which also increased their contract backlogs in the first quarter of 2024 to $8.9 billion and $4 billion, respectively.

Following the disclosure of its 4Q 2023 earnings, Noble secured a new batch of contracts and extensions for its rig fleet with a total contract value of approximately $215 million, including mobilization payments. As a result, the U.S. drilling heavyweight’s backlog totals $4.4 billion as of May 6, 2024.

The firm’s Noble Venturer seventh-generation Samsung 96K drillship was awarded a three-well contract for an estimated 150 days with Trident Energy in Equatorial Guinea, which is expected to begin in June 2024. In addition, the rig was hired for two wells, plus options, by Rhino Resources in Namibia at a day rate of $410,000, excluding additional fees for MPD services, mobilization, and demobilization fees.

These new contracts are slated to follow in direct continuation of the rig’s current assignment with Tullow which is anticipated to end early due, in part, to drilling efficiency outperformance. The 2014-built Noble Venturer drillship can operate in water depths of 12,000 ft and its maximum drilling depth is 40,000 ft. This rig can accommodate 230 people.

The Noble Viking drillship won a deal for three wells plus one well option with Prime Energy in the Philippines at a day rate of $499,000, excluding additional fees for MPD services, mobilization, and demobilization fees. The 2013-built Noble Viking drillship can accommodate 230 people. With a maximum drilling depth of 40,000 ft, the rig can work in water depths of 12,000 ft.

The Noble Voyager drillship got a hold of a one-well option exercised by Petronas in Suriname for a minimum term of 60 days at a daily rate of $470,000. The 2015-built  Noble Voyager Samsung 96K drillship can accommodate 230 people. This rig can operate in water depths of up to 12,000 ft and its maximum drilling depth is 40,000 ft.

The Noble Innovator jack-up rig recently landed a one-well extension with BP in the UK at a day rate of $145,000. However, two well-based options remain under the contract, thus, this drilling assignment may be prolonged further. The 2003-built Noble Innovator jack-up rig is of Gusto MSC CJ 70 – 150 MC design. Constructed at Hyundai Heavy Industries Ulsan in Korea, the rig can accommodate 120 people.

Robert W. Eifler, President and Chief Executive Officer (CEO) of Noble Corporation, commented: “Our first quarter results reflect continued strong operational performance in a rising market, resulting in a 32% improvement in adjusted EBITDA compared to a year ago.

Following the short-term slow down in deepwater contracting activity during late 2023, first quarter contracting momentum for 7G rigs has been back on trend for this up-cycle, with a significant pipeline of contracts due to come to market this year for 2025 and 2026 project commencements.

How did Noble fare in 1Q 2024?

The Texas-based company’s contract drilling services revenue for the first quarter of 2024 totaled $612 million compared to $609 million in the fourth quarter of 2023 and $575 million in 1Q 2023, with the sequential and annual increase driven by higher fleet utilization.

While the firm’s marketed fleet utilization was 72% in 1Q 2024, compared to 68% in the previous quarter the contract drilling services costs for the first quarter of 2024 were $390 million, up from $374 million in the fourth quarter of 2023, with elevated contract preparation and mobilization expenses preceding several pending contract commencements.

Noble’s net income decreased to $95 million in the first quarter of 2024, down from $150 million in the fourth quarter of 2023 and $108 million in 1Q 2023 while adjusted EBITDA decreased to $183 million in the first quarter of 2024, down from $201 million in the fourth quarter of 2023 and up from $138 million in 1Q 2023.

The offshore drilling player’s net cash provided by operating activities in the first quarter of 2024 was $129 million, capital expenditures were $167 million, and free cash flow (non-GAAP) was a loss of $38 million. The rig owner’s balance sheet as of March 31, 2024, reflected a total debt principal value of $600 million and cash (and cash equivalents) of $212 million.

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The offshore drilling giant’s marketed fleet of sixteen floaters was 76% contracted through the first quarter, compared with 75% in the prior quarter. The company underlines that industry utilization has stabilized over the past year, with contracted utilization of the marketed fleet of ultra-deepwater floaters in the mid-90% range.

Furthermore, the day rates for tier-1 drillships are approaching or eclipsing $500,000 per day, with discounts applicable for longer-term duration fixtures and lower specification sixth-generation floaters. Within the latter category, the firm’s two Globetrotter drillships and the Noble Developer continue to have a limited backlog, thus, they are being actively marketed for 2024 and 2025 opportunities.

The utilization of Noble’s thirteen marketed jack-ups rose to 67% in the first quarter, up from 61% utilization during the prior quarter. While the international jack-up market is digesting a release of several rigs from the Middle East, the U.S. player is adamant that this dynamic has not impacted the North Sea and Norway markets where its jack-up fleet is primarily concentrated.

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The rig owner explains that the harsh environment jack-up day rates are in the mid $200,000s per day in Norway and $130,000 to $150,000 per day in the other North Sea countries.

Noble reaffirms previous expectations for 2024

The Texas-headquartered giant has confirmed a guidance range for total revenue of $2.55 to $2.7 billion, adjusted EBITDA in the range of $925 million to $1.03 billion, and capital additions – net of reimbursements – between $400 to $440 million for the full year 2024.

Commenting on this outlook, Eifler pointed out: “Offshore drilling fundamentals, especially for high-spec floaters, remain supportive of a continuing multi-year uptrend in both dayrates and average term duration, while near-term white space for lower-spec units persists as a 2024 headwind.

“Our outlook for an earnings and cash flow inflection in the second half of this year is well supported by several meaningful contract startups that are on schedule to commence over the next several months. As Noble progresses into this next stage of earnings growth, we will remain committed to returning the significant majority of free cash flow to shareholders via dividends and share repurchases.”

While finding more work for its rig fleet, the offshore drilling giant is stepping up its decarbonization game by slashing the carbon footprint of its drilling operations with many different tools, including the fleetwide rollout of a digital emission-monitoring solution that has been fitted on 29 rigs.