能源转移战士对新宣布的天然气管道不以为然

Energy Transfer 公司表示,7 月 31 日宣布的新的 Permian Basin Blackcomb 天然气管道将对其 Warrior 管道产生“负面”影响。

尽管竞争项目已率先做出最终投资决定 (FID),但Energy Transfer (ET)仍继续推动其 Warrior 天然气管道驶出二叠纪盆地。

黑梳山输油管道项目支持者于 7 月 31 日宣布了最终投资决定。 黑梳山输油管道拟建长 365 英里,用于将二叠纪盆地的天然气输送到德克萨斯州南部的奥瓜杜尔塞地区。

在 8 月 8 日《ET》第二季度财报电话会议上,联合首席执行官 Mackie McCrea 表示,公司仍在全力开发《Warrior》。

“我们有一些疑问,既有内部的,但主要是外部的,关于宣布去阿瓜杜尔塞会对勇士队产生什么影响?”麦克雷说。“我只是总结一下那个英雄。”

首先,Warrior 将为 Permian 的不同地区提供服务。

分析人士预测,布莱克科姆管道项目的宣布将阻碍二叠纪盆地其他大型天然气管道项目的开发。布莱克科姆管道的设计产能为 25 亿立方英尺/天,以应对该地区预计到 2026 年天然气产量的上升,届时布莱克科姆管道预计将开始投入使用。

沃里尔管道的设计目标是将每天 15 亿立方英尺至 20 亿立方英尺的天然气输送到德克萨斯州北部沃斯堡西南部的 ET 连接管道。麦克雷说,不同的输送地点意味着沃里尔管道仍然可行。

“我们已经签约的客户以及我们敦促在未来 60 到 90 天内签约的客户中的绝大多数都不希望他们的天然气流向南德克萨斯州或支持该项目的市场,”麦克雷说。“所以这绝不会减慢我们的速度。”

他说,德克萨斯州东部及其他州的天然气市场“巨大”。首席执行官还指出,随着数据中心的增长,对天然气发电的需求不断增长。

在供应方面,ET 认为,二叠纪盆地的持续开发将足以在未来几年支持 Warrior 和 Blackcomb 盆地的发展。

“我会很失望——尽管我当然不是在暗示我们几乎已经做出 FID——但如果我们不在下次财报电话会议前宣布 FID,我会很失望,”麦克雷说道。

NGL 强度

尽管天然气市场的增长仍将在未来持续,但《ET》报道称,2024 年迄今为止,其 NGL 业务表现强劲。2024 年上半年,该公司在其 NGL、精炼产品和中游部门投入了约 10 亿美元的有机增长资本。对于整个 2024 年,该公司将其增长资本支出预期从 29 亿美元提高到 31 亿美元,主要针对相同的三个部门。

第二季度,NGL 和精炼产品部门的调整后 EBITDA 为 10.7 亿美元,而 2023 年同期为 8.37 亿美元。ET 报告其 NGL 线路的运输量创历史新高,NGL 出口量也创历史新高。

该公司预计,通过斥资30 亿美元收购Permian 的WTG Midstream Holdings,其天然气液体供应将不断增加。该交易于 7 月份完成。

“这确实会对我们的残渣业务、下游残渣业务以及 Lone Star NGL 运输和分馏业务产生影响,”McCrea 说道。“我们仍在努力实现这一目标。”

墨西哥湾沿岸的 Lone Star NGL Express 将产品从二叠纪运输到 ET 的 Mont Belvieu 以及分馏和储存设施。

总体而言,该公司第二季度净收入为 13.1 亿美元,调整后 EBITDA 为 37.6 亿美元。2023 年同期,调整后的 EBITDA 为 31.2 亿美元。

原文链接/HartEnergy

Energy Transfer’s Warrior Shrugs Off Newly Announced NatGas Pipeline

Energy Transfer said the July 31 announcement of the new Permian Basin Blackcomb natural gas pipeline will have “zero” effect on its Warrior Pipeline.

Energy Transfer (ET) continues to push for its Warrior natural gas pipeline out of the Permian Basin, even though a competing project reached final investment decision (FID) first.

Backers of the Blackcomb Pipeline, a proposed 365-mile pipeline to move natural gas from the Permian Basin to the Augua Dulce area in South Texas, announced FID on July 31

During ET’s second-quarter earnings call on Aug. 8, co-CEO Mackie McCrea said the company was still going full speed on the development of Warrior.

“We've had some questions, both internally but mainly externally, about what does the announcement going to Agua Dulce do to Warrior?” McCrea said. “I’ll just summarize that—zero.”

For one thing, Warrior will service a different part of the Permian.

Analysts predicted the Blackcomb announcement would hinder the development of other major natural gas pipeline projects out of the Permian. Blackcomb is designed with a capacity of 2.5 Bcf/d  to handle the rising levels of natural gas production predicted for the area by 2026—when Blackcomb is expected to begin service.

The Warrior Pipeline is designed to connect 1.5 Bcf/d to 2 Bcf/d of natural gas to ET’s interconnects southwest of Fort Worth in northern Texas. The different delivery location means Warrior remains viable, McCrea said.

“The vast majority of the customers that we've already signed up, and that we're pressing to sign up over the next 60 to 90 days, have no desire for either their gas to be in South Texas or in the markets that are supporting this project,” McCrea said. “So by no means is that slowing us down.”

There is a “tremendous market” for natural gas in East Texas and in the states beyond, he said. The CEO also cited growing demand for natural gas powergen needed to keep pace with data center growth.

On the supply side, ET believes the ongoing development of the Permian will be enough to support the Warrior as well as the Blackcomb in the years to come.

“I'll be disappointed—though certainly I’m not implying that we're almost FID—but I'll be disappointed if we're not announcing FID by our next earnings call,” McCrea said.

NGL strength

While natural gas market growth remains in the future, ET reported that 2024 has so far been strong for its NGL business. In the first half of 2024, the company spent about $1 billion in organic growth capital on its NGL, refined products and midstream segments. For all of 2024, the company raised its growth capex expectations from $2.9 billion to $3.1 billion, primarily for the same three segments.

In the second quarter, adjusted EBITDA in the NGL and refined products segments was $1.07 billion, compared to $837 million for the same period in 2023. ET reported record traffic on its NGL lines, as well as record NGL exports.

The company expects to see growing supplies of NGLs from its $3 billion acquisition of the Permian’s WTG Midstream Holdings, which closed in July.

“It's really going to feed into our residue business, our downstream residue business, as well as our Lone Star NGL transport and fractionation business,” McCrea said. “We’re still getting our arms around it.”

The Gulf Coast Lone Star NGL Express transports products from the Permian to ET’s Mont Belvieu and fractionation and storage facilities.

Overall for the second quarter, the company reported a net income of $1.31 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $3.76 billion. During the same period in 2023, adjusted EBITDA was $3.12 billion.