雅虎财经

伦敦-周五，强劲的美国就业数据降低了短期降息的可能性，油价下跌约2%，鉴于中国经济步履蹒跚和地缘政治紧张局势持续，油价为每周下跌奠定了两个基准。

截至 GMT 1453，布伦特原油期货下跌 1.40 美元，跌幅为 1.8%，至每桶 77.30 美元；美国西德克萨斯中质原油期货下跌 1.59 美元，跌幅约 2.2%，至每桶 72.23 美元。

美国和欧元区等主要经济体的高利率似乎会在短期内持续存在，这往往会抑制经济增长和石油需求。

周五的数据显示，美国雇主一月份新增就业岗位远超预期，降低了美联储近期降息的可能性。结果，美元兑所有主要货币大幅上涨。

在大西洋彼岸，欧洲央行的一位政策制定者周五也表示，现在在该地区降息还为时过早。

与此同时，对中国经济复苏的担忧持续存在，国际货币基金组织预测2024年中国经济增速将放缓至4.6%，并在2028年中期进一步下滑至3.5%左右。

周四，以色列和哈马斯之间未经证实的停火报道导致油价下跌超过 2%，导致油价每周下跌。

调解员正在等待哈马斯对上周与以色列和美国间谍负责人起草并经埃及和卡塔尔转交的关于战争首次延长停火的提案的回应。

暂停可能会缓解海湾和红海航道面临的政治风险，这些航道对全球能源流动至关重要。

周四，两名 OPEC+ 消息人士表示，该组织维持产量政策不变，并将于 3 月份决定是否延长第一季度的自愿石油减产。

石油输出国组织及其以俄罗斯为首的盟友（统称为 OPEC+）于 11 月宣布，第一季度减产 220 万桶/日。

瑞银(UBS)分析师乔瓦尼·斯塔诺沃(Giovanni Staunovo)表示，“去年已经明确表示，这些削减的逆转将是渐进的。”他补充说，该行预计将延续到第二季度。

（Noah Browning、Natalie Grover、Emily Chow 和 Jeslyn Lerh 报道，David Goodman 和 David Evans 编辑）

Yahoo Finance

LONDON-Oil prices dipped about 2% on Friday after strong U.S. jobs data diminished the odds of interest rate cuts in the short term, setting up both benchmarks for a weekly loss given China’s faltering economy and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Brent crude futures were down $1.40, or 1.8%, at $77.30 a barrel by 1453 GMT and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures fell $1.59, or about 2.2%, to $72.23.

High interest rates, which tend to dampen economic growth and oil demand, in major economies like the United States and the euro zone appear to be here to stay in the near term.

Data on Friday showed U.S. employers added far more jobs in January than expected, reducing the chances of near-term Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. The dollar jumped against all major currencies as a result.

Across the Atlantic, a European Central Bank policymaker on Friday also suggested it was too early to cut interest rates in the region.

Meanwhile, concern over China’s economic recovery continued to linger, with the International Monetary Fund forecasting that the country’s economic growth would slow to 4.6% in 2024 and decline further in the medium to about 3.5% in 2028.

A weekly loss in oil prices was already in motion after unsubstantiated reports of a ceasefire between Israel and Hamas caused prices to settle more than 2% down on Thursday.

Mediators are awaiting a response from Hamas to a proposal drafted last week with Israeli and U.S. spy chiefs and passed on by Egypt and Qatar for the war’s first extended ceasefire.

A pause could ease political risk looming over Gulf and Red Sea shipping lanes, which are key for global energy flows.

On Thursday, two OPEC+ sources said that the group had kept its output policy unchanged and will decide in March whether to extend the voluntary oil production cuts that are in place for the first quarter.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies led by Russia, together known as OPEC+, has output cuts of 2.2 million barrels per day (bpd) in place for the first quarter, as announced in November.

“What has been already been made clear last year is that the reversal of those cuts will be gradual,” said UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo, adding that the bank expects an extension into the second quarter.

(Reporting by Noah Browning, Natalie Grover, Emily Chow and Jeslyn LerhEditing by David Goodman and David Evans)