核能选择:勘探与生产公司看好移动反应堆的收益

在二叠纪盆地和其他地区,随着电力需求的增长,能源参与者考虑在其能源供应结构中添加小型模块化反应堆和微型反应堆。

美国能源部称,先进的核能技术可使美国核电装机容量从 2023 年的约 100 吉瓦 (GW) 增至 2050 年的约 300 吉瓦。(来源:Shutterstock.com

在政治两极分化的美国,人们一方面努力降低温室气体排放,另一方面又要满足看似永不满足的电力需求,而一种能源形式正在摆脱长期以来的污名。

核能正准备迎来潜在的重生。

但这项技术已与过去不同。

先进的小型模块化反应堆 (SMR) 通常可产生高达约 300 兆瓦 (MW) 的电力,而小型微反应堆通常容量不到 50 兆瓦,这些公司包括二叠纪盆地的石油公司和美国其他地区的公用事业公司,正在考虑将其作为替代电源

与大型核电站相比,核反应堆占地面积更小、机动性更强、成本更低,因此被视为实现全天候、零排放、可调度基本负荷电力的有前途的途径。在继续推动脱碳并保持可靠电力供应的同时,对核能的关注也日益增加。

核能研究所(NEI)市场与政策高级主管本顿·阿内特(Benton Arnett)对《石油和天然气投资者》表示:“对于成为这些核技术工业应用的早期参与者来说,这是一个巨大的经济机会,因为每个人都说需求量非常大。”

根据德克萨斯州电力可靠性委员会 (ERCOT) 的二叠纪盆地可靠性计划研究,仅西德克萨斯州二叠纪盆地的电力需求就预计将从 2022 年到 2038 年大幅增加。该研究模拟了需要电力的负荷。研究表明,到 2030 年,负荷可能达到近 23.7 千兆瓦 (GW),是 2021 年二叠纪盆地研究预测的 2030 年 10.5 GW 的两倍多。

在预测的 2030 年负荷中,二叠纪盆地石油和天然气约占 12 吉瓦,而非石油和天然气需求(如加密货币、绿色氢能、商业/工业和数据中心)约占 11.7 吉瓦。2021 年报告中的非石油和天然气负荷为零,ERCOT 表示,预期的 11.7 吉瓦中除 6% 外,其余均通过信函或合同确认。

这只是二叠纪盆地的情况。电力需求上升的故事正在美国各地上演

预期需求的增加可能会带来输电需求,给不堪重负、老化的电网带来更多压力。

“问题是,发电量从哪里来?谁来建造这些发电机?谁来建造电线杆和电线来分配所有这些电力?”NOV 的核能部门 Shepherd Power 的业务开发总监尼克·莫里斯 (Nick Morriss) 说道。“西德克萨斯州的许多能源生产商都在说,好吧,我们可能必须自己做这件事。”

分阶段发展核能,更具体地说是微型反应堆。

瞄准临界规模

过去曾出现过关于核电复兴的讨论。然而,成本、监管障碍以及几起事故留下的安全隐患阻碍了核电的腾飞。

“至少在我们看来,这个项目的不同之处在于,目前正在开发的产品种类非常广泛,”莫里斯说道,他指的是小型模块化反应堆、微反应堆和核能领域的其他关键技术突破。“我们认为这方面有很大的潜力。”

Shepherd Power 业务开发总监 Nick Morriss
NOV 旗下 Shepherd Power 业务开发总监 Nick Morriss。

这些进步包括 TRISO 燃料,即三结构各向同性颗粒燃料。

他说,过去一些核事故是由于燃料熔化,放射性元素释放到大气中而加剧的。然而,TRISO燃料使燃料制造方式发生了重大变化,使其更加安全。

美国能源部解释称,每个TRISO粒子(约一粒罂粟籽大小)由铀、碳和氧燃料内核组成,并“被三层碳和陶瓷基材料包裹,以防止放射性裂变产物的释放”。美国能源部表示,这些粒子可承受极端温度,在耐中子辐照、耐腐蚀、耐氧化和耐高温方面比传统反应堆燃料更胜一筹。

TRISO 燃料可以实现更小的设计并提高效率,目前正用于 SMR 和微反应堆。

“我们有很多行业消耗热量,而不一定消耗电力。他们从未真正考虑过核能的原因是,没有人愿意在炼油厂或工业设施旁边建一座占地 500 英亩的核电站,”莫里斯说。“因此,这些由这种 TRISO 燃料形式驱动的微反应堆可以非常小——在某些情况下,就像 20 英尺的集装箱一样小。因此,你可以开始将它们集成到不同类型的设施中。这种燃料形式确实是一个突破。”

从花费到支出

随着初创企业加入更有经验的核部件制造商的行列,致力于推出新技术和开放设施,从而取得了进步。

新兴微反应器技术公司Nano Nuclear Energy于 5 月上市后,正在推进其技术。其技术包括固体核心电池反应堆 Zeus 和低压冷却剂反应堆 ODIN。两者都是便携式、按需、先进的核微反应器。

总部位于加州的Oklo公司表示,计划在本世纪末之前在美国部署其首座商用先进反应堆。与天然气和煤炭等化石能源相比,该公司的燃料来源“能量密度高出数百万倍,受采矿影响的土地减少了数百万倍,燃料资源的可靠性也更高”。该公司表示,其裂变发电厂可以使用再生或非再生燃料运行数十年而无需加油,可以建在任何需要电力的地方。

今年早些时候,Diamondback Energy与 Oklo 签署了一份为期 20 年的购电协议,为其 Permian 业务建设一台 50 兆瓦小型核反应堆。该公司还从美国压力泵制造商Liberty Energy获得了 1000 万美元的投资。

长期参与者西屋电气拥有一个名为 eVinci 的 5 MWe 微型反应堆,目前正与 Prodigy 合作建设浮动核电站。BWX   Technologies正在评估在怀俄明州部署小型核反应堆的可行性,以及其他项目。陶氏和 X-Energy Reactor 正在陶氏位于德克萨斯州 Seadrift 的工厂开发其首个 Xe-100 先进小型模块化反应堆工厂。

阿内特表示,“这些参与者有很多不同的技术选择”。二叠纪盆地的运营商正在关注微反应堆,因为它们可以作为便携式发电机,提供可靠的无碳电力。

“我们看到的希望通过微型反应堆实现这种灵活性的行业并非只有我们一个,”阿内特说道,“国防部也一直积极为前沿作战基地开发微型反应堆。”

总部位于弗吉尼亚州的公用事业公司Dominion Energy向领先的 SMR 核技术公司发出了征求建议书的请求,因为它正在评估在弗吉尼亚州路易莎县北安娜发电站使用 SMR 的可能性。

NOV 以其油田设备和技术而闻名,它成立了一个专注于开发和部署微反应堆的部门,以帮助满足石油和天然气以及其他行业的可调度电力需求。

莫里斯说:“我们愿意购买、拥有和运营这些微反应器,以换取与石油和天然气公司的能源购买协议。”

莫里斯表示,谢泼德电力本质上是一家技术整合公司,为寻求电气化或建造新工艺热系统的石油公司建造反应堆群和相关财务模型。谢泼德电力将代表这些公司选址、拥有和运营这些反应堆。

微反应器可适用于石油和天然气行业主要价值链的任何部分:上游、中游和下游。“不仅仅是二叠纪,”莫里斯说,并补充说,就应用而言,“目前还没有灵丹妙药”。

另一个优点是微反应堆不必连接到电网。它们可以独立运行,也可以作为电网或微电网的一部分运行。

美国能源部称,自 1990 年代以来,核反应堆已为美国提供了约 20% 的电力。2023 年,核电站发电量达到 7750 亿千瓦时,足以为 7300 多万户家庭供电。

核能选择:勘探与生产公司看好移动反应堆的收益
Oklo 的 Aurora 发电站设计部分是预制的,并在现场组装。这家快速裂变清洁能源技术和核燃料回收公司引起了 Diamondback Energy、Occidental Petroleum 和 Liberty Energy 等上游 E&P 公司的兴趣。(来源:Gensler 通过 Oklo 提供

降低核成本

尽管人们对核能的兴趣和优势日益增长,但核能仍然存在需要克服的障碍。

“核电以成本严重超支和工期延误而闻名。看看沃格特尔核电站,它是佐治亚州刚刚建成的最后一座大型核电站,它远远超出了预算,远远超出了预计投入使用的时间,”华盛顿特区 Cornerstone Government Affairs 负责人杰克·贝尔彻 (Jack Belcher) 表示。“这就是 SMR 面临的声誉障碍。它是一种不同的技术。我们希望它的风险状况不同,但它是新技术。”

莫里斯说,几十年前,降低成本和实现经济可行性通常意味着建造更大的工厂。

“还有另一种扩大规模的方法,那就是建造大量这样的设备。我们在法国等国家看到了这样的例子,这些国家的设备已经标准化,并且建造成本较低,”他说。“在石油和天然气领域,我们一直都在经历这种情况。作为一个行业,我们建造了许多大型项目。而且,NOV 在海上市场发挥了重要作用,例如我们建造了钻井船,几十年来,我们的生产成本曲线一直在下降。”

降低核能成本也需要类似的途径。与天然气相比,核能的排放量更高,但成本却更低。

莫里斯说:“你必须通过随着时间的推移成本下降而实现的节省来回报早期采用者。这实际上是一个财务挑战,而不是技术挑战。”

Lux Research 开展的一项研究表明,如果大规模生产,小型模块堆的平准化电力成本可能比大型反应堆低 25% 至 60%,具体取决于地点。

研究指出,“许多开发商仍处于开发和授权的不同阶段,因此很难判断SMR是否能够快速攀升学习曲线并证明具有经济效益。”

微反应器的部署也对生产率很敏感。Lux 表示,每个反应器支付的监管费用可能会阻碍批量生产率。

威胁评估

核技术一直伴随着核武器、事故和核废料,并带有挥之不去的污名。一场涉及核废料掩埋的诉讼正在二叠纪盆地上演。

随着有关微反应堆和小型模块式核反应堆(SMR)的讨论日益升温,阿内特鼓励关注核能的人们了解这项技术。

“我认为核工业确实需要更好地讲述这个故事。但是,我们发现,当我们走进社区,开始与人们谈论这些反应堆的运行情况,以及它们要经过哪些严格的安全测试时,”他说,“在反应堆的整个寿命期间,无论是在建造过程中还是在运行过程中,他们都会继续接受监督。我们会查看整个核电站的安全记录。我认为人们真的开始了解这项技术,并且对它更加满意。”

此外,阿内特以空气污染和煤炭生产为例表示,各种能源技术都存在缺陷。

法规可以帮助减轻一些风险。

“目前,我们处于这样的境地:‘需要对监管进行改革,以适应这种新型反应堆。美国核管理委员会(NRC)的所有法规都是围绕建造这些大型、千兆瓦级反应堆(我们过去建造的旧式反应堆)的想法制定的,’阿内特说。他补充说,让监管机构考虑差异和固有的安全特性将非常重要。

立法者似乎正朝着这个方向努力。核能已成为少数获得两党支持的议题之一。

登机

2024 年《加速部署多功能先进核能用于清洁能源》(ADVANCE)法案在众议院和参议院以压倒性多数通过。

莫里斯说:“这在目前这个选举年里尤其引人注目。”

《先进核反应堆法案》是《消防拨款与安全法案》的一部分,由乔·拜登总统于 7 月签署成为法律。该法案要求 NRC 降低先进核反应堆申请审查的某些许可申请费,授权更多工作人员进行审查,并引入有奖竞赛以激励先进反应堆技术的部署。该法案还要求 NRC 在 18 个月内制定许可和监管微反应堆设计的指导方针。

“我们终于看到了华盛顿两党对核能解决方案的政策支持,两党都给予了强有力的支持,”阿内特说道。“我确实认为我们即将迎来该行业真正的重大突破。”

各州也在努力推进核能发展。据德克萨斯州公共事业委员会称,德克萨斯州先进核反应堆工作组于 2023 年成立,旨在评估该州的先进核反应堆,重点关注包括财政激励、州和联邦监管阻碍增长、德克萨斯州电力市场影响、技术挑战和其他因素等领域。其调查结果和建议将于 12 月 1 日前提交给州长格雷格·阿博特。

贝尔彻说:“我们正努力加快德克萨斯州的进程,从监管方面到激励措施,再到利用州资源,迅速将核能引入德克萨斯州。”核能在石油和天然气领域的应用是该组织的研究领域之一。

“石油和天然气生产商和制造商都以同样的态度看待这个问题,”贝尔彻说。“他们承受不起断电的后果,而当你考虑偏远地区时,SMR 就很有意义了。”你可以把它们放在偏远地区,并获得可靠的电力。“

他补充说,随着人工智能的需求不断增长,数据中心也在考虑 SMR。

核能正常化

在提供无碳可靠能源方面,核能可能独树一帜。阿内特表示,天然气需要碳捕获和封存,而这项技术很难实现规模化,而可再生能源需要电池和输电线路,地热则受到地理限制。

但推动核能发展并获得石油巨头和其他主要能源用户的支持最终可能会付出代价。

“我们的观点是,解决这个问题的方法是让这些项目变得更小、更小。这就是微反应器的作用所在。”阻碍这些项目经济性的唯一障碍是你必须建造大量的微反应器,”莫里斯说。“我们需要让这些系统非常小、非常安全。我们需要让它们适用于许多工业应用。”

他设想的未来——可能是 10 年后——混凝土厂将使用 SMR,钻井现场将使用微反应堆,甚至小型微反应堆可能作为杂货店的备用发电机。

“人们开始在日常生活中看到这些小装置。这最终消除了恐惧,”莫里斯说。“然后,我们就可以释放核能的潜力,它是人类有史以来创造的最密集的能源。我们需要利用这一点,我们需要停止倒退到间歇性可再生能源和这些鲁布·戈德堡碳捕获计划。让我们回到密度上来,这实际上是唯一一种行之有效的能源转型形式。让我们率先在核能领域发力。”

阿内特表示,他对核工业与石油天然气行业的合作充满希望。

“核工业当然有很多知识可以提供,但石油和天然气行业是世界上项目交付最好的行业。我认为他们是唯一一个按时、按预算交付大型项目的行业,”阿内特说。“我们可以从他们的运营知识和项目管理知识中学到很多东西,并真正合作,使这个未来真正成功。”

原文链接/HartEnergy

The Nuclear Option: E&Ps See Promising Yield from Mobile Reactors

In the Permian Basin and elsewhere, energy players consider adding small modular reactors and microreactors to their energy supply mix as electricity demand grows.

Advanced nuclear technology could push nuclear capacity in the U.S. from about 100 gigawatts (GW) in 2023 to about 300 GW by 2050, according to the U.S. Department of Energy. (Source: Shutterstock.com)

In a politically polarized U.S. striving to lower greenhouse-gas emissions while meeting seemingly insatiable electricity needs, a form of energy is shaking loose a longtime stigma.

Nuclear energy is gearing up for a potential rebirth.

But the technology is not the same as yesteryear.

Advanced small modular reactors (SMR), which typically pack up to about 300 megawatts (MW) of power, and smaller microreactors that usually have a capacity of less than 50 MW—are being weighed as an alternative power source by companies that include Permian Basin oil players and utilities in other parts of the U.S.

Championed for their smaller footprints, mobility and lower costs compared to larger nuclear plants, the nuclear reactor units are seen as a promising route to around-the-clock, emissions-free, baseload dispatchable power. Focus on nuclear energy has been gaining ground amid the continued drive to decarbonize while maintaining reliable access to power.

“There’s a huge economic opportunity here to be an early player in these nuclear technologies for industrial applications because everyone’s saying that demand is coming in very large quantities,” Benton Arnett, senior director of markets and policy for the Nuclear Energy Institute (NEI), told Oil and Gas Investor.

Electricity demand in West Texas’ Permian Basin alone is expected to increase significantly from 2022 to 2038, according to the Electric Reliability Council of Texas’ (ERCOT) Permian Basin Reliability Plan Study that modeled loads that will need power. The study showed the load could reach nearly 23.7 gigawatts (GW) in 2030, more than double the 10.5 GW that a 2021 Permian Basin study projected by 2030.

Of the forecasted 2030 load, Permian Basin oil and gas accounts for about 12 GW, while non-oil and gas demand—such as crypto, green hydrogen, commercial/industrial and data centers—accounts for about 11.7 GW. The non-oil and gas load was zero in the 2021 report, and ERCOT says that all but 6% of the anticipated 11.7 GW is confirmed by letter or contract.

That’s just in the Permian Basin. The story of rising electricity demand is playing out across the U.S.

Higher anticipated demand is likely to bring along transmission needs, adding more stress to overwhelmed, aging electric grids.

“The question is, where’s the generation going to come from? Who’s going to build these generators? Who’s going to build the poles and the wires to distribute all of that power?” said Nick Morriss, director of business development for Shepherd Power, the nuclear energy unit of NOV. “A lot of energy producers in West Texas are saying, well, we might have to do this ourselves.”

In steps nuclear energy—more specifically, microreactors.

Aiming for critical mass

Talk of nuclear power revivals have surfaced in the past. However, costs, regulatory barriers and safety concerns lingering from a few accidents have prevented nuclear from taking off.

“What’s different about this one, at least in our opinion, is that there’s a really broad diversity of products that are in development right now,” Morriss said, referring to SMRs, microreactors and other key technology breakthroughs in nuclear energy. “We think there’s good potential there.”

Nick Morriss, director of business development, Shepherd Power
Nick Morriss, director of business development, for NOV's Shepherd Power.

Among these advancements is TRISO fuel, which stands for tri-structural isotropic particle fuel.

Some past nuclear energy accidents were compounded when the fuel melted and radioactive elements released into the atmosphere, he said. However, TRISO fuel enables a step change in how fuels are manufactured, making them safer.

As explained by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), each TRISO particle—about the size of a poppy seed—is comprised of a uranium, carbon and oxygen fuel kernel, which is “encapsulated by three layers of carbon- and ceramic-based materials that prevent the release of radioactive fission products.” The particles can withstand extreme temperatures and are more resistant than traditional reactor fuels when it comes to neutron irradiation, corrosion, oxidation and high temperatures, according to the DOE.

TRISO fuels, which enable smaller designs and improved efficiency, are being used for SMRs and microreactors.

“We have a lot of industries that consume heat, not necessarily electricity. The reason why they’ve never really considered nuclear was because nobody wants to have a 500-acre nuclear plant next to their refinery or next to their industrial facility,” Morriss said. “So, these microreactors that are fueled by this TRISO fuel form can be very small—like 20-foot shipping containers small in some cases. So, you can start to integrate them into different types of facilities. That fuel form is really one of the breakthroughs.”

From spent to spending

The advancements come as startups join more experienced manufacturers of nuclear components, working to roll out new tech and open facilities.

Nano Nuclear Energy, an emerging microreactor technology company, is advancing its technology following its IPO in May. Its technologies include Zeus, a solid core battery reactor, and ODIN, a low-pressure coolant reactor. Both are portable, on-demand capable, advanced nuclear microreactors.

California-based Oklo said it plans to deploy its first commercial advanced reactor in the U.S. before the end of the decade. The company’s fuel source is “millions of times more energy dense, resulting in millions of times less land impacted by mining and increased reliability of fuel resources” compared to fossil sources such as natural gas and coal. Its fission power plants, which can run on recycled or nonrecycled fuel for decades without refueling, can be located wherever power is needed, according to the company.

Earlier this year, Diamondback Energy signed a 20-year power purchase agreement with Oklo for a 50-MW small nuclear reactor unit for its Permian operations. The company also landed a $10 million investment from U.S. pressure pumper Liberty Energy.

Longtime player Westinghouse, which has a 5-MWe microreactor called eVinci, is collaborating with Prodigy on floating nuclear power plants.  BWX Technologies is assessing the viability of deploying small-scale nuclear reactors in Wyoming, among other projects. Dow and X-Energy Reactor are developing their first Xe-100 advanced small modular reactor plant at Dow’s Seadrift, Texas, facility.

There are a “lot of different technology options for these players,” Arnett said. Permian Basin operators are looking at microreactors, lured by their ability to serve as portable electricity generators that provide reliable carbon-free power.

“This isn’t the only industry that we’re seeing looking towards micros to create this kind of flexibility,” Arnett said. “The Department of Defense has also been really active in developing microreactors for forward operating bases.”

Virginia-based utility Dominion Energy put out a request for proposals from leading SMR nuclear technology companies as it evaluates using a SMR at the North Anna Power Station in Louisa County, Virgina.

Known for its oilfield equipment and technology, NOV established a unit focused on developing and deploying microreactors to help meet dispatchable power needs for not only oil and gas but also other industries.

“We are willing to buy, own and operate these microreactors in exchange for energy purchase agreements with oil and gas companies,” Morriss said.

Shepherd Power essentially is a technology aggregator that builds the fleet of reactors and associated financial models for oil companies looking to electrify or build out new process heat systems for operations, according to Morriss. Shepherd will site, own and operate the reactors on behalf of the companies.

Microreactors can fit in any part of the oil and gas industry’s main value chains: upstream, midstream and downstream. “It’s not just the Permian,” Morriss said, adding there’s “no silver bullet just yet” in terms of applications.

Another advantage is that microreactors don’t have to be connected to an electric grid. They can operate independently, or as part of a grid or microgrid.

Nuclear reactors have supplied about 20% of the power in the U.S. since the 1990s, according to the DOE. In 2023, nuclear power plants generated 775 billion kilowatt hours, enough to power more than 73 million homes.

The Nuclear Option: E&Ps See Promising Yield from Mobile Reactors
Oklo’s Aurora powerhouse design is partially prefabricated and assembled onsite. The fast fission clean power technology and nuclear fuel recycling company has drawn interest from upstream E&Ps including Diamondback Energy, Occidental Petroleum and Liberty Energy. (Source: Gensler via Oklo)

Lowering nuclear costs

Despite the growing interest and advantages, nuclear energy still has hurdles to overcome.

“Nuclear has a reputation of major cost overruns and timeframes. When you look at the Vogtle facility, which is the last large nuclear facility … just completed in Georgia, it was way over budget, way over a few years beyond when it was supposed to come online,” said Jack Belcher, principal with Washington, D.C-based Cornerstone Government Affairs. “That is kind of the reputation hurdle that SMRs face. It’s a different technology. We hope that it’s a different risk profile, but it is new.”

Decades ago, lowering costs and achieving economic viability typically meant building larger plants, Morriss said.

“There’s another way to scale, and that is, you build a lot of them. And we’ve seen examples of this in countries like France,” where units have been standardized and built at lower costs, he said. “In oil and gas, we experience this all the time. We built a lot of mega projects as an industry. And, NOV specifically [has] played a lot in offshore markets where we built drillships, for example, and we’ve lived serial production cost curve reductions over decades.”

A similar path is required to bring down nuclear energy costs. The energy source wins on emissions but losses when it comes to costs when compared to natural gas, for example.

“You’ve got to remunerate early adopters with savings that are realized as those costs come down over time,” Morriss said. “It’s really a financial challenge more than a technology challenge.”

A study conducted by Lux Research showed the levelized cost of electricity of SMRs, for example, can be 25% to 60% lower than large-scale reactors, depending on location, if they are serially produced.

“Many developers are still in various stages of development and licensing, so it’s hard to gauge if SMRs can climb the learning curve quickly and prove economic benefits,” the study states.

Deployment of microreactors is also sensitive to production rates. Regulatory fees paid per reactor could hinder serial production rates, according to Lux.

Threat assessment

Nuclear technology carries a lingering stigma associated with atomic weapons, accidents and waste. A lawsuit involving the burial of nuclear waste is playing out in the Permian Basin.

As talk of microreactors and SMRs heats up, Arnett encourages people concerned about nuclear energy to learn about the technology.

“The nuclear industry certainly needs to do a better job, I think, of telling that story. But, what we found is that when we go into communities and we start actually talking with folks about what the operational realities of these reactors are, the kinds of rigorous safety tests they go through,” he said, “the kind of oversight they’re going to continue to have both during construction and operation for the entire life of the reactor. And we look at the safety record of the nuclear fleet as a whole. I think folks really start to understand the technology and they get a lot more comfortable with it.”

Plus, there are downfalls to all kinds of energy technologies, Arnett said, using air pollution and coal production as an example.

Regulations can help alleviate some of the risks.

“Right now, we are in a situation where … regulatory changes [are needed] to accommodate this new class of reactor. The Nuclear Regulatory Commission [NRC] designed all of their regulations around the idea of building these large, gigawatt-size style reactors, the old type of reactors that we used to build,” Arnett said. Getting regulators to think about the differences and the inherent safety features will be important, he added.

Legislators appear to be on that path. Nuclear energy has emerged as one of the few topics that has bipartisan support.

Getting aboard

The 2024 Accelerating Deployment of Versatile, Advanced Nuclear for Clean Energy (ADVANCE) Act overwhelmingly passed in the House and Senate.

“That’s remarkable right now—in an election year, to boot,” Morriss said.

The ADVANCE Act, signed into law by President Joe Biden in July as part of the Fire Grants and Safety Act, directs the NRC to lower certain licensing application fees for advanced nuclear reactor application reviews, authorizes more staff to carry out reviews and introduces prize competitions to incentivize deployment of advanced reactor technology. It also directs the NRC to develop guidance to license and regulate microreactor designs within 18 months.

“We’ve finally seen the policy support in Washington from both sides of the aisle, strong bipartisan support … to move forward with nuclear as a solution,” Arnett said. “I do think we’re on the cusp of a really big breakthrough in the industry.”

Efforts are also underway in states to advance nuclear energy. The Texas Advanced Nuclear Reactor Working Group was formed in 2023 to evaluate advanced nuclear reactors in the state, focusing on areas that include financial incentives, state and federal regulatory impediments to growth, Texas electric market impacts, technical challenges, and other factors, according to the Texas Public Utility Commission. Its findings and recommendations are due to Gov. Greg Abbott by Dec. 1.

“We’re working to accelerate things in Texas from the regulatory side to incentives to utilizing state resources to get nuclear into Texas on a rapid scale,” Belcher said. Nuclear energy’s use in the oil and gas sector is among the group’s areas of study.

“Oil and gas producers are looking at this in the same vein as manufacturers,” Belcher said. “They can’t afford to be without power and then when you look at isolated areas, SMRs make a lot of sense.… You can put them in remote areas and have reliable power.”

Data centers are also considering SMRs as demand for AI grows, he added.

Normalizing nuclear

Nuclear energy may be in a class of its own when it comes to delivering carbon-free reliable energy. Natural gas needs carbon capture and sequestration, a technology experiencing difficulties reaching scale, Arnett said, while renewables require batteries and transmission lines and geothermal has geographical limitations.

But moving nuclear energy forward and securing buy-in from Big Oil and other major energy users may ultimately come to cost.

“Our opinion is that a way to solve for that is to make these projects much, much smaller. And that’s where microreactors come in.… The only thing standing in the way of making those economical is you’ve got to build a whole lot of ’em,” Morris said. “We need to make these systems really small, really safe. And we need to make them applicable to a lot of industrial applications.”

He imagines a future—possibly 10 years from now—with SMRs at concrete plants, microreactors at drilling sites and maybe even small microreactors serving as a backup generator for grocery stores.

“People start to see these little devices in their daily lives. And that’s ultimately what dispels the fear,” Morriss said. “Then, we get to unlock nuclear energy for what it is, which is the most dense source of energy mankind’s ever created. We need to be taking advantage of that, and we need to stop walking backwards into intermittent renewables and these Rube Goldberg carbon capture schemes. Let’s get back to density, which is really the only form of energy transition that’s ever worked. And, let’s run head first in nuclear.”

Arnett said he is most hopeful about the nuclear industry’s partnership with the oil and gas sector.

“The nuclear industry certainly has a lot of knowledge to offer here, but the oil and gas industry’s the best industry in the world with delivering projects. I think they’re the only industry that delivers megaprojects on time, on budget,” Arnett said. “We can learn a lot from their operational knowledge and project management knowledge and really work together to make this a really successful future.”