（彭博社）“美国原油产量第三季度飙升至创纪录水平，随着美国在供应全球市场方面发挥着越来越重要的作用，预计将进一步攀升至 13 百万桶/日以上。
资料来源：路透社
根据能源情报署周三发布的月度短期能源展望，上季度美国石油产量跃升至 13.13 百万桶/日，预计第四季度将升至 13.16 百万桶/日。这高于之前第四季度预测的 12.94 MMbpd。
过去几个月，沙特阿拉伯和俄罗斯通过限制供应来收紧市场。美国通常每天向海外市场运送约 4 百万桶石油，以填补现货市场紧张造成的缺口。
最新展望发布之际，埃克森美孚公司已同意收购先锋自然资源公司，以创建二叠纪生产巨头。
展望未来，STEO 将包括对 OPEC+ 原油产量的单独预测。目前，美国预计OPEC+成员国2024年石油产量将比今年减少0.3百万桶/日。
与此同时，美国 2023 年汽油消费量略有下调至 8.84 MMbpd，但仍高于去年。国内石油总需求也小幅下调至 20.07 MMbpd，而世界消费量几乎没有变化，为 100.92 MMbpd。
(Bloomberg) – U.S. crude oil production surged to a record during the third quarter and is expected to climb further above 13 MMbpd as the nation increasingly plays a vital role in supplying global markets.
Source: Reuters
U.S. oil production jumped to 13.13 MMbpd last quarter and is forecast to rise to 13.16 MMbpd in the fourth quarter, according to the Energy Information Administration’s monthly Short-Term Energy Outlook released Wednesday. That’s up from a prior fourth-quarter estimate of 12.94 MMbpd.
In the last few months, Saudi Arabia and Russia have tightened markets by curbing supplies. The U.S. has routinely shipped about 4 MMbpd to overseas markets to fill the gap from a tight physical market.
The latest outlook comes as Exxon Mobil Corp. has agreed to buy Pioneer Natural Resources Co to create a Permian production giant.
Moving forward, the STEO will include a separate forecast for OPEC+ crude oil production. Currently, the U.S. expects OPEC+ members will decrease their oil output by 0.3 MMbpd in 2024 compared with this year.
Meanwhile, U.S. gasoline consumption for 2023 was revised slightly lower to 8.84 MMbpd, though still above last year. Total domestic oil demand also saw a modest downward revision to 20.07 MMbpd, while world consumption remains little changed at 100.92 MMbpd.
