巴西国家石油公司首席执行官没有被能源转型吓倒,透露了增加巴西石油产量的目标

Mariana Durao、Peter Millard 和 Will Kennedy,彭博社 2023 年 3 月 24 日

(彭博社)“巴西国有石油公司的负责人让·保罗·普拉特斯 (Jean Paul Prates) 并没有因世界能源转型而却步。他表示,拉丁美洲最大的生产国应该在未来几十年内继续增加化石燃料产量。

“我们将获得市场份额,”巴西国家石油公司首席执行官普拉特斯在里约热内卢接受采访时表示。“它可能是世界上最后一个生产石油的国家。”

他对巴西雄心的主张与沙特阿拉伯等其他石油出口国的政策相呼应,后者认为投资化石燃料扩张与实现净零碳排放的全球雄心相一致。

由于缺乏投资而导致化石燃料供应有限,引发了全球能源危机,导致消费者账单增加并加剧了全球通胀,世界陷入了紧张的境地。即使是美国总统乔·拜登等自称为应对气候变化斗士的领导人也呼吁增加石油产量,以帮助遏制不断上升的成本。

过去 20 年来,巴西已成为主要石油生产国,与许多拉丁美洲国家不同。钻井人员开采了巨大的海上油田,称为盐下油田,因为原油被困在盐地质层下。其中大部分油田由巴西国家石油公司运营,壳牌公司等国际公司持有少数股权。

普拉特斯由总统路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦在今年早些时候第三个任期开始时任命,他表示石油生产仍将是首要任务。相比之下,Petroleo Brasileiro SA(该公司的正式名称)对风电和其他可再生能源技术的投资将是适度的。

普拉特斯的言论可能会缓解一些少数投资者的担忧,他们担心新政府将优先考虑非核心投资项目,而不是石油和天然气业务。

虽然卢拉倡导应对气候变化,承诺减缓亚马逊地区的森林砍伐,但他也是巴西石油工业的支持者。在卢拉的前两个任期内,生产的繁荣为他提供了不断增长的税收,帮助资助他雄心勃勃的社会支出。

巴西今年的产量预计将达到创纪录的 3.4 MMbpd,并将持续增长到 2030 年。之后,该国将需要新的发现来维持和增加产量。

“作为一个大制片人,我们在这场游戏中出现得很晚,但我们必须让事情继续下去,”54 岁的普拉特斯说,他在被任命之前是卢拉工人党的参议员。

他说,优先事项将是开发盐下地区的现有发现并寻找新的发现,同时寻求在巴西其他地区开辟新的盆地,包括该国最北部的所谓赤道边缘。该地区的地质情况与圭亚那附近地区相似,埃克森美孚公司在那里发现了数十亿桶石油。

巴西国家石油公司已准备好在该地区开始勘探钻探,但正在等待监管机构的批准。它靠近亚马逊河河口,使其成为一个有争议的钻探地点,并引起了巴西环境部长玛丽娜席尔瓦的关注。

“巴西政府必须决定这种情况是否继续下去,”普拉特斯说。“我们要做的就是寻找石油。”他说,如果巴西国家石油公司获得批准,勘探井的钻探最早可能在四月份开始。

巴西国家石油公司将考虑投资海上风电,因为该公司拥有在巴西大西洋执行大型项目的经验。他表示,该公司正在探索与包括挪威国家石油公司在内的欧洲石油巨头建立合作伙伴关系。

“这是我们已经了解的环境,巴西无疑拥有世界上最好的海上风电投资环境,因为气候有利,”他说。巴西国家石油公司推进能源转型的其余部分将涉及其已经拥有专业知识的两个领域:碳捕获和生物燃料。

普拉特斯表示,巴西国家石油公司去年在油价上涨和广泛的撤资计划的推动下支付了创纪录的股息,应该在向包括巴西政府在内的股东输送现金和投资之间取得更好的平衡。

他表示:“我们应该对此有更平衡的看法,同时不要忽视巨额股息的巨大吸引力。”

原文链接/worldoil

Petrobras CEO undeterred by energy transition, reveals goals to increase Brazil’s oil production

Mariana Durao, Peter Millard and Will Kennedy, Bloomberg March 24, 2023

(Bloomberg) – Jean Paul Prates, the head of Brazil’s state-controlled oil company, isn’t deterred by the world’s energy transition. He says Latin America’s largest producer should keep increasing fossil fuel output for decades to come.

“We will get market share,” Prates, Chief Executive Officer of Petrobras, said in an interview in Rio de Janeiro. “We may be the last to produce oil in the world.”

His assertion of Brazil’s ambition echoes the policy of other oil exporters like Saudi Arabia, who argue that investing in fossil-fuel expansion is compatible with a global ambition to reach net zero carbon emissions..

The world has found itself in a tight place as limited fossil fuel supply amid a lack of investment sparked a global energy crisis that raised consumer bills and worsened global inflation. Even leaders who position themselves as fighters against climate change such as U.S. President Joe Biden have called for increases in oil output to help tame rising costs.

Over the last 20 years, Brazil has emerged as a major oil producer, diverging from many of its Latin American peers. Drillers have exploited giant offshore oil fields, known as pre-salt, because the crude is trapped under a geological layer of salt. Petrobras operates most of those fields with international companies such as Shell Plc holding minority stakes.

Appointed by President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva at the start of his third term earlier this year, Prates said that the oil production will remain the top priority. Investment in wind power and other renewable technologies at Petroleo Brasileiro SA, as the company is formally known, will be modest in comparison.

Prates’ comments may ease concerns among some minority investors that the new administration would prioritize non-core investment projects over the oil and gas business.

While Lula has championed the fight against climate change, pledging to slow deforestation in the Amazon, he’s also been a supporter of Brazil’s oil industry. The boom in production provided growing tax revenue during Lula’s first two terms, helping to finance his ambitious social spending.

Brazil’s output is set to reach a record 3.4 MMbpd this year and will keep growing until 2030. After that, the country will need new discoveries to maintain and grow production.

“We came out very late to this game as a big producer, but we have to keep the ball rolling,” said Prates, 54, who was a senator in Lula’s Workers’ Party before his appointment.

He said the priority will be exploiting existing finds in the pre-salt areas and finding fresh ones, while looking to open up new basins in other parts of Brazil, including the so-called equatorial margin in the far north of the country. That region has similar geology as areas off nearby Guyana, where Exxon Mobil Corp. has found billions of barrels.

Petrobras is ready to start exploration drilling in the region, but is awaiting approval from regulators. Its proximity to the mouth of the Amazon river has made it a controversial location for drilling and drawn concern from Brazil’s environment minister, Marina Silva.

“The state of Brazil will have to decide if that goes on or not,” Prates said. “All we are trying to do is to find oil.” If Petrobras gets the go-ahead, drilling could start on an exploration well as soon as April, he said.

Petrobras will look at investments in offshore wind because the company has experience executing big projects in Brazil’s Atlantic Ocean. It’s exploring partnerships with European oil majors, including Norway’s Equinor, he said.

“This is an environment we already know, and we have in Brazil undoubtedly the best environment for investment in offshore wind in the world because the climate is favorable,” he said. The rest of the Petrobras push into the energy transition will involve two areas where it already has expertise: carbon capture and biofuels.

Prates said Petrobras — which paid a record dividend last year, driven by higher oil prices and a wide-ranging divestment program — should strike a better balance between channeling cash to shareholders, including the Brazilian state, and investment.

“We should have a more balanced view of that, without neglecting the big attractiveness of having big dividends,” he said.