页岩展望 Eagle Ford:维持德克萨斯州南部的长期稳定

Eagle Ford 缺乏 Permian Basin 那样的增长特征,但周到的并购和重复压裂项目正在扩大运营商的库存。

根据美国能源信息署 (EIA) 的数据,鹰福特页岩区的钻井平台,该盆地是美国第三大产油盆地,日均产量约为 116 万桶。(来源:Shutterstock.com

编者注:这是《石油和天然气投资者》系列文章的一部分,该系列文章探讨了随着 E&P 进入 2025 年,页岩气的主要趋势——从电气化到并购再到基础设施需求。 

页岩气2025年展望

作为美国最早、最成熟的页岩气田之一,鹰福特页岩气跑道正在通过合并和重建项目进行延伸。

根据美国能源信息署 (EIA) 的数据,鹰福特页岩仍然是美国第三大产油陆上盆地,仅次于强大的二叠纪盆地和北达科他州的巴肯盆地。

然而,尽管二叠纪和巴肯的石油产量有所增长,但根据美国能源信息署的预测,预计到 2025 年,鹰福特的石油产量将基本保持平稳,平均约为 116 万桶/天。

康菲石油公司Crescent Energy是 Eagle Ford 地区著名的整合者,旨在扩大其在该盆地的库存。

康菲石油公司与马拉松石油公司价值171 亿美元的合并案于 11 月底完成,成为南德克萨斯州两大石油生产商的联合体。

通过马拉松交易增加的约 2,000 个额外钻井地点中,约有一半位于鹰福特。

Crescent Energy 还于 2024 年继续扩大 Eagle Ford 的油田面积,并最终以21 亿美元收购SilverBow Resources以及以9.05 亿美元收购Ridgemar Energy。

在奥斯汀白垩纪油气田中,Magnolia Oil & Gas继续增加其在吉丁斯油田的租赁权。

折射攻击

作为首批水平开发的页岩油气田之一,Eagle Ford 的剩余空白空间相对较少。大多数最优质的钻井库存已被少数几家大型生产商所拥有。

由于新钻井地点稀缺,运营商越来越多地评估重新完井项目,为旧水平井注入新的活力。

越来越多的 Eagle Ford 生产商开始倾向于使用重复压裂、重新进入、重新完井和其他重复作业——采用现代钻井技术来延长递减井的产量。

鹰福特 (Eagle Ford) 油田重复压裂项目的运营商包括康菲石油公司、戴文能源 (Devon Energy)BPX Energy、Crescent Energy、Baytex EnergyVerdun Oil

如今,重复压裂已成为热门话题,但对于由EnCap Investments支持的私人勘探与生产公司 Verdun 来说,这已经是旧闻了。该公司于 2018 年左右开始制定重复压裂战略,当时 Verdun 完成了据称在 Eagle Ford 趋势区进行的首次全线性隔离重复压裂。

Verdun 确定的用于重复压裂的油井的平均水平长度通常为 6,000 英尺左右,并于 2016 年之前完工。

页岩油前景 Eagle Ford 维持德克萨斯州南部的长期稳定

液化天然气的未来

一些运营商看到了远西部 Eagle Ford 的天然气窗口带来的未来机遇。

EOG Resources正在开发位于德克萨斯州和墨西哥边境附近 Dorado 气田的西南地区。

去年,EOG 开通了长达 100 英里的 Verde 管道,该项目日产量为 10 亿立方英尺,将 Dorado 天然气输送至德克萨斯州科珀斯克里斯蒂附近的 Agua Dulce 销售中心。

EOG 目前在其 Dorado 天然气田上运行着一座钻井平台,但该公司预计,随着未来对液化天然气和天然气价格的需求上涨,南德克萨斯州的活动将会增加。

“一旦市场开始为我们开放,我们就想增加产量,”EOG 首席执行官 Ezra Yacob 在公司第三季度财报电话会议上表示。

阿瓜杜尔塞枢纽附近正在建设一些大型液化天然气出口设施,包括 Rio Grande LNG 和 Corpus Christi LNG State III。美国墨西哥湾沿岸还有几个正在建设中,包括 Golden Pass LNG 和 Port Arthur LNG。

美国能源信息署 (EIA) 的数据显示,随着包括去年 12 月投产的普拉克明液化天然气 (Plaquemines LNG) 在内的新液化天然气项目的投入使用,预计到 2027 年,美国的液化天然气出口能力将增长近 100 亿立方英尺/天。

美国能源信息署预测,今年鹰福特的天然气产量将从每天 67 亿立方英尺增至 70 亿立方英尺。

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Shale Outlook Eagle Ford: Sustaining the Long Plateau in South Texas

The Eagle Ford lacks the growth profile of the Permian Basin, but thoughtful M&A and refrac projects are extending operator inventories.

A drilling rig in the Eagle Ford Shale, the third-most productive onshore basin in the U.S. with an average of around 1.16 MMbbl/d, according to EIA data. (Source: Shutterstock.com)

Editor’s note: This is part of an ongoing series of Oil and Gas Investor articles examining major shale play trends— from electrification to M&A to infrastructure needs— as E&Ps enter 2025. 

Shale 2025 outlook

One of the nation’s earliest and most mature shale plays, the Eagle Ford’s runway is being extended through consolidation and recompletion projects.

The Eagle Ford Shale remains the third-most productive onshore basin in the U.S., behind only the mighty Permian Basin and North Dakota’s Bakken, according to U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) figures.

But while oil output from the Permian and Bakken grows, production from the Eagle Ford is expected to remain largely flat through 2025—at an average of around 1.16 MMbbl/d, per EIA forecasts.

ConocoPhillips and Crescent Energy have been notable consolidators in the Eagle Ford to extend their inventories in the basin.

The $17.1 billion merger between ConocoPhillips and Marathon Oil, completed in late November, brings together two of the top producers in South Texas.

Of the approximately 2,000 additional drilling locations added through the Marathon transaction, roughly half are in the Eagle Ford.

Crescent Energy also continued to roll up acreage across the Eagle Ford in 2024, closing a $2.1 billion acquisition of SilverBow Resources and a $905 million acquisition of Ridgemar Energy.

In the Austin Chalk play, Magnolia Oil & Gas continues to add leasehold to its position in the Giddings Field.

Refrac attack

As one of the first shale plays to be developed horizontally, the Eagle Ford has relatively little white space left. Most of the highest quality drilling inventory is already owned in the portfolios of a handful of large producers.

With new drilling locations scarce, operators are increasingly evaluating recompletion projects to breathe new life into older horizontals.

A growing number of Eagle Ford producers are leaning into refracs, re-entries, recompletions and other redo jobs—using modern drilling techniques to extend production from declining wells.

Eagle Ford operators touting refrac projects include ConocoPhillips, Devon Energy, BPX Energy, Crescent Energy, Baytex Energy and Verdun Oil.

Refracs are a hot topic today, but they’re old news for Verdun, a private E&P backed by EnCap Investments. The company started developing a refrac strategy around 2018, when Verdun completed what it says was the first full linear isolation refrac performed in the Eagle Ford trend.

The wells Verdun identifies for refracs generally have average lateral lengths of around 6,000 ft and were completed before 2016.

Shale Outlook Eagle Ford Sustaining the Long Plateau in South Texas

LNG Future

Certain operators see future opportunity stemming from the natural gas windows in the far western Eagle Ford.

EOG Resources is developing the Dorado gas play in the southwestern area of the play near the Texas-Mexico border.

Last year, EOG brought online the 100-mile Verde Pipeline, a 1 Bcf/d project transporting Dorado gas to the Agua Dulce sales hub near Corpus Christi, Texas.

EOG is running a single rig on its Dorado gas play, but the company anticipates growing activity in South Texas as demand for LNG, and gas prices, increase in the future.

“As the market starts to open up for us, we’d like to increase that,” EOG CEO Ezra Yacob said during the company’s third-quarter earnings call.

A handful of large-scale LNG export facilities are under construction near the Agua Dulce Hub, including Rio Grande LNG and Corpus Christi LNG State III. Several more are under construction along the U.S. Gulf Coast, including Golden Pass LNG and Port Arthur LNG.

LNG export capacity from the U.S. is expected to grow by nearly 10 Bcf/d through 2027, according to EIA data, as new liquefaction projects tick online, including Plaquemines LNG, which started production in December.

Gas production from the Eagle Ford will grow from 6.7 Bcf/d to 7 Bcf/d this year, the EIA forecasts.

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