URTeC 2025:第一天讨论的重点是利用技术克服市场困境

奥利维亚·卡贝尔,《世界石油》副主编 ,2025年6月10日

URTeC 2025 首日会议在休斯顿乔治·R·布朗会议中心拉开帷幕,首先由一场小组讨论会拉开帷幕,探讨非常规能源面临的一些主要挑战和机遇。小组成员探讨了非常规资源在波动的石油市场中脱颖而出的可能性,以及如何将技术应用于非常规资源致密油气开发的新途径,这也成为了本次会议的明确主题。

电力是新的页岩热潮。正如Pickering Energy Partners创始人兼首席执行官Dan Pickering在全体会议开幕式上所指出的,油价走软和欧佩克石油供应增加,为其他能源(从广泛分布的天然气到新兴的地热能)的认真考虑创造了机会。他的预测表明,尽管油价最终会回升,但预计会在50美元/桶左右达到低点。页岩油的产量对价格更加敏感,可能会下降,但并非没有后继者。Pickering预测:“电力是新的页岩热潮。” 而电力需求的推动在很大程度上受到围绕数据中心及其可能在美国各地即将建设的讨论的推动。他很快强调说:“好消息是,我们无法按照市场希望的速度加速能源方面的发展,从而导致他所说的持续的“缓慢繁荣”。

降低成本,拓展技术。在市场氛围不那么友好的背景下,URTeC 第一天的讨论主要围绕两大挑战:继续降低页岩油气的成本及其他痛点,以及拓展页岩技术和经验在其他领域的应用方式。皮克林巧妙地概括了前者:“美国页岩资源巨大;我们只采收了相当少的资源。” Hess 旗下巴肯油田的代表在第一天的另一场小组讨论中也表达了同样的观点,重点介绍了额外的压裂方法、使用新技术对老井进行再增产以及采用延长水平段。在题为“巴肯的价值流管理”的小组讨论中,代表们指出,利用新技术对于公司巴肯资产从较为有利的地区转向不太有利的地区至关重要。

地热能及其他能源。正如首日专题讨论会上另一场讨论所强调的那样,其中一些新技术并不局限于石油和天然气的应用。美国  高级研究计划署能源项目主任乔茨纳·夏尔马博士强调了致密油气与地热能等应用领域的重叠。由于电力需求短期内不会放缓——尤其是在数据中心建设加速之后——地热能已成为备受关注的话题,亚马逊等非能源行业的公司已采取行动,就地热能项目展开合作。除了地热能之外,致密油气技术还与原地开采技术重叠,据夏尔马称,原地开采技术占美国国内铀产量的95%。考虑到铀的大部分依赖进口,成熟的致密油气技术的应用,为超越石油和天然气,发展核能提供了机遇。

原文链接/WorldOil

URTeC 2025: Day one discussions center on using technology to overcome market conditions

Olivia Kabell, Associate Editor, World Oil June 10, 2025

URTeC 2025’s first day kicked off at Houston’s George R. Brown Convention Center with a panel on some of the major challenges and opportunities facing unconventional energy resources.  In what became a clear theme for the conference, the panelists discussed the possibility for unconventional resources to shine amidst a fluctuating market for oil, as well as new ways to apply technology to development of tight oil and gas from unconventional resources.

Power is the new shale boom. As Pickering Energy Partners Founder and CEO Dan Pickering noted during his opening in the plenary session, softening oil prices and increased oil supply from OPEC have created a window for other energy sources—from widespread natural gas to emerging geothermal—to see serious consideration, His predictions suggest that while oil prices will eventually recover, they are slated for a low point in the $50/bbl range.  Shale, with its much more “price-sensitive barrels,” is likely to decline in terms of production, but it is not without a successor. “Power is the new shale boom,” Pickering predicted, and the demand is driven in no small part by the discussions surrounding data centers and their potential impending construction across the United States.  “The good news,” he was quick to emphasize, “is we can’t accelerate as quickly as the market would like on the energy side,” leading to what he calls an ongoing, “slow-moving boom.”

Reducing costs and expanding technology. Within a less friendly market, discussions for URTeC’s first day centered around two challenges: continuing to reduce costs and other pain points for shale oil and gas, and expanding the ways technology and learnings from shale can be applied to other sectors. The former was summed up neatly when Pickering said, “[U.S. shale] is a huge resource; we’ve recovered a fairly small amount of it.”  Representatives from Hess’s Bakken assets echoed this point in another day-one panel, highlighting additional fracturing methods, restimulation of older wells using new techniques and adoption of extended laterals.  In that panel—titled “Value Stream Management in the Bakken”—Hess representatives noted that leveraging new techniques is critical in the shift from more-favorable to less-favorable acreage within the company’s Bakken assets.

Geothermal and other sources. Some of these new techniques, as highlighted in yet another day-one panel, are not restricted to oil and gas applications.  Dr. Jyotsna Sharma, a program director at the Advanced Research Projects Agency-Energy (ARPA-E), highlighted an overlap in tight oil and gas and geothermal power, among other applications.  With power demand not looking to slow down anytime soon—particularly once data center construction ramps up—geothermal has been the subject of serious discussion, as non-energy sector companies like Amazon have made moves to collaborate on stimulation projects to that end.  Beyond geothermal, tight oil and gas technologies also overlap with in-situ mining techniques, which according to Sharma, compose 95% of U.S. domestic uranium production.  Considering that a large majority of uranium is imported, the application of well-developed tight oil and gas techniques and technology hold the opportunity to go beyond oil and gas, to forward nuclear power sources as well.