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由于有迹象表明美国政策制定者可能会在更长时间内维持较高利率,油价在前一交易日每桶下跌约 1 美元后,周一几乎没有变化。

截至 1036 GMT,布伦特原油期货上涨 21 美分,至每桶 83 美元。美国西德克萨斯中质原油期货上涨 27 美分,至 78.53 美元。

尽管上周价格受到一些因素的支撑,包括最新一轮停止加沙敌对行动的谈判缺乏进展,但经济因素再次成为人们关注的焦点。

政策制定者的评论表明,预计英国和欧洲将比美国更快降低借贷成本。

本周美国通胀数据将进一步为美联储的利率政策提供信息。

分析师预计美联储将在更长时间内维持政策利率不变,这将支撑美元,并使以美元计价的石油对于持有其他货币的投资者来说更加昂贵。

与此同时,中国周末公布的数据显示,4月份消费者价格连续第三个月上涨,而生产者价格则延续跌势,表明国内需求有所改善。

进一步的价格支撑来自于石油输出国组织(OPEC)及其盟友(统称为OPEC+)将把减产措施延长至今年下半年的预期。

伊拉克是欧佩克第二大产油国,该国石油部长周日对国家通讯社表示,该国致力于执行该生产国同意的自愿石油减产。

在此之前,部长周六表示,伊拉克已经进行了足够的自愿减产,并且不会同意更广泛的 OPEC+ 集团在 6 月会议上提出的任何额外减产建议。

OPEC+此前曾呼吁伊拉克在2024年前三个月的产量超过其产量配额。该组织表示,巴格达同意在今年剩余时间内进一步减产来补偿。

 


原文链接/OilandGas360

CNBC


Oil prices were little changed on Monday after losing about $1 a barrel in the previous session on signs that U.S. policymakers are likely to keep interest rates higher for longer.

Brent crude futures were up 21 cents at $83 a barrel by 1036 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures were up 27 cents at $78.53.

Although prices were supported by a few factors last week, including a lack of progress in the latest round of negotiations to halt hostilities in Gaza, economic factors are back in the spotlight.

Commentary from policymakers suggests that a lowering of borrowing costs is expected sooner in the UK and Europe than in the United States.

U.S. inflation data this week will further inform the Federal Reserve on interest rate policy.

Analysts expect the U.S. central bank to keep its policy rate on hold for longer, supporting the dollar and making dollar-denominated oil more expensive for investors holding other currencies.

Meanwhile, Chinese data at the weekend showed consumer prices rising for a third straight month in April while producer prices extended declines, signalling improved domestic demand.

Further price support comes from expectations that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies, known collectively as OPEC+, will extend supply cuts into the second half of the year.

Iraq, the second-largest OPEC producer, is committed to voluntary oil production cuts agreed by the producer group, its oil minister told the state news agency on Sunday.

The comments followed the minister’s suggestion on Saturday that Iraq had made enough voluntary reductions and would not agree to any additional cuts proposed by the wider OPEC+ group at its June meeting.

OPEC+ has previously called out Iraq for pumping more than its output quota in the first three months of 2024. Baghdad agreed to compensate with additional production cuts over the rest of the year, the group said.