石油价格


没有一家大型国际银行没有净零计划。这些计划无一例外地包括限制对石油和天然气行业的贷款。尽管有这些计划。世界上大多数顶级贷款机构都继续与石油行业开展业务,而且最近他们的业务做得越来越多。

这一启示来自于一个名为“石油变革国际”的组织撰写的第 15 年度 银行业气候混乱 报告,该组织是致力于结束石油和天然气行业的气候非政府组织的一部分。

这份报告显示,自2016年《巴黎协定》签署以来,全球60家最大银行已向油气行业投资6.9万亿美元,标志着全球净零转变的正式启动。据国际石油变革组织报道,其中 3.3 万亿美元用于扩大碳氢化合物能源的生产。

从气候非政府组织的角度来看,这当然是一个很糟糕的消息,但这并不是唯一的坏消息。比碳氢化合物投资总额 6.9 万亿美元更糟糕的是,仅 2023 年的投资就达 7050 亿美元,而该行业的某些领域的银行融资有所增加。在一个净零议程的世界里,这种情况不应该发生,特别是当银行做出脱碳承诺并正式缩减与石油和天然气生产商的业务往来时。但并非所有人都这样做。

由于缺乏其他工具,国际石油变革组织利用点名羞辱的方式对石油和天然气融资银行敲响警钟,称其认为最严重的净零违规者为“肮脏十二人”。

其中以摩根大通为首,该公司在 2016 年至 2023 年间向石油和天然气行业投资了 4,309 亿美元。位居第二的是花旗银行,该银行在此期间的石油和天然气投资额为 3,963 亿美元,其次是美国银行,该银行在石油和天然气行业的投资额为 3,963 亿美元。 《巴黎协定》签署至今年价值 3,333 亿美元。

“肮脏的一打”还包括巴克莱银行、三菱日联金融集团、丰业银行、汇丰银行以及加拿大皇家银行等银行,报告中的大量措辞旨在让这些银行对其商业行为感到尴尬。它没有做的是提出该信息所引发的问题:为什么银行在石油和天然气方面投资如此之多?

答案当然在于石油公司的财务报告和新闻报道,例如全球见证 今年 2 月发布的报道,称大型石油巨头在 2022 年创纪录的利润的支持下,向股东支付了创纪录的 1110 亿美元股息。这些创纪录的利润是由欧洲能源紧缩推动的,欧洲能源紧缩以一种每个人都能理解的方式强调了能源安全的重要性——看来除了气候非政府组织。

国际石油变革组织的报告称,去年液化天然气融资额有所增加,达到 1209 亿美元。从他们的角度来看,这一定是一个令人担忧的趋势。从银行本身的角度来看,这是一笔好生意,因为随着欧洲从管道转向液化天然气运输船,对液化天然气的需求正在上升。即使 2023 年风能和太阳能发电量创纪录, 也没有抑制对液化天然气的需求。

对于气候非政府组织来说更糟糕的是,去年水力压裂的资金也有所增加,达到 590 亿美元,由贷款机构向总共 236 家公司提供,其中包括已经点名和羞辱的摩根大通、花旗和美国银行,以及摩根士丹利和富国银行。发生这种情况的原因是,对包括页岩油在内的石油的需求也在上升,就像对天然气的需求一样。

能源需求难题是气候非政府组织面临的最终挑战。抗议和道路上的奇观可能会引起人们的注意——尽管有时这种关注是错误的——但如果对碳氢化合物的需求仍然像签署《碳氢化合物公约》以来多年来那样强劲,那么净零议程就无法遵循。巴黎协定。

然而,破坏这种需求的尝试总是失败。天然气和煤炭替代电力来源的建设正在蓬勃发展,各国政府花费数十亿美元来支持它们。即便如此,风能和太阳能仍无法应对电力需求的增长,现在有警告称,需要建造更多的天然气发电厂,以应对 IT 行业将推动的预计需求激增。

在交通运输领域,由于同样强有力的政府支持,电动汽车销量强劲增长,但即使在人均采用率最高的挪威,石油需求也 没有下降。一些世界顶级汽车制造商在其生产的电动汽车上损失了数十万美元,而他们之所以继续这样做,是因为他们的汽油和柴油汽车仍然畅销。

在任何其他情况下,指责银行向石油和天然气行业提供贷款而不承认其这样做的原因都会被视为马虎。然而在这种情况下,银行继续为石油和天然气提供资金的理由对于追踪这笔资金的活动人士来说太不方便了。这些原因是石油和天然气能赚钱,而且是非常好的钱,因为人们想要可靠、负担得起的能源。

 

作者:Irina Slav for Oilprice.com

主要图片(来源:路透社)


原文链接/OilandGas360

Oil Price


There is no large international bank without a net-zero plan. These plans invariably include curbs in lending to the oil and gas industry. Yet despite these plans. Most of the world’s top lenders continue doing business with the oil industry—and they’ve been doing more of it lately.

The revelation comes from the 15th annual Banking on Climate Chaos report authored by an organization called Oil Change International, part of a group of climate NGOs committed to putting an end to the oil and gas industry.

According to this report, the world’s 60 largest banks have invested $6.9 trillion in the oil and gas industry since the Paris Agreement was signed in 2016, marking the official start of the global net-zero shift. Of this, Oil Change International reported, $3.3 trillion went towards expanding the production of hydrocarbon energy.

This is bad enough news from the climate NGO perspective, certainly, but it is not the only bad news. What’s worse than a total of $6.9 trillion in hydrocarbon investment is an investment of $705 billion for 2023 alone—with some segments of the industry seeing increases in bank funding. This, in a world with a net-zero agenda, should not be happening, especially when banks are making decarbonization pledges and officially shrinking their business dealings with oil and gas producers. Yet not all of them are doing it.

Oil Change International, for lack of other tools, uses naming and shaming to sound the alarm of banks financing oil and gas, calling what it sees as the worst net-zero offenders “The Dirty Dozen”.

Those are led by JP Morgan, which invested $430.9 billion in the oil and gas industry between 2016 and 2023. At number two, we have Citi, with oil and gas exposure of $396.3 billion for the period, followed by Bank of America, which invested $333.3 billion between the signing of the Paris Agreement and last year.

The “Dirty Dozen” also includes lenders such as Barclays, MUFG, Scotiabank, and HSBC, as well as RBC and the report includes a lot of language aimed at making these banks feel embarrassed about their business practices. What it doesn’t do is ask the question that this information begs: why are banks investing so much in oil and gas?

The answer, of course, lies in the financial reports of oil companies and news reports such as the one that Global Witness released this February, stating Big Oil majors paid their shareholders a record $111 billion in dividends on the back of record profits for 2022. Those record profits were driven by the energy crunch in Europe that highlighted the importance of energy security in a way that everyone could understand—except climate NGOs, it appears.

The Oil Change International report says that financing for liquefied natural gas increased last year, hitting $120.9 billion. From their perspective, this must be a worrying trend. From the perspective of the banks themselves, this is good business—because demand for LNG is on the rise with Europe switching from pipelines to LNG carriers. Even record electricity generation from wind and solar in 2023 did not depress demand for liquefied gas.

Worse still for climate NGOs, funding for fracking increased last year as well, reaching $59 billion, provided to a total 236 companies by lenders including already named and shamed JP Morgan, Citi, and BofA, along with Morgan Stanley and Wells Fargo. The reason this happened was that demand for oil, including shale oil, was also on the rise, just like demand for natural gas.

The energy demand conundrum is the ultimate challenge for the climate NGO crowd. Protests and road-gluing spectacles may attract attention—although sometimes it is the wrong kind of attention—but the net-zero agenda cannot be followed if demand for hydrocarbons remains as strong as it has been in all the years since the signing of the Paris Agreement.

Attempts to destroy this demand, however, have invariably failed. The buildout of alternative sources of electricity to gas and coal are thriving, with governments spending billions on supporting them. Even so, wind and solar have been unable to cope with the rise in electricity demand and now there are warnings that more gas power plants would need to be built to respond to the expected surge in that demand that the IT sector will drive.

In transport, EV sales have grown strongly thanks to equally strong government support and yet even in Norway, which has the highest per-capita adoption rate, oil demand has not declined. Some of the world’s top carmakers are losing hundreds of thousands on the EVs they produce and they only keep doing it because their gasoline and diesel vehicles are still selling well.

Pointing the finger at banks for their lending to the oil and gas industry without acknowledging the reasons they are doing it would, in any other context, be considered sloppy work. Yet in this case, the reasons for banks to continue funding oil and gas are too inconvenient for the activists tracking this funding. These reasons are that oil and gas make money and that it is very good money—because people want reliable, affordable energy.

 

By Irina Slav for Oilprice.com

Lead image (Credit: Reuters)