SLB 预计石油和天然气市场短期走弱,长期将反弹

SLB 有限公司表示,由于今年全球贸易担忧,客户可能会采取谨慎行动,但从长远来看,未来前景更加光明。


4 月 25 日, SLB首席执行官 Olivier Le Peuch 在公司第一季度收益电话会议上表示,SLB 的长期前景看起来比短期前景更加光明,这与本周其他油田服务运营商的评论相呼应。

勒佩奇在电话中表示,供需失衡以及特朗普政府最近宣布的关税,导致能源行业在全球范围内面临经济不确定性。

“大宗商品价格面临挑战。在价格稳定之前,消费者可能会对短期活动和可自由支配的支出采取更为谨慎的态度。”

SLB报告称,本季度净利润为7.97亿美元,营收为84.9亿美元,低于去年同期的10.68亿美元和87.1亿美元。油井建设收入较2024年第一季度下降12%,至29.8亿美元。

Le Peuch表示,“贸易担忧”可能会减少今年的石油和天然气需求。自4月2日唐纳德·特朗普总统宣布对几乎所有国家征收全面关税以来,原油期货价格从每桶70美元以上开始下跌。关税形势在整个月内波动不定。目前原油交易价格接近每桶63美元。

SLB 首席财务官 Stephane Biguet 表示,公司已开始与客户合作,通过合同调整来弥补关税导致的成本增加。

他说道:“随着第二季度的进展和贸易谈判的持续进行,我们希望能够更好地了解关税可能在何处得到解决,以及我们能够在多大程度上减轻对我们业务的影响。”

与本周早些时候哈里伯顿、贝克休斯和威德福国际的首席执行官一样,勒佩奇表示,未来一年看起来不确定,但长期来看前景稳健。

他表示:“我们预计全球上游投资将较2024年有所下降,中东和亚洲的客户支出将比其他地区更具韧性。我们对石油和天然气的长期前景保持乐观,并将在客户的整个资产生命周期内继续深化与客户的合作伙伴关系。”

Le Peuch 预计“勘探投入的反弹”将持续下去,这将使 SLB 的长期前景更加光明。

他说道:“我认为,我们预计 2026 年和 2027 年最终投资决定 (FID) 将会不断增加,这将对未来的海底业务产生影响。”

Le Peuch表示,SLB的目标是将EBITDA利润率(第一季度为23.8%)全年保持在25%。关税是一个“大问号”,可能会改变这一目标。

“我们以前也遇到过这种情况,”他说道,“我们的运营状况良好,并且明确优先考虑的是保持利润率,同时创造强劲的现金流。”

SLB还表示,预计将在第二季度或第三季度初完成对服务提供商ChampionX的收购。Le Peuch表示,与英国和挪威竞争管理机构的谈判进展顺利。

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SLB Sees Short-Term Softening, Long-Term Rebound in Oil & Gas

SLB Ltd. says customers are likely to behave cautiously amid global trade concerns this year, but the future looks brighter in the long term.


SLB’s long-term future looks brighter than the short term, CEO Olivier Le Peuch said on April 25 on the company’s first-quarter earnings call, echoing the comments of other oilfield services operators this week.

Supply-demand imbalance and recent tariff announcements made by the Trump administration have the energy sector navigating economic uncertainty on a global level, Le Peuch said in the call.

“Commodity prices are challenged. Until they stabilize, customers are likely to take a more cautious approach to near-term activity and discretionary spending.”

SLB reported net income of $797 million on revenue of $8.49 billion in the quarter, down from $1.068 billion and $8.71 billion a year earlier. Well construction revenue fell 12% from first-quarter 2024 to $2.98 billion.

Le Peuch said “trade concerns” may reduce demand for oil & gas this year. Crude futures began sinking from over $70/bbl after President Donald Trump announced sweeping tariffs on April 2 affecting almost every country in the world. The tariff situation has fluctuated through the month. Crude is now trading near $63.

SLB CFO Stephane Biguet said the company is already engaging with customers to recover tariff-induced cost increases through contractual adjustments.

“As the second quarter progresses and ongoing trade negotiations continue, we will hopefully gain better visibility of where tariffs may settle and the extent to which we will be able to mitigate the effects on our business,” he said.

Like the CEOs of Halliburton, Baker Hughes and Weatherford International earlier in the week, Le Peuch said the year ahead looks uncertain and the longer term looks solid.

“We expect global upstream investment to decline compared to 2024, with customer spending in the Middle East and Asia being more resilient than other regions,” he said. “We remain positive on the long-term outlook for oil & gas, and we’ll continue to deepen our partnerships with our customers throughout the life cycle of their assets.”

Le Peuch expects a “rebound in commitment to exploration” to continue, brightening SLB’s outlook in the longer term.

“I think you are seeing it to FIDs that we expect to be piling up in 2026, 2027 that will impact subsea business going forward,” he said.

Le Peuch said SLB will aim to keep its EBITDA margin, which was 23.8% in the first quarter, at 25% for the year. The tariffs are “a big question mark” that could change that math.

“We have been here before,” he said. “We’re operating from a strong position and have a clear priority of preserving margins while generating robust cash flows.”

SLB also said it expects to complete its acquisition of services provider ChampionX in the second or early third quarter. Talks with the competition authorities in the U.K. and Norway are going well, Le Peuch said.

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