2018年5月
特征

区域报告:拉丁美洲 拉丁美洲脆弱的市场是否在压力下崩溃了?

尽管原油价格上涨,许多拉美国家仍在应对巨额债务和生产率下降的问题。
艾米莉·奎鲁宾/世界石油

然而,最近的发现和许可轮次吸引了外国投资的强劲增长,这可能是该地区经济复苏的关键。

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左图:委内瑞拉国有石油和天然气公司 PDVSA 对未来制定了雄心勃勃的计划,尽管近期产量有所下降,但其目标是在 2019 年之后的某个时间达到 6 MMbopd。照片:PDVSA。中:雷普索尔自 1995 年以来一直在特立尼达和多巴哥积极开展业务,并拥有四个海上区块的权利。照片:雷普索尔。右图:去年,Wintershall 在阿根廷西部内乌肯盆地启动了第二个运营试点项目。照片:温特歇尔。

 

阿根廷

由于高通胀和产量下降,阿根廷正在努力应对勘探与生产行业的恶化。自2001年严重经济衰退导致阿根廷违约以来,阿根廷一直在努力摆脱金融危机。该国拥有丰富的页岩储量,近年来已从主要天然气净出口国转变为天然气净进口国。为了保持能源工业的安全,政府正在推动复杂水库的开发。

特别是阿根廷未开发的 Vaca Muerta 页岩据说蕴藏着超过 16 桶石油和 308 Tcf 的可采天然气。非常规页岩地层覆盖了内乌肯盆地内很大的区域。在毛里西奥·马克里总统去年提出多项激励措施后,为了降低非常规油井开发的高成本,国际石油巨头和投资者对该地区表现出了更大的兴趣。

去年5月,Wintershall启动了第二个运营的试点项目,在内乌肯西部的Bandurria Norte区块开钻了三口水平试点井中的第一口。据该公司称,到目前为止,其业务主要集中在作为非运营商的常规水库上。该公司与合作伙伴 GeoPark Limited(运营商,持股 50%)于 8 月发现了一个新油田。Rio Grande Oeste 1 勘探井位于阿根廷门多萨省 CN-V 区块,已钻完并完井,钻深达 5,500 英尺。GeoPark 报告称,早期生产测试显示流量为 300 bopd,并降低了该区块其他已确定的轻质油前景的风险。

图 1. 挪威国家石油公司报道称,它将勘探阿根廷的 Bajo del Toro 和 Bajo del Toro Este 区块。图片:挪威国家石油公司。

去年夏天,多家石油巨头与国有 YPF 合作,探索令人垂涎的页岩地层。Statoil 和 YPF(作业者)达成协议,勘探内乌肯盆地的 Bajo del Toro 区块。两家公司各持股50%,将共同勘探阿根廷西部地区占地38,800英亩的区块。随后,挪威国家石油公司于 11 月获得了 Bajo del Toro Este 勘探许可证,该许可证位于 Bajo del Toro 以东(图 1)。作为拥有 90% 工作权益(Gas y Petroleo del Neuquen 持有 10%)的运营商,该大公司表示致力于在从今年开始的四年勘探期内进行一次预勘探。

此外,在省政府将 Aguada Pichana 地区分为两部分并将其与 Aguada de Castro 地区合并后,7 月宣布对 Vaca Muerta 地层进行 11.5 亿美元的联合投资。YPF、道达尔、Wintershall 和泛美能源公司同意联合投资,道达尔持有 41% 的股份经营阿瓜达皮查纳东部地区,而 BP 旗下泛美能源公司则经营西部地区以及阿瓜达德卡斯特罗地区, 45%的股权。

埃克森美孚是阿根廷内乌肯盆地另一家活跃的石油巨头。该公司表示,自进入该地区以来,已投资超过 5 亿美元用于 Vaca Muerta 资产的勘探和开发。10月,该公司宣布其位于内乌肯市西北约108英里处的Los Toldos I South区块资源开发的投资计划已获得政府批准。最初的 2 亿美元投资将为一个试点项目提供资金,该项目将使 7 口井投入生产。它还将支持生产设施和相关出口基础设施的建设。

 

图 2. President Energy 最近宣布对其在阿根廷的预期资源进行重大升级。照片:总统能源公司,

President Energy 拥有工作权益,是 Puesto Flores 和 Estancia Vieja 特许权以及 Puesto Guardian 许可证及其周边两个勘探区的运营商,该公司于 11 月宣布对其预期资源进行重大升级,图2根据公司发布的消息,综合盆地研究和地球化学调查的结果显示,该公司的古生代天然气/凝析油远景净值平均无风险远景资源量 (MUPR) 超过 7 Tcf,上行情况超过 20 Tcf 和 185 MMbbl 凝结水。此外,结果显示之前未报告的白垩纪石油前景超过 40 MMbbl,MUPR。

仅仅几个月后,该公司报告其内乌肯盆地 2P 净储量增加了 66%,从 4.82 MMboe 增加到 8 MMboe,而 1P 储量增加了 30% 以上,从 3.2 MMboe 增加到 4.5 MMboe,因为资产被收购。这一成功是弗洛雷斯港四口井修井计划成功的直接结果。该公司表示,随着 2018 年资本支出计划的推进,预计储备金将进一步升级。

委内瑞拉

尽管委内瑞拉拥有世界上最大的石油和天然气储量,但它未能保持美洲最大石油出口国的地位。2014年行业低迷时,委内瑞拉的财政状况已经岌岌可危。据报道,自尼科尔·马杜罗总统 2013 年上任以来,产量下降了近 40%。石油经济学家 (PE) 报告称,随着国家经济萧条继续恶化,去年产量下降了约 60 万桶/日。

今年,情况进一步恶化。在 2017 年 5 月号《世界石油》中,我们报道了委内瑞拉的产量已降至 2.15 MMbopd 的低点。从那时起,它继续无情地下降到微不足道的 1.5 MMbopd。该国目前的产量降幅是 2016 年 10 月 OPEC 协议中承诺减产量的五倍。EIA的数据显示,委内瑞拉的活跃钻井平台数量也有所下降,从2016年第一季度的约70个减少到2017年第四季度的平均43个。

直到最近,奥里诺科带的超重质原油生产还有助于维持委内瑞拉工业的运转。该矿带位于委内瑞拉古里科州,覆盖着一些世界上最大的石油矿藏。然而,到 2017 年底,奥里诺科石油产量已降至 882,000 桶/日的水平,较上年下降超过 300,000 桶/日。

产量下降的部分原因可能是有报道称委内瑞拉石油质量也在下降。美国和亚洲的炼油厂报告了原油质量问题,包括高盐和高水含量。在某些情况下,买家完全拒绝了货物。

此外,委内瑞拉政府去年对委内瑞拉国家石油公司(PDVSA)的行政领导层进行了全面清洗,这是马杜罗总统承诺遏制国家石油生产商内部腐败的一部分。据报道,短短几个月内,就有 50 多名公司高管被捕,其中包括前公司负责人纳尔逊·马丁内斯和前石油部长欧洛吉奥·德尔·皮诺。PDVSA 旗下美国炼油公司 Citgo 的多名官员也被拘留。

此外,PDVSA 的运营和现金流问题继续阻碍该公司摆脱债务。尽管该公司去年底偿还了数十亿美元的债务,但据报道仍欠数百万美元。为了支撑经济,委内瑞拉今年早些时候推出了自己的大宗商品支持的加密货币。根据政府的说法,每个“石油币”都有一桶石油的支持,并以相同的价格出售。尽管许多人持保留态度,马杜罗总统表示,石油币肯定会“为委内瑞拉的福祉带来全面成功”。

然而,PDVSA 对未来制定了雄心勃勃的计划,并表示希望到 2019 年将委内瑞拉原油产量提高到约 6 百万桶/日,其中 4 百万桶/日预计来自奥里诺科河带。此外,该公司的国家计划要求大幅提高天然气产量,到 2019 年达到 10.5 Bcfd。同样,到 2019 年,公司希望实现向拉丁美洲和加勒比海地区出口 1.3 MMbopd,向拉丁美洲和加勒比海地区出口 3.2 MMbopd 的目标。亚洲。

巴西

尽管拉丁美洲的大部分能源部门都在苦苦挣扎,但巴西的盐下层仍然是勘探者的热点。坎波斯和桑托斯盆地深水区盐下区块的吸引力帮助该国在最新一轮许可期间带来了数十亿美元的收入。10月下旬,包括壳牌、挪威国家石油公司和埃克森美孚在内的主要勘探与生产公司赢得了该地区盐下区块的产品分成合同。

作为拉丁美洲最大的国家,巴西对国际能源市场未来的影响力不断增强。据此,中国于10月作为联盟国加入国际能源署(IEA),参与重要能源政策问题的全球讨论。“巴西的经验表明政策确实很重要,”国际能源署执行董事法提赫·比罗尔博士说。中国坚定而雄心勃勃的长期能源政策、开发深水石油资源和扩大生物燃料产量,为世界各国树立了榜样。因此,我们的最新数据显示,巴西今年将成为石油净出口国,这是近代历史上第一个实现这种转变的主要消费国。”根据国际能源署的数据,巴西有望成为近乎石油净出口国。到 2022 年,产量将达到 1 MMbpd。据报道,过去 10 年石油产量增长了 50%,这在很大程度上归功于该国新兴的深水部门。

Libra 是世界上最大的深水发现之一,于 11 月开始生产。不久之后,由巴西国家石油公司(运营商,40%)、壳牌(20%)、道达尔(20%)、中海油(10%)和中石油(10%)组成的Libra财团确认了石油积累的商业性位于该区块的西北部分,称为梅罗油田。据巴西国家石油公司称,新命名的油田预计可采石油量为 3.3 桶。Mero 油田位于桑托斯盆地,距离里约热内卢海岸近 112 英里,开发计划包括四个新的生产系统。据 Total 称,未来几年 Libra 产量将达到 60 万桶/日以上。

去年年底,挪威国家石油公司收购了坎波斯盆地 Roncador 油田 25% 的权益,将其在巴西的产量增加了两倍。该油田是巴西国家石油公司(运营商,75%)的第三大生产资产,现有储量约为 10 Bboe,预计剩余可采量超过 1 Bboe。据报道,2017 年 11 月期间,该油田日产约 240,000 桶石油当量,此外还生产约 40,000 桶石油当量的伴生气。

在巴西第15轮许可期间,挪威国家石油公司与几家主要合作伙伴进一步巩固了其在巴西深水区的地位,中标了四个区块“M-755、CM-657、CM-709和CM-793”攊位于坎波斯盆地南部。包括壳牌和埃克森美孚在内的其他主要参与者也在许可回合中赢得了深水区块。然而,Wintershall 极大地巩固了自己的地位,成为该国第四大生产商,并新获得了七个许可证的权益。作为其中四个许可证的运营商,该公司表示这些地区“潜力巨大”。

上个月,巴西国家石油公司报告称,其主要盐下项目之一 B霉齐奥斯油田已开始生产。据报道,P-74 平台距离里约热内卢海岸约 124 英里,是在巴西盐下开始生产的第 13 个平台。据巴西国家石油公司称,该油田的高产量潜力是计划在 2021 年之前增建四个平台的原因。

圭亚那

随着埃克森美孚的一系列重大发现,圭亚那已成为探险家们备受追捧的地区。迄今为止,圭亚那还不是石油生产国。然而,Wood Mackenzie 表示,预计到 2026 年,该国将成为拉丁美洲最大的生产国之一,预计产量约为 350,000 至 400,000 桶/日。

埃克森美孚的 Liza 开发项目拥有 2 Bboe 至 2.5 Bboe 的资源量,在 Liza-4 井取得积极成果后,于去年 6 月达到了最终投资决定。第一阶段的开发将包括一个海底生产系统和一艘能够生产 120,000 bopd 的 FPSO 船。该油田位于 Stabroek 区块近海约 118 英里处,预计将于 2020 年开始生产。 

埃克森美孚7月份在圭亚那海上取得了更多成功,其Payara-2井发现了59英尺高的优质含油砂岩,证实了Stabroek区块的第二个巨型油田。良好的油井结果使 Payara 油田的估计资源量增加至约 500 MMboe。

到十月,埃克森美孚在圭亚那近海发现了第五个发现。该公司的 Turbot-1 井在 Stabroek 区块东南部发现了 75 英尺高的优质含油砂岩。该井位于丽莎东南约 30 英里处,钻井深度为 18,445 英尺,水深为 5,912 英尺。“xxonMobil 继续在圭亚那近海进行成功的勘探活动,发现了大菱鲆。这表明深水仍然具有吸引力。宣布这一消息后,埃克森美孚的 Liza 和 Payara 综合体的商业储备可能会接近 2 桶大关,”Wood Mackenzie 的高级分析师 Pablo Medina 在一份新闻稿中表示。“随着最近在圭亚那的一系列发现以及在巴西最新一轮许可中的积极竞标,xxonMobil 在拉丁美洲的足迹显着增加。”

一月份,埃克森美孚发现了第六个 Stabroek 区块。Ranger-1 探井在 8,973 英尺的水中钻探至 21,161 英尺深度后,发现了约 230 英尺的优质含油碳酸盐岩储层。埃克森美孚勘探公司总裁史蒂夫·格林利在一份新闻稿中表示:“这一发现证明了占地 660 万英亩的 Stabroek 区块的新开采理念,并为我们不断增长的圭亚那投资组合增加了更多价值。”

仅仅一个月后,这家石油巨头与合作伙伴 Hess Guyana Exploration Ltd. (30%) 和 CNOOC Nexen Petroleum Guyana Limited (25%) 一起报告了在 Stabroek 区块 Pacora-1 勘探井的第七个发现。该井在 Payara-1 井以西约 4 英里处钻探,发现了约 65 英尺的优质含油砂岩储层。该油田钻探深度为18,363英尺,水深为6,781英尺。该公司表示,该油田将与Payara油田联合开发,有助于圭亚那日产量超过50万桶。

墨西哥

墨西哥的勘探与生产活动最近急剧下降。随着该国去年的钻探活动创下历史新低,其探明储量一直在萎缩。然而,墨西哥的能源改革结束了石油和天然气行业75年的国家垄断,并将该国的注意力转向吸引私人资本和技术专长,以帮助重建墨西哥陷入困境的经济。

今年在休斯敦举行的 CERAWeek 期间,Pemex 首席执行官卡洛斯·特雷维诺 (Carlos Trevino) 表示,“Pemex 的游戏新名称是“合作伙伴关系”。通过积极的外包战略,该公司旨在通过一系列资产拍卖吸引外国投资,如果运气好的话,将有助于扭转该国产出下降的局面。

今年 1 月,墨西哥将 19 个深水区块授予包括壳牌和埃尼在内的石油巨头,据报道带来了价值数十亿美元的投资。3 月份,墨西哥提供了 35 个浅水区,随后将于 7 月份拍卖 37 个陆上开发项目。总体而言,预计该国将在 7 月大选、即涅托总统任期结束之前向石油巨头提供 100 多个许可证。

通过大规模的能源改革,墨西哥于二月份成为国际能源署第一个拉丁美洲成员国。“这是历史性的一天,因为我们欢迎我们的第一个拉丁美洲成员国,它拥有超过 1.2 亿居民,是一个重要的石油生产国,在全球能源领域具有举足轻重的地位,”IEA 执行董事法提赫·比罗尔 (Fatih Birol) 博士说。“近年来雄心勃勃且成功的能源改革使墨西哥牢牢地跻身全球能源政策版图。”墨西哥是该协会的第 30 个成员。

图 3. Pemex 最近报告称,墨西哥在韦拉克鲁斯盆地的 Ixachi-I 井获得了 15 年来最大的陆上发现。照片:墨西哥国家石油公司。

去年,塔洛斯能源公司报告称在苏雷斯特盆地浅水区发现了重大发现,重振墨西哥勘探与生产行业的努力取得了进展。据报道,Zama-1 勘探井距离多斯博卡斯港约 37 英里,是墨西哥第一口由私营部门钻探的井。它的初始 TVD 约为 11,100 英尺,遇到了超过 1,100 英尺的连续总含油层段,上中新统砂岩中的净石油产层为 558-656 英尺。Talos 总裁兼首席执行官蒂姆·邓肯 (Tim Duncan) 在一份新闻稿中表示:“我们相信这一发现准确地体现了能源改革的目的:新资本、新参与者以及为墨西哥带来当地就业机会和政府收入的独创精神。” 

 

 

据该公司称,最初的原始石油总地质储量估计在 1.4 桶至 2 桶之间,超出了钻探前的估计。Talos 表示,在安装完衬管后,计划钻探更深的矿区,以追求 Zama Main 和 Zama Deep 目标。

墨西哥勘探与生产行业继续成为头条新闻,Pemex 在 11 月份报道了该国 15 年来最大的陆上发现。Ixachi-1井(图3)位于韦拉克鲁斯盆地韦拉克鲁斯港以南45英里处,显示原始体积超过1,500 MMboe,总储量约为350 MMboe。该水库毗邻现有基础设施,进一步增强了其经济价值。

哥伦比亚

Canacol Energy 和 GeoPark 是哥伦比亚最活跃的两家运营商。去年,Canacol 在对一口勘探井进行测试后,在下马格达莱纳盆地发现了一个新的商业浅层气田,其综合产量约为 8,123 桶当量。Toronja 1 勘探井在 VIM 5 区块钻探深度达 7,200 英尺,是该公司在该盆地连续第八个发现天然气。据报道,它与位于该发现以南的乔博天然气处理设施相连。

不久之后,该公司报告了其第九个发现。其 Pandereta 1 探井在 Lower Tubara、Cienaga de Oro (CDO) 和裂缝性基底储层中发现了 149 英尺的天然气层。不到两个月后,即 12 月,据报道 Canadonga-1 井在 CDO 储层中发现了 32 英尺的净气层,证实了 Canacol 在哥伦比亚下马格达莱纳盆地连续第十次发现。Pandereta 2 评价井证实了这些发现具有重要意义,其净产气量是 Pandereta 发现井的两倍。

九月,地质公园报告了自己的新油田发现。Curucucu 1 钻探至 14,600 英尺后,生产测试的产量约为 1,700 桶/日。虽然该井是在最近发现的 Jacamar 油田的现有井场钻探的,但据报道,该井位于 Tigana/Jacana 断层走向以东的新断层走向上,与 Jacamar 油田相邻。该公司表示,这是自 2012 年收购 Llanos 34 区块以来的第 11 个发现。

该公司最近在 Tigana/Jacana 也取得了进展。Tigana Norte 3 和 Tigana Norte 4 评价井的石油显示表明 Guadalupe 和 Mirador 地层均具有碳氢化合物的潜力。“随着这些最近钻探的新井的成功,GeoPark 已成为哥伦比亚第三大石油和天然气运营商,并且还将实现更多增长,”首席执行官詹姆斯·F·帕克 (James F. Park) 在一份新闻稿中表示。

特立尼达和多巴哥

BP 特立尼达和多巴哥 (BPTT) 和雷普索尔是加勒比南部双岛国特立尼达和多巴哥最活跃的两家运营商。 

特立尼达陆上压缩(TROC)项目是 BP 2017 年最大的上游项目之一,于 4 月启动。据报道,该设施有潜力提供约 200 MMcfd,预计将通过在 Point Fortin Atlantic 液化天然气工厂增加一台入口压缩机,增加 BP 现有哥伦布盆地面积低压井的产量,从而提高生产能力。

今年晚些时候,英国石油公司宣布从 Juniper 开发项目中获得第一批天然气,这是该公司在特立尼达岛的第一个海底油田开发项目。该设施通过 Juniper 平台从 Corallita 和 Lantana 油田生产天然气,距离特立尼达东南海岸约 50 英里。来自瞻博网络五个海底井的天然气通过一条新的 6 英里管道流向 Mahogany B 枢纽。据报道,该项目将 BPTT 的天然气产能提高了约 590 MMscfd。

BPTT 去年还宣布其 Angelin 天然气项目获得批准。该项目将包括在距特立尼达东南海岸约 37 英里处建造一个新平台,以及四口产能约为 600 MMscfd 的油井。该项目的天然气将通过一条新的 13 英里管道流向 Serrette 平台中心。据 BPTT 称,钻探计划于 2018 年第三季度开始,预计将于 2019 年第一季度产出第一批天然气。

雷普索尔与 BPTT报告称发现了五年来最大的天然气量。Savannah 和 Macadamia 探井发现了大约 2 Tcf 的天然气。萨凡纳是在杜松以东的哥伦布盆地未经测试的断层块中钻探的。同样,澳洲坚果钻探是为了测试现有 SEQB 发现区下方的勘探和评估部分,该发现区位于哥伦布盆地 Cashima 油田以南 6 英里处。两个水库都将连接到瞻博网络平台。   wo-box_blue.gif

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艾米莉·奎鲁宾
世界石油
艾米丽·奎鲁宾 Emily.Querubin@worldoil.com
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May 2018
Features

Regional Report: Latin America Is Latin America’s fragile market cracking under pressure?

Despite the rise in crude prices, many Latin American countries are still grappling with considerable debt and declining production rates.
Emily Querubin / World Oil

However, recent discoveries and licensing rounds have attracted a strong uptick in foreign investment, which could be the region’s key to economic resurgence.

066_WO0518.jpg
Left: PDVSA, Venezuela’s state-owned oil and gas company, has ambitious plans for the future, as it aims to reach 6 MMbopd by some time after 2019, despite its recent dropin output. Photo: PDVSA. Center: Repsol has been actively operating in Trinidad & Tobago since 1995, and holds rights to four offshore blocks. Photo: Repsol. Right: Last year,Wintershall launched its second operated pilot project in Argentina’s western Neuquén basin. Photo: Wintershall.

 

ARGENTINA

Due to high inflation and declining production, Argentina is putting forth an effort to counteract the deterioration of its E&P sector. Since its 2001 default, caused by a severe economic recession, Argentina has worked to escape its financial crisis. The country, home to abundant shale reserves, has gone from a chief net exporter to a net importer of gas in recent years. To keep its energy industry above water, the government is promoting development of complex reservoirs.

Argentina’s largely undeveloped Vaca Muerta shale, in particular, is said to hold upwards of 16 Bbbl of oil and 308 Tcf of recoverable gas. The unconventional shale formation covers a very large area within the Neuquén basin. After numerous incentives were proposed by President Mauricio Macri last year, in an effort to reduce the high cost associated with development of unconventional wells, international oil majors and investors are showing more interest in the region.

Last May, Wintershall launched its second operated pilot project, spudding the first of three horizontal pilot wells in the Bandurria Norte Block, in western Neuquén. According to the company, its operations had, until now, been focused primarily on conventional reservoirs as a non-operator. The company, alongside partner GeoPark Limited (operator, 50%), discovered a new oil field in August. The Rio Grande Oeste 1 exploration well was drilled and completed to a 5,500-ft TD in the CN-V Block of Argentina’s Mendoza Province. GeoPark reported that early production tests showed a flowrate of 300 bopd and de-risked other delineated light oil prospects in the block.

Fig. 1. Statoil reported that it will explore Argentina’s Bajo del Toro and Bajo del Toro Este blocks. Image: Statoil.

Several majors partnered with state-owned YPF last summer, to explore the coveted shale formation. Statoil and YPF (operator) entered an agreement to explore the Bajo del Toro Block of the Neuquén basin. Holding 50% each, the companies will jointly explore the 38,800-acre block in Argentina’s western region. Statoil was subsequently awarded the Bajo del Toro Este exploration license, situated east of Bajo del Toro (Fig. 1), in November. As operator, with a 90% working interest (Gas y Petroleo del Neuquén holds 10%), the major said it is committed to one wildcat within its four-year exploration period, beginning this year.

Additionally, a $1.15-billion joint investment in the Vaca Muerta formation was announced in July, after the provincial government divided the Aguada Pichana area into two sections and combined it with the Aguada de Castro area. YPF, Total, Wintershall and Pan American Energy agreed to the joint investment, which has Total operating the eastern part of Aguada Pichana with a 41% stake, while BP unit Pan American Energy operates the western part, as well as Aguada de Castro, with a 45% stake.

ExxonMobil is another active oil major in Argentina’s Neuquén basin. The company says that it has invested more than $500 million in the exploration and development of its Vaca Muerta assets since entering the region. In October, it announced that its investment plan for the development of resources in the Los Toldos I South Block, about 108 mi northwest of Neuquén City, had been granted government approval. The initial $200-million investment funds a pilot project that should put seven wells into production. It also will support construction of production facilities and associated export infrastructure.

 

Fig. 2. President Energy recently announced significant upgrades to its prospective resources in Argentina. Photo: President Energy,

President Energy—which holds a working interest and is the operator in the Puesto Flores and Estancia Vieja concessions, as well as the Puesto Guardian license and two exploration areas surrounding it—announced significant upgrades to its prospective resources in November, Fig. 2. According to a company release, results of an integrated basin study and geochemical survey showed aggregate Paleozoic gas/condensate prospects net to the company with mean unrisked prospective resources (MUPR) of over 7 Tcf, with an upside case of over 20 Tcf and 185 MMbbl of condensate. Additionally, results showed previously unreported Cretaceous oil prospects of over 40 MMbbl, MUPR.

Just a few months later, the company reported that its Neuquén basin 2P net reserves had increased 66%, from 4.82 MMboe to 8 MMboe, while its 1P reserves increased more than 30%, from 3.2 MMboe to 4.5 MMboe, since the assets were acquired. The success is a direct result of a successful four-well workover program at Puesto Flores. The company said that it expects further upgrades in reserves as it moves forward with its 2018 capex program.

VENEZUELA

Although it has some of the world’s largest oil and natural gas reserves, Venezuela has failed to retain its status as a top oil exporter in the Americas. When the industry downturn took hold in 2014, Venezuela’s financial situation was already precarious. Since President Nicolás Maduro took office in 2013, production reportedly has tumbled nearly 40%. Petroleum Economist (PE) reported that approximately 600,000 bpd of that decline took effect last year, as the nation’s economic depression continued to worsen.

This year, the situation is deteriorating even further. In the May 2017 issue of World Oil, we reported that Venezuela’s production rate had reached a low of 2.15 MMbopd. Since then, it has continued its unrelenting descent to a meager 1.5 MMbopd. The country’s production decline is now five times greater than the amount it pledged to cut in the October 2016 OPEC deal. According to EIA, the number of active rigs in Venezuela also has fallen, from about 70 in first-quarter 2016 to an average of 43 in the last quarter of 2017.

Until recently, production of extra-heavy crude from the Orinoco Belt was helping to keep Venezuela’s industry afloat. The belt, which is in Venezuela’s Guárico state, overlies some of the world’s largest petroleum deposits. Nevertheless, by the end of 2017, Orinoco output had fallen to a reported level of 882,000 bpd—a decline of more than 300,000 bpd from the year prior.

The drop in production could, in part, be due to reports that the quality of Venezuelan oil has been waning, as well. Refiners in the U.S. and Asia have reported issues in crude quality, including high salt and water content. In some cases, buyers have turned away cargoes entirely.

Moreover, the Venezuelan government initiated a comprehensive purge of PDVSA’s executive leadership last year, as part of President Maduro’s promise to temper corruption within the state oil producer. In a matter of months, more than 50 company officials reportedly were arrested, including former company head Nelson Martínez and ex-oil minister Eulogio del Pino. A number of officials at Citgo, PDVSA’s U.S. refining company, were detained as well.

Additionally, PDVSA’s operational and cash-flow issues continue to prevent the company from climbing out of debt. Although the company made multi-billion-dollar debt payments late last year, it reportedly still owes millions. To shore up its economy, Venezuela introduced its own commodity-backed cryptocurrency earlier this year. According to the government, each “petro” is backed by a barrel of oil and is sold at the same price. Despite the reservations of many, President Maduro said that the petro is sure to be “a total success for the welfare of Venezuela.”

PDVSA has ambitious plans for the future, however, and says it wants to increase Venezuelan crude production to about 6 MMbpd by 2019, of which 4 MMbpd are anticipated to come from the Orinoco belt. Additionally, the company’s national plan calls for a significant boost in natural gas production, up to 10.5 Bcfd by 2019. Also by 2019, it hopes to reach an export goal of 1.3 MMbopd to Latin America and the Caribbean, and 3.2 MMbopd to Asia.

BRAZIL

While much of Latin America’s energy sector is struggling, Brazil’s pre-salt layer remains a hotspot for explorers. The attractiveness of pre-salt blocks in the deep waters of the Campos and Santos basins helped bring in billions during the country’s latest licensing round. In late October, key E&P players, including Shell, Statoil and ExxonMobil, won PSCs for pre-salt blocks in the region.

As Latin America’s largest country, Brazil’s influence on the future of the international energy marketplace continues to grow. Accordingly, the country joined the International Energy Agency (IEA) as an association country in October, inserting itself into the global discussion on important energy policy issues. “Brazil’s experience shows that policies do matter,” said IEA Executive Director Dr. Fatih Birol. “It’s determined and ambitious long-term energy policies, developing deepwater oil resources and expanding biofuels output, set an example to countries around the world. As a result, our latest data shows that Brazil will become a net oil exporter this year, the first major consumer in recent history to ever achieve such a turnaround.” According to IEA, Brazil is on track to be a net exporter of nearly 1 MMbpd by 2022. This results from a reported 50% increase in oil production over the last 10 years, which can largely be accredited to the country’s budding deepwater sector.

Libra, one of the world’s biggest deepwater discoveries, began producing in November. Soon after, the Libra Consortium—made up of Petrobras (operator, 40%), Shell (20%), Total (20%), CNOOC (10%) and CNPC (10%)—affirmed commerciality of the oil accumulation in the northwestern section of the block, calling it Mero field. According to Petrobras, the newly-named field has an estimated recoverable volume of 3.3 Bbbl of oil. Plans for the development of Mero field, nearly 112 mi off the coast of Rio de Janeiro in the Santos basin, include four new production systems. According to Total, Libra production should reach more than 600,000 bpd in the coming years.

Statoil tripled its production in Brazil late last year, with the acquisition of a 25% interest in Roncador field in the Campos basin. The field is Petrobras’ (operator, 75%) third-largest producing asset, with approximately 10 Bboe, in-place, and an anticipated remaining recoverable volume of over 1 Bboe. During November 2017, it was reported that the field was producing about 240,000 bopd, in addition to about 40,000 boed of associated gas.

During Brazil’s 15th licensing round, Statoil, with several major partners, further strengthened its position in the deep waters of Brazil with winning bids for four blocks—C-M-755, C-M-657, C-M-709 and C-M-793—in the southern part of the Campos basin. Other key players, including Shell and ExxonMobil, also won deepwater blocks during the licensing round. Wintershall, however, bolstered its position in a big way, becoming the country’s fourth-largest producer with newly-awarded interests in seven licenses. As operator of four of those licenses, the company said the areas “show huge potential.”

Last month, Petrobras reported the start of production at Bùzios field, one of its principal pre-salt projects. The P-74 platform, situated about 124 mi off the coast of Rio de Janeiro, reportedly is the 13th platform to begin producing in the Brazilian pre-salt. According to Petrobras, the field’s potential for high output is cause for the four additional platforms that are planned through 2021.

GUYANA

Following a series of major discoveries by ExxonMobil, Guyana has become a highly sought-after region for explorers. As yet, Guyana has not been an oil producer. However, Wood Mackenzie says it anticipates that the country will be one of Latin America’s top producers by 2026, with an estimated output of approximately 350,000-to-400,000 bopd.

ExxonMobil’s Liza development, which holds resources between 2 Bboe and 2.5 Bboe, reached FID last June after positive results were reported from the Liza-4 well. The first phase of development will include a subsea production system and an FPSO vessel capable of producing 120,000 bopd. The field, which is approximately 118 mi offshore in the Stabroek Block, is expected to start producing by 2020. 

ExxonMobil reported more success offshore Guyana in July, when its Payara-2 well encountered 59 ft of high-quality, oil-bearing sandstone, confirming a second giant field in the Stabroek Block. The positive well results increased Payara field’s estimated resources to approximately 500 MMboe.

By October, ExxonMobil had struck its fifth discovery offshore Guyana. The company’s Turbot-1 well encountered 75 ft of high-quality, oil-bearing sandstone within the southeastern part of the Stabroek Block. The well, situated about 30 mi southeast of Liza, was drilled to a depth of 18,445 ft in 5,912 ft of water. “ExxonMobil continues with its successful exploration campaign offshore Guyana with the discovery of Turbot. This shows that deep water can still be attractive. After [this] announcement, ExxonMobil’s Liza and Payara complex might approach the 2 Bbbl mark in commercial reserves,” Pablo Medina, Wood Mackenzie’s senior analyst, said in a release. “ExxonMobil’s Latin American footprint has increased significantly with its recent streak of discoveries in Guyana and its aggressive bidding in Brazil’s latest licensing round.”

In January, Exxon’s sixth Stabroek Block discovery was reported. The Ranger-1 exploration well encountered about 230 ft of high-quality, oil-bearing carbonate reservoir, after it was drilled to a depth of 21,161 ft in 8,973 ft of water. “This discovery proves a new play concept for the 6.6-million-acre Stabroek Block, and adds further value to our growing Guyana portfolio,” Steve Greenlee, president of ExxonMobil Exploration Co., said in a release.

Just one month later, the oil giant—along with partners Hess Guyana Exploration Ltd. (30%) and CNOOC Nexen Petroleum Guyana Limited (25%)—reported its seventh discovery in the Stabroek Block, at the Pacora-1 exploration well. The well, which was drilled approximately 4 mi west of the Payara-1 well, encountered about 65 ft of high-quality, oil-bearing sandstone reservoir. It was drilled to a depth of 18,363 ft, in a water depth of 6,781 ft. According to the company, it will be developed in combination with Payara field, helping to bring Guyana output to more than 500,000 bpd.

MEXICO

E&P activity in Mexico has seen a dramatic decline of late. As the country’s drilling activity hit record lows last year, its proven reserves have been shrinking consistently. Energy reform in Mexico, however, has ended a 75-year state monopoly in the oil and gas sector, and has shifted the nation’s attention to attracting private capital and technical expertise that could help rebuild Mexico’s ailing economy.

During this year’s CERAWeek in Houston, Pemex CEO Carlos Treviño said that “the new name of the game, for Pemex, is ‘partnerships.’” Through an aggressive farm-out strategy, the company aims to lure foreign investment through a series of asset auctions that will, with any luck, help reverse the country’s output decline.

In January, Mexico awarded 19 deepwater blocks to oil majors, including Shell and Eni, reportedly bringing in billions of dollars’ worth of investment. In March, Mexico offered 35 shallow-water areas, which will be followed by an auction for 37 onshore developments in July. Overall, the country is expected to offer more than 100 permits to oil majors before its July election, when President Nieto’s term ends.

With its large-scale energy reforms, Mexico became the IEA’s first Latin American member country in February. “It is a historic day, because we welcome our first Latin American member country, with more than 120 million inhabitants, an important oil producer, and a weighty voice in global energy,” IEA Executive Director Dr. Fatih Birol said. “The ambitious and successful energy reforms of recent years have put Mexico firmly on the global energy policy map.” Mexico is the association’s 30th member.

Fig. 3. Pemex recently reported Mexico’s largest onshore discovery in 15 years at its Ixachi-I well, in the Veracruz basin. Photo: Pemex.

Efforts to revive Mexico’s E&P industry showed progress last year, when Talos Energy reported a significant discovery in the shallow waters of the Sureste basin. The Zama-1 exploration well, situated about 37 mi from the Port of Dos Bocas, reportedly was Mexico’s first well to be drilled by the private sector. It reached an initial TVD of about 11,100 ft, encountering a contiguous gross oil-bearing interval of more than 1,100 ft, with 558–656 ft of net oil pay in Upper Miocene sandstones. “We believe this discovery represents exactly what the energy reforms intended to deliver: new capital, new participants and a spirit of ingenuity that leads to local jobs and government revenues for Mexico,” Talos President and CEO Tim Duncan said in a release. 

 

 

According to the company, initial gross original oil-in-place was estimated between 1.4 Bbbl and 2 Bbbl, which exceeded pre-drill estimates. Following the installation of a liner, Talos says it plans to drill deeper prospects in pursuit of Zama Main and Zama Deep targets.

Mexico’s E&P sector continued to make headlines, when Pemex reported the country’s largest onshore discovery in 15 years in November. The Ixachi-1 well (Fig. 3), 45 mi south of the Port of Veracruz in the Veracruz basin, showed an original volume of over 1,500 MMboe, representing total reserves of about 350 MMboe. The reservoir’s close proximity to existing infrastructure reinforces its economic value further.

COLOMBIA

Canacol Energy and GeoPark are two of Colombia’s most active operators. Last year, Canacol identified a new commercial shallow gas play in the Lower Magdalena basin, after an exploration well tested at a combined rate of approximately 8,123 boed. The Toronja 1 exploration well, drilled to an MD of 7,200 ft on the VIM 5 Block, was the company’s eighth consecutive gas discovery in the basin. It was reportedly being tied into the Jobo gas processing facility, just south of the discovery.

Soon after, the company reported its ninth discovery. Its Pandereta 1 exploration well encountered 149 ft of gas pay in the Lower Tubara, Cienaga de Oro (CDO) and fractured basement reservoirs. Less than two months later, in December, the Canadonga-1 well reportedly encountered 32 ft of net gas pay in the CDO reservoir, confirming Canacol’s tenth consecutive discovery in Colombia’s Lower Magdalena basin. The Pandereta 2 appraisal well confirmed that the finds were of significance, encountering twice the amount of net gas pay of the Pandereta discovery well.

In September, GeoPark reported a new oil field discovery of its own. After drilling the Curucucu 1 to a TD of 14,600 ft, production tests resulted in a production rate of about 1,700 bpd. While the well was drilled from an existing well pad in the recently discovered Jacamar field, it reportedly is on a new fault trend to the east of the Tigana/Jacana fault trend, contiguous to Jacamar field. The company says the find marks its 11th discovery in the Llanos 34 Block since acquiring it in 2012.

The company saw recent progress at Tigana/Jacana, as well. Oil shows at the Tigana Norte 3 and Tigana Norte 4 appraisal wells indicated the potential for hydrocarbons in both the Guadalupe and Mirador formations. “With the success of these recently-drilled new wells, GeoPark has moved into becoming the third-largest oil and gas operator in Colombia, with more growth on its way,” CEO James F. Park said in a release.

TRINIDAD & TOBAGO

BP Trinidad & Tobago (BPTT) and Repsol are two of the most active operators in Trinidad & Tobago, the southern Caribbean’s twin-island state. 

One of BP’s largest upstream projects of 2017, the Trinidad Onshore Compression (TROC) project started up in April. The facility, which reportedly has the potential to deliver about 200 MMscfd, is expected to improve production capacity by increasing output from low-pressure wells in BP’s existing Columbus basin acreage through an additional inlet compressor at the Point Fortin Atlantic LNG plant.

Later in the year, BP announced first gas from the Juniper development, the company’s first subsea field development in Trinidad. The facility produces gas from Corallita and Lantana fields via the Juniper platform, approximately 50 mi off of Trinidad’s southeast coast. Gas from Juniper’s five subsea wells flows to the Mahogany B hub via a new 6-mi pipeline. The project reportedly boosted BPTT’s gas production capacity by approximately 590 MMscfd.

BPTT also announced last year that its Angelin gas project was sanctioned. The project will include the construction of a new platform about 37 mi off of Trinidad’s southeastern coast, as well as four wells with a production capacity of about 600 MMscfd. Gas from the project will flow to the Serrette platform hub via a new 13-mi pipeline. According to BPTT, drilling is scheduled to begin in third-quarter 2018, and first gas is anticipated in first-quarter 2019.

Repsol, with BPTT,  reported the discovery of its largest gas volume in five years. The Savannah and Macadamia exploration wells uncovered approximately 2 Tcf of gas in place. Savannah was drilled into an untested fault block of the Columbus basin, east of Juniper. Likewise, Macadamia was drilled to test exploration and appraisal segments below the existing SEQB discovery, which is situated 6 mi south of the producing Cashima field, in the Columbus basin. Both reservoirs will be tied back to the Juniper platform. wo-box_blue.gif

About the Authors
Emily Querubin
World Oil
Emily Querubin Emily.Querubin@worldoil.com
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