探索/发现

雪佛龙退出红海后转向埃及地中海大陆架

全球主要公司仍致力于加大对埃及海上天然气生产的投资,因为他们关注开罗未充分利用的液化天然气产能。

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日出时分,红海上的自升式钻井平台正在作业。
资料来源:Walter Graneri for Dreamstime.com

在 2019 年首次授予的特许权未能取得发现后,雪佛龙和其他上游石油和天然气巨头已退出红海的勘探特许权,以将其埃及投资组合转向具有更大商业价值的前景。

雪佛龙四月份证实,已放弃其在红海北部红海一号区块的45%运营股份,路透社援引公司发言人萨莉·琼斯的话称,雪佛龙“仍然致力于与埃及政府和我们的合作伙伴合作,通过我们在地中海的勘探项目支持埃及能源部门的发展”。

雪佛龙与澳大利亚伍德赛德能源公司和埃及Thawa公司在1号区块进行合作。

今年3月,《中东经济调查》(MEES)报道称,壳牌公司与其合作伙伴率先退出红海油田,分别持有3号区块和4号区块43%和21%的运营权益。但壳牌公司尚未正式证实该报道。

壳牌在3号区块的合作伙伴包括澳大利亚伍德赛德公司(30%)和卡塔尔能源公司(17%)。4号区块的合作伙伴包括阿联酋国有企业穆巴达拉公司(27%)、伍德赛德公司(25%)和卡塔尔能源公司(17%)。

为了扩大天然气产量并将自己转变为东地中海(EastMed)的能源枢纽和液化天然气出口国,埃及于 2019 年在首次国际招标中将红海的石油和天然气勘探特许权授予雪佛龙、壳牌和阿布扎比主权财富基金穆巴达拉投资公司。

根据分析机构伍德麦肯齐的数据,埃及国内天然气产量从2022年的70亿立方英尺/天下降至目前的约45亿立方英尺/天。由于勘探投资不足,产量急剧下降,而在此期间,随着佐尔油田和西尼罗河油田的成熟,产量也随之下降。

关于2019年红海特许权的授予:

埃及石油部发言人穆阿塔兹·阿特夫 (Moataz Atef) 在四月份的新闻发布会上告诉记者,“各公司已在商定的时间内在其特许权上花费了数百万美元(在红海),其中一家公司投资了 3400 万美元进行勘探,而合同成本为 1000 万美元,“但没有发现任何结果”。

阿特夫没有透露其他放弃红海区块的公司的名字,只表示这些公司是几家跨国公司,正在将投资转向埃及的其他地区,特别是地中海地区。

地中海的生活更美好

埃及石油部表示,雪佛龙和壳牌均已申请地中海的新特许权,重申了对埃及石油和天然气行业的承诺,但没有透露更多细节。

雪佛龙发言人琼斯表示,该公司对埃及的另外三个勘探区块感兴趣,其中包括在东地中海地区的两个区块。

与此同时,跨国公司和超级巨头正在组建合资企业,共担东地中海地区天然气勘探风险。最近的例子是阿布扎比国家石油公司(ADNOC)和英国石油公司(BP)的合资企业Arcius Energy,专注于埃及肖鲁克、北达米埃塔和北塔比亚、贝拉特里克斯-塞提东部以及北法鲁兹恩地区的天然气勘探。

肖鲁克是东地中海最大的天然气田——由埃尼公司运营的 Zohr 气田所在地,而英国石油公司运营的 Atoll 气田则是北达米埃塔气田的一部分。

伍德麦肯兹 (Wood Mackenzie) 在二月份发表了一项分析报告,指出 Arcius 可能还在关注以色列和塞浦路斯近海的机会,以与埃及及其未充分利用的液化天然气 (LNG) 设施发展协同效应。

凯雷集团对 Energean 埃及资产的收购是当地市场如何利用并购来增加投资的另一个例子。

伍德麦肯兹分析师写道:“我们还预计 Harbour Energy 将保留其在埃及的资产,在 Wintershall Dea 合并后扩大的投资组合中,埃及是按净现值 (NPV) 计算的第五大国家。”

“该地区对几乎所有大型石油公司都至关重要,我们估计它们在东地中海地区的剩余净现值为190亿美元。东地中海地区将在2020年代末实现显著增长,大型石油公司是其天然的合作伙伴,它们被优势低排放天然气带来的稳定现金流以及进入欧洲天然气市场的潜在机会所吸引。”

原文链接/JPT
Exploration/discoveries

Chevron Joins Pivot to Egypt’s Mediterranean Shelf After Red Sea Exit

Global majors remain committed to boosting investment in Egypt’s offshore gas production as they eye Cairo’s underutilized LNG capacity.

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A jackup rig operating on the Red Sea at sunrise.
Source: Walter Graneri for Dreamstime.com

After concessions fist awarded in 2019 failed to yield discoveries, Chevron and other upstream oil and gas majors have exited exploration concessions in the Red Sea to redirect their Egyptian investment portfolios to prospects of greater commercial value.

Chevron confirmed in April that it had relinquished its 45% operated stake in Red Sea Block 1, located in the northern Red Sea, with Reuters quoting company spokesman Sally Jones that Chevron “remains committed to working together with the government of Egypt and our partners to support the growth of Egypt's energy sector through our exploration programs in the Mediterranean.”

Chevron partners with Australia's Woodside Energy and Egypt’s Thawa in Block 1.

In March, the Middle East Economic Survey (MEES) reported that Shell was the first to exit the Red Sea together with its partners in Block 3 and Block 4, in which Shell holds 43% and 21% operator interests, respectively. But Shell has yet to formally confirm the report.

Shell’s partners in Block 3 include Australia’s Woodside (30%) and QatarEnergy (17%). Block 4 partners include UAE state-owned Mubadala (27%), Woodside (25%), and QatarEnergy (17%).

As part of an effort to grow its gas production and transform itself into an energy hub and LNG exporter for the Eastern Mediterranean (EastMed), Egypt had awarded oil and gas exploration concessions in the Red Sea in 2019 to Chevron, Shell, and Abu Dhabi sovereign wealth fund Mubadala Investment Company in a first-time international tender.

Egypt’s domestic gas production declined from 7 Bcf/D in 2022 to approximately 4.5 Bcf/D currently, according to analytics provider Wood MacKenzie. A lack of investment in exploration has driven the decline when production rates fell dramatically as the Zohr field and West Nile fields that matured during this period.

As for the awarding of concessions in 2019 in the Red Sea:

Egypt’s petroleum ministry spokesperson Moataz Atef told reporters at a news conference in April that “companies have spent millions on their concessions (in the Red Sea) within the agreed time frames” with one company investing $34 million in exploration that was contracted to cost $10 million “but found no results.”

Atef did not name the other companies that he said had relinquished their Red Sea blocks, identifying them only as several multinational companies that were redirecting their investments to other areas in Egypt, particularly in the Mediterranean.

Life Is Better in the Mediterranean

Egypt’s petroleum ministry said both Chevron and Shell have applied for new concessions in the Mediterranean Sea, reaffirming their commitment to Egypt's oil and gas sector, without giving further details.

Chevron spokesperson Jones said it had interest in three other exploration blocks in Egypt, including two as an operator in the EastMed.

Meanwhile, multinationals and supermajors are structuring joint ventures to share risk in gas exploration in the EastMed. The most recent example is Arcius Energy, the ADNOC and BP joint venture focused on gas in Egypt’s Shorouk, North Damietta and North El Tabya, Bellatrix-Seti East, and North El Fayrouzn concessions.

Shorouk is home to the EastMed’s largest gas field, Eni operated Zohr, while the BP-operated Atoll field is part of North Damietta.

Wood Mackenzie published an analysis in February suggesting that Arcius may also be eyeing opportunities offshore Israel and Cyprus to develop synergies with Egypt and its underutilized liquefied natural gas (LNG) facilities.

The Carlyle Group’s acquisition of Energean’s Egyptian assets is another example of how the local market could leverage mergers and acquisitions for added investment.

“We also expect Harbour Energy to keep its assets in Egypt, which ranks as the 5th-biggest country by NPV (net present value) in a portfolio swelled by the Wintershall Dea merger,” Wood Mackenzie analysts wrote.

“The region is important to almost all the majors and we estimate their remaining East Med NPV at $19 billion. With the East Med set for significant growth through to the late 2020s, the majors are its natural partners, attracted by stable cash flows from advantaged, low-emissions gas and potential access to European gas markets.”