Rystad Energy:随着公司将重点转向风险较低的核心资产和地区,全球石油和天然气勘探萎缩

作者:
, 《油田技术》副主编


Rystad表示,由于该行业难以摆脱Covid-19大流行和随之而来的石油市场崩盘的影响,今年全球石油和天然气勘探将陷入困境,因为获得许可的区块数量和总面积降至接近历史低点。能源研究表明。截至今年 8 月,全球仅完成了 21 轮租赁,占 2021 年前 8 个月举行的 42 轮租赁的一半。今年迄今授予的土地面积已缩减至 32 万平方公里,为 20 年来的最低水平。预计今年全球租赁轮次总数为 44 轮,比 2021 年减少 14 轮,是 2000 年以来的最低水平。

近年来,全球勘探支出一直在下降,因为石油和天然气公司寻求通过专注于核心生产资产和产量有保证的地区来限制风险,旨在在市场不确定性和经济危机威胁下简化运营并建立更具弹性的业务。经济衰退。

政治形势也导致了许可证授予的减少,许多政府暂停或停止租赁,并鼓励公司在已授予的区块内结束勘探活动。由于各国政府不太热衷于投资化石燃料生产,而是展望净零排放的未来,这种趋势可能会持续下去。

近年来,甚至在 Covid-19 大流行和石油市场崩溃之前,全球勘探活动就一直呈下降趋势,而且这种情况今年及以后似乎将持续下去。很明显,石油和天然气公司不愿意承担与环境或政治敏感地区的新勘探或勘探相关的更大风险”,Rystad Energy 分析副总裁 Aatisha Mahajan

深入探究奖项

就今年迄今为止授予的区块而言,巴西是最大的贡献者,在第三轮永久招标期间拍卖了 59 个区块。欧洲主要壳牌公司和道达尔能源公司收购了所有八个海上区块——分别是六个和两个。Tucano、Espirito Santo、Potiguar、Reconcavo 和 Sergipe Alagoas 盆地的其余 51 个陆上区块被区域参与者 3R Petroleum(6 个区块)、NTF(2 个)、Petro Victory Energy(19 个)、Origem Energia(18 个)、Imetame Energia 收购(三)、Petroborn Oleo(二)和 CE Engenharia(一)。

继巴西之后,挪威在 APA 2021 轮中获得了 54 个新许可证,印度在 OLAP 第 6 轮和第 7 轮中获得了 29 个区块,以及哈萨克斯坦第四轮石油和天然气拍卖,获得了 11 个区块。一月至八月期间,非洲也有一些零星活动,埃及提供了九个区块的勘探权,安哥拉授予了两个区块的勘探权。南美洲还在乌拉圭进行了一轮海上许可,其中三个勘探区块被授予——壳牌公司获得了 OFF-2 和 OFF-7 区块,美国独立 APA 获得了 OFF-6 区块。Challenger Energy通过与政府直接谈判签署了OFF-1 30年的许可证。

在线阅读文章:https://www.oilfieldtechnology.com/exploration/09092022/rystad-energy-global-oil-and-gas-exploration-shrinks-as-companies-shift-focus-to-lower-risk-核心资产和区域/

 

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Rystad Energy: Global oil and gas exploration shrinks as companies shift focus to lower-risk core assets and regions

Published by , Deputy Editor
Oilfield Technology,


Global oil and gas exploration is set to falter this year as the number of licensed blocks and total acreage fall to near all-time lows as the sector struggles to shake off the effects of the Covid-19 pandemic and the ensuing oil market crash, Rystad Energy research shows. Only 21 lease rounds were completed globally through August this year, half of the 42 rounds held in the first eight months of 2021. The acreage awarded so far this year has shrunk to a 20-year low of 320 000 square kilometers. Global lease rounds are expected to total 44 this year, 14 less than in 2021 and the lowest level since 2000.

Global spending on exploration has been falling in recent years as oil and gas companies seek to limit risk by focusing on core producing assets and regions with guaranteed output, aiming to streamline their operations and build a more resilient business amid market uncertainty and the threat of a recession.

The political landscape is also contributing to the decrease in license awards, with many governments pausing or halting leases and encouraging companies to wrap up exploration activity within already awarded blocks. This trend is likely to continue as governments are less eager to invest in fossil fuel production and instead look ahead to a net zero future.

Global exploration activity has been on a downward trend in recent years, even before the Covid-19 pandemic and oil market crash, and that looks set to continue this year and beyond. It is clear that oil and gas companies are unwilling to take on the increased risk associated with new exploration or exploration in environmentally or politically sensitive areas”, Aatisha Mahajan, vice president of analysis, Rystad Energy

Drilling into the awards

Brazil is the largest contributor in terms of blocks awarded so far this year, with 59 auctioned during its Third Permanent Offer Round. European majors Shell and TotalEnergies took all eight offshore blocks on offer – six and two, respectively. The remaining 51 onshore blocks in the Tucano, Espirito Santo, Potiguar, Reconcavo and Sergipe Alagoas basins went to regional players 3R Petroleum (six blocks), NTF (two), Petro Victory Energy (19), Origem Energia (18), Imetame Energia (three), Petroborn Oleo (two) and CE Engenharia (one).

Other sizeable block awards after Brazil were Norway with 54 new licenses in its APA 2021 round, India with 29 blocks its OLAP Rounds 6 & 7, and Kazakhstan’s fourth oil and gas auction round, in which 11 blocks were awarded. There was also some sporadic activity in Africa between January and August, with Egypt providing rights to explore in nine blocks and Angola granting two blocks. South America also saw an offshore licensing round in Uruguay, where three exploration blocks were awarded – blocks OFF-2 and OFF-7 to Shell and Block OFF-6 to US independent APA. Challenger Energy signed a 30-year license for OFF-1 through direct negotiation with the government.

Read the article online at: https://www.oilfieldtechnology.com/exploration/09092022/rystad-energy-global-oil-and-gas-exploration-shrinks-as-companies-shift-focus-to-lower-risk-core-assets-and-regions/

 

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