DUG Haynesville:BPX Energy 利用数据提升页岩性能

BPX Energy 高管凯尔·孔茨 (Kyle Koontz) 告诉 DUG 海恩斯维尔与会者,通过不同的思维和“更聪明”的方式推动海恩斯维尔页岩的创新。

路易斯安那州什里夫波特。PX Energy 在海恩斯维尔以不同的方式、更明智地思考,利用数据和分析来推动决策,以提高刺激岩石量并增加产量。

“我们试图摆脱旧的思维方式——进行一项大型压裂工作并祈祷它能发挥作用”,并尝试采用更规范的方式,使用更现代的技术以及其他行业流行的分析技术“我们如何开发更好的投资并做出更明智的决策,”BPX Energy 首席开发官凯尔·孔茨 (Kyle Koontz) 说道。

5 月 26 日,Koontz 在 Hart Energy 的 DUG Haynesville 会议和展览上向与会者分享了 BPX 如何利用数字技术来帮助指导决策,例如在哪里钻下一口井、如何完成井以及是否停止生产。

BPX 是 BP Plc 的全资子公司,作为105 亿美元交易的一部分,从必和必拓收购了页岩资产,该交易还包括 Eagle Ford 页岩和二叠纪盆地的面积,之后于 2019 年初接管了 Haynesville 的业务。该公司在海恩斯维尔拥有 537,000 英亩的净土地,在路易斯安那州一侧运营着三台钻井平台和一台压裂钻机。

“我们已经这样做了很长时间,但我们感觉我们正在快速提升学习曲线,”孔茨说。“这证明了团队对创新和运营纪律的承诺。”

海恩斯维尔以其丰富的天然气产量而闻名,被视为脱碳的过渡燃料,有望在能源转型中发挥关键作用。美国能源信息署的数据显示,6 月份 Haynesville 天然气产量预计将增加 239 MMcf/d,达到 15.1 Bcf/d。

BPX 等生产商正在努力保持天然气流通。

“如果我们没有实现获得增产岩石体积的第一个里程碑,那么我们生产井的速度有多快就真的无关紧要了,”孔茨说。“复苏的类型和我们可以获得的经济类型将受到限制。”

他说,决策通常基于经验和科学。但他说,通常情况下,决策是基于其他游戏的经验,并且可能并不总是适合当前的情况。

BPX 开发了一个平台,使其团队能够使用原始数据输入做出更多基于数据的决策,这些原始数据输入生成团队可以采取行动的信息。他说,将经典统计与现代数据分析和传统石油和天然气分析工作流程相结合,可以产生智能的、数据驱动的预测,并补充说,这反过来又会带来具有一流结果的新井。

“每次我们完成这个工作流程,它都会变得越来越聪明,”孔茨说。

开发了一系列 ID 图来帮助推动决策和评估投资。他以 2019 年为基准,解释了公司如何利用数据驱动平台最大限度地提高 SRV 并促进复苏。该公司还整合了速率瞬态分析和其他分析工具来提高完工率。

“我们可以使用此工作流程中的一系列诊断工具来隔离变量并决定我们需要推动哪些决策来推动改进,哪些决策更有效,而不必依赖大量的生产历史来确定我们是否成功了,”孔茨解释道。“在我们建立油藏联系后,我们必须考虑生产策略。”

该公司使用实时自动化算法在油井生产时计算井下生产率。“它在后台运行,以便我们的油藏工程师和生产工程师能够就节流策略和生产率做出明智的决策,”他说。

结果表明该方法正在取得成效。

M&M 39-27 #2 井是 BPX 迄今为止最好的井,最大产量为 40 MMcf/d。

其他突出显示的井包括位于路易斯安那州海恩斯维尔区块北部的 Crestview Woods 的一对超延伸支线井。他说,这些井的总钻探深度为 15,000 英尺,将于今年夏天上线。

BPX 还用 MUR 21-28-33 1 号井和 2 号井标记了其第一个 Haynesville-Bossier 油井。“我们开始扩展到海恩斯维尔以外的地区,着眼于所有开发方案,以了解这些水库如何相互反应,”孔茨说。“它们也是我们进行现场电气化的第一口井。”

发展伴随着天然气价格的上涨。截至 5 月 25 日中午(中部时间),Henry Hub 上涨 3.68%,至 9.30 美元。

孔茨表示,以今天的价格计算,海恩斯维尔的回报率很高;然而,公司必须能够盈利,而不能仅依赖天然气价格。

“我们希望确保这不会让我们的心态陷入自满的状态,”他说。“我们必须继续推动创新,看看我们能变得多好。”

原文链接/hartenergy

DUG Haynesville: BPX Energy Using Data to Drive Shale Performance

BPX Energy is driving innovation in the Haynesville Shale by thinking differently and “smarter,” executive Kyle Koontz told DUG Haynesville attendees.

SHREVEPORT, La.—BPX Energy is thinking differently and smarter in the Haynesville, using data and analytics to drive decisions to boost stimulated rock volumes and increase production.

“We’re trying to get out of the old way of thinking—pumping a big frac job and praying it works—and try to get more prescriptive, using more modern technology coupled with analytics that have been prevalent in other industries into how we develop better investments and make smarter decisions,” said Kyle Koontz, chief development officer for BPX Energy.

Speaking to attendees of Hart Energy’s DUG Haynesville conference and exhibition on May 26, Koontz shared how BPX is using digital technology to help guide decisions such as on where to drill the next well, how to complete it and whether to choke back production.

BPX, a wholly owned subsidiary of BP Plc, took over operations in the Haynesville in early 2019 after acquiring the shale assets from BHP as part of a $10.5 billion deal that also included acreage in the Eagle Ford Shale and Permian Basin. The company has 537,000 net acres in the Haynesville, where it is running three rigs and one frac spread on the Louisiana side of the play.

“We haven’t been on it long, but we feel like we’re moving up the learning curve quickly,” Koontz said. “It’s a testament to the team’s commitment to innovation coupled with operational discipline.”

Known for its prolific production of natural gas, seen as a bridge fuel in decarbonization, Haynesville is positioned to play a critical role in the energy transition. Data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration show Haynesville gas production is forecast to rise 239 MMcf/d to 15.1 Bcf/d in June.

Producers like BPX are working to keep the gas flowing.

“If we don’t achieve that first milestone in getting stimulated rock volume, it really doesn’t matter how fast we produce the wells,” Koontz said. “We’re going to be limited in the type of recovery and the types of economics we can get.”

Decisions are typically based on experience and science, he said. But oftentimes, he said, decisions are based on experiences from other plays and that may not always fit situations at hand.

BPX developed a platform that enables its team to make more data-based decisions using raw data inputs that generate information on which the team can act. Blending classical statistics with modern data analytics and traditional oil and gas analysis workflows leads to intelligent, data-driven predictions, he said, adding that in turn leads to new wells with premiere results.

“Each time we work through this workflow, it gets smarter and smarter,” Koontz said.

A series of ID plots were developed to help drive decisions and evaluate investments. Using 2019 as its baseline, he explained how the company aimed to maximize its SRV and boost recovery using the data-driven platform. The company also incorporated rate transient analytics and other analytical tools to improve completions.

“We can use a series in this workflow, the diagnostic tool, to isolate variables and decide which decisions we need to drive improvement, which are more effective, without having to rely on a lot of production history to determine if we’re successful,” Koontz explained. “After we establish our reservoir contact, we have to look at the production strategy.”

The company uses a real-time automated algorithm that calculates productivity downhole as the well is producing. “This runs in the background so that our reservoir engineers and our production engineers can make informed decisions on choke strategy and rate of production,” he said.

Well results indicate how the approach is paying off.

The M&M 39-27 #2 well is BPX’s best well to date with a maximum production rate of 40 MMcf/d.

Other wells highlighted included a pair of super extended laterals at Crestview Woods, located in the northern part of the Louisiana Haynesville play. Drilled to a total depth of 15,000 ft, the wells will come online this summer, he said.

BPX also marked its first Haynesville-Bossier stack with the MUR 21-28-33 No. 1 and No. 2 wells. “We started expanding beyond just the Haynesville looking at all development scenarios in order to understand how these reservoirs are reacting with one another,” Koontz said. “They’re also the first wells where we’ve had site electrification.”

Development comes amid improved natural gas prices. Henry Hub was up 3.68% by noon CT May 25 to $9.30.

Koontz said returns are strong in the Haynesville at today’s prices; however, the company must be profitable without relying only on gas prices.

“We want to make sure that doesn’t slip our mindset into a state of complacency,” he said. “We have to continue to drive innovation and see how good we can become.”