美国新闻


伦敦——油价周一小幅走高,因市场期待北半球夏季驾驶季节将提振需求,抵消了中国经济数据的影响,中国经济数据凸显了全球最大原油进口国的复苏之路坎坷。

除了零售销售因假期刺激而超出预期外,周一公布的一系列中国数据大多令人沮丧。此前周五公布的一项调查显示,美国 6 月份消费者信心跌至七个月低点。

格林威治标准时间 12:12,全球基准布伦特原油期货上涨 33 美分,或 0.4%,至每桶 82.95 美元。美国西德克萨斯中质原油期货上涨 25 美分,或 0.3%,至每桶 78.70 美元。

上周,两大基准原油价格均出现四周来的首次周度上涨,原因是人们信心增强,认为随着北半球夏季到来以及 OPEC+ 持续减产,石油库存将大幅下降。

盛宝银行的 Ole Hansen 表示,“原油市场最初对中国公布的混合数据做出了负面反应。”

“但下一季度强劲的燃料需求前景、沙特保证十月份的加息将取决于当前情况,以及对违反配额的国家的额外关注,以使产量降至合理水平,所有这些似乎都提供了支持。”

沙特阿拉伯表示,如果需要,OPEC+ 可以暂停或逆转其第四季度增产计划。俄罗斯和伊拉克的石油产量一直超过 OPEC+ 的配额,这两个国家上周承诺履行其义务。

上周,石油输出国组织和国际能源署(OPEC)发布的报告虽然对今年石油需求增长力度的评价有所不同,但均支持了人们对下半年库存将下降的信心。


原文链接/OilandGas360

U.S. News


LONDON – Oil edged higher on Monday as hopes for a boost to demand from the summer driving season in the northern hemisphere offset Chinese data that underscored a bumpy recovery for the world’s biggest crude importer.

Apart from retail sales that beat forecasts due to a holiday boost, the flurry of Chinese data on Monday was largely downbeat. The data followed a survey on Friday showing U.S. consumer sentiment fell to a seven-month low in June.

Global benchmark Brent crude futures were up 33 cents, or 0.4%, to $82.95 a barrel at 1212 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures gained 25 cents, or 0.3%, to $78.70.

Last week, both benchmarks posted their first weekly gain in four weeks on elevated confidence that oil inventories are set to plunge as the summer season gets under way in the northern hemisphere amid continued OPEC+ supply cuts.

“The crude oil market initially responded negatively to mixed data from China,” said Ole Hansen of Saxo Bank.

“But the outlook for strong fuel demand into the coming quarter and Saudi reassurance about the October hike being subject to prevailing conditions and added focus on quota breakers to bring production down and into line all seems to be supporting.”

Saudi Arabia has said OPEC+’s planned fourth-quarter increase in output can be can paused or reversed if needed. Russia and Iraq, which have been pumping more than their OPEC+ quotas, pledged last week to meet their obligations.

Reports from OPEC and the International Energy Agency last week, although differing on the strength of oil demand growth this year, had supported confidence that inventories would be drawn down in the second half.