判断:海恩斯维尔页岩气顶级勘探与生产生产商排名

康斯托克资源公司 (Comstock Resources) 和 Expand Energy 等公司位居榜首,排名依据是每英尺横向生产力最高和其他指标,也取决于评分者。

康斯托克资源公司 (Comstock Resources) 和 Expand Energy 等公司位居榜首,排名依据是每英尺水平面的最大生产率和其他指标,并且取决于评分者。(来源:Shutterstock.com

分析师马克·李尔 (Mark Lear) 在 1 月底表示, Piper Sandler 将Aethon Energy评为第四大海恩斯维尔页岩运营商,以 12 个月累计天然气产量计算,每 9,500 英尺水平段天然气产量为 56.8 亿立方英尺。

紧随其后的是帕洛玛天然气公司(Paloma Natural Gas),每 9,500 英尺水平段产量为 5.5.4 亿立方英尺。

Expand Energy位居第一,产量为每 9,500 平方英尺 72.7 亿立方英尺,其次是Exco Operating,产量为 66.2 亿立方英尺,GeoSouthern Energy的 GEP为 65.3 亿立方英尺。

根据 RRC 的数据,Exco 是早期的 Haynesville 勘探公司,去年 11 月,该公司在德克萨斯州哈里森、纳科多奇斯、圣奥古斯丁和谢尔比县的迦太基-Haynesville 气田日产天然气 9700 万立方英尺。

在其最新油井中,Gomez SU BC #1H 在投产后的前五个月产量为 83 亿立方英尺。

摩根大通证券 (JP Morgan Securities) 分析师阿伦·贾亚拉姆 (Arun Jayaram) 于 1 月份在海恩斯维尔评估中报告了 2024 年多项指标的最高得分者。

排名第一的是康斯托克资源公司 (Comstock Resources),其次是萨宾石油天然气公司 (Sabine Oil & Gas)和 Expand。排名第三至第六的是Trinity OperatingTG Natural Resources和 Aethon。

最高分数授予那些在三个月和六个月的基础上每侧脚生产力最高的人。

判断:海恩斯维尔页岩气顶级勘探与生产生产商排名
2024 年,Haynesville 地区的平均水平段长度略有增加,各运营商的平均水平段长度达到 9,697 英尺,其中 Trinity Operating 生产的水平段最长,其次是 Comstock Resources 和 Sabine Oil & Gas。(来源:摩根大通证券,引用 Enverus 数据
 

不过,贾亚拉姆指出,评分并没有考虑成本,因为各运营商在这方面的透明度并不一致。

他写道:“因此,我们承认,考虑到完井成本对页岩油整体回报的重要性,即使油井表现不在前四分之一,低成本生产商仍能实现强劲的资本效率。”

与前 12 个月相比,该分析针对的是 2023 年下半年和 2024 年上半年的完工情况。

Jayaram 发现油井前三个月的产量下降了 13%,但他指出,运营商在 2024 年削减了 D&C 速度。

Expand 前三个月的平均产量为 219 Mcf/ft;Comstock 为 177 Mcf/ft;Aethon 为 152 Mcf/ft。

所分析的运营商的平均水平长度略有增加,达到 9,697 英尺。

支撑剂平均为 3,593 磅/英尺,其中 Expand、Aethon Energy 和 Trinity 输送的支撑剂数量最多。

特别是,Expand 将支撑剂的强度提升至近 4,500 磅/英尺,而之前三年该强度一直稳定在 3,500 磅/英尺左右。

判断:海恩斯维尔页岩气顶级勘探与生产生产商排名
多年来,Haynesville 运营商一直在不断改进其支撑剂配方,Expand Energy 最近提高了强度,而 Aethon Energy 最近降低了强度。(来源:摩根大通证券,引用 Enverus 数据
 

与此同时,Aethon 的负载从三年前的 4,500 磅/英尺降至 4,000 磅/英尺以下。

相比之下,Trinity 的支撑剂含量较低,但在 2023 年,其配方增加到约 4,000 磅,并在 2024 年保持在略低于 4,000 磅的水平。

康斯托克和 TGNR 连续第四年保持稳定在 3,500 磅/英尺左右。

与此同时,Sabine 在 2023 年大幅减少了其配方,产量不到 3,000 磅,但在 2024 年又将其推高至近 3,500 磅。

评论

添加新评论

此对话根据 Hart Energy 社区规则进行。请在加入讨论前阅读规则。如果您遇到任何技术问题,请联系我们的客户服务团队。

富文本编辑器,评论字段
原文链接/HartEnergy

Judgment Call: Ranking the Haynesville Shale’s Top E&P Producers

Companies such as Comstock Resources and Expand Energy topped rankings, based on the greatest productivity per lateral foot and other metrics— and depending on who did the scoring.

Companies such as Comstock Resources and Expand Energy topped rankings, based on the greatest productivity per lateral foot and other metrics— and depending on who did the scoring. (Source: Shutterstock.com)

Piper Sandler ranked Aethon Energy as its No. 4 Haynesville Shale operator in terms of 12-month cumulative gas output with 5.68 Bcf per 9,500 ft of lateral, analyst Mark Lear said in late January.

Following closely was Paloma Natural Gas with 5.54 Bcf per 9,500 ft of lateral.

Expand Energy came in first place with 7.27 Bcf per 9,500 ft, followed by Exco Operating with 6.62 Bcf and GeoSouthern Energy’s GEP with 6.53 Bcf.

Exco, which was an early Haynesville explorer, produced 97 MMcf/d from Carthage-Haynesville Field last November in Harrison, Nacogdoches, San Augustine and Shelby counties, Texas, according to RRC data.

Among its newest wells, Gomez SU B-C #1H made 8.3 Bcf its first five months online.

At J.P. Morgan Securities, analyst Arun Jayaram reported the top scorers in his Haynesville review in January on multiple 2024 metrics.

At No. 1 was Comstock Resources, followed by Sabine Oil & Gas and Expand. Placing third through sixth were Trinity Operating, TG Natural Resources and Aethon.

The highest scores were given to those with the greatest productivity per lateral foot on a three-month and six-month basis.

Judgment Call: Ranking the Haynesville Shale’s Top E&P Producers
Average lateral length in the Haynesville grew slightly in 2024 to 9,697 ft among operators, with Trinity Operating making the longest laterals, followed by Comstock Resources and Sabine Oil & Gas. (Source: J.P. Morgan Securities, citing Enverus data)
 

Jayaram noted, though, that the scores do not consider costs, since there is inconsistent transparency into this among operators.

“As such, we acknowledge that low-cost producers can still deliver strong capital efficiency, even if well performance is not in the top quartile, given the importance of completed well costs on overall shale returns,” he wrote.

The analysis was of second-half 2023 and first-half 2024 completions in contrast to the prior 12-month period.

Jayaram found wells’ first-three-month output declined 13%, but he noted that operators pared their D&C pace in 2024.

Expand’s first-three-month production averaged 219 Mcf/ft; Comstock’s, 177 Mcf/ft; Aethon’s, 152 Mcf/ft.

Average lateral length grew slightly to 9,697 ft among operators analyzed.

Proppant averaged 3,593 lb/ft with Expand, Aethon Energy and Trinity pumping the largest amounts.

In particular, Expand took proppant to nearly 4,500 lb/ft after holding steady at about 3,500 the prior three years.

Judgment Call: Ranking the Haynesville Shale’s Top E&P Producers
Haynesville operators have varied their proppant recipes over the years, with Expand Energy recently increasing intensity while Aethon Energy recently reduced it. (Source: J.P. Morgan Securities, citing Enverus data)
 

Meanwhile, Aethon decreased its load to less than 4,000 lb/ft after pushing 4,500 lb/ft the three years prior.

Trinity, which had been low-proppant-loading in comparison, dialed up its recipe to roughly 4,000 lb in 2023 and kept it up at just under 4,000 in 2024.

Comstock and TGNR held steady at about 3,500 lb/ft for a fourth year.

Meanwhile, Sabine had drastically reduced its formula in 2023, pumping less than 3,000, but it pushed that back up in 2024 to nearly 3,500 lb.

Comments

Add new comment

This conversation is moderated according to Hart Energy community rules. Please read the rules before joining the discussion. If you’re experiencing any technical problems, please contact our customer care team.

Rich Text Editor, Comment field