APA 有望在 2026 年节省 3.5 亿美元

APA 公司第二季度盈利超出预期,提升了华尔街对今年股市的预期。 


APA 公司在第二季度的二叠纪盆地、埃及和苏里南投资组合资产的产量均超过了预期,净债务减少了 8.5 亿美元以上,并通过股息和回购向股东返还了约 1.4 亿美元。

该公司计划今年节省2亿美元,到年底实现3亿美元的节余运行率。APA预计,到2026年某个时候,其运行率(即在给定时间段内推断全年节余的指标)将达到3.5亿美元。

首席执行官约翰·克里斯特曼 (John Christmann) 在 8 月 7 日与投资者的电话会议上表示:“我们将继续坚定地致力于通过削减债务来实现股东回报并加强资产负债表。”

TD Cowen董事总经理David Deckelbaum表示, APA第二季度盈利超出华尔街普遍预期13%,且在出售新墨西哥州资产后,其净债务减少了15%,这为其强劲表现奠定了基础。该银行已将该股目标价从每股18美元上调至每股20美元。

整个产品组合的产量普遍超出预期,同时仍按公司范围的资本投资计划进行。

二叠纪盆地的石油产量超出预期,主要得益于高效的现场执行加快了投产速度。资本投资略高于预期,这主要得益于钻井和完井作业效率的持续提升。

“简单来说,我们用更少的钻机和压裂人员开展更多的活动,”克里斯特曼说。

持续效率

第一季度,高管们预计效率提升将使二叠纪盆地石油产量保持平稳,钻井数量将从原来的八个减少到六个半。他表示,本季度采取的其他措施包括,在六个钻井平台上实现未来石油产量持平。

“(钻井和完井)每英尺成本目前是米德兰盆地最低的,与特拉华盆地的补偿成本持平,”他表示,“我们的团队致力于寻找新的方法来进一步提高整个盆地的效率。”

在国际方面,APA在埃及的天然气产量超出了季度预期,这得益于近期发现的油气田以及现有基础设施的不断利用。Christmann表示,当公司将钻井活动转向增加天然气开发量以抓住不断提升的天然气产量机会时,埃及的石油产量略有下降。

“我们在埃及的资本效率得益于钻井和基础设施项目的细微改进,这些改进共同带来了显著的时间和成本节约,”克里斯特曼说道,“例如,在钻井方面,与去年相比,我们平均钻井速度提高了两天多。”

北海油田的产量超出预期,这证明了我们在管理这些后期资产的过程中,持续优化了油田运营,并最大限度地延长了运行时间。在为退役做准备的同时,我们仍将重点放在安全、运营效率和成本管理上。

据APA报道,苏里南的GranMorgu开发项目持续推进,预计将于2028年中期产出第一批石油。Christmann表示,合作伙伴TotalEnergies已以极具吸引力的价格签订了钻井合同。

此外,在第二季度,APA宣布在阿拉斯加Sockeye油田发现了新油藏并成功进行了流动测试。Sockeye-2井在块状砂岩中发现了约25英尺厚的净油层,其储量范围覆盖2.5万至3万英亩。

产生储蓄

APA 预计今年整个投资组合将至少节省 2 亿美元较之前估计的 1.3 亿美元大幅增加,并计划在今年年底实现 3 亿美元的节省运行率。

克里斯特曼表示:“我们目前有望在 2026 年某个时候(而不是 2027 年底)实现 3.5 亿美元的运行率目标。”

第一资本证券(Capital One Securities)分析师菲利普斯·约翰斯顿(Phillips Johnston)指出,效率的提升推动APA股价上涨逾8%,收盘时达到每股20.38美元,创下当日最高价。8月8日上午,APA股价为19.76美元。

约翰斯顿在 8 月 7 日给投资者的一份报告中写道:“本季度巨大的自由现金流和产量超出预期,再加上效率的提高,使得 APA 的成本削减运行率预期提前了一年多,这些因素推动了该公司今天的优异表现。”

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APA on Track for $350MM Savings in 2026

APA Corp.’s second-quarter earnings beat boosts Wall Street stock expectations for the year. 


APA Corp. beat production guidance throughout its portfolio assets in the Permian Basin, Egypt and in Suriname, reduced net debt by more than $850 million and returned some $140 million to shareholders through its dividends and buybacks during the second quarter.

The company plans to generate $200 million in savings this year, and reach a savings run rate of $300 million by the end of the year. APA expects to lift its run rate (the metric that extrapolates savings over a given timeframe to a full year) to $350 million at some point in 2026.

“We remain firmly committed to shareholder returns and balance sheet strengthening through debt reduction,” CEO John Christmann said during an Aug. 7 call with investors.

APA’s second-quarter earnings beat consensus Wall Street estimates by 13%, and its 15% net debt reduction following New Mexico asset sales made for a strong performance, said David Deckelbaum, TD Cowen managing director. The bank increased its price target on the stock to $20/share from $18/share.

Production volumes across the portfolio generally exceeded guidance while remaining on plan for companywide capital investment.

In the Permian Basin, oil production exceeded guidance, primarily driven by faster turn-in lines enabled by efficient field execution. Capital investment came in slightly above guidance, largely due to the ongoing capture of efficiency gains across drilling and completions.

“Put simply, we are delivering more activity with fewer rigs and frac crews,” Christmann said.

Ongoing efficiency

During the first quarter, executives anticipated that efficiency gains would maintain flat Permian oil production with six and a half rigs instead of eight. Additional steps taken during the quarter are delivering flat go-forward oil production with six drilling rigs, he said.

“(Drilling and completions) costs per foot are now among the lowest in the Midland Basin and in line with offset peers in the Delaware Basin,” he said. “Our teams are committed to finding new ways to further improve efficiencies across the basin.”

Internationally, APA exceeded quarterly gas production guidance in Egypt with the performance of recent discoveries and increasing use of existing infrastructure. Christmann said that oil production in Egypt declined modestly when the company shifted rig activity toward increased gas development to capture improving gas realizations.

“Our capital efficiency in Egypt is benefiting from small refinements across our drilling and infrastructure programs, which collectively result in meaningful time and cost savings,” Christmann said. “For example, on the drilling side, on average, we are delivering wells more than two days faster compared to last year.”

And North Sea production is ahead of guidance, “a testament to the continued optimization of field operations and maximizing run time as we manage these late-life assets. Our focus remains on safety, operating efficiency and cost management as we prepare for decommissioning.”

APA reported that in Suriname, the GranMorgu development continues to advance toward first oil in mid-2028. Christmann said partner TotalEnergies secured drilling contracts at attractive rates.

Also during the second quarter, APA announced a discovery and successful flow test at the Sockeye prospect in Alaska. The Sockeye-2 well found about 25 feet of net oil pay in blocky sand with amplitude supported across 25,000 to 30,000 acres.

Generating savings

Across the portfolio, APA expects to generate at least $200 million in savings this yeara significant increase from its prior estimate of $130 million—and plans to exit the year with a $300 million savings run rate.

“We are now on a path to achieve our $350 million run rate target sometime in 2026 versus year-end 2027,” Christmann said.

Analyst Phillips Johnston at Capital One Securities noted the efficiency gains, which pushed APA’s stock up more than 8% to an outperform daytime high price of $20.38/share by market close. APA’s stock price was $19.76 at mid-morning on Aug. 8.

“Big free cash flow and production beats for the quarter coupled with efficiency gains that have accelerated APA’s cost reduction run-rate expectations by more than one year are driving today’s outperformance,” Johnston wrote in a note to investors Aug. 7.

APA Corp. Earnings
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