适当的风险,更高的回报:天然气价格上涨,Aethon 股价应声上涨

联合总裁戈登·赫德尔斯顿 (Gordon Huddleston) 表示,Aethon Energy 正以谨慎乐观的态度应对不确定的市场,公司正在探索有助于满足电力需求增长的更高风险的机会。

自 2018 年以来,Aethon Energy 已在 Haynesville 钻探了 500 口井。 (来源:Aethon Energy Management)

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私营生产商约占美国石油和天然气供应的40%,其中许多都专注于持续增长。随着围绕Haynesville Shale公司旗下Aethon Energy的并购传闻不断升温,这家天然气行业的领军企业正凭借其强大的投资组合,在市场普遍波动的情况下,积极参与勘探与生产业务,并抓住机遇。

这次对 Aethon Energy Management 联席总裁兼合伙人 Gordon Huddleston 的采访是系列采访中的第一篇,该系列采访探讨了私营生产商如何以谨慎乐观的态度应对不确定的市场。

Deon Daugherty:宏观市场的不确定性如何影响 Aethon 的增长计划?

Gordon Huddleston:考虑到推动需求增长的更广泛的宏观经济因素,我们仍然看好天然气,但我们也看到了波动性和风险上升的可能性。液化天然气和人工智能数据中心支撑了需求和定价,但如果没有相应的存储增长,价格波动性可能会同时加剧。


有关的

液化天然气和人工智能热潮引发对美国页岩气的并购兴趣 


DD:今年年初,Aethon 计划在 2025 年钻探新的 Haynesville 西部油井。这仍然是计划吗?如果是,进展如何?

GH:我们对已投产的西海恩斯维尔油井非常乐观。随着我们不断加深对地质条件的了解并不断改进油井设计,我们的经济效益显著提升。

这无疑是我们未来几年将继续关注的领域,特别是随着天然气需求和基础设施的改善,市场对天然气的需求不断增加。

自 2018 年以来,我们已经在海恩斯维尔钻了 500 口井,因此我们在钻探更热、更深的井方面拥有丰富的经验,这些经验使我们为应对西海恩斯维尔的挑战做好了准备。

从开发角度来看,我们力求采取非常审慎的做法——但更高的定价使我们能够尝试在低价环境下不一定能做到的事情。理想情况下,我们始终会在像西海恩斯维尔这样不太为人所知但风险/回报状况合适的地区投入一些资金,因为它们对于满足未来天然气需求的增长至关重要。

DD:您如何区分 Aethon 与其他私人生产商?

GH:除了规模优势外,Aethon 垂直整合的上游和中游资产也使我们有别于其他私营生产商和众多公共运营商。我们自有的中游资产是我们的竞争优势,它与我们的低成本运营相结合,提供了额外的提升和定价支持。这种垂直整合,加上我们广泛的营销活动以及独特的风险控制方法,使我们能够在动荡的市场环境中保持同行领先的利润率。

DD:您今年下半年以及 2026 年的活动计划是什么?

GH: Aethon 已从快速增长阶段迈入新阶段,我们专注于在保持产量的同时优先考虑投资者回报。资本效率以及我们成熟的上游、中游和市场一体化业务的优化是我们当前发展计划的关键驱动因素。 

话虽如此,我们一直坚信,天然气产量在每千立方英尺5美元左右才有可能实现更大幅度的增长。我们目前运营着五座钻井平台,如果长期价格信号显示合理,我们也可以灵活地增加一座或多座钻井平台。我们也一直在寻找收购优质资产的机会,这些资产通常有潜力融入我们现有的中游基础设施。 

DD:美国液化天然气出口带来了哪些机遇?人工智能将如何影响Aethon的战略?

GH:液化天然气(LNG)是重头戏,它正在推动美国天然气需求空前增长,而这些需求主要来自海恩斯维尔地区。我们很幸运,Aethon 凭借其规模、靠近墨西哥湾的地理位置以及业内领先的排放水平,最有能力满足这一需求。

人工智能和数据中心的需求代表着一股令人兴奋的顺风,但与新的液化天然气需求相比,它显得微不足道,而随着每列新列车的投产,我们更有把握实现这一目标。然而,我们仍在与数据中心开发商和其他机构探讨激动人心的机遇——尤其是如果你关注最适合这些地点的地区以及它们如何与天然气产地盆地相匹配。

DD:Aethon 对勘探与生产业务整合有何展望?在获取资金方面,存在哪些挑战?

GH:我们预计会出现更多整合,但目前董事会中已没有多少大型企业,尤其是在海恩斯维尔地区。天然气价格走势有利于交易和融资,为以天然气为重点的企业创造了我们长期以来所见的最佳金融环境。 

从根本上看,投资者越来越倾向于追求优质资产,优先考虑规模和风险规避。我们相信,投资者将继续青睐利润率更高、定价优势更大且库存质量更高的生产商。 


有关的

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报道:三菱以80亿美元收购Haynesville E&P Aethon

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Right Risk, High Return: Aethon Jumps on Elevated NatGas Prices

Aethon Energy is navigating an uncertain market with cautious optimism as the company explores riskier opportunities that can help meet power demand growth, says co-President Gordon Huddleston.

Aethon Energy has drilled 500 wells in the Haynesville since 2018. (Source: Aethon Energy Management)

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Private producers account for roughly 40% of U.S. oil and gas supply, and many are focused on continuing to grow. As M&A rumors swirl around the Haynesville Shale’s Aethon Energy, the natural gas leader is among E&Ps in the play building on a strong portfolio and seeing opportunity despite widespread volatility.

This interview with Gordon Huddleston, co-president and partner at Aethon Energy Management, is the first in a series that examine how private producers are navigating an uncertain market with cautious optimism.

Deon Daugherty: How does the macro market uncertainty impact Aethon’s plans for growth?

Gordon Huddleston: We remain bullish on natural gas considering the broader macroeconomic factors driving demand growth, but we also see the potential for volatility and risk increasing. LNG and AI datacenters are supportive of demand and pricing, but without corresponding storage growth, price volatility is likely to increase in parallel.


RELATED

LNG, AI Fervor Raises M&A Interest for US Shale Gas—PwC 


DD: At the beginning of the year, Aethon was planning to drill new western Haynesville wells in 2025. Is that still the plan, and if so, how is it progressing?

GH: We’re very optimistic about the Western Haynesville wells we’ve brought online. We’ve seen significant improvements in our economics as we continue to better understand the geology and iterate our well designs.

It’s certainly an area we’ll continue to focus on in the coming years, especially as demand and infrastructure improves in bringing that gas to market.

We’ve drilled 500 wells in the Haynesville since 2018, so we have a lot of experience drilling hotter and deeper wells, and that experience prepared us for the challenges of the Western Haynesville.

We try to be very measured in our approach from a development perspective—but higher pricing allows us to try things that we wouldn’t necessarily be able to in a lower-price environment. Ideally, we’re always spending some capital on areas like the Western Haynesville that are less understood but have the right risk/return profile as they will be important to meet future natural gas demand growth.

DD: How do you differentiate Aethon from other private producers?

GH: In addition to our scale, Aethon’s vertically integrated upstream and midstream assets set us apart from other private producers and many public operators. Our owned midstream is a competitive advantage, providing additional uplift and pricing support along with our low-cost operations. Together, this vertical integration along with our extensive marketing activity and a unique approach to boxing in risk allow us to drive peer-leading margins through volatile market conditions.

DD: What are your activity plans for the second half of this year and into 2026?

GH: Aethon has evolved from a phase of rapid growth to another where we are focused on prioritizing investor returns while maintaining production volumes. Capital efficiency and optimization across our mature integrated upstream, midstream and marketing activities are the key factors driving our development plan today. 

That said, we’ve been consistent in saying that around $5/Mcf is where more overall growth of natural gas production could materialize. We are currently running five rigs and have the flexibility to add a rig or more if longer-term pricing signals justify it. We are also always looking for opportunities to acquire great assets that typically have the potential to be integrated into our existing midstream infrastructure. 

DD: What is the opportunity set presented by U.S. LNG exports? How will AI factor into Aethon’s strategy?

GH: LNG is the big story and is driving unprecedented demand growth for U.S. natural gas, and predominantly from the Haynesville. We’re fortunate that Aethon is best positioned to meet this demand given our scale, proximity to the Gulf and peer-leading emissions profile.

AI and data center demand represents an exciting tailwind, but it’s dwarfed by new LNG offtake that we have greater certainty in realizing with each new train that comes online. However, there are still exciting opportunities we’re discussing with datacenter developers and others—especially if you look at the regions best suited for these sites and how they align with gas producing basins.

DD: What is Aethon’s outlook on E&P consolidation? What are challenges, if any, with access to capital?

GH: We expect to see additional consolidation, but there aren’t many large pieces left on the board, especially in the Haynesville. Natural gas pricing has been trending favorably for deals and capital raising, creating the best financial environment we’ve seen for gas-focused businesses in quite a while. 

Fundamentally, there is an increasing flight to quality that prioritizes scale and risk mitigation. We believe investors will continue to value producers with higher margins, advantaged pricing exposure and high-quality inventory. 


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Reports: Mitsubishi Targeting Haynesville E&P Aethon in $8B Deal

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