最大限度开采:页岩开发进入新时代

数字化、电气化和精细化学塑造了水力压裂的未来。

Universal 在尤蒂卡页岩执行压裂作业。 来源:通用压力泵

HyFrac 技术手册

今天的非常规石油和天然气开发与十年前几乎没有相似之处,设计新技术的专家表示,未来几年情况将会更加不同。

Wood Mackenzie 上游研究总监瑞安·杜曼 (Ryan Duman) 表示,这是因为运营商的重点已从产量最大化转向股东分配最大化和减少债务。

“这已将重点转移到提高效率的技术上,”他告诉哈特能源公司。

部分原因在于运营商在 2016 年至 2019 年间收购了停建面积并增加了库存。

“现在,他们需要找到最有效的方式来收获他们已经拥有的东西,这意味着用更少的钱做更多的事,”杜曼说。

对于许多公司来说,这意味着探索利用自动化软件和人工智能来简化运营的方法。

“使用 24/7 实时捕获的数据可以提供更清晰的运营情况,从而做出更好的决策,”杜曼说。

操作员正在使用运营数据来微调流程,并对实时数据应用高级分析,监控工具和设备的性能,并通过预测性维护减少停机时间。

“市场对 ESG 报告的需求是使运营商更加看好电气设备、现场燃气轮机发电、无泄气气动装置和低排放套件等技术的另一个驱动因素,”他说,并指出减少运营的环境足迹和改善经济效益有时是相互竞争的优先事项。

尽管面临挑战,杜曼表示,整个行业已经接受了 ESG,公司正在做出改变,使他们能够向投资者推销自己。

“他们正在减少甲烷和火炬的排放,帮助他们实现这些目标的技术成本完全可以被增量收入所抵消,”他说。

Wood Mackenzie 将继续关注重复压裂和 EOR 技术,杜曼认为这些技术已经成熟,可以进行更大的创新。

“由于与 45Q [税收] 抵免相关的潜在好处,CCUS 的发展也将受到推动,”他在谈到碳捕获、利用和封存时表示。“从核心能力的角度来看,这往往是有意义的,因为公司可以利用内部知识。”

电气化、替代燃料和自动化的价值

对于 ProPetro 首席执行官 Sam Sledge 来说,过去几年最显着的变化是从柴油过渡到主要使用天然气作为主要燃料来源。

“从柴油的过渡已经持续了三年,但现在,从硬资产和财务角度来看,我们的领域正在进行大规模的资本重组,这可能是井场最大的变化之一,”斯莱奇说,他的水力压裂公司 100% 专注于二叠纪盆地。

他说,转变的主要原因纯粹是经济原因。

“燃烧一个天然气分子比燃烧一个柴油分子要便宜得多,”斯莱奇说。这种经济诱因与减少排放的环境目标是一致的。“如果我们想谈论环境可持续性,我认为当它与经济激励措施并行时,它是最强的。我们生活在一个自由市场的资本主义国家,公司的目标是赚钱,但作为公民和社区成员,我们的目标是照顾好我们居住的地方。”

结果?

“我们正在更加努力、更快地迈向未来,特别是从设备的角度来看,”斯莱奇说。“这个故事的主要部分是电气化设备,它的机械结构更简单,运动部件更少,可以精确地操作。”

ProPetro 计划于 2023 年初夏部署其第一支电动车队,但该公司已经采用了卡特彼勒首创的双燃料发动机技术,该技术使发动机能够同时燃烧柴油和天然气。

“我们认为这是通向更多电气化的桥梁,”斯莱奇说。“这可能是世界上唯一同时消耗柴油和天然气的应用。”

Sledge 预计未来会有更多创新。

“我们处于一个连续体上,但我们不知道连续体的终点在哪里。“石油和天然气行业有如此多的聪明人和如此多的创业精神,我认为在未来 10 到 20 年里你会看到很多令人惊奇的事情发生,”他说。

取代柴油

Leen Weijers 与 Sledge 一样,认为经济将继续推动创新。

“每家公司都希望提高效率,以更经济的方式生产每桶石油,”自由能源公司工程副总裁韦杰斯说。

Liberty 实现这一目标的方法之一是发明和制造操作设备,例如 Scorpion 砂输送系统和 Mantis 无螺杆砂输送系统,后者将砂直接输送到搅拌机桶中。

“该设备使我们能够有效地泵送当地湿砂,与传统用于水力压裂作业的砂相比,其购买成本更低,”他说。

该公司还正在开发管理燃料消耗和设备性能的方法。例如,该公司的新 digiFrac 车队可以用天然气或压缩天然气替代柴油,这两种能源单位的成本要低得多。

“随着我们推出 digiFrac 设备,我们现在经常打破我们运营所在盆地的柴油排量每日记录,”Weijers 说。

该公司还采取措施解决与纯天然气设备相关的漏洞,通过 Liberty Power Innovations (LPI) 获得天然气/压缩天然气输送系统的所有权,以提供可靠的现场气体来源(通过移动气体处理)或压缩天然气为其低排放解决方案提供动力。

支撑 digiFrac 和 digiPrime 全电动压裂系统技术的是劳斯莱斯燃气往复式发动机,Weijers 表示,该发动机在现有发动机中具有最佳的热效率。

“以每日泵效率 70% 的液压马力小时 (HHP/hr) 来衡量性能,燃气往复式发动机的排放量比 Tier IV 柴油低约 45%,清洁度是燃气轮机的三倍,”他说。

最大限度开采:页岩开发进入新时代
Liberty Energy 的 digiFrac 泵可实现精确的速率控制,并且比 Tier IV 柴油和燃气涡轮发动机产生的排放量显着降低。来源:自由能源

逐步改善运营至关重要,因此 Liberty 专注于在新技术实用时尽快将其投入使用。

“我们一直在寻找减少排放、减少足迹、最大限度减少噪音和减少前往工作地点的方法,以成为我们工作地区的更好邻居,”魏杰斯说。

Liberty Energy 是开发利用现场数据提高效率并最终改善利润的软件的公司之一。魏杰斯将他的公司描述为“专注于降低枪管生产成本的激光公司”。

Liberty 在一定程度上通过利用其 FracTrends 数据库并使用 Fraconomics 和适合用途的校准建模工具执行统计经济学分析来实现这一目标。

“它们正在帮助我们的行业将重点放在具有成本效益的方法上,以提供更大、更密集的裂缝网络,并评估权衡,例如井密度和裂缝处理规模之间的权衡,”他说。

Weijers 表示,过去十年的结果表明,该公司已帮助降低了 50% 的油井成本,并提高了油井生产率,从而将每桶石油的生产成本降低了 75%。

哈里伯顿的创新者同样也在部署电动压裂设备。通过使用一半的设备在井场提供相同的马力,这些创新使公司能够减少碳足迹,并在效率和可靠性方面取得长足进步。

哈里伯顿战略业务经理威廉·鲁尔 (William Ruhle) 告诉 Hart Energy:“过渡时间缩短了约 30%,从而延长了泵送时间。” “这使我们每月泵送的马力比柴油多 11%,这大约相当于每个船员每年额外完成 7 口井。”

Ruhle 表示,消除对柴油的需求为拉链工作人员每月节省了高达 250 万美元的柴油成本,并减少了约 30% 的排放。虽然运行设备需要电力成本,但其成本远低于柴油成本。

在二叠纪盆地 Diamondback Energy 的一个项目中,哈里伯顿的模拟压裂团队使用该公司的 Zeus 电动压裂系统取得了非凡的成果,Ruhle 表示,每个抽油机可实现高达 5,000 液压马力,并且在阶段转换期间无需停机。

“通过将同步压裂作业与电力相结合,Diamondback 已实现每英尺节省 50 美元,”他说。

最大限度开采:页岩开发进入新时代
Zeus 电动压裂系统每个抽油机可实现高达 5,000 HHP,且在阶段转换期间无需停机(来源:Halliburton

电气化正在降低成本并减少排放,但运营商需要获得更多效率收益,这导致了地下监测的广泛使用,并使用收集的运营数据来优化恢复。

“数字化融入到我们所做和建设的一切之中;ML(机器学习)和人工智能不是离散的解决方案,它们嵌入到流程和解决方案中,”Ruhle 说。

一个例子是该公司的 Octiv 智能压裂平台,该平台可以通过单一系统实现压裂过程的完全自动化。

“在该平台上,我们使用人工智能和机器学习等技术来预测设备故障、识别异常、查看操作运行情况并自动响应,”他说。“ctiv 可实现高达 90% 的地面设备控制决策自动化,从而提高可靠性和一致性。”

在北美,该系统已使用全面自动化完成了数千个阶段,控制压裂过程并执行基于条件的保护,以帮助防止整个作业出现停机。

利用数据分析和专业化学

UniversalPressurePumping 解决方案工程总监 James Segars 表示,他的公司正在通过分析数据来优化射孔效率来创造价值。

他说:“过去几年,我们在分析射孔设计方面的裂缝几何形状方面投入了大量精力。”他指出,复杂的分析远远超出了简单地创建尽可能长的裂缝的范围。“我们的目标是在近井筒部分实现高度采收,以充分利用井眼间距计划。从我们的角度来看,这使得产出更加可预测,并对项目的经济效益产生了积极影响。”

该公司的解决方案工程团队使用数据帮助操作员进行预测分析。

“使用实验室测试的输出来生成水力学模型来估计管道摩擦,这使我们能够设定表面处理条件的预期。最终,我们可以计算出预期的液压马力时间,并可以通过节省燃料来对成本和 ESG 考虑进行高级评估。”他说。

工程师还在阶段末差异报告中将预测压力与实际压力进行比较,并检查数据以确定何时存在差异,然后与操作员分享结果以评估改进机会。

“我们还知道,阶段性的支撑剂输送对于采收率至关重要,控制我们注入的液体量也至关重要。除了管理压差之外,我们还关注所使用的支撑剂的体积,并确定泵送的流体比预期多或少的阶段。许多低效率的根源在于设计内容和交付内容之间的差异,”Segars 说。“运营商花费了大量的时间和精力来开发裂缝序列,他们知道什么最适合他们的油藏。我们的工作是帮助他们以可预测和一致的方式部署。”

环球公司还投资开发定制化学品,以帮助解决该领域经常出现的挑战。其中之一是使用高盐度盐水代替淡水导致摩擦增加,特别是在新墨西哥州和德克萨斯州的部分地区。

最大限度开采:页岩开发进入新时代
Universal 在尤蒂卡页岩执行压裂作业。来源:通用压力泵

“化学技术每天都在改进,以允许使用尽可能多的盐水,并确保产出水可重复使用,”环球化学领域冠军乔·平克豪斯 (Joe Pinkhouse) 说。

水是一种宝贵的资源,在一些广泛钻探的地区却很稀缺。他说,增加可重复利用的淡水量可以减少用水量以及处理和处置成本。

Pinkhouse 表示,该行业正在试图弄清楚使用采出水是否对水库有益。

“从历史上看,绝大多数观点都是负面的,但新的研究表明,只要使用得当,采出水就能够增强水库的性能,并可能消除一些化学需求。” �

这些举措的取得进展取决于改变对化学品作为商品而非特种材料的看法,并假设一种粘土稳定剂与另一种相同。

“这根本不是真的,”他说。“开发化学物质需要投入大量时间和精力,我们与操作员合作,确保他们以有意义的方式查看数据并比较产品。”

开创性技术与油田经济艺术

软件的进步不断改善现场操作,而提供计算地下建模的 ResFrac 公司正在将软件提升到新的水平。

首席运营官 Garrett Fowler 解释了他的公司开发的解决方案如何解决因错误地将“工厂模式”开发应用于石油和天然气运营而产生的问题。

”细胞相互作用。摇滚是多变的。而且各个井和位置之间存在细微差别,因此在一系列井中应用单一井设计不会产生一致的结果,”他说。

关于地下的了解不断扩大。

“今天的诊断使我们能够比 10 年前更好地了解地下情况,”他说。“应用物理学第一原理将带来更好的理解。”

地下同时发生多种事情,但地下建模的传统方法是将活动分段并使用单独的软件来独立计算它们。福勒说,这就是建模软件一直难以生成真正连贯的地下图像的原因。

他说:“在一组自洽、连贯的方程中对所有变量进行建模,在所有事情同时发生的情况下,在计算和数学上都具有挑战性,但这是可能的。”

最大限度开采:页岩开发进入新时代
技术允许运营商建立高度预测的模型,从而实现规范的压裂设计和现场规划。该图显示了净现值 (NPV) 如何随着油价上涨而增加,并且随着商品定价的提高,井距逐渐缩小可实现最佳净现值 (NPV)。来源:ResFrac

ResFrac 通过使用第一原理物理学构建“hy”模型来启动该过程。

“一旦我们有了一个能够准确描述岩石中事物如何运作的模型,我们就会应用使用数据分析技术的算法,”福勒说。“优化算法运行各种假设模拟,例如将井深 50 英尺,或使用两倍的流体,以确定开发过程中的最佳下一步。”

福勒认为,这种方法可以看到油价和井距之间的相互作用。

“现有井筒和新井筒之间的理想距离取决于油价,因为如果你考虑内部收益率、净现值分析或其他财务指标,你容忍的干扰程度与石油价格有关。每桶石油可以带来收入,”他说。

他认为,该行业的未来在于规范性设计,这种设计源自对地下的加深了解,现在可以观察正在发生的情况并解释原因。

“该行业已经足够成熟,可以将地面工程、地下工程和金融工程分层,以便更清楚地了解在特定情况下应该做什么,”他说。

构建一个理解这些系统的计算框架对于为碳氢化合物以外的推断和检查资源的一般开采方式奠定基础至关重要。

“这可能导致提取其他资源,例如地热或利用地下的开放孔隙空间进行碳封存,”福勒说。“问题在于要了解现有的资源以及我们作为一个行业拥有哪些专业知识来提取这些资源。”

原文链接/hartenergy

Maximum Extraction: Shale Development Enters a New Era

Digitization, electrification and refined chemistry shape the future of hydraulic fracturing.

Universal executes a frac job in the Utica shale. (Source: Universal Pressure Pumping)

HyFrac Techbook

Today’s unconventional oil and gas developments bear scant resemblance to those of a decade ago, and experts designing new technologies say things will look even more different in the next few years.

That’s because the focus of operators has shifted from maximizing production to maximizing shareholder distribution and reducing debt, said Ryan Duman, Wood Mackenzie’s director of upstream research.

“That has shifted the focus to technologies that improve efficiency,” he told Hart Energy.

Partly, that stems from operators acquiring step-out acreage and adding to their inventories between 2016 and 2019.

“Now, they need to find the most efficient way to harvest what they already have, and that means doing more with less,” Duman said.

For many companies, that has meant exploring ways to leverage automation software and AI to streamline operations.

“Using data captured in real time, 24/7, provides a clearer picture of operations, which leads to better decision-making,” Duman said.

Operators are using operational data to fine-tune processes and are applying advanced analytics to real-time data, monitoring the performance of tools and equipment, and decreasing downtime through predictive maintenance.

“The market demand for ESG reporting is another driver that has made operators more bullish for technology such as electric equipment, on-site gas turbines to generate electricity, no-bleed pneumatics, and lower-emitting kits,” he said, noting that reducing the environmental footprint of operations and improving economics are sometimes competing priorities.

Despite the challenges, Duman said the industry overall has embraced ESG, and companies are making changes that allow them to market themselves attractively to investors.

“They are reducing methane and flaring, and the cost of the technologies that are helping them achieve those goals is more than offset with incremental revenue gains,” he said.

Wood Mackenzie will continue to watch refracturing and EOR technologies, which Duman believes are ripe for greater innovation.

“Because of the potential benefits associated with 45Q [tax] credits, there is going to be a push for CCUS development as well,” he said, referring to carbon capture, utilization and sequestration. “This tends to make sense from a core competency standpoint because companies can leverage in-house knowledge.”

Electrification, alternative fuels, and the value of automation

To Sam Sledge, CEO of ProPetro, the most dramatic change in the past couple of years is the transition from diesel to mostly natural gas as a primary fuel source.

“The transition away from diesel has been going on for three years, but right now, there is a massive recapitalization from a hard asset and financial standpoint going on in our space, and it might be one of the biggest changes at the well site,” said Sledge, whose hydraulic fracturing company is 100% focused on the Permian Basin.

The primary reason for the transition is pure economics, he said.

“It is much less expensive to burn a molecule of natural gas than a molecule of diesel,” Sledge said. That economic inducement is aligned with the environmental objective of lowering emissions. “If we want to talk about environmental sustainability, I think it is strongest when it runs parallel with economic incentives. We live in a free-market, capitalist country, and the goal of a company is to make money, but our goal as citizens and members of a community is to take care of the place where we live.”

The result?

“We are pushing harder and faster to the future, especially from an equipment standpoint,” Sledge said. “The main part of that story is electrified equipment, which is mechanically simpler with fewer moving parts, allowing it to be operated precisely and accurately.”

ProPetro planned to deploy its first electric fleet in early summer 2023, but the company already employs dual-fuel engines—technology pioneered by Caterpillar that enables the engine to burn diesel and natural gas at the same time.

“We think this is a bridge to more electrification,” Sledge said. “This is possibly the only application in the world that consumes diesel and gas simultaneously.”

Sledge expects many more innovations going forward.

“We are on a continuum, and we don’t know where the end of the continuum is. There are so many smart people and so much entrepreneurial spirit in the oil and gas sector that I think you’re going to see a lot of amazing things happen over the next 10 to 20 years,” he said.

Displacing diesel

Leen Weijers shares Sledge’s sentiments about economics continuing to drive innovation.

“Every company wants to add efficiencies to produce each barrel of oil more economically,” said Weijers, Liberty Energy’s vice president of engineering.

One of the ways Liberty is going about achieving that is by inventing and manufacturing operational equipment such as the Scorpion sand delivery system and the Mantis screwless sand delivery system, which moves sand directly into the blender tub.

“This equipment has enabled us to effectively pump local wet sand, which can be purchased at a lower cost than sand traditionally used for hydraulic fracturing operations,” he said.

The company also is developing ways to manage fuel consumption and equipment performance. For example, the company’s new digiFrac fleets enable diesel replacement with natural gas or CNG, both of which are much less expensive per energy unit.

“As we roll out digiFrac equipment, we now regularly break daily records for diesel displacement in the basins where we operate,” Weijers said.

The company also has made moves to address the vulnerabilities associated with gas-only equipment by taking ownership of the natural gas/CNG delivery system through Liberty Power Innovations (LPI) to provide a reliable source of field gas (through mobile gas processing) or CNG to power its lower-emission solutions.

Underpinning the digiFrac and digiPrime fully electric frac system technology are Rolls-Royce gas reciprocating engines, which, according to Weijers, have the best thermal efficiencies of any engine available.

“Measuring performance in terms of hydraulic horsepower hours (HHP/hr) pumped for 70% daily pump efficiencies, gas reciprocating engines have about 45% lower emissions than Tier IV diesel and are three times as clean as gas turbines,” he said.

Maximum Extraction: Shale Development Enters a New Era
Liberty Energy’s digiFrac pumps enable precise rate control and produce significantly lower emissions than Tier IV diesel and gas turbine engines. (Source: Liberty Energy)

It’s critical to improve operations incrementally, so Liberty focuses on putting new technologies to work as soon as it is practical.

“We are always looking for ways to cut emissions, reduce our footprint, minimize noise and curtail the number of trips to the work site to be a better neighbor in the areas where we work,” Weijers said.

Liberty Energy is among the companies that have developed software that uses field data to increase efficiencies and ultimately improve the bottom line. Weijers described his company as “laser focused on reducing the barrel cost of production.”

Liberty achieves this, in part, by leveraging its FracTrends database and performing statistical economics analysis using Fraconomics and fit-for-purpose calibrated modeling tools.

“We are helping to focus our industry on cost-effective ways to provide ever larger and denser fracture networks and to evaluate trade-offs, for example, between well density and fracture treatment size,” he said.

Results over the last decade demonstrate that the company has helped lower well costs by 50% and enhanced well productivity to reduce the cost per barrel of oil produced by as much as 75%, Weijers said.

Innovators at Halliburton are likewise well down the path of deploying electric fracturing equipment. By providing the same horsepower at the wellsite with half as much equipment, these innovations allow a company to reduce its carbon footprint, as well as make strides in efficiency and reliability.

“We see about 30% faster transition times, which leads to more pumping hours,” William Ruhle, Halliburton’s strategic business manager, told Hart Energy. “That gives us 11% more hp-hr pumped per month than diesel, which is about equivalent to completing an extra seven wells per year per crew.”

Removing the need for diesel has saved up to $2.5 million per month in diesel costs for zipper crews and reduces emissions by approximately 30%, Ruhle said. While there is a cost for electricity to run the equipment, it is considerably less than the cost of diesel.

On a project for Diamondback Energy in the Permian Basin, a Halliburton simul-frac crew achieved exceptional results using the company’s Zeus electric fracturing system, which Ruhle said can achieve up to 5,000 hydraulic hp per pumping unit without downtime during stage transitions.

“By combining simul-frac operations with electric, Diamondback has realized completions savings of $50 a foot,” he said.

Maximum Extraction: Shale Development Enters a New Era
The Zeus electric fracturing system can achieve up to 5,000 HHP per pumping unit without downtime during stage transitions (Source:  Halliburton)

Electrification is driving down costs and reducing emissions, but operators need to capture more efficiency gains, and that has led to expanded use of subsurface monitoring and using operational data gathered to optimize recovery.

“Digitization is embedded in everything we do and build; ML (machine learning) and AI aren’t discrete solutions, they are embedded in processes and solutions,” Ruhle said.

One example is the company’s Octiv intelligent fracturing platform, which fully automates the fracturing process from a single system.

“Within that platform, we use technology such as AI and ML to predict equipment failures, identify anomalies, see how operations are running and respond automatically,” he said. “Octiv automates up to 90% of the decisions made to control our surface equipment, and that leads to better reliability and consistency.”

In North America, the system has completed thousands of stages using full-spread automation, controlling the fracturing process and executing condition-based protections that help prevent downtime across operations.

Capitalizing on data analysis and specialized chemistry

James Segars, director of solutions engineering at Universal Pressure Pumping, said his company is delivering value by analyzing data to optimize perforation efficiency.

“A huge amount of effort has gone into analyzing fracture geometry with regard to perforation design in the past few years,” he said, noting that complex analysis goes far beyond simply creating the longest possible fracture. “We are targeting a high degree of recovery within the near wellbore section to make the most of the wellbore spacing plan. From our standpoint, that is making the output more predictable, and that creates a positive impact on the economics of the program.”

The company’s solutions engineering team uses data to help operators with predictive analysis.

“We use output from laboratory testing to generate a hydraulics model to estimate pipe friction, which allows us to set expectations for surface treatment conditions. Ultimately, we can solve for the expected hydraulic horsepower hours and can generate a high-level assessment for cost and ESG consideration through fuel savings,” he said.

Engineers also compare the predicted pressure to the actual pressure in end-of-stage variance reporting and examine the data to determine when there is a difference, then share the findings with the operator to evaluate opportunities for improvement.

“We also know proppant delivery on a stage basis is critical to recovery as is controlling the volume of fluid we’re injecting. In addition to managing differential pressure, we are looking at the volume of proppant used and identifying stages in which more or less fluid was pumped than expected. Many inefficiencies are rooted in variances between what was designed and what was delivered,” Segars said. “Operators spend a lot of time and effort developing the fracture sequence, and they know what works best for their reservoir. Our job is to help them deploy that in a predictable and consistent manner.”

Universal is also investing in developing tailored chemistries to help resolve challenges that routinely surface in the field. One of these is increased friction resulting from the use of higher salinity brines in place of fresh water, particularly in parts of New Mexico and Texas.

Maximum Extraction: Shale Development Enters a New Era
Universal executes a frac job in the Utica shale. (Source: Universal Pressure Pumping)

“Chemical technology is being improved upon daily to allow the use of as much brine as possible and to ensure produced water is reusable,” said Joe Pinkhouse, Universal’s chemistry domain champion.

Water is a valuable resource and scarce in some areas where there is widespread drilling. Increasing the amount of fresh water that can be reused cuts down on water usage as well as treatment and disposal costs, he said.

The industry is trying to figure out whether the use of produced water is beneficial to the reservoirs, Pinkhouse said.

“Historically, the view overwhelmingly has been negative, but new research shows that the produced water—as long as it is used appropriately—has the ability to enhance the performance of the reservoir and perhaps eliminate some of the chemical needs.”

Making headway with these initiatives depends on changing the perception of chemicals as commodities rather than specialty materials — and assuming, for example, that one clay stabilizer is the same as another.

“That’s simply not true,” he said. “There is a lot of time and energy that goes into developing the chemistries, and we work with operators to ensure they are looking at data and comparing the products in a meaningful way.”

Pioneering technology and the art of oilfield economics

Software advances continue to improve field operations and ResFrac, a company that provides computational subsurface modeling, is taking software to the next level.

COO Garrett Fowler explained how the solutions developed by his company address problems that have arisen from erroneously applying “factory mode” development to oil and gas operations.

“Wells interact. Rock is variable. And there are nuances that differentiate individual wells and locations, so applying a single well design across a range of wells does not produce consistent results,” he said.

What is known about the subsurface continues to expand.

“Diagnostics today give us the ability to see into subsurface an order of magnitude better than 10 years ago,” he said. “And applying first principles physics will unlock even better understanding.”

Multiple things happen in the subsurface simultaneously, but the traditional methodology for subsurface modeling has been to segment activities and use separate pieces of software to calculate them independently. Fowler said that’s why modeling software has struggled to produce a truly cohesive picture of the subsurface.

“It is computationally and mathematically challenging to model all of the variables in one self-consistent, coherent set of equations where everything happens at once, but it is possible,” he said.

Maximum Extraction: Shale Development Enters a New Era
Technology allows operators to build highly predictive models that enable prescriptive frac design and field planning. This image shows how NPV increases as the oil price goes up and that progressively closer well-spacings with higher commodity pricing delivers optimal NPV. (Source: ResFrac)

ResFrac initiates the process by building a “why” model using first principle physics.

“Once we have a model that accurately describes how things are acting in the rock, we apply algorithms that use data analytical techniques,” Fowler said. “Optimization algorithms run a variety of hypothetical simulations—moving a well 50 feet deeper, for example, or using twice as much fluid—to determine the best next step in the development process.”

Fowler contends that this approach makes it possible to see the interaction between oil prices and well spacing.

“The ideal distance between the existing wellbore and new wellbore depends on oil price because if you look at an internal rate of return, or net present value analysis, or other financial metrics, the degree of interference you tolerate is tied to the amount of revenue you can expect per barrel of oil,” he said.

He believes the future of the industry is in prescriptive design that derives from enhanced understanding of the subsurface, where it is now possible to observe what is happening and explain why.

“The industry is mature enough to layer surface engineering, subsurface engineering and financial engineering to get a clearer picture of what should be done in a given situation,” he said.

Building a computation framework for understanding these systems is crucial to establishing a foundation for extrapolating beyond hydrocarbons and examining how resources are extracted generally.

“That could lead to enabling extraction of other resources such as geothermal heat or exploiting the open pore space in the subsurface for carbon sequestration,” Fowler said. “It becomes a matter of looking at what resources exist and what expertise we have as an industry to extract those resources.”