波罗的海海底破坏事件——时间轴回顾

2022 年 9 月 26 日,俄罗斯国有天然气工业股份公司 GAZP.MM 在波罗的海沿岸修建的北溪 1 号和北溪 2 号管道遭到破坏,用于向德国输送天然气。版权所有 scaliger/AdobeStock
2022 年 9 月 26 日,俄罗斯国有天然气工业股份公司 GAZP.MM 在波罗的海沿岸修建的北溪 1 号和北溪 2 号管道遭到破坏,用于向德国输送天然气。版权所有 scaliger/AdobeStock

今天,芬兰法院拒绝了释放一艘油轮的请求,警方怀疑该油轮上周破坏了波罗的海的一条海底电力线和四条电信电缆。这是自 2022 年以来波罗的海水下关键基础设施遭受可疑破坏的几起事件之一。波罗的海国家处于高度戒备状态,北约表示将加强其在波罗的海的存在。

以下是自 2022 年 9 月俄罗斯入侵乌克兰以来重大“事件”的时间表。


  • 2022 年 9 月:北溪管道爆炸


2022 年 9 月 26 日,俄罗斯国有天然气工业股份公司在波罗的海沿岸修建的北溪 1 号北溪 2 号管道遭到破坏,该管道用于向德国输送天然气。瑞典地震学家记录到,丹麦博恩霍尔姆岛附近发生了几次海底爆炸,间隔约 17 小时,导致北溪管道系统中四条管道中的三条破裂,向大气中释放甲烷。在调查中,瑞典在从现场打捞出的几件物品上发现了爆炸痕迹,证实这是一起蓄意行为,但瑞典和丹麦于 2024 年结束了调查,没有指名道姓地指出嫌疑人。至今无人承担责任。

一些西方官员认为,莫斯科炸毁了自己的输油管道,但俄罗斯总统弗拉基米尔·普京否认了这一说法。俄罗斯则一如既往地指责美国、英国和乌克兰对爆炸事件负责,此次爆炸导致俄罗斯天然气基本无法从欧洲市场供应。这些国家否认与爆炸有关。 

2024 年 8 月,德国要求波兰逮捕一名乌克兰潜水教练,他被指控参与炸毁北溪管道。波兰称,该男子在被拘留前已离开该国。


  • 2023 年 10 月:BALTICCONNECTOR 天然气管道和电缆

2023 年 10 月 8 日凌晨,芬兰调查人员确定是中国集装箱船“新新北极熊”号在波罗的海海底拖锚造成连接芬兰和爱沙尼亚的波罗的海海底天然气管道波罗的海连接线(Balticconnector ) 断裂。爱沙尼亚警方怀疑,该船还于 10 月 7 日至 8 日损坏了连接爱沙尼亚与芬兰和瑞典的电信电缆,然后在前往俄罗斯圣彼得堡附近港口的途中撞上了天然气管道。 中国承诺协助芬兰和爱沙尼亚进行调查,但爱沙尼亚当局表示,中国并未兑现承诺。芬兰和爱沙尼亚调查人员无法确定这艘悬挂香港国旗的船只是意外还是故意造成损坏,尚未就这些案件得出结论。


  • 2024 年 11 月:波罗的海电信电缆

11 月 17 日和 18 日,波罗的海两条相距 100 多海里(约 200 公里)的海底光缆被切断,引发了蓄意破坏的怀疑。据立陶宛 Telia Lietuva(瑞典 Telia 公司旗下子公司)称,立陶宛和瑞典哥特兰岛之间一条 218 公里(135 英里)的互联网线路于格林威治标准时间 11 月 17 日 08:00 左右中断服务。芬兰国有网络安全和电信公司 Cinia 表示,一条连接赫尔辛基和德国港口罗斯托克的 1,200 公里长的电缆于格林威治标准时间 11 月 18 日 02:00 左右停止工作。

相关国家的调查人员将目标锁定在11 月 15 日离开俄罗斯乌斯季卢加港的中国散货船“Yi Peng 3”上,路透社对 MarineTraffic 数据的分析显示,该船的坐标与违规行为发生的时间和地点相符。在长达一个月的外交僵局之后,中国于 12 月 21 日允许德国、瑞典、芬兰和丹麦代表与中国调查人员一起登上“Yi Peng 3”号,在此期间,该船一直停泊在丹麦航道上。

瑞典外交大臣玛丽亚·马尔默·斯特纳加德 12 月 23 日表示,中国没有听从瑞典政府提出的派遣检察官上船进行初步调查的请求。


  • 2024 年 12 月:电力和互联网电缆


12 月 25 日,连接芬兰和爱沙尼亚的Estlink 2 海底电缆以及四条电信线路遭到破坏。芬兰启动了破坏调查,并于 12 月 26 日扣押了一艘载有俄罗斯石油的油轮,怀疑该油轮拖锚造成破坏。芬兰当局表示,在库克群岛注册的 Eagle S 号“影子舰队”的一部分,用于规避对俄罗斯石油出口的制裁。欧盟表示,它谴责任何蓄意破坏欧洲基础设施的行为。

北约军事联盟 12 月 27 日表示,将加强在波罗的海地区的军事存在。克里姆林宫当天表示,该船被扣押并不引起它的关注,俄罗斯此前也否认参与了此类事件。芬兰警方 12 月 29 日表示,他们在海床上发现了痕迹,怀疑是 Eagle S 号损坏了电缆。Eagle S 号的船东、总部位于阿拉伯联合酋长国的 Caravella LLC FZ 于 12 月 30 日向赫尔辛基地方法院提交了释放该船的申请。该申请于 2025 年 1 月 3 日被驳回。

(路透社)

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原文链接/OeDigital

Subsea Sabotage in the Baltic Sea - a Timeline for Perspective

Nord Stream 1 and Nord Stream 2, built across the Baltic Sea by Russia's state-controlled Gazprom GAZP.MM to pump natural gas to Germany, were damaged on Sept. 26, 2022. Copyright scaliger/AdobeStock
Nord Stream 1 and Nord Stream 2, built across the Baltic Sea by Russia's state-controlled Gazprom GAZP.MM to pump natural gas to Germany, were damaged on Sept. 26, 2022. Copyright scaliger/AdobeStock

A Finnish court today denied a request for the release of an oil tanker suspected by police of damaging an undersea power line and four telecommunications cables in the Baltic Sea last week. The incident was one of several since 2022 in which underwater critical infrastructure in the Baltic Sea has suffered suspicious damage. Baltic Sea nations are on high alert and NATO has said it will boost its presence in the Baltic Sea.

The following is a timeline of major 'incidents' since September 2022 following Russia's invasion of Ukraine.


  • SEPT 2022: NORD STREAM BLASTS


Nord Stream 1 and Nord Stream 2, built across the Baltic Sea by Russia's state-controlled Gazprom to pump natural gas to Germany, were damaged on Sept. 26, 2022.  Swedish seismologists registered several subsea blasts, some 17 hours apart, off the Danish island of Bornholm, that ruptured three out of four pipelines in the Nord Stream system, releasing methane into the atmosphere. In the investigations, Sweden found traces of explosives on several objects recovered from the site, confirming it was a deliberate act, but Sweden and Denmark closed their investigations without naming suspects in 2024. No one has taken responsibility.

Some Western officials have suggested Moscow blew up its own pipelines, an interpretation dismissed by Russian President Vladimir Putin. Russia, in turn and predictably, has blamed the United States, Britain and Ukraine for the blasts, which largely cut Russian gas off from the European market. Those countries denied involvement. 

In August 2024, Germany asked Poland to arrest a Ukrainian diving instructor accused of being part of a team that blew up the Nord Stream pipelines. Poland said the man left the country before he could be detained.


  • OCT 2023: BALTICCONNECTOR GAS PIPE AND CABLES

A subsea gas pipeline, the Balticconnector, which links Finland and Estonia under the Baltic Sea, was severed by what Finnish investigators determined was Chinese container vessel NewNew Polar Bear dragging its anchor in the early on Oct. 8, 2023. Estonian police suspect the ship of also damaging telecoms cables connecting Estonia to Finland and Sweden on Oct. 7-8, before hitting the gas pipeline on its way to a port near St Petersburg in Russia.

China promised Finland and Estonia assistance with the investigations but Estonian authorities have said the Chinese did little to fulfil its promises. Finnish and Estonian investigators have been unable to determine whether the Hong Kong-flagged vessel caused the damage by accident or deliberately, and have not yet provided their conclusions in the cases.


  • NOV 2024: BALTIC TELECOM CABLES

Two undersea fibre-optic communications cables located more than 100 nautical miles (about 200 km) apart in the Baltic Sea were severed on Nov. 17 and 18, raising suspicions of sabotage.  A 218-km (135-mile) internet link between Lithuania and Sweden's Gotland island went out of service at about 0800 GMT on Nov. 17, according to Lithuania's Telia Lietuva, part of Swedish Telia Company. A 1,200-km cable connecting Helsinki to the German port of Rostock stopped working around 0200 GMT on Nov. 18, Finnish state-controlled cyber security and telecoms company Cinia said.

Investigators in the countries involved have zeroed in on Chinese bulk carrier Yi Peng 3, which left the Russian port of Ust-Luga on Nov. 15, and a Reuters analysis of MarineTraffic data showed that the ship's coordinates corresponded to the time and place of the breaches.  China allowed representatives from Germany, Sweden, Finland and Denmark on Dec. 21 to board the Yi Peng 3 along with Chinese investigators, after a month-long diplomatic standoff during which the ship sat still in a Danish shipping lane.

Swedish Foreign Minister Maria Malmer Stenergard said on Dec. 23 China had not heeded the Swedish government's request for a prosecutor to be able to conduct the preliminary investigation on board.


  • DEC 2024: POWER AND INTERNET CABLES


The Estlink 2 undersea power cable connecting Finland and Estonia was damaged on Dec. 25 along with four telecoms lines. Finland launched a sabotage investigation and on Dec. 26 seized a tanker carrying Russian oil on suspicion it caused the damage by dragging its anchor. Finnish authorities said the Cook Islands-registered Eagle S was part of a "shadow fleet" used to circumvent sanctions on Russian oil exports. The European Union said it condemns any deliberate destruction of Europe's infrastructure.

The NATO military alliance said on Dec. 27 it would boost its presence in the Baltic Sea region. The Kremlin said the same day that the ship's seizure was of little concern to it, and Russia has previously denied involvement in such incidents. Finnish police said on Dec. 29 they had found tracks on the seabed where they suspect the Eagle S of damaging the cables. The owner of the Eagle S, United Arab Emirates-based Caravella LLC FZ, on Dec. 30 filed a request with the Helsinki District Court seeking the release of the ship. This was rejected on Jan. 3, 2025.

(Reuters)

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