今天


油价在上一交易日跌至三个多月来的最低水平后,周三仍面临压力,因对美国和中国需求减弱的担忧而进一步下滑。

由于需求担忧加剧,石油价格跌至近三个月低点 - 石油和天然气 360

资料来源:路透社

截至 GMT 0914,布伦特原油期货下跌 8 美分,至每桶 81.53 美元,而美国原油期货下跌 20 美分,至每桶 77.17 美元。周二两者均跌至 7 月 24 日以来的最低水平。

ING分析师Warren Patterson和Ewa Manthey在给客户的报告中提到原油供应紧张的情况时表示,“市场显然不太担心中东供应中断的可能性,而是关注平衡的缓和。”

美国能源情报署(EIA)周二表示,今年美国原油产量增幅将略低于此前预期,但需求将下降。

EIA目前预计今年美国石油消费总量将下降30万桶/日,扭转了此前预测的每日增加10万桶的预测。

市场消息人士周二晚间援引美国石油协会的数据称,美国原油库存上周增加近 1200 万桶。[蜜蜂]

EIA将每周库存数据的发布推迟至11月13日当周。

全球最大原油进口国中国的数据显示,其商品和服务出口总额收缩速度快于预期,加剧了人们对全球需求疲软的担忧。

石油经纪商 PVM 的塔马斯·瓦尔加 (Tamas Varga) 表示,这反映出“国内和全球经济陷入困境,这对石油平衡产生了不利影响”。

然而,中国10月份原油进口呈现强劲增长,中国央行行长周三表示,全球第二大经济体今年有望实现国内生产总值增长目标。北京设定了今年约5%的增长目标。

高盛分析师估计,石油生产国集团 OPEC 六个国家的海运石油净出口量将仅比 4 月份水平低 60 万桶/日,这缓解了供应担忧。OPEC已宣布自2023年4月以来累计减产200万桶/日。

对原油价格更为利多的消息是,欧佩克预计,尽管面临高通胀和利率等经济挑战,全球经济仍将增长并推动燃料需求。

(Paul Carsten、Stephanie Kelly 和 Muyu Xu 报道,David Goodman 编辑)


原文链接/oilandgas360

Today


Oil prices remained under pressure on Wednesday after sliding to their lowest in more than three months in the previous session, slipping further on concern over waning demand in the United States and China.

Oil sputters near three-month lows as demand concerns mount- oil and gas 360

Source: Reuters

Brent crude futures dipped 8 cents to US$81.53 a barrel by 0914 GMT while U.S. crude lost 20 cents to US$77.17. Both had dropped on Tuesday to their lowest since July 24.

“The market is clearly less concerned about the potential for Middle Eastern supply disruptions and is instead focused on an easing in the balance,” ING analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey said in a note to clients, referring to tight crude supply conditions.

Crude oil production in the United States this year will rise by slightly less than previously expected but demand will fall, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Tuesday.

The EIA now expects total U.S. petroleum consumption to fall by 300,000 barrels per day (bpd) this year, reversing its previous forecast of a 100,000 bpd increase.

U.S. crude oil stocks rose by almost 12 million barrels last week, market sources said late on Tuesday, citing American Petroleum Institute figures. [API/S]

The EIA will delay the release of weekly inventory data until the week of Nov. 13.

Adding to fears of weakening global demand, data from China, the world’s biggest crude oil importer, showed its total exports of goods and services contracted more quickly than expected.

That reflects “a struggling domestic and global economy, which adversely affects the oil balance”, said Tamas Varga of oil broker PVM.

However, China’s October crude oil imports showed robust growth and its central bank governor said on Wednesday that the world’s second-biggest economy is expected to hit its gross domestic product growth target this year. Beijing has set a target of about 5per cent growth this year.

Tempering supply concerns, analysts from Goldman Sachs estimated seaborne net oil exports by six countries from oil producer group OPEC will remain only 0.6 million bpd below April levels. OPEC has announced cumulative production cuts amounting to 2 million bpd since April 2023.

In more bullish news for crude prices, OPEC expects the global economy to grow and drive fuel demand despite economic challenges including high inflation and interest rates.

(Reporting by Paul Carsten, Stephanie Kelly and Muyu XuEditing by David Goodman)