“短期来看，市场并不平衡；供需不平衡，”Hollub 说道，并补充道：“2025 年及以后，世界将出现石油短缺”。

Hollub 表示，从 20 世纪 50 年代中期到 1970 年代末，石油公司发现的石油数量约为已使用量的五倍，这一比例已稳步下降至 2023 年的 25% 左右。

她表示，从2012年开始，美国石油公司不再专注于勘探，而是专注于开发页岩油储量，而页岩油的寿命比传统生产的石油要短得多。

她补充说，她预计能源转型方案必须进行调整，以适应更多的石油勘探。

“我认为业界正在考虑这样一种情况，即我们将能够完成转型过程中需要做的所有事情”。

她补充说，市场将从短期供应过剩转向世界需要更多石油的长期局面。

（德米特里·日丹尼科夫在达沃斯的报道，艾哈迈德·加达尔在伦敦的写作，马克·波特编辑）

“In the near term, the markets are not balanced; supply, demand is not balanced,” Hollub said, adding that: “2025 and beyond is when the world is going to be short of oil”.

Hollub said that from the mid-1950s to the late 1970s, oil companies were finding around five times as much oil as was used, a ratio that has steadily declined to about 25% in 2023.

She said that from 2012, U.S. oil companies moved away from exploration and focused on tapping shale oil reserves, which have a much shorter lifespan than conventionally produced oil.

She added that she expected energy transition scenarios will have to be adjusted to accommodate for more oil exploration.

“I think the industry is looking at a scenario where we will be able to do all the things that we need to do as a part of the transition”.

The market will move from near term oversupply, to a long period when the world is going to need more oil, she added.

(Reporting by Dmitry Zhdannikov in Davos Writing by Ahmad Ghaddar in London Editing by Mark Potter)