康斯托克、Aethon 的 17 支 Western Haynesville Wildcats 迄今已生产 1120 亿立方英尺

Comstock Resources 和 Aethon Energy 分别在德克萨斯州西部 Haynesville 新油田的生产数据中增加了一口井,该油田被称为“Waynesville”。迄今为止,最老的油井每 1,000 英尺水平井的产量为 21 亿立方英尺。

康斯托克资源公司 7 月 31 日报告称,该公司最新的远西部海恩斯维尔预探井在休斯顿北部进行的 24 小时测试中储量高达 3800 万立方英尺。

根据德克萨斯州铁路委员会 (RRC) 的数据,位于德克萨斯州罗伯逊县的英格拉姆马丁 A #1H 井 5 月份平均产量为 2760 万立方英尺/天,这是该井投产的第一个整月产量。

其水平长度为 7,764 英尺。

私营企业Aethon Energy也在测试深层 Bossier 和更深的 Haynesville 地层,并于 3 月增加了一个位于 Robertson 县的 Johnson Ranch #1HB 气田。根据 RRC 的数据,在前三个月,该公司从 8,986 英尺的水平井中开采出了 21 亿立方英尺的天然气。

这些油井使得从罗伯逊到德克萨斯州莱昂县的新油气田总数达到 17 口,迄今为止产量为 1124 亿立方英尺,平均日产量为 2060 万立方英尺,这些油井的年龄从 26 岁到 2 个月不等。

韦恩斯维尔

业内人士将康斯托克称为“韦恩斯维尔”,该公司拥有 12 口油井,产量为 752 亿立方英尺。该公司在两个双井平台上又钻了 4 口油井,预计在未来几个月内完工。

公司董事长兼首席执行官杰伊·艾利森 (Jay Allison) 在 7 月 31 日的收益电话会议上告诉投资者和分析师:“每一个看起来都很棒。”

其最新四口井的 IP 产量在 35 MMcf 和 38 MMcf 之间。相比之下,康斯托克位于德克萨斯州东部和路易斯安那州西北部的传统 Haynesville 油田的井 IP 产量约为 27 MMcf/d。

康斯托克还将预探井的钻井时间缩短至 54 天,预探井的垂直深度达 19,000 英尺,水平段达 12,000 英尺。

“我们的第一批油井花了 80 天才钻完,”艾利森说,“现在,最后一口油井花了 54 天,所以这些成本正在下降。我认为我们正在变得越来越好。”

该公司最新投产的四口油井均位于博西尔地层下方较深的海恩斯维尔地层中,康斯托克最初在其新租赁的 450,000 多英亩净土地上对该地层进行了测试。

“Howboy Cash”

艾利森说,在康斯托克,上市公司海恩斯维尔纯业务 E&P 公司正在“天然气疲软时期”继续“压低舱口”。

根据芝加哥商品交易所集团的数据,通话期间即月天然气合约交易价格为 2.04 美元,而 12 个月合约交易价格则低于 3 美元。

 艾利森说:“我们仍然非常专注于证明我们西部海恩斯维尔的实力。”

为了资助韦恩斯维尔计划以及康斯托克在传统海恩斯维尔项目中正在进行的 D&C,该公司于 4 月份发行了 4 亿美元债券,并从其 66.7% 的所有者达拉斯牛仔队老板杰里琼斯那里获得了 1 亿美元的股权注入。

琼斯投资 1 亿美元,部分是为了资助新油田的最新开采面积。一位证券分析师在电话会议上问道:“我们是否应该期待未来有更多的‘巨额现金’,还是这只是一次性的事情?”

艾利森说,土地争夺战基本已经结束。“我们只是在清理内场。”

4000 万美元的油井?

业内消息人士称,韦恩斯维尔油井的成本在 2000 万至 4000 万美元之间。

一位证券分析师根据康斯托克提供的“线索”问道,这是否是计算新油田的正确方法:这些油井的成本是传统海恩斯维尔油井的 2 倍,每 1,000 英尺水平段的 EUR 为 3.5 亿立方英尺至 40 亿立方英尺,而传统海恩斯维尔油井为 20 亿立方英尺。

“在我们看来,成本大约高出 50%,但天然气回收量却高出 75% 到 100%。这是准确的吗?”分析师问道。

总裁兼首席财务官罗兰·伯恩斯 (Roland Burns) 回应道:“不要以为这太不公平。我认为真正的区别在于,我们在海恩斯维尔西部发现的储量更大,但开采它们也需要更长的时间。”

Netherland Sewell & Associates Inc. 估计,新油田的油井每 1,000 英尺水平段的产量可能为3.5 亿立方英尺。根据 ​​RRC 数据,Comstock 油田最古老的油井是 26 个月前的 Circle M Alloc #1H,迄今为止每 1,000 英尺水平段的产量为 2.1 亿立方英尺。

该油田位于罗伯逊县的博西尔,于 2022 年 4 月投产,截至 5 月已产油 163 亿立方英尺。该水平段长度为 7,861 英尺。

忍住

伯恩斯补充说,新剧中的井位受到了限制。

“我们不会以传统 Haynesville 的两倍速度输送 [这些产品]。我们有可能这样做,但我们选择在早期阶段不这样做,尤其是在低价环境下。”

目前看来,回报相似,“但从长远来看,这是一项对未来的投资。”

艾利森补充说,对于传统的海恩斯维尔井来说,每 1,000 英尺产出 20 亿立方英尺的产量将是“蓝带井”。

相反,那里油井的 EUR 范围是“从 1.2 [每 1,000 水平英尺 10 亿立方英尺] 到可能 2.2 [每 1,000 水平英尺 10 亿立方英尺]。我的意思是你可能会看到 2.3。”

他补充说,就像 2008 年启动的原始海恩斯维尔项目一样,“钻的井越多,成本就越低。”

圆圈 M,并排

据 RRC 介绍,Circle M Alloc #1H 是从同一个平台钻探的,与 Encana 公司 (现为Ovintiv 公司) 于 2012 年在 Amoruso 油田水平段进行 21 世纪初垂直 Bossier 开发时尝试的水平井相邻。

根据油井文件,该井为 Circle M. Ranch-Hoyt Gas Unit #1H 气井,位于 4,868 英尺水平井,使用 20 英寸节流阀,24 小时产气量为 2200 万立方英尺。

套管绝对压力为 938 psia (psia);关闭井口压力油管为 9,700 psia;流动油管压力为 12,152 psia。

井底温度在 16,491 英尺处为 380 华氏度。平均关井温度为 227.5 华氏度。

自2012年11月开始销售以来,截至今年5月,其销量已达79亿立方英尺。

2013年3月产量达到峰值6.03亿立方英尺。

到 2022 年 1 月,这一数字减少到 410 万立方英尺。然后,在 2022 年初康斯托克在其旁边进行 Circle M Alloc #1H 分配时,该井被关闭。

其恢复生产的第一个整月(2022 年 7 月)产量为 3250 万立方英尺,表明其遭受了压裂打击,但其最近的产量为 2310 万立方英尺/天,或 2024 年 5 月的总产量为 7.17 亿立方英尺。

同时,Comstock 的 Circle M #1H 井在 28 英寸节流阀上从 7,861 英尺水平井中获得了 36.7 MMcf 的 24 小时 IP。井口关闭压力管为 11,900 psia;流动管压力为 9,488 psia。

井底温度在 15,980 英尺处为 320 华氏度;平均关井温度为 100 华氏度。

“错误的方向”

KeyBanc Capital Markets 分析师 Tim Rezvan 在 7 月 30 日的一份报告中表示对康斯托克的 D&C 成本感到失望。

他写道:“海恩斯维尔西部的重型钻井活动正在将企业每英尺的钻井与拆除成本拖向错误的方向。”

康斯托克 7 月 30 日报告称,8,500 英尺以上水平井的每水平英尺钻井与施工成本为 1,730 美元,高于第一季度的 1,501 美元。差异主要来自钻井成本:936 美元/水平英尺,高于第一季度的 714 美元/水平英尺和 2023 年的平均 660 美元/水平英尺。

第二季度的完井成本与第一季度基本相同——约为 790 美元/水平英尺——低于 2023 年的平均 883 美元/水平英尺。

就整个投资组合而言,康斯托克第二季度的产量为 14.4 亿立方英尺当量/天。运营成本为 0.84 美元/千立方英尺当量,高于第一季度的 0.76 美元/千立方英尺当量,但与 2023 年的平均水平相似。

在 7 月 31 日的电话会议之后,Rezvan 写道:“我们预计 Comstock 股票近期前景艰难。鉴于杠杆率超过 3.0 倍且对冲不足(我们认为生产流),我们预计到 2025 年自由现金流将微乎其微。”

本季度及未来五个季度的现金流总计可能达到 6600 万美元。

Rezvan 写道:“我们认为管理层需要展示一条更加细致的途径,以有效降低 [ 海恩斯维尔西部 ] 油井成本,同时验证非正式评论,即 EUR 大约是传统库存的两倍。”

“我们相信在未来六到九个月内该勘探区域可能会出现积极的更新,但我们不确定这是否可能。”

原文链接/HartEnergy

Comstock, Aethon’s 17 Western Haynesville Wildcats Make 112 Bcf to Date

Comstock Resources and Aethon Energy each added one well to Texas state production data on the new western Haynesville play, dubbed ‘The Waynesville.’ The oldest has surfaced 2.1 Bcf per 1,000 lateral ft to date.

Comstock Resources’ newest far western Haynesville wildcat IP’ed up to 38 MMcf in a 24-hour test north of Houston, the company reported on July 31.

The well, Ingram Martin A #1H in Robertson County, Texas, averaged 27.6 MMcf/d in May, its first full month online, according to Texas Railroad Commission (RRC) data.

It has a 7,764-ft lateral.

Also testing the deep Bossier and deeper Haynesville formations, privately held Aethon Energy added one in March, Johnson Ranch #1HB, also in Robertson County. In its first three months, it’s made 2.1 Bcf from an 8,986 ft lateral, according to the RRC.

The wells bring the new play, which stretches from Robertson into Leon County, Texas, to a total of 17, making 112.4 Bcf to date and averaging 20.6 MMcf/d from wells ranging from 26 to two months old.

The Waynesville

Dubbed the Waynesville by industry members, Comstock’s share of that output is 75.2 Bcf from 12 wells. The company has four more drilled on two two-well pads and completion is expected in the coming months.

“Each one looks fantastic,” Jay Allison, chairman and CEO, told investors and analysts in an earnings call July 31.

Its four latest wells’ IPs were between 35 MMcf and 38 MMcf. In comparison, Comstock’s wells in the traditional Haynesville play in far eastern Texas and northwestern Louisiana had IPs of about 27 MMcf/d.

Comstock also pared drilling days to 54 in the wildcat stepout that is at up to 19,000 ft in vertical depth with laterals up to 12,000 ft.

“Our first wells were 80 days to drill,” Allison said. “Now, the last one has been 54, so these costs are coming down. I think we're getting better and better and better.”

All four of its newest wells that have been brought online are landed in the deeper Haynesville formation underlying the Bossier, which Comstock initially tested in its more than 450,000 newly leased, net acres.

‘Cowboy cash’

At Comstock, the publicly held Haynesville pureplay E&P is continuing to “batten down the hatches” now “during this weak period for natural gas,” Allison said.

The prompt-month natgas contract was trading at $2.04 during the call, according to CME Group data; the 12-month strip was below $3.

 “We remain very focused on proving up our western Haynesville play,” Allison said.

To fund the Waynesville program as well as Comstock’s ongoing D&C in the traditional Haynesville play, it issued $400 million of bonds in April and received a $100 million equity injection from its 66.7% owner, Dallas Cowboys owner Jerry Jones.

The $100 million Jones investment was in part to fund the latest acreage adds to the new play. A securities analyst asked on the call, “Should we expect more ‘Cowboy cash’ in the future or is this a kind of one-time thing?”

The land grab is mostly over, Allison said. “We’re just cleaning up the infield.”

$40-million wells?

Industry sources have said the Waynesville wells cost between $20 million and $40 million.

A securities analyst asked, based on “the breadcrumbs provided” by Comstock, if this is the correct way to math the new play: The wells cost 2.0x more than those in the traditional Haynesville and have EURs of 3.5 Bcf to 4 Bcf per 1,000 lateral ft versus 2 Bcf.

“It would seem to us you’re about 50% more expensive but you recover 75% to 100% more gas. Is that [accurate]?” the analyst asked.

Roland Burns, president and CFO, responded: “I don't think that's too unfair. I think the difference really is that [these are] larger reserves that we're finding in the western Haynesville, but it also takes longer to get them out.”

Netherland Sewell & Associates Inc. estimates the new play’s wells may have EURs of 3.5 Bcf per 1,000 ft of lateral. Comstock’s oldest well in the play, the 26-month-old Circle M Alloc #1H, has made 2.1 Bcf per 1,000 lateral ft to date, according to RRC data.

Landed in the Bossier in Robertson County, it came online in April 2022 and has made 16.3 Bcf through May. The lateral is 7,861 ft.

Held back

Wells in the new play are being held back, though, Burns added.

“We’re not flowing [them] at double the rates of the traditional Haynesville. It’s possible we could, but we’re choosing not to do that in this early stage, especially with the low-price environment.”

The returns appear similar right now, “but it’s longer term. It’s an investment in the future.”

Allison added that the 2 Bcf-per-1,000-ft figure for a traditional Haynesville would be “a blue-ribbon well.”

Instead, EURs for wells there range “anywhere from 1.2 [Bcf per 1,000 lateral ft] to maybe 2.2 [Bcf per 1,000 lateral ft]. I mean you may see 2.3.”

He added that, like the original Haynesville play that kicked off in 2008, “the more wells you drill, the lower the costs are.”

The Circle M’s, side-by-side

The Circle M Alloc #1H was drilled from the same pad and landed alongside a horizontal Encana Corp. (now Ovintiv Inc.) tried in 2012 when taking its early 2000s vertical Bossier development in the Amoruso Field lateral, according to the RRC.

The well, Circle M. Ranch-Hoyt Gas Unit #1H, had a 24-hour IP of 22 MMcf on a 20-inch choke from a 4,868-ft lateral, according to the well file.

Casing pressure was 938 psi absolute (psia); shut-in wellhead pressure-tubing, 9,700 psia; and flowing tubing pressure, 12,152 psia.

The bottomhole temperature was 380 F at 16,491 ft. The average shut-in temperature was 227.5 F.

Through this past May, it made 7.9 Bcf since it was turned into sales in November of 2012.

Production peaked at 603 MMcf in March 2013.

That dwindled to 4.1 MMcf in January 2022. Then it was shut in while Comstock was making the Circle M Alloc #1H alongside it in early 2022.

Its first full month back online—July 2022—brought 32.5 MMcf, indicating it underwent a frac hit, but its most recent production was 23.1 Mcf/d or a May 2024 total of 717 Mcf.

Meanwhile, Comstock’s Circle M #1H had a 24-hour IP of 36.7 MMcf from a 7,861-ft lateral on a 28-inch choke. Shut-in wellhead pressure-tubing was 11,900 psia; flowing tubing pressure, 9,488 psia.

Bottomhole temperature was 320 F at 15,980 ft; average shut-in temperature, 100 F.

‘Wrong direction’

KeyBanc Capital Markets analyst Tim Rezvan reported disappointment in Comstock’s D&C costs in a note July 30.

“The heavy drilling activity in the western Haynesville is dragging corporate D&C costs per foot in the wrong direction,” he wrote.

D&C per lateral foot for wells of more than 8,500 lateral ft was $1,730, up from $1,501 in the first quarter, Comstock reported July 30. The difference primarily came from drilling costs: $936/lateral ft, up from $714/ lateral ft in the first quarter and a 2023 average of $660/ lateral ft.

Completion costs were mostly the same in the second quarter as in the first—about $790/ lateral ft—and down from the $883/lateral ft averaged in 2023.

Portfolio-wide, Comstock’s second-quarter production was 1.44 Bcfe/d. Operating costs were $0.84/Mcfe, up from $0.76/ Mcfe in the first quarter but similar to the 2023 average.

After the July 31 call, Rezvan wrote, “We see a tough near-term road ahead for Comstock shares. With leverage over 3.0x and an underhedged—in our view—production stream, we see minimal free cash flow through 2025.”

Cash flow may total $66 million in this and each of the next five quarters.

“We believe management needs to show a much more granular path for meaningful well-cost reductions [in the western Haynesville], while validating informal comments that EURs are roughly twice that of legacy inventory,” Rezvan wrote.

“We believe a positive update on this exploratory area in the next six to nine months is possible, but we are uncertain it is likely.”