美国新闻


伦敦——周四油价大体稳定,受到美国原油库存意外下跌和美联储坚持今年降息前景的支撑。

截至格林威治标准时间 1359 点,5 月份布伦特原油期货下跌 17 美分,至每桶 85.78 美元,跌幅为 0.2%。周三下跌 1.6%。

美国西德克萨斯中质原油 5 月期货下跌 20 美分,跌幅 0.3%,至每桶 81.07 美元,前一交易日下跌约 1.8%。

美国能源情报署(EIA)周三报告称,全球最大石油消费国美国的原油库存连续第二周下降。

截至 3 月 15 日当周,库存意外减少 200 万桶至 4.45 亿桶,原因是出口增加且炼油厂继续增加活动。路透社调查的分析师此前预计油价将上涨 13,000 桶。[环境影响评估/S]

市场策略师Yeap Jun Rong表示,看涨口号似乎仍然完好无损,上周美国原油库存再次意外减少,而市场参与者继续为俄罗斯-乌克兰方面进一步供应中断的风险定价。在IG。

汽油库存连续第七周下降,减少 330 万桶至 2.308 亿桶,表明燃料需求稳定强劲。炼油厂日产量增加 127,000 桶,利用率上升。

投资者也受到美联储的鼓舞,周三美联储将利率维持在5.25%至5.50%的区间,但仍维持今年三次降息的预期。

较低的利率可能会促进经济增长,这对石油销售来说是个好消息。

3月份美国商业活动保持稳定,但物价全面上涨,表明通胀在年初回升后可能继续保持高位。

与此同时,美国劳工部周四公布的数据显示,上周美国初请失业金人数意外下降,表明3月份就业增长依然强劲。

乌克兰对俄罗斯炼油厂的袭击也促使投资者以更高的价格交易原油,因为袭击可能会影响全球石油供应。

乌克兰无人机本月袭击了至少七家俄罗斯炼油厂。据路透社计算,这些袭击已导致俄罗斯炼油能力下降 7%,即每天约 370,500 桶。

分析师表示,如果俄罗斯生产商无法出口原油并面临储存限制,长期中断可能会迫使俄罗斯生产商减少供应。

德国央行在周四的例行经济报告中表示,其他方面,德国经济可能在 2024 年第一季度陷入衰退,因为消费疲软和工业需求疲软将继续推动未来进一步复苏。

同样在周四,英国央行行长表示,英国经济“正朝着正确的方向发展”,央行将开始降息。

 

(Emily Chow、Jeslyn Lerh 和 Paul Carsten 在伦敦报道;Jacqueline Wong、Jason Neely、David Evans 和 Alexander Smith 编辑)

主要图片(来源:路透社)


原文链接/oilandgas360

US News


LONDON – Oil prices were broadly steady on Thursday, shored up by a surprise U.S. crude stock drop and the U.S. Federal Reserve sticking to its outlook on rate cuts for the year.

Brent crude futures for May were down 17 cents, or 0.2%, to $85.78 a barrel by 1359 GMT. They fell by 1.6% on Wednesday.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures for May were down 20 cents, or 0.3%, to $81.07 a barrel after a fall of about 1.8% in the previous session.

Crude inventories in the United States, the world’s biggest oil consumer, fell for a second week, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported on Wednesday.

Stockpiles unexpectedly declined by 2 million barrels to 445 million barrels in the week ended March 15, as exports rose and refiners continued to increase activity. Analysts polled by Reuters had expected a 13,000-barrel rise. [EIA/S]

“It seems that the bullish mantra is still intact, with yet another unexpected drawdown in U.S. crude inventories last week while market participants continue to price for the risks of further supply disruption on the Russia-Ukraine front, said Yeap Jun Rong, market strategist at IG.

Gasoline inventories fell for a seventh week, down 3.3 million barrels to 230.8 million, suggesting steady strong fuel demand. Oil refinery runs ramped up by 127,000 barrels per day and utilisation rates rose.

Investors also took heart from the U.S. central bank, which held interest rates in a range of 5.25% to 5.50% on Wednesday, but kept to an outlook for three rate cuts this year.

Lower rates could boost economic growth, in good news for oil sales.

U.S. business activity held steady in March, but prices increased across the board, suggesting that inflation could remain elevated after picking up at the start of the year.

Meanwhile, U.S. Labor Department data on Thursday showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits unexpectedly fell last week, suggesting that job growth remained strong in March.

Ukrainian attacks on Russian refineries also prompted investors to trade crude at higher prices, factoring in that the strikes could hit global petroleum supplies.

Ukrainian drones have targeted at least seven Russian refineries this month. The attacks have shut down 7%, or around 370,500 barrels per day, of Russian refining capacity, according to Reuters calculations.

Analysts say prolonged disruptions could force Russian producers to reduce supply if they are unable to export crude oil and face storage constraints.

Elsewhere, Germany’s economy was likely in recession in the first quarter of 2024 as weak consumption and anaemic industrial demand continue to push the recovery further into the future, the central bank said in a regular economic report on Thursday.

Also on Thursday, the Bank of England’s governor said Britain’s economy is “moving in the right direction” for the central bank to start cutting interest rates.

 

(Reporting by Emily Chow and Jeslyn Lerh and Paul Carsten in London; Editing by Jacqueline Wong, Jason Neely, David Evans and Alexander Smith)

Lead image (Credit: Reuters)