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周五美国原油突破每桶 87 美元,因有报道称以色列准备本周末对伊朗发动直接袭击,这将是自去年 10 月以色列与哈马斯战争爆发以来中东紧张局势最严重的一次,期货价格上涨。

5 月交割的西德克萨斯中质原油合约  上涨 2.32 美元,涨幅 2.73%,至每桶 87.34 美元。 6 月 布伦特 原油期货上涨 2.13 美元,至每桶 91.86 美元,涨幅为 2.37%。 随着石油价格上涨提振能源板块,埃克森美孚 股价盘中触及 123.74 美元的历史新高。

一位知情人士 告诉《华尔街日报》, 以色列正准备伊朗最快在周五或周六对以色列南部或北部发动直接袭击。一位听取了伊朗领导层情况通报的人士告诉《华尔街日报》,虽然袭击计划正在讨论中,但尚未做出最终决定。

熟悉西方情报评估的人士告诉 彭博社 ,伊朗或其代理人最快可能在未来 48 小时内对以色列发动无人机和导弹袭击。

美国驻耶路撒冷大使馆周四 “出于高度谨慎”,限制政府雇员 及其家人前往特拉维夫、耶路撒冷和贝尔谢巴以外的个人旅行,直至另行通知。

伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊誓言要惩罚以色列上周对伊朗伊斯兰共和国驻叙利亚大马士革领事馆的导弹袭击,造成七名伊朗军官死亡。

领事馆袭击事件后,油价上涨,但由于通胀数据和美国原油库存打压市场,本周期货小幅下跌。

以色列警告伊朗,如果德黑兰袭击以色列,它将对伊斯兰共和国进行反击。

“如果伊朗从其领土发动袭击,以色列将作出反应并在伊朗发动袭击,”外交部长以色列·卡茨  周三在社交媒体平台X上说道,他指的是哈梅内伊。

 Rapidan Energy总裁、布什政府前高级能源官员鲍勃·麦克纳利(Bob McNally)表示,如果伊朗直接攻击以色列,布伦特原油期货可能 飙升至每桶100美元。麦克纳利告诉 CNBC,如果局势升级导致重要石油贸易路线霍尔木兹海峡中断,油价可能会飙升至每桶 120 美元或 130 美元。

 

主要图片(来源:路透社)


原文链接/oilandgas360

CNBC


U.S. crude oil broke above $87 a barrel on Friday as futures rallied on reports that Israel is preparing for a direct attack by Iran this weekend, in what would be the biggest escalation of Middle East tensions since the start of the Israel-Hamas war last October.

The West Texas Intermediate contract for May delivery gained $2.32, or 2.73%, to $87.34 a barrel. June Brent futures added $2.13, or 2.37%, to $91.86 a barrel. Exxon Mobil stock hit an all-time intraday high of $123.74 as the oil rally lifted the energy sector.

Israel is preparing for a direct attack by Iran on southern or northern Israel as soon as Friday or Saturday, a person familiar with the matter told The Wall Street Journal. A person briefed by Iran’s leadership told the Journal that no final decision has been made, though plans for a strike are under discussion.

People familiar with Western intelligence assessments told Bloomberg News that an attack by Iran, or its proxies, with drones and missiles against Israel could come as soon as the next 48 hours.

The U.S. embassy in Jerusalem on Thursday restricted government employees and their families from personal travel outside Tel Aviv, Jerusalem and Be’er Sheva “out of an abundance of caution” until further notice.

Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has vowed to punish Israel for a missile attack on the Islamic Republic’s consulate in Damascus, Syria, last week that killed seven Iranian military officials.

Oil prices rallied after the consulate attack, though futures are down slightly this week as inflation data and U.S. crude stockpiles have weighed on the market.

Israel has warned Iran it will strike back against the Islamic Republic if Tehran attacks Israel.

“If Iran attacks from its territory, Israel will react and attack in Iran,” Foreign Minister Israel Katz said on the social media platform X on Wednesday, tagging Khamenei.

Brent crude oil futures could spike to $100 a barrel if Iran directly attacks Israel, according to Bob McNally, president of Rapidan Energy and a former senior energy official in the Bush administration. If the escalation leads to a disruption in the Strait of Hormuz, a critical trade route for oil, prices could surge to $120 or $130 a barrel, McNally told CNBC.

 

Lead image (Credit: Reuters)