如今,Diamondback 在 18 个 Permian 县将剥离什么?

收购 Endeavor Energy 后,Diamondback Energy 在西德克萨斯州 18 个县拥有资产。分析师们正在等待出售资产的消息,而 Endeavor 正在将 D&C 效率提高到每英尺 625 美元。

既然Diamondback Energy已经关闭了 Permian 纯业务运营商Endeavor Energy Resources,该公司是否会剥离一些新的非核心 Permian 资产

瑞银证券分析师乔希·西尔弗斯坦 10 月 14 日报告称,“我们正在寻找有关资产剥离计划的更多细节。”

Diamondback 总裁兼首席财务官 Kaes Van Hof 在八月份告诉投资者,“我们在这笔交易中投入的现金并不多,因此我们必须成为资产卖方。”

在此次价值 260 亿美元的收购中,Diamondback 以股票和 80 亿美元现金支付。该交易于 9 月 10 日完成。

尽管可能会有一些高评级,但范霍夫补充道,“你不认为我们会在交易结束后被迫出售资产。”

他指出, Diamondback 已于5 月份以 3.75 亿美元的价格将其在 WTG Midstream Holdings 的权益出售Energy Transfer,并于 3 月份以 4.025 亿美元的价格将其在 Viper Energy 的 1150 万股股份出售给 Energy Transfer。

至于其他可能出售的资产,他说:“我认为我们将非常、非常吝啬保留二叠纪盆地的经营资产,因为它们现在的价值相当于黄金。”

根据德克萨斯铁路委员会 (RRC) 的数据,Hart Energy 对 Diamondback 和 Endeavor 7 月份产量的审查显示,他们在博登、克罗克特、盖恩斯和艾里昂县的租赁地块的产量不足 50 桶/天。

道森县目前是EOG ResourcesSM Energy和私人控股运营商Birch Resources热门扩张区域,根据 RRC 的数据,Diamondback 和 Endeavor 的 7 月份总产量为 599 桶/天。

Dimaondback-Endeavor 联合制作

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每英尺 625 美元

摩根大通证券分析师阿伦·贾亚拉姆 (Arun Jayaram) 10 月 14 日报道称,Diamondback 正在全力提高其新收购的 Endeavor 资产的 D&C 效率,并转向同步压裂开发。

运营商的米德兰盆地油井每水平英尺的成本为 625 美元。

Jayaram 在 10 月 2 日写道:“到 2024 年为止,Diamondback 的年初至今钻井效率约为 8%——每个钻机每年 26 口井,而 2023 年底每个钻机每年 24 口井。”

至于完井方面,作业者的效率提高了15%以上,目前每个作业队可以完井100口,而之前每个作业队只能完井80口。

这是“同时将水平段长度较之前的[指导值] 11,800 英尺和 11,500 英尺增加 2.6%”。 

他在 10 月 14 日写道,目前钻井总数为 21 个,低于 2 月份宣布交易时的 24 个。

他补充说,Diamondback 认为,通过 18 至 20 个钻井平台,有潜力维持 7 月份 540,000 桶/天的总产量。

在宣布交易时,预计合并后公司的米德兰盆地油田将配备六支全职同步压裂作业队。

但 Jayaram 报道称,Diamondback“目前预计可以用五支左右的模拟压裂车队来执行这一计划,因为该公司每支模拟压裂车队可以完成大约 100 口井,而最初的指南估计是每支车队完成 80 口井”。

瑞银的 Silverstein 报告称,除了将 Endeavor 的业务转移到 Diamondback 现有的模拟压裂项目之外,“两支新的电子舰队还将带来进一步的协同效应。”

贾亚拉姆 (Jayaram) 报道称,这些是哈里伯顿 (Halliburton) 运营的宙斯 (Zeus) 电子舰队。

Diamondback Endeavor 合并后

街对面

与此同时,Diamondback 已将 Endeavor 约 1,200 名员工中的 700 名迁至米德兰市中心西德克萨斯大道自己的办公室。

贾亚拉姆在 10 月 14 日写道,剩余的 Endeavor 员工将继续在原 Endeavor 总部街对面的办公地点办公。

他补充道:“看来公司正在快速实现每年 5.5 亿美元的协同效应目标。”

10 月 14 日,西尔弗斯坦将 Diamondback 股票的目标股价上调至 235 美元。

Jayaram 看好该股,建议投资者在其投资组合中增持该股。

10 月 2 日,他将该股 2025 年 12 月的目标价定为 182 美元。

但他在 10 月 14 日将价格上调至每桶 205 美元,而当时原油价格已经达到每桶 190 美元,且受中东冲突升级影响,WTI 原油价格上涨约 10%。

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Now in 18 Permian Counties, What Will Diamondback Divest?

Post-acquisition of Endeavor Energy, Diamondback Energy has property in 18 West Texas counties. While analysts wait to hear what will be sold, Endeavor is up-shifting D&C efficiencies down to $625 per lateral foot.

Will there be Diamondback Energy divestments of some newly non-core Permian property now that it has closed on fellow Permian pureplay operator Endeavor Energy Resources?

UBS Securities analyst Josh Silverstein reported Oct. 14, “We look for more details on the divestiture program.”

Kaes Van’t Hof, Diamondback president and CFO, told investors in August, “We didn't put so much cash in the deal that we had to be a seller of assets.”

In the $26 billion acquisition, Diamondback paid with stock and $8 billion in cash. The deal closed on Sept. 10.

While there may be some high-grading, Van’t Hof added, “I don't think you'll see us be a forced seller of assets post-deal-close.”

Diamondback already sold its interest in WTG Midstream Holdings to Energy Transfer in May for $375 million and 11.5 million of its Viper Energy shares in March for $402.5 million, he noted.

As for what else might be sold, “I think we're going to be very, very stingy on keeping operated properties in the Permian because they're kind of worth their weight in gold right now,” he said.

A Hart Energy review of Diamondback’s and Endeavor’s July production showed less than 50 bbl/d from their leasehold in Borden, Crockett, Gaines and Irion counties, according to Texas Railroad Commission (RRC) data.

In Dawson County, which is currently a hot expansion area for EOG Resources, SM Energy and privately held operator Birch Resources, Diamondback’s and Endeavor’s combined July output was 599 bbl/d, according to the RRC.

Dimaondback- Endeavor combined production

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$625 per lateral foot

Diamondback is “hitting the ground running” in up-shifting D&C efficiencies on its newly acquired Endeavor property, moving to simul-frac development, J.P. Morgan Securities analyst Arun Jayaram reported Oct. 14.

The operator’s Midland Basin wells cost $625 per lateral foot.

“Thus far in 2024, Diamondback has cited some 8% year-to-date drilling efficiencies—26 wells per rig per year vs. 24 wells per rig per year at year-end 2023,” Jayaram wrote on Oct. 2.

As for completions, the operator is posting 15%-plus efficiency gains, approaching 100 wells per crew versus 80 wells per crew.

This has been “while pushing lateral lengths 2.6% longer vs. the prior [guidance of] 11,800 feet vs 11,500 feet.” 

The combined rig count is now 21, down from 24 when the deal was announced in February, he wrote on Oct. 14.

And Diamondback sees potential to maintain its combined July output of 540,000 bbl/d with between 18 and 20 rigs, he added.

In completions, six full-time simul-frac fleets were anticipated for the combined companies’ Midland Basin property when the deal was announced.

But Diamondback “now expects it can execute this program with five [or so] simul-frac fleets as the company is completing [some] 100 wells per simul-frac fleet vs. the original guide that estimated 80 wells per fleet,” Jayaram reported.

In addition to moving Endeavor’s operations to Diamondback’s existing simul-frac program, UBS’ Silverstein reported, “further synergies will come from two new e-fleets.”

Jayaram reported these are the Halliburton-operated Zeus e-fleets.

Diamondback Endeavor post merger

Across the street

Meanwhile, Diamondback has moved 700 of Endeavor’s roughly 1,200 employees to its own offices on West Texas Avenue in downtown Midland.

The remaining Endeavor employees continue officing across the street at the former Endeavor headquarters, Jayaram wrote on Oct. 14.

“It appears that the company is quickly progressing on its $550 million/year synergy target,” he added.

Silverstein raised his target Oct. 14 on Diamondback shares to $235.

Jayaram is favoring the stock, recommending that investors Overweight it in their portfolios.

He had put a December 2025 price target of $182 on the shares on Oct. 2.

But he raised that on Oct. 14 to $205, while the ticker was already $190 and due to WTI trading at some 10% more on the escalation of conflicts in the Middle East.

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