EIA:阿根廷原油和天然气产量接近历史最高水平

作者:
, 《油田技术》编辑助理


美国能源信息署 (US Energy Information Administration) 报告称,阿根廷的原油和天然气产量均接近历史最高水平,这得益于瓦卡穆埃尔塔页岩层产量的增加,抵消了传统石油和天然气田产量的下降。根据阿根廷能源部 (SESCO) 的数据,从 2021 年 1 月到 2024 年 9 月,阿根廷的原油产量增长了 50%,天然气产量增长了 27%,使这两种燃料的产量接近 21 世纪初创下的纪录。

EIA:阿根廷原油和天然气产量接近历史最高水平

美国能源信息署估计,主要位于阿根廷内乌肯省的瓦卡穆埃尔塔页岩层拥有308万亿立方英尺技术可采页岩气资源和160亿桶的技术可采页岩油和凝析油资源。阿根廷是世界五大页岩原油和天然气资源国之一。

2021 年,瓦卡穆埃尔塔地层的原油产量开始激增,原因是:

    钻井活动增加
    水力压裂和水平钻井技术进步
    油价有利
    随着新输油管道的投入使用,基础设施得到改善
    落实支持政策措施

2024 年 9 月,阿根廷原油日均产量为 738,000 桶,比 2023 年 9 月增加 15%,创 2003 年以来单月最高产量。根据 SESCO 的数据,9 月,Vaca Muerta 地层生产的石油占该国总产量的 58%。2024 年前 9 个月,阿根廷天然气日均产量为 50 亿立方英尺比 2023 年同期增加 5.2%。8 月,天然气日均产量为 54 亿立方英尺,创 21 年来单月最高产量。Vaca Muerta 地层占阿根廷天然气产量的 70% 以上,2024 年 9 月达到74%(38 亿立方英尺/天)。

原油和天然气出口

瓦卡穆埃尔塔地层原油和天然气产量的增加增加了这两种燃料的出口机会。阿根廷的原油出口量平均每年增长 33%,从 2017 年的 30,000 桶/天增加到 2023 年的 128,000 桶/天。页岩原油约占 2023 年原油出口的 70%。2023 年阿根廷原油出口的主要目的地是美国、巴西和智利。最近建成的瓦卡穆埃尔塔北输油管道有助于促进对智利的出口。国内天然气产量的增加和多个新管道项目的开发减少了阿根廷液化天然气 (LNG) 的进口量,并导致计划增加出口。阿根廷依靠液化天然气进口来应对南半球冬季(6 月至 8 月)的供暖和电力高峰需求,尤其是考虑到该国天然气储存能力有限。2024 年前 9 个月,阿根廷进口液化天然气 0.2 亿立方英尺/天,比 2023 年同期减少 43%。

2024 年前 9 个月,阿根廷通过管道进口的天然气与 2023 年同期相比下降了 47%。下降的主要原因是来自玻利维亚的管道进口于 2024 年 9 月结束,而 2023 年,玻利维亚的管道进口约占阿根廷天然气进口的一半。与此同时,阿根廷正在投资基础设施,以扩大从瓦卡穆埃尔塔地层到阿根廷北部的天然气分配,​​包括逆转为从玻利维亚进口而设计的管道,以便将天然气出口到巴西。

通过管道向邻国智利和乌拉圭出口的天然气显著增加,而阿根廷的液化天然气进口量则因新的基础设施项目而下降,例如佩里托弗朗西斯科帕斯卡西奥莫雷诺天然气管道(原名总统内斯托尔基什内尔天然气管道),该管道于 2023 年开始运营,将天然气从瓦卡穆埃尔塔地层向北输送到圣达菲和布宜诺斯艾利斯省。2024 年前 9 个月,对智利的出口与去年同期相比增长了 14%,达到约 0.25 亿立方英尺/天。

天然气和液化天然气基础设施开发

几个关键的基础设施项目正在支持瓦卡穆埃尔塔地区天然气产量的增长,其中包括容量为 7 亿立方英尺/天的佩里托弗朗西斯科帕斯卡西奥莫雷诺天然气管道该管道计划的第二阶段将在 2028 年将其容量扩大到 12 亿立方英尺/天。Gasoducto Norte 管道目前正在进行一项流动逆转项目,以将天然气从阿根廷南部输送到北部。第一阶段的运营于今年 11 月开始,预计该管道将达到 7 亿立方英尺/天的全部容量。EIA预计该项目将于 2025 年第一季度完成,并促进天然气出口到智利北部和巴西,以满足这些市场日益增长的需求。

阿根廷政府实施了新的政策来促进能源生产和出口,其中包括“天然气计划”。此外,“天然气计划 IV”扩大了天然气出口授权和四年期出口合同,这是该国 20 年来第一份多年期合同。去年 7 月,阿根廷国会还通过了一项大型投资促进制度 (RIGI),旨在通过提供税收、关税和货币兑换激励措施为投资者提供确定性和法律稳定性,从而支持新的基础设施支出。未来几年,多家公司计划建设浮式液化天然气 (FLNG) 基础设施。Golar LNG 与泛美能源 (PAE) 签署了一项为期 20 年的协议,将在 2027 年前在阿根廷部署一艘 FLNG 船,目标产能为 245 万吨/年。Tecpetrol SA 正在设计一个模块化陆上工厂,初始产能为 400 万吨/年。阿根廷国有能源公司 YPF SA 计划在 2027 年前将现有的 FLNG 设施投入使用,目标是每年增加 100 万吨至 200 万吨的出口能力。尽管关于 Petronas 是否参与以及基础设施成本高昂存在不确定性,但该公司还在为 Rio Negro 的 LNG 出口项目寻找新的投资者。

 

 

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EIA: Argentina’s crude oil and natural gas production near record highs

Published by , Editorial Assistant
Oilfield Technology,


The US Energy Information Administration has reported that crude oil and natural gas production in Argentina are both nearing record highs, driven by increasing output from the Vaca Muerta shale formation, which is offsetting declining output from conventional oil and natural gas fields. From January 2021 through September 2024, crude oil production in Argentina increased by 50%, and natural gas production rose by 27%, lifting output of both fuels near the records set in the early 2000s, according to data from the country’s energy ministry, the Secretaría de Energía de la República Argentina (SESCO).

EIA: Argentina’s crude oil and natural gas production near record highs

EIA estimates that the Vaca Muerta shale formation, located mainly in Argentina’s Neuquén province, has 308 trillion f3 of technically recoverable shale gas resources and 16 billion bbls of technically recoverable shale oil and condensate resources. Argentina ranks among the world’s top five holders of shale crude oil and natural gas resources.

Crude oil production in the Vaca Muerta formation began to surge in 2021 due to:

    Increased drilling activity
    Technological advances in hydraulic fracturing and horizontal drilling
    Favourable oil prices
    Infrastructure improvements with the commissioning of new oil pipelines
    Implementation of supportive policy measures

In September 2024, production averaged 738 000 bpd of crude oil in Argentina, 15% more than in September 2023 and the most in any month since 2003. In September, oil produced in the Vaca Muerta formation accounted for 58% of the country’s total output, according to SESCO. An average of 5.0 billion f3/d of natural gas was produced in Argentina over the first nine months of 2024, 5.2% more than the same period in 2023. In August, natural gas production averaged 5.4 billion f3/d, the most of any month in 21 years. The Vaca Muerta formation accounts for more than 70% of Argentina’s natural gas production, reaching 74% (3.8 billion f3/d) in September 2024.

Crude oil and natural gas exports

Rising production of crude oil and natural gas from the Vaca Muerta formation has increased export opportunities for both fuels. Argentina’s crude oil exports increased by an average of 33% per year from 30 000 bpd in 2017 to 128 000 bpd in 2023. Shale crude oil accounted for about 70% of crude oil exported in 2023. Argentina's primary destinations for crude oil exports in 2023 were the US, Brazil, and Chile. The recent completion of the Vaca Muerta Norte Oil Pipeline helped facilitate exports to Chile. Growing domestic natural gas production and the development of several new pipeline projects have decreased Argentina’s liquefied natural gas (LNG) imports and led to planning to increase exports. Argentina relied on LNG imports to help manage peak heating and electricity demand during the winter (June–August) in the southern hemisphere, especially given the country’s limited natural gas storage capacity. During the first nine months of 2024, Argentina imported 0.2 billion f3/d of LNG, 43% less than over the same period in 2023.

Argentina’s natural gas imports via pipeline fell by 47% in the first nine months of 2024 compared with the same period in 2023. The decline was largely because pipeline imports from Bolivia, which made up around half of Argentina’s natural gas imports in 2023, ended in September 2024. Meanwhile, Argentina is investing in infrastructure to expand the distribution of natural gas from the Vaca Muerta formation to northern Argentina, including reversing pipelines designed for imports from Bolivia in order to export natural gas to Brazil.

Natural gas exports to neighboring Chile and Uruguay via pipeline have notably increased, while Argentina’s LNG imports have declined due to new infrastructure projects such as the Perito Francisco Pascasio Moreno gas pipeline, formerly known as the Presidente Néstor Kirchner gas pipeline, which started operations in 2023, transporting natural gas from the Vaca Muerta formation north to the Santa Fe and Buenos Aires provinces. Exports to Chile increased 14% in the first nine months of 2024 compared with the same period last year to about 0.25 billion f3/d.

Natural gas and LNG infrastructure development

Several key infrastructure projects are supporting the growth in natural gas production from the Vaca Muerta region, including the Perito Francisco Pascasio Moreno gas pipeline with a capacity of 0.7 billion f3/d, where a planned second phase would expand its capacity to 1.2 billion f3/d by 2028. The Gasoducto Norte pipeline is currently undergoing a flow reversal project to transport natural gas from southern to northern Argentina. The first phase of operations began this November, with the pipeline expected to reach its full capacity of 0.7 billion f3/d. EIA expects this project to be completed in the first quarter of 2025 and facilitate natural gas exports to northern Chile and Brazil to meet growing demand in these markets.

Argentina's government has implemented new policies to boost energy production and exports, including the Plan Gas.Ar. In addition, the Plan Gas IV Program expanded export authorisations and four-year export contracts for natural gas – the country’s first multiyear contracts in two decades. Last July, Argentina’s Congress also passed a Promotional Regime for Large Investment (RIGI), aiming to provide certainty and legal stability to investors by offering tax, customs, and currency exchange incentives, which could support new spending on infrastructure. Several companies are planning floating LNG (FLNG) infrastructure in the coming years. Golar LNG has a 20 year agreement with Pan American Energy (PAE) to deploy an FLNG vessel in Argentina by 2027, targeting a production capacity of 2.45 million tpy. Tecpetrol SA is designing a modular onshore plant with an initial capacity of 4 million tpy. YPF SA, Argentina’s state-controlled energy company, plans to bring an existing FLNG facility online by 2027, aiming for 1 million tpy to 2 million tpy of additional export capacity. It is also seeking new investors for an LNG export project in Rio Negro, despite uncertainties regarding Petronas's involvement and significant infrastructure costs.

 

 

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