石油价格


联合组织数据倡议 (JODI) 周二公布的最新数据显示,12 月份全球石油需求较 11 月份增加超过 50 万桶/日,创 2023 年第八个月新  。

收集各国报告数据的 JODI 表示,2023 年最后一个月,亚洲需求的增长远远抵消了美国和欧洲需求的下降。

根据 JODI 的 数据库,12 月份石油需求较 11 月份增加了 541,000 桶/日。石油需求环比增长主要由中国推动,其次是日本和印度。JODI 的数据显示,这些需求增长足以抵消美国、意大利和德国的需求下降。

在燃料方面,12月份全球液化石油气需求升至历史新高,而汽油和柴油需求则降至五年平均水平。

全球原油产量方面,12月份产量小幅增长,​​但同比下降30万桶/日,仍略低于五年平均水平。与 2022 年 12 月相比,2023 年 12 月美国以及加拿大和中国的产量增加了 110 万桶,部分抵消了沙特阿拉伯和伊拉克产量的年度大幅下降(下降了 150 万桶/日)。 JODI 的数据库。

欧佩克领导人、全球最大原油出口国沙特阿拉伯12月产量环比增加12.6万桶/日至894万桶/日,而原油出口量则减少2.8万桶/日至631万桶/日。数据显示。

JODI表示,12月份全球原油库存减少800万桶,比五年平均水平低2.75亿桶。

库存下降和需求强劲(尽管存在相反的担忧)可能会进一步支撑本季度的油价,特别是如果 OPEC+ 联盟决定将 220 万桶/日的减产计划全部或部分延期的话。 2024 年第一季度。

 

作者:Oilprice.com 的 Tsvetana Paraskova


原文链接/oilandgas360

Oil Price


Global oil demand rose by more than 500,000 barrels per day (bpd) in December from November, for the eighth monthly record in 2023, the latest data by the Joint Organizations Data Initiative (JODI) showed on Tuesday.

Rising demand in Asia more than offset declines in the United States and Europe in the last month of 2023, said JODI, which collects figures reported by individual countries.

According to JODI’s database, oil demand rose by 541,000 bpd in December compared to November. The month-on-month oil demand increase was driven mostly by China, followed by Japan and India. These demand gains more than offset declines in the United States, Italy, and Germany, JODI’s data showed.

In fuels, global LPG demand rose to an all-time high in December while gasoline and diesel demand fell towards the five-year average.

In terms of global crude oil production, output rose slightly in December but fell by 300,000 bpd year-on-year, and was still marginally below the five-year average. Steep annual declines in output in Saudi Arabia – a drop of 1.5 million bpd – and Iraq were partially offset by a 1.1 million bpd output gain in the U.S. in December 2023 compared to December 2022, as well as from Canada and China, per JODI’s database.

Saudi Arabia, OPEC’s leader and the world’s top crude oil exporter, saw its production rise by 126,000 bpd month-on-month in December to 8.94 million bpd, while its crude exports fell by 28,000 bpd to 6.31 million bpd, the data showed.

Global crude inventories fell by 8 million barrels in December and were 275 million barrels below the five-year average, JODI said.

The drop in inventories and the strong demand – despite fears of the opposite – could further support oil prices this quarter, especially if the OPEC+ alliance decides to roll over all or part of the production cuts of 2.2 million bpd that are in place for the first quarter of 2024.

 

By Tsvetana Paraskova for Oilprice.com